Micro Stock Trader: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Showing posts with label Hybrid 10-Step Strategy. Show all posts

Friday, June 27, 2025

Trade Evaluation: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) – Layered Accumulation Actions Scored Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (as of Weekly Close June 26, 2025)

WLCON Weekly Chart as of June 26, 2025 showing strong breakout from bottom zone with rising volume – confirming layered entry strategy.

WLCON trade actions of June 26, 2025 scored 90/100 for strategy compliance. Accumulation at ₱7.59–₱8.35

Friday, June 13, 2025

Stock Price Review: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 13, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Should long-term investors continue accumulating FPI after a recent breakout? This review applies the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.

📍 I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 13, 2025
Stock: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange
Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱0.2300
High: ₱0.2300 (Daily), ₱0.2900 (Weekly/Monthly)
Low: ₱0.2300 (Daily), ₱0.2250 (Weekly/Monthly)
20-MA: ₱0.2245 (Daily), ₱0.2210 (Weekly), ₱0.2230 (Monthly)
200-MA: ₱0.2248 (Daily), ₱0.2210 (Weekly), ₱0.2230 (Monthly)

Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) has staged a significant breakout attempt, with volume surging and price spiking up to ₱0.29 intraday. Although it closed back at ₱0.23, this movement suggests heightened speculative interest. We recently entered with 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025. The strategy used is the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant.

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

1. Market State & Trend Context
Volume spike and bullish expansion bar observed on all timeframes. Daily, weekly, and monthly candles are all green, signaling breakout momentum.
➡ Verdict: BUY

2. Price Position & Value Zones
At ₱0.2300, FPI is trading slightly above the 20-day and 200-day MAs across all timeframes. However, it is now below our entry at ₱0.25, suggesting a near-term dip may offer better re-entry.
➡ Verdict: WAIT (for better entry within support zone ₱0.21–₱0.23)

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
The June 10–12 rally featured a strong power bar with extreme volume confirmation—highest in months.
➡ Verdict: BUY

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
Fundamental catalysts are still unclear, but technically, FPI printed a rare clean breakout from range. Entry was technically justified but slightly late.
➡ Verdict: BUY (with caution)

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
Soft stop around ₱0.20 to protect capital without disrupting long-term plan. We avoid hard stops due to thin liquidity.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
No red reversal bar yet post-breakout. However, the long wick above ₱0.29 is a short-term caution sign.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

7. Profit-Taking Strategy
First partial exit near ₱0.29–₱0.30, next tier at ₱0.34, and full exit if extended to ₱0.40.
➡ Verdict: HOLD (no trimming until ₱0.29 retest)

8. Re-Entry Plans
Plan re-entry near ₱0.21–₱0.23 if price dips with stabilizing volume.
➡ Verdict: WAIT

9. Position Size Strategy (Include board lot conversion and layering plan)
With ₱6,000 capital and 10,000-share board lot, scaling must be done in 10k blocks. Initial position already placed.
➡ Verdict: HOLD (next entry: on pullback with lower wick confirmation)

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
None at this stage. Breakout was driven by price-action, not fundamental story.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD / BUY-on-Pullback

📅 Recommendation: Accumulate more only on dips to ₱0.21–₱0.23. The price is below our entry and near MA clusters, suggesting support.

🔢 Risk Management: Use a soft stop below ₱0.20 in case of sustained sell-off. Avoid panic exits unless breakdown is confirmed on weekly close.

💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Begin selling at ₱0.29–₱0.30, then ₱0.34 and ₱0.40 if upside momentum continues.

📆 Position Size Strategy: Start with minimum board lot (10,000 shares per layer). Add only if the next red-to-green reversal occurs near the 20-MA.

🔄 IV. Next Steps

Short-term traders → Wait for a red-to-green reversal near ₱0.22 before re-entering.

Long-term investors → Hold core position, watch for weekly close stability above ₱0.23.

Existing holders → Hold. Monitor volume. Consider trimming above ₱0.29 if there is a failed breakout retest.

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI

(Based on Php6,000 Capital and 10,000-Share Board Lot)

First Layer (Executed): ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025, 10,000 shares = ₱2,500
Second Layer (Planned): ₱0.23 area if low volume pullback = ₱2,300
Third Layer (Planned): ₱0.21–₱0.215 area on dip = ₱2,150

If both layers fill, final average cost will approximate ₱0.23 for 30,000 shares.

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Trade: BUY 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025

Market State and Trend Context:
The trade was made during a confirmed breakout phase. There was a strong expansion bar accompanied by a dramatic increase in volume, signaling the start of momentum. This was a near-ideal context to enter based on technical trend behavior.
Score: 9/10
Price Position and Value Zones:
Entry at ₱0.25 was slightly above the value zone defined by the cluster of moving averages. While technically justified by momentum, it was not optimal for value accumulation. Pullback opportunities around ₱0.21 to ₱0.23 would have provided better positioning.
Score: 6/10
Power Bars and Volume Confirmation:
The power bar printed on June 10 had full body range with strong volume spike—clear institutional or speculative activity. The trade aligned well with this cue.
Score: 10/10
Entry Confirmation (Fundamental and Technical):
While there was no known catalyst or news, the technical structure justified the entry. The breakout from months of consolidation was clearly visible across all timeframes.
Score: 8/10
Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Strategy:
A soft stop approach was correctly used, targeting below ₱0.20 as a thesis violation zone. This reflects discipline appropriate to long-term positioning in a thinly traded stock.
Score: 9/10
Color Change / Reversal Signal:
No immediate reversal signal was evident, although the presence of a long wick from ₱0.29 is a warning of short-term selling pressure. The trade remains intact but must be monitored for weakness.
Score: 8/10
Profit-Taking Strategy:
Profit-taking levels are defined above ₱0.29 and up to ₱0.40. However, none of these levels have been hit yet, and the entry was relatively close to the top of the recent spike. This weakens early exit flexibility.
Score: 7/10
Re-Entry Plans:
A better entry window now appears to be forming near ₱0.21 to ₱0.23. The initial trade did not factor this in but planning for a second tranche improves strategic discipline.
Score: 6/10
Position Size and Layering Compliance:
The trade adhered to the board lot of 10,000 shares and matched the capital structure defined in our long-term plan. Layering strategy is already in place for follow-up orders.
Score: 10/10
Ethical and Counter-Trend Considerations:
No unethical or counter-trend actions were evident in this setup. The trade was aligned with technical breakout conditions and remained within the investor’s ethical and portfolio guidelines.
Score: 7/10

Overall Score: 80 out of 100

Final Verdict: This was a valid breakout trade executed within strategic parameters. However, the next tranche should aim for deeper value alignment and improved risk-reward balance.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

📍 I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 13, 2025
Stock: Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱7.68
High: ₱7.80
Low: ₱7.47
20-MA (Daily): ₱6.57
200-MA (Daily): ₱11.60

After a long and steep downtrend, WLCON has shown signs of reversal on all three timeframes. A recent daily breakout attempt above the short-term moving averages has caught our attention. We now evaluate it using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant.

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

1. Market State & Trend Context
Monthly and weekly charts confirm a prolonged downtrend, but recent candles suggest a possible base forming. Daily chart momentum is turning up.
➡ Verdict: HOLD/WAIT (Trend Turn Underway)

2. Price Position & Value Zones
Price is still below the 200-day MA but has reclaimed the 20- and 50-day MA. On the monthly, it trades well below long-term value levels (₱15–22).
➡ Verdict: BUY (Undervalued, Early Recovery Zone)

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
June candles on all timeframes show bullish intent with above-average volume. Daily bar shows volume spike on breakout.
➡ Verdict: BUY (Volume-Confirmed Turnaround)

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
While fundamentals remain pressured due to retail sector weakness, the technicals suggest a tactical low is in.
➡ Verdict: BUY (Technical-Driven Recovery Trade)

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
Soft stop around ₱6.30, below short-term moving averages. Violation here would negate early uptrend attempt.
➡ Verdict: BUY with Soft Stop

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
Green candles now dominate after months of red, signaling reversal in character. Monthly candle has broken prior month’s high.
➡ Verdict: BUY

7. Profit-Taking Strategy
Target zones:

Partial: ₱9.50–₱11.00
Full: ₱13.00+ if sustained
➡ Verdict: BUY (Strong R/R Potential)

8. Re-Entry Plans
Re-enter near ₱6.80–₱7.00 or if new base forms above ₱8.00.
➡ Verdict: Prepare Re-Entry Strategy

9. Position Size Strategy
With a ₱6,000 capital and 100-share board lot, plan for 3 layers of ₱2,000 each. Start with test buy, then accumulate.
➡ Verdict: BUY SMALL (Layered Plan)

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
No ethical concerns. Retail-related recovery could play out in 2025.
➡ Verdict: BUY

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY

📅 Recommendation: Accumulate between ₱7.00–₱7.70 as a technical turnaround continues with volume confirmation.

🔢 Risk Management: Monitor support at ₱6.30. Violation would require thesis reassessment.

💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Trim around ₱9.50–₱11.00; exit fully at ₱13.00+ if monthly trend confirms.

📆 Position Size Strategy: Start with 100 shares (~₱760), then add 100 shares each if pullbacks hold support or breakout above ₱8.00 occurs.

🔄 IV. Next Steps

Short-term traders: Watch for confirmation above ₱8.00 for swing trade continuation.
Long-term investors: Begin layering near current levels; treat this as early stage of value recovery.
Existing holders: Hold positions; consider adding near ₱7.00 if pullback occurs.

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for WLCON

(Based on Php6,000.00 Capital and 100-Share Board Lot)

🔹 Layer 1 – ₱2,000.00 → Entry Zone: ₱7.60–₱7.70 (Initial Buy)
🔹 Layer 2 – ₱2,000.00 → Entry Zone: ₱7.00–₱7.20 (Pullback Entry)
🔹 Layer 3 – ₱2,000.00 → Entry Zone: Breakout above ₱8.10 (Momentum Add-On)

Plan total = 300 shares
Estimated average = ₱7.40 if executed fully

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Score: 87/100

Most of the steps confirm a valid early accumulation signal. The only reason for not scoring a full BUY is the absence of a fully confirmed trend reversal on the monthly timeframe, which still suggests caution. However, the strong daily/weekly volume and structure justify the current BUY stance with layered accumulation.

🚨 Final Thought: Patience is key. This is the “value phase” where long-term accumulation matters more than momentum chasing. Stick to layers, respect soft stops, and allow time for trend maturity.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Micro Stock Trader’s Guide to Layered Accumulation and Phased Exit Plans – Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0

Learn how Micro Stock Trader applies Layered Accumulation and Phased Exit Plans in its Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus.

When trading long-term in fundamentally promising but technically volatile stocks, Micro Stock Trader employs a refined, capital-conscious methodology built into our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant. Two of its core features are the Layered Accumulation Plan and the Phased Exit Plan. These aren't just passive holding strategies — they are tactical frameworks designed to increase reward and manage risk while aligning with real-world trading constraints like board lots and capital availability.

📥 What is the Layered Accumulation Plan?

The Layered Accumulation Plan is our disciplined, step-by-step buying strategy. Instead of deploying all available capital in a single entry, we accumulate shares gradually at pre-identified price zones that align with value areas, technical supports, or retracement targets.

Key Features:

Capital-Based Layering: We define accumulation layers using actual capital (e.g., ₱3,000 total) and break it into small, board-lot-compliant chunks (e.g., 100-share lots).
Zone-Based Triggers: Each layer is activated based on pullback zones, usually near the 20-MA, support lines, or fundamental undervaluation levels.
Soft Stop-Loss Principle: We use trend shifts or fundamental deterioration as thesis violation points—not rigid cut-loss prices.

This method reflects patience and value discipline, ensuring we don’t chase price surges and instead build a base in attractive zones with minimal emotional exposure.

📤 What is the Phased Exit Plan?

The Phased Exit Plan is the counterpart of our accumulation method. Rather than waiting for a "perfect" peak to exit, we scale out in portions as price targets or overvaluation zones are hit.

Key Features:

Targeted Profit Zones: We exit partial positions as price moves through technical resistances, Fibonacci targets, or trailing breakout peaks.
Bias Toward Partial Wins: By locking in profits along the way, we protect gains even if the full run-up doesn't materialize.
Trend-Based Final Exit: The last tranche is usually held until a major reversal signal occurs or fundamentals deteriorate.

This approach allows us to protect capital, capture upside gradually, and avoid overconfidence in tops — perfect for volatile, speculative, or developing stocks that may surge unexpectedly then retrace deeply.

🧠 Why It Matters in the Long-Term Focus Variant

The Long-Term Focus Variant of our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy is designed for slow, high-conviction builds on undervalued but promising stocks. Here, patience, scale, and discipline are critical.

The Layered Accumulation Plan respects liquidity constraints and allows for adaptive averaging during pullbacks.
The Phased Exit Plan avoids the "all-or-nothing" mindset, encouraging a steady realization of gains while still giving room for a potential run-up.

Together, they reflect our belief: Success isn’t built on timing tops and bottoms—it’s built on strategic exposure over time.

💬 Final Thought

In long-term investing, where volatility can mislead and greed can trap, our Layered Accumulation and Phased Exit Plans help enforce structure, reduce regret, and promote consistency. These aren’t rigid rules—they’re flexible frameworks grounded in discipline, patience, and conviction.

This is how we trade not just with charts, but with character.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Morning Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

I. Introduction

This follow-up review examines Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) based on the morning session chart as of February 19, 2025.

MONDE recently attempted to break above the 9.13 resistance zone, following a strong close on February 18, 2025, at 8.45 with a volume surge of 10.465M, exceeding its target breakout volume of 10.41M.

This review will determine whether MONDE’s bullish momentum is sustainable and whether a buy opportunity exists using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0.

Updated Trade Details (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

Date: February 19, 2025
Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Morning Chart (End of Morning Session)
Opening Price: 8.45
High: 8.60
Low: 8.28
Current Price: 8.52
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.51
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.55

Volume Analysis (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

Morning Volume: 3.825M
Closing Volume (February 18, 2025): 10.465M
30-day Volume Average: 9.671M
65-day Volume Average: 7.122M
Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 volume average): 10.41M

With MONDE’s price hovering near the 9.13 key breakout level, this analysis will evaluate whether the stock can sustain its bullish move or if a pullback is expected.

MONDE morning session chart with technical indicators as of February 19, 2025

MONDE Morning Session Stock Charts as of February 19, 2025

II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Daily Chart:
- MONDE continues to trade below the 200-day MA (9.55), meaning the long-term trend remains bearish.
- However, the price is now well above the 20-day MA (7.51), indicating strong short-term bullish momentum.
Monthly Chart:
- The stock is attempting a recovery from the 6.65 low, but it remains below the 20-MA (9.14).

➡ Verdict: Wait (Short-term bullish momentum is strong, but long-term downtrend remains).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

MONDE is currently at the 57% retracement level, slightly above the power move sweet spot of 8.47 - 9.13.
A break above 9.13 with strong volume would confirm a bullish continuation.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Breakout Above 9.13 (Critical Level for Bulls).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

MONDE closed with high volume (10.465M) on February 18, 2025, exceeding the 10.41M breakout target, indicating strong buying interest.
However, the morning session volume (3.825M) is lower, meaning momentum must be sustained throughout the day.

➡ Verdict: Buy on Further Strength (Monitor closing volume for confirmation).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

A full confirmation occurs if MONDE closes above 9.13 with strong volume.
The key resistance levels:
- Short-term: 9.13
- Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)

➡ Verdict: Small Entry Possible (Full confirmation needed).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

If entering long, a stop-loss should be placed below 8.00 to protect against downside risk.
A drop below 7.50 would signal further weakness.

➡ Verdict: Buy with Risk Management (Stop-loss at 8.00).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

Another green candle has formed, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
However, confirmation of bullish structure requires a sustained close above 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs a strong close above 9.13).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Profit targets:
- Short-term: 9.13
- Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)
- Long-term: 10.50

➡ Verdict: Hold Position, Take Partial Profits at 9.13 and 9.55.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Re-enter near 8.15 if support holds.
Buy on a confirmed breakout at 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Re-Entry on Retracement or Breakout.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Core Position: Initiate if MONDE holds above 9.13 with volume confirmation.
Tactical Entry: A small position can be taken near 8.52, increasing size upon confirmation above 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Small Position Possible Near 8.52, Increase Size Above 9.13.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

No counter-trend trade is recommended since MONDE is trading within a breakout structure.

➡ Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading.

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

✅ Recommendation: Buy if MONDE holds above 9.13 with strong volume.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at 8.00 to manage downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 9.13 (short-term), 9.55 (mid-term), and 10.50 (long-term).

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start small near 8.52, increase size upon confirmation above 9.13.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Monitor if MONDE sustains above 9.13 before taking full positions.

🔹 Long-term investors: Consider small entries near 8.52 with a stop at 8.00, then add if volume strengthens.

🔹 Existing holders: Monitor breakout confirmation above 9.13 before adding positions.

🚨 Final Thought: MONDE continues its breakout attempt. A strong close above 9.13 with volume confirmation is the key signal to watch. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

I. Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) is a major player in the Philippine stock market, known for its strong market presence in the food and beverage industry. This review will analyze its price movement using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 to determine the best trade decision.

Trade Details

Date: February 17, 2025
Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Daily
Closing Price: 63.95
High: 65.90
Low: 63.30
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 63.30
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 94.49

Pullback Under Consideration

Start of Power Move Date: January 14, 2025
Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 75.00
End of Power Move Date: February 12, 2025
End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 59.70
Power Move Trend: Bearish
Power Move Sweet Spot: 68.12 - 71.18
Market Price To Date: 70.20
Pullback Level To Date: 69%

Volume Analysis (as of February 17, 2025)

Closing Volume: 2.49M
30-day Volume Average: 2.68M
65-day Volume Average: 2.61M
Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 Volume Average): 3.92M

The following analysis will apply our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether URC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity.

URC stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

URC stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

URC Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025

II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

The daily chart shows a downtrend phase with URC trading well below its 200-day MA (94.49).
The price is hovering around the 20-day MA (63.30), signaling a potential short-term consolidation after a steep decline.
The monthly chart confirms the long-term downtrend, with the 200-MA (113.94) acting as resistance.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of trend reversal).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

The stock is currently below the 200-day MA, indicating a bearish macro trend.
The price is approaching the 70% retracement level (69%), making it a high-risk zone for long trades unless a reversal occurs.
Ideal bullish entry should be within the 25%-45% pullback range, meaning the stock is still in a danger zone for continued downside.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Not yet in a favorable entry zone).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

A green candle with increased volume was seen on February 17, 2025, indicating short-term buying interest.
However, breakout volume (3.92M) has not been met, suggesting weak confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Volume does not yet confirm breakout).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

The price is still below the key resistance zone (68.12 - 71.18).
A confirmed reversal pattern (e.g., higher lows or a strong bullish breakout above the sweet spot) is needed before entry.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of a breakout above 71.18).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

If entering a long position, an initial stop-loss should be set below the recent swing low (59.70).
Risk remains high due to lack of volume confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Risk is still high for new positions).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

No clear color change pattern yet to confirm a trend reversal.
The stock remains inside a bearish channel with no strong green bar confirmation above key resistance.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs clear color change confirmation).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Profit targets should be 75.00 for conservative exits and 80.00 for more aggressive ones.
However, since an entry is not confirmed, taking profits is not yet applicable.

➡ Verdict: Not applicable yet (Entry not confirmed).

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

If the stock reclaims 71.18 with strong volume, a re-entry can be considered.
Alternatively, a pullback to 60.00 with bullish reversal confirmation could be another re-entry point.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Monitor breakout levels before re-entry).

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Core Position: Not recommended yet due to uncertain trend.
Tactical Entry: Possible near 60.00 if a bullish reversal occurs or above 71.18 with strong volume.

➡ Verdict: Wait (No adjustment needed until a clearer trend forms).

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

Counter-trend trading is not advisable yet since there hasn’t been a gap-down of more than 5% below the 200-MA or two consecutive large red candles near lows.

➡ Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading (No clear reversal setup).

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above 71.18 before considering a long position.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss should be set below 59.70 if entering a trade.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 75.00 (conservative) and 80.00 (aggressive).
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a small position upon breakout confirmation, then add gradually.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Avoid buying until a confirmed breakout above 71.18 occurs.
🔹 Long-term investors: May consider waiting for stabilization near 60.00 before adding positions.
🔹 Existing holders: Should monitor breakout confirmation or further downside risks before adjusting positions.
🚨 Final Thought: This is not the ideal entry point yet. A clearer bullish confirmation is required before taking action. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Pages

Friday, June 27, 2025

Contents:

📌 Introduction

🧾 Trade Execution Summary

✅ Step-by-Step Scored Evaluation of Trade Actions

📊 Final Score and Compliance Verdict

Total Strategy Score: 90 / 100Verdict: ✅ Excellent Execution – All Entries Compliant with Plan and Strategy

💰 Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱6,000 Capital – 100-Share Board Lot)

🎯 Updated Phased Exit Plan and Targets

📌 What’s Next?

Related Readings

Friday, June 13, 2025

Contents:

📍 I. Introduction

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

🔄 IV. Next Steps

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Related Readings

Contents:

📍 I. Introduction

✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

🔄 IV. Next Steps

🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for WLCON

📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Related Readings

Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Contents:

📥 What is the Layered Accumulation Plan?

📤 What is the Phased Exit Plan?

🧠 Why It Matters in the Long-Term Focus Variant

💬 Final Thought

Related Readings

Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Contents:

I. Introduction

Updated Trade Details (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

Volume Analysis (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

IV. Next Steps

Related Readings

Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Contents:

I. Introduction

Trade Details

Pullback Under Consideration

Volume Analysis (as of February 17, 2025)

II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

IV. Next Steps

Related Readings

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Total Strategy Score: 90 / 100
Verdict: ✅ Excellent Execution – All Entries Compliant with Plan and Strategy