Showing posts with label SCC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SCC. Show all posts

Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) continues to exhibit strong price action while consolidating near a key resistance level. As of January 31, 2025, SCC closed at 34.60, showing a minor decline of -0.86% for the month. The stock traded within a range of 33.90 to 36.50, reflecting buyer and seller activity near a breakout zone.

The price is above both the 20-MA (32.23) and the 200-MA (23.60), suggesting long-term bullish strength despite short-term fluctuations.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 34.60
  • High: 36.50
  • Low: 33.90
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 32.23
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 23.60

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 40.00 (Major resistance level)
  • 75% Pullback: 38.00 (Short-term breakout zone)
  • 50% Pullback: 35.00 (Current mid-range level)
  • 0% Pullback: 32.00 (Key support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • SCC remains in an uptrend, trading above both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
  • January’s price action suggests a breakout attempt, but resistance near 36.50 caused a pullback.
  • If price holds above 32.00, the bullish trend remains intact.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with resistance ahead.
๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a breakout above 36.50.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price is above both moving averages, favoring long trades.
  • Retracement Zone: 32.00 - 34.00 acts as a strong support range for re-entry.

✅ Favorable for long-term holding, but resistance remains.
๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 36.50.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s candle suggests indecision, with an upper rejection at 36.50.
  • Volume remains high (36.37M), signaling continued market interest.

✅ Buying pressure remains, but resistance is limiting momentum.
๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume above 36.50 for confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trade executed at 36.20 (100 shares on January 31), followed by a SELL at 36.10, and a re-entry at 36.20.
  • Trade was executed near resistance, making it a high-risk entry.

๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until a breakout is confirmed.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
  • Risk remains manageable as long as price stays above 34.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor stop-loss levels carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No significant bullish confirmation yet.

๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Look for stronger momentum in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price moves above 38.00 - 40.00, consider partial exits.
  • Dividends also provide an additional incentive to hold.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 34.00 if price stabilizes.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 34.00.
๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless stability is confirmed.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Trade executed at 36.20 was near resistance, requiring careful risk management.
  • Adding to positions should be considered only if price moves above 36.50.

๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adjusting.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is necessary, as the stock remains in an uptrend.

๐Ÿ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 36.20, but avoid additional buys unless price breaks above 36.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 38.00 - 40.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 34.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

๐Ÿ”น Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 36.50 before adding positions.
๐Ÿ”น Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
๐Ÿ”น Existing holders → Watch the 34.00 level for support confirmation.
๐Ÿšจ Final Thought: SCC remains in an uptrend, but a confirmed breakout above 36.50 is needed for further upside. ๐Ÿšจ



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Stock Price Review: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) has been in a strong uptrend, reaching a recent high of ₱36.50 before showing a slight pullback. The January 28, 2025 closing session reflects a price decrease of -0.55%, settling at ₱36.20. Our amended chart annotations now include key pullback levels (0%, 25%, 50%, and 100%), which provide crucial insights into SCC’s potential retracement zones. This review determines whether SCC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Closing Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱36.20
  • High: ₱36.40
  • Low: ₱36.10
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱35.34
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱33.02
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 0% Pullback (Resistance): ₱36.50
    • 25% Sweet Spot Pullback: ₱35.50
    • 50% Pullback (Stronger Support): ₱34.50
    • 100% Pullback (Major Support): ₱32.50

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

SCC Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

SCC Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Closing Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • SCC remains in a strong uptrend, trading above both the 20-MA (₱35.34) and 200-MA (₱33.02).
  • The 20-MA is sloping upward, confirming continued bullish momentum.
  • The stock is now pulling back from ₱36.50, testing initial support zones.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – The trend remains bullish, with pullbacks offering re-entry opportunities.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • SCC is currently trading just below the 0% pullback level (₱36.50).
  • The first strong retracement zone is at ₱35.50 (25% sweet spot pullback), aligning with the 20-day MA.
  • The 50% pullback level (₱34.50) is a major support zone for potential bounce plays.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Buying near support levels presents better risk-reward.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The last few candles indicate consolidation after a strong rally, suggesting profit-taking.
  • Volume remains strong at 1.114M, supporting continued market participation.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – A breakout above ₱36.50 with volume would confirm trend continuation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • The best buy entry is near ₱35.50-₱35.00, aligning with the 25% pullback sweet spot.
  • A confirmed breakout above ₱36.50 with volume would signal further upside.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Enter near pullback levels or on breakout confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • A stop-loss should be placed below ₱34.50 (50% pullback level) to manage downside risk.
  • If the pullback extends to ₱32.50, reassessing the trend would be necessary.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Stop-loss placement is key for risk management.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No bearish reversal signals have appeared yet.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Monitor for any significant bearish candle formations.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-term traders can take partial profits near ₱38.00-₱39.00.
  • A full exit is recommended if price struggles to hold above ₱36.00.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Partial exits near resistance levels are advisable.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If a breakout fails, a better re-entry zone would be around ₱34.50-₱35.00.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Avoid chasing if price struggles at resistance.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core position: 50% size at ₱35.00-₱35.50, if price holds above 20-MA.
  • Tactical add-on: 10% size above ₱36.50, if volume strengthens.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Manage positions based on breakout strength.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades should only be considered if SCC forms a clear reversal pattern.
  • Recommendation: STICK TO THE TREND – Trade only on trend continuation confirmation.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY / HOLD

Recommendation: Buy near support at ₱35.50 (25% pullback), or on breakout above ₱36.50 with volume.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱34.50 to protect against downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target exits at ₱38.00-₱39.00 for short-term trades.

Position Size Strategy: Enter moderate size, adding more only above ₱36.50 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

๐Ÿ”น Short-term traders → Buy only if price holds ₱35.50 or breaks above ₱36.50 with strong volume. Target ₱38.00-₱39.00.

๐Ÿ”น Long-term investors → Hold as long as ₱34.50 support remains intact.

๐Ÿ”น Existing holders → Partial profit-taking recommended near ₱38.00-₱39.00.

๐Ÿšจ Final Thought: SCC remains in a strong uptrend. Look for a confirmed breakout or buy on dips. ๐Ÿšจ



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Friday, January 24, 2025

SCC Morning Session Trade Evaluation – Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart (Morning Session)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱36.45
  • High: ₱36.50
  • Low: ₱36.20
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱35.02
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱32.99
  • Price Movement: Uptrend continuation

A daily stock chart of SCC showing price movement above the 20-day and 200-day moving averages.

SCC Morning Session Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

SCC is currently in an uptrend, with price action above both the 20-day MA (₱35.02) and 200-day MA (₱32.99). The recent price action suggests a multi-bar strength move, indicating bullish sentiment.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price is trading above both moving averages, confirming an established uptrend.
  • The 20-MA has a positive slope, reinforcing short-term strength.
  • The 200-MA serves as a strong support, indicating a long-term bullish bias.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • The stock has consistently formed green power bars, showing strong buying momentum.
  • No major retracement has occurred, with price holding near recent highs.
  • No immediate signs of exhaustion, supporting a continuation bias.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Since price has not retraced significantly from its rally, an entry at this level might be considered late.
  • Ideal entries should be on a pullback to the 33%-50% retracement zones, which is currently not present.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • If entering now, a tight stop-loss should be placed just below the 20-MA (₱35.02) to minimize risk.
  • A more conservative stop would be below ₱34.50, aligning with a minor support area.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • No red candles near key support levels, meaning no immediate reversal signals.
  • Price remains above the retracement zones, so there’s no need to be overly cautious yet.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • Partial profit-taking can be planned near ₱37.00-₱38.00, aligning with resistance zones.
  • If price retraces back to ₱35.00, it may offer a re-entry opportunity.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • Given the strong rally, an ideal re-entry zone would be around ₱34.50-₱35.00 if price pulls back.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Larger positions can be taken if price pulls back to a 33%-50% retracement zone.
  • If price extends beyond ₱37.00, a trailing stop should be considered.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trades are advisable, as the trend remains intact.

Final Trade Assessment

  • SCC is showing strong bullish momentum, with price making higher highs.
  • Immediate entry may not be optimal as price has already extended.
  • Better entries should be on a pullback towards the 20-MA.
  • Profit-taking should be considered near ₱37.00-₱38.00.

Next Steps

  • Wait for a pullback before adding positions.
  • Monitor resistance levels for potential reversal signals.
  • If price breaks ₱37.00 with strong volume, consider holding for further upside.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Investing in Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC): What the Technical Indicators Are Telling Us

Investing in Stocks: What the Technical Indicators Are Telling Us Blog Series

Welcome to a new blog series on Micro Stock Trader, where we take a closer look at individual stocks through the lens of technical analysis. In each post, we’ll focus on one particular stock, breaking down its recent price action, key technical indicators, and potential investment opportunities. Our goal is to provide actionable insights that empower you to make more informed trading decisions, regardless of your experience level.

This series aligns with Micro Stock Trader’s mission to simplify complex stock market concepts and make investing accessible for everyone. By focusing on transparency, governance, and practical education, these posts will help you understand what the charts are telling us and how these signals can inform your strategies.

Whether you’re just starting out or looking to refine your skills, this series is designed to guide you in aligning your investments with your financial goals while promoting ethical and informed decision-making. Let’s dive into the world of technical analysis and explore what the indicators reveal about each stock’s potential!


Table of Contents

  • Introduction to the Stock
  • Technical Analysis
  • Suggested Allocation
  • Risk and Opportunity
  • Final Thoughts

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) is a dominant player in the Philippines’ energy and mining sector, known for its extensive coal mining operations and reliable power generation. SCC consistently attracts investors due to its robust dividend payouts and resilience in navigating volatile commodity markets. With a recent bullish breakout and the formation of key technical signals, SCC is positioning itself as a strong contender for both income-focused and growth-oriented portfolios. In this post, we’ll analyze the technical indicators driving SCC’s price movements and assess its potential as an investment opportunity.


TradingView Chart SCC_2024-12-31_23-47-07

TradingView daily chart for SCC as of the last trading day of the year, December 27, 2024, retrieved via DragonFi on December 31, 2024. This analysis is part of our technical assessment for the Micro Stock Trader Shariah-Compliant Stock Portfolio.


Technical Analysis

Candlestick Analysis

  • The recent green candlestick shows strong bullish momentum, closing at Php34.90, the daily high. This signals that buyers are firmly in control.

  • The green candlestick resembles a green elephant bar, indicating significant upward strength and possibly foreshadowing further upside in the short term.

  • This breakout follows a period of consolidation, signaling a potential continuation of the bullish trend.

Moving Average (MA) Indicators

  • The 20-MA (Php33.74) is trending upward and has crossed above the 200-MA (Php32.84), forming a golden cross—a widely recognized bullish indicator signaling potential long-term upside.

  • The price is currently well above both moving averages, reinforcing the strength of the ongoing upward momentum.

  • The distance between the 20-MA and 200-MA is widening, indicating strong bullish momentum.

Volatility and Momentum

  • The recent breakout above the 20-MA and 200-MA marks a wide state in the market, with increasing volatility supporting the upward trend.

  • Momentum is strongly bullish, as evidenced by the steep incline of the 20-MA and the size of the recent green candlestick.

Summary of Analysis


Current State

  • SCC is in a bullish trend, with price action breaking out above key resistance levels and supported by strong upward momentum. The golden cross further validates the bullish outlook.

Potential Signal

  • The breakout above the 200-MA and sustained closing near the daily high suggests that SCC could continue its upward trajectory. However, short-term consolidation or pullbacks are possible given the recent sharp increase.

Actionable Insight

  • Look for pullbacks near Php33.50–Php34.00 (close to the 20-MA) for potential entry points.

  • Monitor for continuation patterns or another breakout above Php35.00, which could signal further upside.

Suggested Allocation

A 5–10% allocation to SCC is recommended, balancing its potential for growth with the portfolio's current structure.

Rationale for Allocation

  • Dividend Appeal: SCC is known for its strong dividend payouts, which complement the portfolio’s income-focused holdings like DDMPR.

  • Sector Diversification: SCC introduces exposure to the energy and mining sector, providing resilience in case of broader economic volatility.

  • Growth Potential: The technical signals and ongoing breakout suggest room for both capital appreciation and income generation.

Accumulation Strategy

  • Current Prices: Accumulate during pullbacks near Php33.50–Php34.00, where the stock may find support.

  • Incremental Purchases: Consider gradual accumulation to average costs and mitigate risks of entering at a peak.

Technical Indicators to Monitor

  • 20-MA and 200-MA: Watch for continued widening of the gap, which signals sustained bullish momentum.

  • Resistance Levels: Monitor Php35.00 and Php36.00 as key resistance zones.

  • Candlestick Patterns: Look for consolidation patterns or bullish continuation signals (e.g., another green elephant bar).

Risk and Opportunity

Risks

  • Overbought Conditions: The sharp recent price increase may lead to short-term pullbacks as traders take profits.

  • Commodity Price Volatility: SCC’s performance is tied to coal and energy prices, which are sensitive to global market fluctuations.

  • Sector-Specific Risks: Regulatory changes or geopolitical tensions could impact the energy and mining sector.

Opportunities

  • Bullish Breakout: The golden cross and recent breakout above the 200-MA suggest strong potential for further gains.

  • Strong Dividend Yield: SCC’s consistent dividends provide income stability, even if price momentum slows.

  • Sector Upside: With energy demand remaining robust, SCC is well-positioned to benefit from macroeconomic tailwinds.

Final Thoughts

SCC’s strong technical signals, including the golden cross, bullish candlestick patterns, and breakout momentum, make it an attractive addition to the portfolio. A 5–10% allocation strikes a balance between capital appreciation potential and dividend income, while also diversifying the portfolio into the energy and mining sector. Focus on accumulating during pullbacks and remain vigilant about global commodity trends and market conditions. This strategy ensures that SCC enhances the portfolio’s growth and stability in the coming months.


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