SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱200,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Panimula: Hinog na ba ang prutas, o maghihintay pa ng tamang tikim?
Mga kababayan, balik tayo kay RCR—isa sa mga paboritong REITs ng dividend hunters. Noong July 11, 2025, nasa ₱7.38 pa lang ang presyo at inaabangan natin ang breakout above ₱7.65–₱7.80. Ngayon, as of August 15, 2025, umakyat na hanggang ₱8.06 pero nag-close sa ₱7.86, showing rejection sa taas pero malakas pa rin ang overall trend.
Tanong ngayon: “Patuloy ba tayong sasabay sa uptrend kahit medyo nagkaroon ng paghinga, o maghihintay muli sa mas ligtas na entry zone?”
5 Paghahati ng Biglaang Rizq: May Layunin ang Bawat Piso — Subok ng Puso Series #2
₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
TRADE DETAILS
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Date: August 15, 2025
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Stock: RL Commercial REIT, Inc. (RCR)
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Exchange: PSE
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Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
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Closing Price: ₱7.86
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High: ₱8.06
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Low: ₱7.75
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20-MA (Short-Term): ₱7.02
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50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱6.41
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200-MA (Long-Term): ₱6.06
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Uptrend intact. Price is well above both 20-MA and 200-MA.
➡ Verdict: BUY Bias
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price at ₱7.86, above 20-MA (₱7.02). Malapit na sa short-term resistance ₱8.00.
➡ Verdict: HOLD, wait for pullback to ₱7.20–₱7.00
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Strong green runs since May, pero this week may rejection wick at ₱8.06. Volume still steady at 42.9M.
➡ Verdict: BUY on dips only
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
REIT dividends steady; technical supports clear sa ₱7.20 at ₱7.00.
➡ Verdict: Tactical BUY on dips
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Hard stop below ₱6.20 (under 50-MA). Structure violation if broken.
➡ Verdict: Maintain ₱6.20 cut-loss
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Mostly green candles since June, pero nagpakita ng red rejection. Still within trend.
➡ Verdict: HOLD bias, add only if bounce confirmed
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Targets ₱7.90–₱8.20 zone. Pwede mag-partial exit near resistance.
➡ Verdict: Take partial profits near ₱8.00–₱8.20
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Good re-entry sa ₱7.20–₱7.00 range with bullish confirmation.
➡ Verdict: Prepare re-entry sa supports
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Core 50% near ₱7.20–₱7.00, tactical adds 10% if bounce confirmed.
➡ Verdict: Layered plan still valid
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Wala pang malalim na drop; stick to normal strategy.
➡ Verdict: Not applicable
✅ Score: 7/10
🧮 Total Score: 80/100 (vs. 82/100 noong July 11, slight pullback pero trend intact)
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Para kang umaakyat sa bundok—nakarating ka na sa mataas na bahagi, pero kailangan mo ring magpahinga at maghanap ng matibay na bato bago muling umakyat. Ganito rin si RCR: solid ang direksyon pataas, pero mas ligtas kung bibili ulit sa mas mababang antas kaysa habulin ang presyo sa tuktok.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱7.20–₱7.00 (layered buy zone)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱6.20 (hard stop)
📌 Target Prices: ₱7.90, ₱8.20, ₱8.50
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add near ₱7.00, trim 30% at ₱8.00–₱8.20
📌 Position Strategy: Core 50% + Tactical 10%
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱50,000 Example)
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Layer 1: Buy 200 shares @ ₱7.20 = ₱1,440 (2.88%) – first test entry
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Layer 2: Buy 200 shares @ ₱7.00 = ₱1,400 (2.80%) – core entry
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Layer 3: Buy 200 shares @ ₱6.80 = ₱1,360 (2.72%) – confirmation dip
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Layer 4: Buy 100 shares @ ₱6.65 = ₱665 (1.33%) – tactical support add
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Layer 5: Buy 100 shares @ ₱6.50 = ₱650 (1.30%) – deep support
✅ Total Shares Accumulated: 800 shares
✅ Remaining Cash Buffer: ₱44,485 (89% of capital)
Commentary: Kailan ba tayo papasok ng Core Position?
Kung titignan natin ang current layered plan, maliit pa lang ang deployment—₱5,515 o halos 11% ng ating ₱50k capital. Ginawa natin itong conservative dahil nasa itaas na zone si RCR (₱7.86 close, rejection sa ₱8.06).
👉 Scenario 1 – Confirmed Support Hold:
Kung mag-retest si RCR sa ₱7.20–₱7.00 at magpakita ng green reversal candle with volume, doon natin puwedeng i-activate ang core entry (50% allocation). Ibig sabihin, malaki agad ang dagdag at magiging sentro ng ating position building.
👉 Scenario 2 – Strong Breakout Above ₱8.20:
Kung hindi bumaba at tuloy-tuloy na lampasan ang ₱8.20 with volume, pwede rin tayong mag-shift ng core entry kahit medyo mas mataas, kasi magiging bagong base level ang ₱8.00 zone.
👉 Scenario 3 – Deep Correction:
Kung mag-breakdown below ₱7.00 at bumaba malapit ₱6.80–₱6.50 pero may bullish bounce, dito naman magiging mas ligtas magpasok ng core shares—nakabenta na tayo ng mas mura pero still aligned sa uptrend structure.
📝 Sa ngayon, test buys muna ang style. Pero handa tayong mag-full core entry kapag nagpakita ng malinaw na suporta o breakout confirmation. Bottom line: patience muna.
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
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Exit 1: 100 shares @ ₱7.90 (lock early gains)
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Exit 2: 100 shares @ ₱8.20 (major resistance zone)
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Exit 3: 100 shares @ ₱8.50 (extended rally)
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Exit 4: Hold remainder for dividends with trailing stop
🔔 Always remember: Hard stop at ₱6.20.
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / BUY on Dips
✅ Recommendation: HOLD existing positions; add only at ₱7.20–₱7.00 zone.
✅ Risk Management: Hard stop-loss below ₱6.20.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Gradual exits at ₱7.90–₱8.50.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Moderate; build core near support, avoid chasing highs.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Minsan, ang disiplina ay nasa paghihintay—hindi agad sa pagkilos. Si RCR ay nasa tamang landas, pero mas mabuting mag-ipon ng lakas at bumili kapag nasa tamang antas. Sa trading, tulad ng buhay, may gantimpala ang marunong maghintay.
Trade Simulation Update
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Portfolio Name: Shariah-Compliant REIT Portfolio
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Allocation: ₱50,000
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Active Position: None yet (waiting for pullback)
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Quick Hatol: Solid trend, pero huwag habulin—hintayin ang tamang dip.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
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