SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱200,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Panimula: Konting Hinga Pagkatapos ng Buwelo
Balikan natin si CREIT mula sa huling review noong August 1, 2025 kung saan nakita natin ang matatag na konsolidasyon sa ₱3.69 area. Ngayon, dalawang linggo makalipas, medyo nagbago ang tono: bumitaw ang presyo sa ₱3.67 high at nagsara sa ₱3.60, bahagyang lumampas pababa sa 8-MA pero hawak pa rin ng 20-MA support.
Tanong ngayon: simpleng pahinga lang ba ito bago muling sumugod pataas, o simula ng mas malalim na retracement? Sa review na ito, titignan natin kung saan ligtas pumasok at saan dapat magbawas kung sakaling magtuloy ang pagbaba.
5 Paghahati ng Biglaang Rizq: May Layunin ang Bawat Piso — Subok ng Puso Series #2
₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
TRADE DETAILS
-
Date: August 15, 2025
-
Stock: Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT)
-
Exchange: PSE
-
Timeframes: Weekly (primary)
-
Closing Price: ₱3.60
-
High: ₱3.67
-
Low: ₱3.53
-
20-MA (Short-Term): ₱3.41
-
50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱3.22
-
200-MA (Long-Term): ₱3.21
-
8-MA (Very Short-Term): ₱3.63
📌 Observation: CREIT had its first red weekly candle in weeks, pulling back after rallying near ₱3.70. Price closed just below the 8-MA but still comfortably above the 20-MA, suggesting a cooling phase within a bullish structure.
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Uptrend pa rin, pero may first sign ng short-term weakness.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Presyo nasa gitna ng range (₱3.41–₱3.70). Malapit pa rin sa mid-range bullish zone.
➡ Verdict: BUY on dip near 20-MA
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
May rejection candle this week, pero volume hindi sobra lakas. Weak selling pressure.
➡ Verdict: WAIT for confirmation
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Dividend REIT, fundamentals intact. Technically, mas safe bumili sa ₱3.50–₱3.55 kung mag-retest.
➡ Verdict: BUY on support test
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Hard SL below ₱3.40 (break ng 20-MA support).
➡ Verdict: BUY with strict SL
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
First red bar pero hindi pa reversal pattern. Watch next candle.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Trim on strength near ₱3.85–₱4.00.
➡ Verdict: HOLD existing positions
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Re-entry zone ₱3.50–₱3.55 (20-MA).
➡ Verdict: BUY ON DIP
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Core at ₱3.50 zone; tactical add only on breakout > ₱3.70.
➡ Verdict: Stay moderate
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Still aligned with halal investing. No contrarian play needed.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 10/10
🧮 Total Score: 87/100 (vs. 91/100 noong Aug 1) – slight downgrade dahil sa unang pullback signal.
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Parang kabayo sa karera si CREIT—tumigil saglit para huminga. Hindi ibig sabihin tapos na ang laban; baka mas malakas pa ang takbo sa susunod na buwelo.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱3.50–₱3.55 (buy on dip near 20-MA)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: Below ₱3.40 (trend break)
📌 Target Prices: ₱3.85 → ₱4.00
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only above ₱3.70 breakout with volume
📌 Position Strategy: Stay moderate, protect gains, don’t chase highs
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱50,000 Allocation)
-
Layer 1 – Base Buy: ₱3.50, 1,000 shares = ₱3,500 (core)
-
Layer 2 – Pullback Entry: ₱3.55, 1,000 shares = ₱3,550
-
Layer 3 – Support Confirmed: ₱3.60, 1,000 shares = ₱3,600
-
Layer 4 – Breakout Add: ₱3.70, 1,000 shares = ₱3,700
-
Layer 5 – Momentum Add: ₱3.85, 1,000 shares = ₱3,850
Total Planned Commitment: ₱18,200 (leaves buffer cash for flexibility).
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
-
Target 1: ₱3.85 – Trim 1,000 shares
-
Target 2: ₱4.00 – Sell 1,000–2,000 shares
-
Target 3: Trail stop at 20-MA for last 1,000–2,000 shares
📌 Hard Stop: ₱3.40
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / BUY ON DIP
✅ Recommendation: Accumulate only on pullback at ₱3.50–₱3.55, wait for breakout > ₱3.70 before adding.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱3.40.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exits at ₱3.85 and ₱4.00.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Moderate position, add tactically on breakout strength.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Ang disiplina ang tunay na puhunan ng isang trader. Hindi lahat ng pullback ay masama—minsan, ito ang hininga bago ang panibagong lakas. Huwag manghinayang, huwag madaliin. Sa CREIT, patience ang puhunan para manatiling halal at maayos ang galaw.
📌 Trade Simulation Update
Portfolio: Shariah-Compliant REIT Portfolio
Allocation: ₱50,000
Active Position: Waiting for pullback entry at ₱3.50–₱3.55
Quick Hatol: HOLD muna, wag maghabol—hintayin ang tamang pasok.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.
Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
