Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
Nilalaman:
- Panimula
- Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
- Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
- Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
- Final Trade Recommendation
- Closing Reflection
Walang Patumpik-Tumpik! Bumili Tayo Ng MONDE Sa ₱7.80
Umaga ng July 16, 2025—saktong linggo matapos ang ating Stock Price Review—ay pumasok tayo sa MONDE. Bumili tayo ng 100 shares sa halagang ₱7.80 bilang Layer 1 – Tactical Watchlist Entry sa ating ₱10,000 Layered Accumulation Plan. Target natin dito: test positioning habang inaabangan ang kumpirmasyon ng trend reversal.
Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, susuriin natin kung pasado nga ba ito sa mata ng isang disiplined Batangueñong trader.
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Sa weekly chart, may solid base na nabuo below ₱8.00 area. Nakakita tayo ng breakout this week above the 8MA at 20MA, pero below pa rin sa 50MA (₱8.38). Bottoming stage pa lang ito—hindi pa full uptrend.
➡ Verdict: Accumulate habang bumubuo ng buwelo
✅ Score: 9/10
✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
From a previous high of around ₱13–₱14, ang kasalukuyang price na ₱7.80 ay nasa retracement range na halos 45–50%, swak sa long-term accumulation zone. Hindi pa sobrang undervalued, pero pasado sa Layer 1 criteria.
➡ Verdict: Simulan ang unang tranche habang mura pa
✅ Score: 8/10
✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
This week’s candle ay may decent body, closed above prior weeks, at may volume uptick (17.8M). Consistent ang volume sa mga huling linggo—possible quiet accumulation.
➡ Verdict: Pumapasok na ang maliliit na institusyon o smart money
✅ Score: 8/10
✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Technically, breakout ito from a multi-week base. Fundamentally, MONDE is a defensive consumer name—may cashflow at brand equity. Walang clear fundamental catalyst yet, pero solid as a long-term pick.
➡ Verdict: Tactical buy for Layer 1 justified
✅ Score: 8/10
✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Wala pang red flags—walang pagbabago sa fundamentals, walang suspension ng dividends, at walang issue sa pamunuan. Entry at ₱7.80 ay malapit sa support zone; risk ay minimal kung may disiplina sa Layer 1 sizing.
➡ Verdict: No thesis violation. Hold confidently.
✅ Score: 9/10
✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Monthly chart shows early recovery candles, though not yet a full green series. Wala pang 3 consecutive green candles, pero may improvement. Abangan pa ang kulay ng mga susunod na buwan.
➡ Verdict: Early signal pa lang, maghintay ng kumpirmasyon bago dagdag
✅ Score: 7/10
✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Ang price targets ay ₱8.90 at ₱9.80, both within historical bounce zones. Hindi pa overvalued. No need to take profit now—stay the course.
➡ Verdict: Hold and monitor; exits later pa
✅ Score: 8/10
✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung mag-pullback pabalik sa ₱7.20–₱7.40, magandang oportunidad para magdagdag. Ready dapat ang cash buffer for next tranche.
➡ Verdict: Maghanda sa posibleng re-entry sa pullback zone
✅ Score: 8/10
✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Layer 1 plan natin: ₱1,000 allocation for test buy. ✅ Tama ang position size. Next layers nakaabang lang based on performance.
➡ Verdict: Tama ang banat—Layer 1 pa lang ‘to
✅ Score: 10/10
✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Wala namang red flags sa governance o ethical practices. Defensive food sector ito, safe sa recession at inflation. Long-term resilience check!
➡ Verdict: Qualified for ethical and long-term watchlist
✅ Score: 9/10
🎯 Final Score: 84/100 – Pasado sa 9 out of 10 Steps!
Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader: Papasok Pa Rin Tayo!
Pasado sa 9 out of 10 steps, at swak ang Layer 1 tactical entry sa ₱7.80. Hindi ito hype play—ito'y tahimik pero matibay na galaw ng isang stock na may buwelo at disiplina.
Para kang sumasakay sa kariton ng buko pie—dahan-dahan pero siguradong pupunta sa tamang direksyon!
Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Range: ₱7.70–₱7.90
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱7.20 (kung ma-violate ang base)
📌 Target Price(s): ₱8.90 (first trim), ₱9.80 (full exit)
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add next 100 shares if breakout above ₱8.40 with volume
📌 Position Size Strategy: Small (₱1,000 / 10% of ₱10,000 plan)
🛡️ Paalala: Sundin ang plano, 'wag padalos-dalos. Long-term investing ito, hindi tsamba-tsamba.
✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY
✅ Recommendation: Buy within ₱7.70–₱7.90 based on 9/10 strategy alignment and base breakout over 8MA and 20MA.
✅ Risk Management: Cut-loss only if ₱7.20 support is broken with volume.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exit at ₱8.90 and full at ₱9.80.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with ₱1,000 allocation, add if breakout above ₱8.40 with conviction.
Closing Reflection
Ang tunay na trader hindi nakikipag-agawan—marunong maghintay, tumingin sa long-term, at kumilos kapag may base, hindi hype.
📌 [Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series]
Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series
Portfolio: Halal Core Growth Portfolio | Capital Allocation: ₱150,000
Trade Simulation #5 | Shares: 400 | Price: ₱7.80| Value: ₱3,120
Para sa layunin ng ating “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” series, ina-upscale natin ang MONDE live trade na ito tungo sa isang simulated trade ng 400 shares sa parehong presyo na ₱7.80. Bahagi ito ng ating Halal Core Growth Portfolio, na may capital allocation na ₱150,000.
Dahil ito ay simulated at hindi live execution, hindi na natin isinama ang friction cost tulad ng transaction fees at taxes. Ginagamit natin ang simulation na ito upang mas mapalawak ang ating case studies at masuri ang performance ng mga halal core stocks sa loob ng ating diversified ethical trading framework.
🧪 Subok sa puso. Hindi lang ng strategy.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.
Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
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