Monday, July 21, 2025

Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Simulated Trade Review: Weekly Chart as of July 21, 2025

Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund | Capital Allocation: ₱30,000
Simulated Trade #4 | Shares: 20,000 | Price: ₱0.56 | Value: ₱11,200

Weekly candlestick chart of Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) as of July 19, 2025, showing a -9.52% drop to ₱0.57 with support holding near the 20-week moving average.
ABA Weekly Chart as of July 19, 2025 – Price dropped -9.52% to ₱0.57, pulling back from ₱0.66 high. Price is currently testing the 20-week moving average (₱0.55) as support, while short-term trend lines converge.


Nilalaman:

  • Panimula

  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review

  • Final Trade Recommendation

  • Updated Layered Accumulation Plan

  • Phased Exit Plan

  • Reflection & Rizq Reminder


I. 📌 Panimula

Simula noong Hulyo 10, 2025, sunod-sunod na tayong nagsagawa ng simulated trades sa ABA (Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc.), bahagi ng ating Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio na may kabuuang ₱30,000 allocation.

Narito ang kabuuang simulated trades so far:

  • July 10, 2025: 3,000 shares @ ₱0.63

  • July 11, 2025 (AM): 3,000 shares @ ₱0.66

  • July 11, 2025 (PM): 3,000 shares @ ₱0.65

  • July 21, 2025: 20,000 shares @ ₱0.56 ← Latest Entry (Layer 4)

Tuloy ang disiplina. Eto ang pagsusuri batay sa Weekly Chart as of July 19, 2025 gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.


II. 🔍 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review

🧭 1. Market State & Trend Context

Pullback continuation confirmed. Weekly red candle broke below 8-MA (₱0.69) and 50-MA (₱0.62), pero hawak pa rin ang 20-MA (₱0.55) bilang support zone.
Verdict: Weak bullish recovery in pause – pero may tactical window.
Score: 7/10


🗺️ 2. Price Position vs Value Zones

Presyo currently sits just above the 20-MA (₱0.55), making this a tactical support-based entry.
Verdict: Valid accumulation near support, within low band.
Score: 8/10


🔋 3. Power Bars, Price Behavior, Volume Clues

Despite the -9.52% drop, volume stayed modest and walang panic sell signature. Controlled pullback lang.
Verdict: Rejection-based correction lang, not breakdown.
Score: 7/10


🧩 4. Fundamentals + Technical Confirmation

Shariah-compliant, asset-based, and undervalued. Tactical thesis still intact.
Verdict: BUY Layer 4 confirmed sa pullback to ₱0.56 zone.
Score: 8/10


🛡️ 5. Stop-Loss Based on Thesis, Not Emotion

Stop remains at ₱0.49, under 20-MA and recent swing low. Thesis intact above this.
Verdict: Risk still manageable within range.
Score: 8/10


🌱 6. Trend Validation (Color Shift / Structure)

Walang green candle this week, pero prior candles hinted early reversal. Confirmation needed next week.
Verdict: Weak candle – not yet a trend resumption.
Score: 6/10


📦 7. Profit-Taking Plan

Targets stay the same: ₱0.68 (20% upside), ₱0.74 (next resistance). Layering allows room for profit scaling.
Verdict: Partial exit planning aligned with valuation.
Score: 8/10


🌀 8. Re-Entry Plans if Stopped or Trimmed

Layer 4 at ₱0.56 is in effect. Tactical re-entry only if price dips to ₱0.52–₱0.53 zone.
Verdict: Next dip plan prepared.
Score: 7/10


⚖️ 9. Position Size with Discipline

This is our biggest simulated entry so far: 20,000 shares = ₱11,200. Portfolio is still within 50% of allocation (₱30,000).
Verdict: Controlled aggression – acceptable.
Score: 9/10


🧠 10. Ethical & Personal Alignment

Halal stock pa rin. No speculation. Intention: accumulation while cheap.
Verdict: Clean, halal, long-term aligned.
Score: 10/10


🔢 Total Score Summary:

Total Score: 78 / 100
Strategy Adherence Rating: 78% – Tactical Layer Executed with Caution


✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

Recommendation: Execute BUY Layer 4 at ₱0.56 during market pullback
Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.49 to protect tactical thesis
Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale out at ₱0.68 and ₱0.74, with trailing for remaining shares
Position Size Strategy: Largest simulated entry so far, but within portfolio risk boundary


🧱 Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱30,000 Allocation | 1 Lot = 1,000 shares)

  • Layer 1: ₱0.63 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,890

  • Layer 2: ₱0.66 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,980

  • Layer 3: ₱0.65 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,950

  • Layer 4: ₱0.56 | 20,000 shares | ₱11,200
    Total: 29,000 shares | Capital Used: ₱17,020
    Remaining Cash: ₱12,980
    Average Cost: ~₱0.587


📤 Phased Exit Plan

  • Target 1: ₱0.68 – Sell 9,000 shares

  • Target 2: ₱0.74 – Sell 10,000 shares

  • Target 3: Trail remaining 10,000 shares using 8-MA or ₱0.69


🌾 Reflection & Rizq Reminder

Ang trade na ito ay hindi para sa mga sabik sa mabilisang tubo. Isa itong hakbang—tahimik, disiplinado, may layunin. Kung aangat, alhamdulillah. Kung hindi, qadrullah. Basta’t malinis ang intensyon, walang sayang sa pagsunod sa plano.


📌 [Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series]

Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio | Capital Allocation: ₱30,000
Trade Simulation #7 | Shares: 20,000 | Price: ₱0.56 | Value: ₱11,200.

Para sa layunin ng ating “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” series, ina-upscale natin ang ABA live trade na ito tungo sa isang simulated trade ng 20,000 shares sa parehong presyo na ₱0.56. Bahagi ito ng ating Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio, na may capital allocation na ₱30,000.

Dahil ito ay simulated at hindi live execution, hindi na natin isinama ang friction cost tulad ng transaction fees at taxes. Ginagamit natin ang simulation na ito upang mas mapalawak ang ating case studies at masuri ang performance ng mga halal core stocks sa loob ng ating diversified ethical trading framework.

🧪 Subok sa puso. Hindi lang ng strategy.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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