Showing posts with label URC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label URC. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 5, 2025

URC Trade Evaluation: Trade No. 5/20 – Phase 2 Live Testing Review & Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Performance (Feb 5, 2025)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 5/20
  • Date: February 5, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Short-Term Reversal Attempt at Multi-Year Lows (Monthly Chart)
  • Signal: Strong bullish momentum with increasing volume
  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Shares Bought: Last 20 out of 70 shares allocated (completing full position)
  • Entry Price: ₱61.65
  • Position Size: Full allocation completed

📌 Chart Overview:

  • Daily Chart: URC posted a strong green candle, closing at ₱61.65 (+6.38%), showing initial recovery from oversold conditions.
  • Volume surged to 3.506M, confirming renewed interest in the stock.
  • The 20-MA (₱68.15) remains above, serving as the first resistance level.
  • The 200-MA (₱95.74) remains significantly above, indicating the long-term trend is still bearish.
  • Monthly Chart: URC is at a multi-year low, indicating potential mean reversion if a sustained rally occurs.

URC stock price monthly chart analysis for live testing under Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of February 5, 2025.

URC Trade No. 5/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Monthly Chart

URC stock price monthly chart analysis for live testing under Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of February 5, 2025.

URC Trade No. 5/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Daily Chart

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 7/10

  • URC is in a long-term downtrend but has shown a strong daily recovery.
  • First signs of reversal appear, but confirmation is needed above ₱65.00-₱68.00.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Price is still below both the 20-MA (₱68.15) and 200-MA (₱95.74), meaning bearish pressure persists.
  • Entry near ₱61.65 aligns with short-term retracement potential, but resistance remains overhead.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 9/10

  • Strong green candle on high volume suggests a potential shift in momentum.
  • If price can hold above ₱60.00, a higher low structure may form.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Entry at ₱61.65 aligns with the daily green candle confirmation.
  • A break above ₱65.00-₱68.00 would confirm a bullish continuation.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱58.50 ensures controlled downside risk.
  • A breakdown below ₱57.50 would invalidate the trade setup.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 8/10

  • Bullish price action with strong volume confirms upward momentum.
  • Needs continuation above ₱63.00-₱65.00 to further confirm.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First target: ₱68.00 (20-MA resistance).
  • Final target: ₱75.00-₱80.00 (next major resistance zone).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 7/10

  • A pullback to ₱60.50-₱61.00 could offer another entry.
  • Breakout above ₱65.00 justifies scaling further into the position.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • Full allocation deployed, limiting further scaling.
  • Risk management is crucial near resistance levels.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 7/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but caution is needed near ₱68.00 resistance.
  • Failure to hold ₱60.00 could lead to further downside.

📌 Overall Strategy Score: 79/100

📌 Summary: Trade was well-executed based on momentum confirmation, but resistance near ₱68.00 must be monitored.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 7.9/10

✅ Trade Execution: Entry positioned at a breakout level, aligning with short-term trend reversal.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱58.50 ensures controlled downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱68.00, scaling out at ₱75.00-₱80.00.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Full allocation, requiring strict risk management.

Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱65.00-₱68.00. If URC holds this level, consider holding the position for further gains.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱60.00. If momentum weakens, reassess the trade and adjust stop-loss accordingly.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If URC retests ₱60.50 and holds, consider adding more exposure in future setups.

🚨 Conclusion: Trade No. 5 remains strong, with a bullish outlook. A move above ₱68.00 would confirm further upside, while a break below ₱60.00 would require caution. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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URC Trade Evaluation: 4 of 20 Trades Phase 2 Live Testing Review as of February 4, 2025 – Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Performance Score

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • URC Trade Summary (Live Testing Phase 2)
  • Step-by-Step Performance Evaluation (10-Point Rating System)
  • Final Trade Performance Score & Insights
  • Next Steps & Adjustments


Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) has been part of our 20-Trades Phase 2 Live Testing to assess the effectiveness of our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy. This review covers 4 trades executed between January 21, 2025, and February 4, 2025, focusing on trade execution, decision-making, and risk management.

Key Objectives:

✅ Evaluate trade performance based on technical execution.

✅ Assign ratings using a 10-point scoring system for each step.

✅ Provide insights and necessary adjustments to refine our strategy.


URC stock price monthly chart analysis for live testing under Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of February 4, 2025.

URC Price Monthly Chart Evaluation – 20-Trade Phase 2 Live Testing as of February 4, 2025.


URC stock price daily chart analysis for live testing under Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of February 4, 2025.

URC Price Daily Chart Evaluation – 20-Trade Phase 2 Live Testing as of February 4, 2025.



URC Trade Summary (Live Testing Phase 2)Trade History:

Trade 1/20: January 21, 2025 – BUY 50 shares at Php 65.95

Trade 2/20: January 23, 2025 – BUY 50 shares at Php 66.85

Trade 3/20: January 31, 2025 – SELL 100 shares at Php 64.10

Trade 4/20: February 4, 2025 – BUY 50 shares at Php 58.00

Financial Performance Summary:

✅ Total Gain/Loss as of February 4, 2025: Net loss of Php 1,823.04

✅ URC Current Price: Php 57.95 (February 4, 2025)

✅ Technical Review:

  • Monthly Chart: Price is well below the 200-MA (Php 113.91) and 20-MA (Php 101.85), confirming a long-term downtrend.

  • Daily Chart: Price is trading below the 200-MA (Php 95.93) and 20-MA (Php 69.19), signaling short-term bearish pressure.


Step-by-Step Performance Evaluation (10-Point Rating System)

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context

✅ Evaluation: URC is in a confirmed downtrend, trading significantly below the 20-MA and 200-MA. Despite this, re-entry at Php 58 was based on increased volume.

🔹 Score: 7/10 (Good awareness of the trend, but early re-entry in a weak market.)

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

✅ Evaluation: Price was far below key moving averages, increasing downside risk. Entry was made where consolidation was expected but lacked strong confirmation.

🔹 Score: 6/10 (Good setup, but better entry confirmation needed.)

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

✅ Evaluation: Entry at Php 58 saw volume rise to 3.782M, but power bars were absent, suggesting weak conviction.

🔹 Score: 5/10 (Entry volume was good, but price action was weak.)

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

✅ Evaluation: No significant bullish reversal signals were present at the time of entry, increasing the risk of a continuation of the downtrend.

🔹 Score: 4/10 (Weak technical confirmation.)

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

✅ Evaluation: A tight stop-loss strategy was implemented, but entering a downtrend still posed high risk.

🔹 Score: 6/10 (Managed risk effectively but better entry was needed.)

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

✅ Evaluation: Candlestick patterns did not strongly indicate a trend reversal, and a potential dead-cat bounce was a concern.

🔹 Score: 5/10 (No strong reversal signals confirmed.)

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

✅ Evaluation: Partial exits were considered but not effectively executed as price continued downward.

🔹 Score: 5/10 (Needed better execution of profit-taking.)

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

✅ Evaluation: Re-entry at Php 58 seemed reasonable but lacked strong technical backing.

🔹 Score: 6/10 (Better confirmation needed before re-entering.)

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

✅ Evaluation: Position sizing was moderate but could have been adjusted based on bearish continuation.

🔹 Score: 6/10 (More flexible adjustments required.)

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

✅ Evaluation: Entering against a strong downtrend was risky without two consecutive gap-downs.

🔹 Score: 4/10 (More conservative approach needed.)

Final Performance Score: 57/100 (Needs Improvement)


Final Trade Performance Score & Insights

✅ Key Takeaways:

  • Good volume analysis, but weak price action confirmation.

  • Entering below moving averages increased downside risk.

  • Improvements needed in patience for trend confirmation and more tactical position sizing.

Justification of URC Trade 4/20

Key Observations:

  • URC remains far below both moving averages, reinforcing strong bearish momentum.
  • The recent re-entry at ₱58.00 was based on:
  • Significant volume (3.782M), indicating potential institutional activity.
  • Price stabilizing between ₱57.80 – ₱61.25, suggesting early bottoming signals.

Justification for Re-Entry at ₱58.00:

Despite the overall downtrend, our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy allowed a re-entry based on:

✅ Significant Trading Volume: At 3.782M, volume was high, implying potential accumulation.

✅ Oversold Condition: Price is significantly below the 20-MA and 200-MA, indicating a possible rebound.

✅ Stable Range Formation: ₱57.80 – ₱61.25 held firm, reducing immediate downside risk.


Next Steps & Adjustments

Tactical Adjustments:

  • Monitor price action near Php 57.80 – Php 61.25.

  • Avoid premature re-entry unless bullish confirmation emerges.

  • Use a tight stop-loss strategy to prevent further downside risk.

Future Trading Considerations:

🔹 Short-term traders: Wait for a breakout above the 20-MA before entering.

🔹 Long-term investors: Accumulate cautiously near strong support levels.

🔹 Existing holders: Reassess stop-loss and take-profit zones based on new trends.

🚨 Final Thought: Trend confirmation is key. Avoid catching a falling knife without clear signals. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) faced a massive decline in January 2025, closing at 60.80, reflecting a -23.04% drop for the month. The stock reached a high of 83.95 before collapsing to 60.80, marking a decisive breakdown. URC is now trading far below the 20-MA (105.83) and the 200-MA (113.68), confirming a strong bearish trend.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 60.80
  • High: 83.95
  • Low: 60.80
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 105.83
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 113.68

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 140.00 (Pre-2022 highs)
  • 75% Pullback: 120.00 (Previous major breakdown level)
  • 50% Pullback: 90.00 (Long-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 60.00 (Recent support)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is in a strong bearish downtrend, confirmed by price trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
  • January’s red candle is a significant power bar downward, signaling intense selling pressure.
  • The breakdown below 70.00 triggered a sharp acceleration in the decline.

✅ Market State: Strong downtrend with no immediate support nearby.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid buying until stability is confirmed.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: Price remains far below key moving averages, confirming an aggressive selloff.
  • Retracement Zone: 60.00 is the last support area before further downside risk.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Price needs to hold 60.00 before considering any re-entry.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s red candle is a dominant power bar to the downside.
  • Volume surged to 42.46M, confirming extreme selling pressure.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No bullish signals detected.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No buy signals detected, as price is in free fall.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until a proper base forms.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 58.00 would be required.
  • However, there is no confirmed support yet.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Risk is too high at this stage.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No bullish reversal or green power bars appeared this month.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need bullish confirmation before considering a buy.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • All positions have been exited; profit-taking does not apply.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No active positions to manage.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If price stabilizes above 60.00, it may become a re-entry zone.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No immediate re-entry recommended.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • All trades have been fully exited, making this step unnecessary.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments needed.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend setup is valid, as price is still in freefall.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
✅ Recommendation: Avoid entering URC at 60.80, as the bearish trend remains strong with no confirmed support.
✅ Risk Management: If price falls below 60.00, it could lead to further downside.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable as all positions have been exited.
✅ Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a strong bullish reversal appears.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
🔹 Long-term investors → Wait for stabilization above 60.00 before considering accumulation.
🔹 Existing holders → Fully exited, no further action required.
🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong downtrend with high selling volume. No trade should be considered until a proper base forms. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Thursday, January 30, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 30, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) has experienced significant downside pressure, closing at ₱64.35, a massive -18.54% decline in the latest monthly session. The stock has broken through major long-term support levels, trading well below both the 20-month and 200-month moving averages, indicating a deep bearish trend. This review evaluates whether URC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Monthly Chart
  • Date: January 30, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱64.35
  • High: ₱83.95
  • Low: ₱64.15
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱106.00
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱113.69
  • Volume: 37.435M (elevated selling pressure)

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

URC Monthly Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

URC Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Monthly Chart as of January 30, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is in a long-term confirmed downtrend, with price action significantly below the 20-month and 200-month MAs.
  • The breakdown from ₱100 to ₱64 signals extreme weakness, suggesting that investors have lost confidence in the stock.
  • Volume is elevated, indicating panic selling rather than controlled distribution.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – The trend is strongly bearish, and caution is warranted.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • URC has broken below critical long-term support levels, showing no immediate signs of stabilization.
  • The next potential support is in the ₱50-₱55 range, aligning with previous consolidation zones from 2013-2014.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – The stock must establish a base before considering long positions.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The large red monthly candle suggests strong selling pressure, with no bullish reversal signals present.
  • The increase in volume confirms a capitulation event, but without reversal patterns, buying remains high-risk.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – There are no breakout signals or momentum shifts.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • There is no valid buy entry at current levels given the lack of a stabilization pattern.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – Confirmation of a bottoming structure is required before considering long entries.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss levels are difficult to define in free-fall conditions—traders should avoid attempting to catch the falling knife.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Holding positions without a clear support level is highly risky.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No green reversal candles or trend-shifting signals are present.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – Confirmation of buying interest is needed.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Traders still holding URC should consider reducing exposure while the trend remains bearish.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Locking in losses before further downside is advisable.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • A re-entry should only be considered if price stabilizes above ₱70 with increasing volume.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION – No immediate re-entry is advised.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • New buyers should avoid full-sized positions until a bottom is confirmed.
  • Recommendation: HOLD CASH / WAIT – No need to take unnecessary risks in a weak market.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • A counter-trend trade can only be considered if a multi-month base forms with clear bullish reversals.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A CONFIRMED TREND REVERSAL – The risk remains high for premature entries.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: SELL / WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Sell on any relief rallies or wait for a confirmed bottom before considering new buys.

✅ Risk Management: Avoid speculative entries while the long-term trend remains bearish.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Short-term traders should reduce exposure on any bounce toward ₱75-₱80.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying until a trend reversal is confirmed.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid buying until a strong bullish reversal pattern emerges.

🔹 Long-term investors → Consider waiting for stabilization before averaging down.

🔹 Existing holders → Should consider exiting positions or reducing exposure.

🚨 Final Thought: URC is in a deep bearish trend, and further downside is possible. Patience is key—wait for confirmation before entering new positions. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Tuesday, January 28, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) remains in a strong downtrend, struggling to reclaim key resistance levels. The updated chart includes the 20-day and 200-day moving averages, providing further insights into the stock's short-term and long-term trend dynamics. Our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy will determine whether a buy, sell, or hold stance is appropriate.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Morning Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱64.95
  • High: ₱65.50
  • Low: ₱64.35
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱73.00
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱96.78
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% Pullback: ₱69.60
    • 50% Pullback: ₱67.43
    • 0% Pullback: ₱65.25

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

URC Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

URC Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (Morning Session, January 27, 2025)


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is in a confirmed downtrend, with price action below both the 20-day MA (₱73.00) and the 200-day MA (₱96.78).
  • The 20-MA is sloping downward, signaling continued weakness.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A strong reversal signal is required before considering long positions.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • URC is trading below the 0% pullback level (₱65.25), indicating that support has failed.
  • The next resistance levels are ₱67.43 (50% pullback) and ₱69.60 (100% pullback).
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Price remains in bearish territory.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • No bullish power bars are visible on the chart.
  • Volume remains low, confirming a lack of strong buyer interest.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – There are no breakout signals.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No bullish technical signals are present to justify a long position.
  • The stock needs to reclaim at least ₱67.43 for a potential entry.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Entry at this level is premature.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If attempting a counter-trend buy, a stop-loss should be set below ₱63.50.
  • Given the ongoing downtrend, risk remains high for any new positions.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Avoid unnecessary risk.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No significant bullish color change signals have emerged.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A shift in momentum is required.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short traders should consider taking profits near ₱63.50 to ₱62.00.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No clear bullish reversal yet.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • The best re-entry zone for longs is near ₱60.00 if a strong bounce occurs.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A BETTER ENTRY – Buying now is too risky.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Aggressive traders may attempt a small speculative position, but caution is advised.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Maintain a conservative approach.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades should only be considered after two consecutive gap-downs or a 5% drop below the 200-day MA.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No valid counter-trend setup.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: SELL / WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Avoid buying as URC remains in a strong downtrend below the 20-MA and 200-MA.

✅ Risk Management: If considering a counter-trend buy, a stop-loss must be placed below ₱63.50.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Short sellers may target ₱63.50 to ₱62.00 for exits.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying; a small position may be tested at ₱60.00, but only with a strong reversal.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid buying until price reclaims ₱67.43.

🔹 Long-term investors → May consider waiting for stabilization above ₱73.00.

🔹 Existing holders → Should consider reducing exposure or selling on relief rallies.

🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong bearish phase. A proper bottoming requires accumulation and confirmation—wait for bullish confirmation before entering. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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