Showing posts with label Stock Breakout Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock Breakout Analysis. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Morning Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


I. Introduction

This follow-up review examines Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) based on the morning session chart as of February 19, 2025.

MONDE recently attempted to break above the 9.13 resistance zone, following a strong close on February 18, 2025, at 8.45 with a volume surge of 10.465M, exceeding its target breakout volume of 10.41M.

This review will determine whether MONDE’s bullish momentum is sustainable and whether a buy opportunity exists using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0.

Updated Trade Details (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

  • Date: February 19, 2025
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Morning Chart (End of Morning Session)
  • Opening Price: 8.45
  • High: 8.60
  • Low: 8.28
  • Current Price: 8.52
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.51
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.55

Volume Analysis (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

  • Morning Volume: 3.825M
  • Closing Volume (February 18, 2025): 10.465M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 9.671M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 7.122M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 volume average): 10.41M

With MONDE’s price hovering near the 9.13 key breakout level, this analysis will evaluate whether the stock can sustain its bullish move or if a pullback is expected.

MONDE morning session chart with technical indicators as of February 19, 2025

MONDE Morning Session Stock Charts as of February 19, 2025



II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Daily Chart:

    • MONDE continues to trade below the 200-day MA (9.55), meaning the long-term trend remains bearish.
    • However, the price is now well above the 20-day MA (7.51), indicating strong short-term bullish momentum.
  • Monthly Chart:

    • The stock is attempting a recovery from the 6.65 low, but it remains below the 20-MA (9.14).

Verdict: Wait (Short-term bullish momentum is strong, but long-term downtrend remains).


Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • MONDE is currently at the 57% retracement level, slightly above the power move sweet spot of 8.47 - 9.13.
  • A break above 9.13 with strong volume would confirm a bullish continuation.

Verdict: Watch for Breakout Above 9.13 (Critical Level for Bulls).


Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • MONDE closed with high volume (10.465M) on February 18, 2025, exceeding the 10.41M breakout target, indicating strong buying interest.
  • However, the morning session volume (3.825M) is lower, meaning momentum must be sustained throughout the day.

Verdict: Buy on Further Strength (Monitor closing volume for confirmation).


Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A full confirmation occurs if MONDE closes above 9.13 with strong volume.
  • The key resistance levels:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)

Verdict: Small Entry Possible (Full confirmation needed).


Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering long, a stop-loss should be placed below 8.00 to protect against downside risk.
  • A drop below 7.50 would signal further weakness.

Verdict: Buy with Risk Management (Stop-loss at 8.00).


Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • Another green candle has formed, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
  • However, confirmation of bullish structure requires a sustained close above 9.13.

Verdict: Wait (Needs a strong close above 9.13).


Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)
    • Long-term: 10.50

Verdict: Hold Position, Take Partial Profits at 9.13 and 9.55.


Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Re-enter near 8.15 if support holds.
  • Buy on a confirmed breakout at 9.13.

Verdict: Watch for Re-Entry on Retracement or Breakout.


Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Initiate if MONDE holds above 9.13 with volume confirmation.
  • Tactical Entry: A small position can be taken near 8.52, increasing size upon confirmation above 9.13.

Verdict: Small Position Possible Near 8.52, Increase Size Above 9.13.


Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is recommended since MONDE is trading within a breakout structure.

Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading.


III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

Recommendation: Buy if MONDE holds above 9.13 with strong volume.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at 8.00 to manage downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 9.13 (short-term), 9.55 (mid-term), and 10.50 (long-term).

Position Size Strategy: Start small near 8.52, increase size upon confirmation above 9.13.


IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Monitor if MONDE sustains above 9.13 before taking full positions.

🔹 Long-term investors: Consider small entries near 8.52 with a stop at 8.00, then add if volume strengthens.

🔹 Existing holders: Monitor breakout confirmation above 9.13 before adding positions.

🚨 Final Thought: MONDE continues its breakout attempt. A strong close above 9.13 with volume confirmation is the key signal to watch. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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