Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund | Capital Allocation: ₱30,000
Simulated Trade #4 | Shares: 20,000 | Price: ₱0.56 | Value: ₱11,200
Nilalaman:
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Panimula
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Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
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Final Trade Recommendation
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Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
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Phased Exit Plan
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Reflection & Rizq Reminder
I. 📌 Panimula
Simula noong Hulyo 10, 2025, sunod-sunod na tayong nagsagawa ng simulated trades sa ABA (Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc.), bahagi ng ating Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio na may kabuuang ₱30,000 allocation.
Narito ang kabuuang simulated trades so far:
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✅ July 10, 2025: 3,000 shares @ ₱0.63
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✅ July 11, 2025 (AM): 3,000 shares @ ₱0.66
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✅ July 11, 2025 (PM): 3,000 shares @ ₱0.65
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✅ July 21, 2025: 20,000 shares @ ₱0.56 ← Latest Entry (Layer 4)
Tuloy ang disiplina. Eto ang pagsusuri batay sa Weekly Chart as of July 19, 2025 gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.
II. 🔍 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
🧭 1. Market State & Trend Context
Pullback continuation confirmed. Weekly red candle broke below 8-MA (₱0.69) and 50-MA (₱0.62), pero hawak pa rin ang 20-MA (₱0.55) bilang support zone.
✅ Verdict: Weak bullish recovery in pause – pero may tactical window.
Score: 7/10
🗺️ 2. Price Position vs Value Zones
Presyo currently sits just above the 20-MA (₱0.55), making this a tactical support-based entry.
✅ Verdict: Valid accumulation near support, within low band.
Score: 8/10
🔋 3. Power Bars, Price Behavior, Volume Clues
Despite the -9.52% drop, volume stayed modest and walang panic sell signature. Controlled pullback lang.
✅ Verdict: Rejection-based correction lang, not breakdown.
Score: 7/10
🧩 4. Fundamentals + Technical Confirmation
Shariah-compliant, asset-based, and undervalued. Tactical thesis still intact.
✅ Verdict: BUY Layer 4 confirmed sa pullback to ₱0.56 zone.
Score: 8/10
🛡️ 5. Stop-Loss Based on Thesis, Not Emotion
Stop remains at ₱0.49, under 20-MA and recent swing low. Thesis intact above this.
✅ Verdict: Risk still manageable within range.
Score: 8/10
🌱 6. Trend Validation (Color Shift / Structure)
Walang green candle this week, pero prior candles hinted early reversal. Confirmation needed next week.
❌ Verdict: Weak candle – not yet a trend resumption.
Score: 6/10
📦 7. Profit-Taking Plan
Targets stay the same: ₱0.68 (20% upside), ₱0.74 (next resistance). Layering allows room for profit scaling.
✅ Verdict: Partial exit planning aligned with valuation.
Score: 8/10
🌀 8. Re-Entry Plans if Stopped or Trimmed
Layer 4 at ₱0.56 is in effect. Tactical re-entry only if price dips to ₱0.52–₱0.53 zone.
✅ Verdict: Next dip plan prepared.
Score: 7/10
⚖️ 9. Position Size with Discipline
This is our biggest simulated entry so far: 20,000 shares = ₱11,200. Portfolio is still within 50% of allocation (₱30,000).
✅ Verdict: Controlled aggression – acceptable.
Score: 9/10
🧠 10. Ethical & Personal Alignment
Halal stock pa rin. No speculation. Intention: accumulation while cheap.
✅ Verdict: Clean, halal, long-term aligned.
Score: 10/10
🔢 Total Score Summary:
Total Score: 78 / 100
Strategy Adherence Rating: 78% – Tactical Layer Executed with Caution
✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY
✅ Recommendation: Execute BUY Layer 4 at ₱0.56 during market pullback
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.49 to protect tactical thesis
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale out at ₱0.68 and ₱0.74, with trailing for remaining shares
✅ Position Size Strategy: Largest simulated entry so far, but within portfolio risk boundary
🧱 Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱30,000 Allocation | 1 Lot = 1,000 shares)
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Layer 1: ₱0.63 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,890
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Layer 2: ₱0.66 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,980
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Layer 3: ₱0.65 | 3,000 shares | ₱1,950
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Layer 4: ₱0.56 | 20,000 shares | ₱11,200
Total: 29,000 shares | Capital Used: ₱17,020
Remaining Cash: ₱12,980
Average Cost: ~₱0.587
📤 Phased Exit Plan
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Target 1: ₱0.68 – Sell 9,000 shares
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Target 2: ₱0.74 – Sell 10,000 shares
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Target 3: Trail remaining 10,000 shares using 8-MA or ₱0.69
🌾 Reflection & Rizq Reminder
Ang trade na ito ay hindi para sa mga sabik sa mabilisang tubo. Isa itong hakbang—tahimik, disiplinado, may layunin. Kung aangat, alhamdulillah. Kung hindi, qadrullah. Basta’t malinis ang intensyon, walang sayang sa pagsunod sa plano.
📌 [Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series]
Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series
Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio | Capital Allocation: ₱30,000
Trade Simulation #7 | Shares: 20,000 | Price: ₱0.56 | Value: ₱11,200.
Para sa layunin ng ating “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” series, ina-upscale natin ang ABA live trade na ito tungo sa isang simulated trade ng 20,000 shares sa parehong presyo na ₱0.56. Bahagi ito ng ating Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio, na may capital allocation na ₱30,000.
Dahil ito ay simulated at hindi live execution, hindi na natin isinama ang friction cost tulad ng transaction fees at taxes. Ginagamit natin ang simulation na ito upang mas mapalawak ang ating case studies at masuri ang performance ng mga halal core stocks sa loob ng ating diversified ethical trading framework.
🧪 Subok sa puso. Hindi lang ng strategy.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
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