Showing posts with label Philippine Stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Philippine Stocks. Show all posts

Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) continues to exhibit strong price action while consolidating near a key resistance level. As of January 31, 2025, SCC closed at 34.60, showing a minor decline of -0.86% for the month. The stock traded within a range of 33.90 to 36.50, reflecting buyer and seller activity near a breakout zone.

The price is above both the 20-MA (32.23) and the 200-MA (23.60), suggesting long-term bullish strength despite short-term fluctuations.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 34.60
  • High: 36.50
  • Low: 33.90
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 32.23
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 23.60

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 40.00 (Major resistance level)
  • 75% Pullback: 38.00 (Short-term breakout zone)
  • 50% Pullback: 35.00 (Current mid-range level)
  • 0% Pullback: 32.00 (Key support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • SCC remains in an uptrend, trading above both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
  • January’s price action suggests a breakout attempt, but resistance near 36.50 caused a pullback.
  • If price holds above 32.00, the bullish trend remains intact.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with resistance ahead.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a breakout above 36.50.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price is above both moving averages, favoring long trades.
  • Retracement Zone: 32.00 - 34.00 acts as a strong support range for re-entry.

✅ Favorable for long-term holding, but resistance remains.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 36.50.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s candle suggests indecision, with an upper rejection at 36.50.
  • Volume remains high (36.37M), signaling continued market interest.

✅ Buying pressure remains, but resistance is limiting momentum.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume above 36.50 for confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trade executed at 36.20 (100 shares on January 31), followed by a SELL at 36.10, and a re-entry at 36.20.
  • Trade was executed near resistance, making it a high-risk entry.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until a breakout is confirmed.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
  • Risk remains manageable as long as price stays above 34.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor stop-loss levels carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No significant bullish confirmation yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Look for stronger momentum in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price moves above 38.00 - 40.00, consider partial exits.
  • Dividends also provide an additional incentive to hold.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 34.00 if price stabilizes.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 34.00.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless stability is confirmed.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Trade executed at 36.20 was near resistance, requiring careful risk management.
  • Adding to positions should be considered only if price moves above 36.50.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adjusting.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is necessary, as the stock remains in an uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 36.20, but avoid additional buys unless price breaks above 36.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 38.00 - 40.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 34.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 36.50 before adding positions.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Watch the 34.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: SCC remains in an uptrend, but a confirmed breakout above 36.50 is needed for further upside. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Stock Price Review: Manila Electric Company (MER) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Manila Electric Company (MER) has been a key stock in the Philippine market, displaying strong trends in previous months. As of January 31, 2025, the stock presents an interesting technical setup for review.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Manila Electric Company (MER)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 448.00
  • High: 503.50
  • Low: 448.00
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 394.31
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 281.77

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 520.00 (Approximate resistance zone)
  • 75% Pullback: 480.00 (Significant level where price faced rejection)
  • 50% Pullback: 430.00 (Mid-range zone)
  • 0% Pullback: 280.00 (Long-term support near 200-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured and comprehensive analysis.

Manila Electric Company (MER) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Manila Electric Company (MER) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

The long-term trend is clearly bullish, as price remains above both the 20-MA and 200-MA. However, the monthly candlestick has closed with a strong rejection from the 500+ zone, indicating potential short-term exhaustion.

✅ Market State: Uptrend, but facing short-term resistance.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a better re-entry.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Current Position: Price is above both moving averages, confirming the long-term bullish bias.
  • Retracement Zones: Price has pulled back from a high of 503.50 and is now near the 75% retracement zone at 480.00.

✅ Favorable for dip buying near 430.00-450.00.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Wait for a reaction near 430.00.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s red candle suggests profit-taking and resistance at 500+.
  • Volume is relatively high but not extreme, indicating controlled selling rather than panic.

✅ Strong momentum still present, but sellers dominate this month.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Observe the next monthly bar.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • The BUY trades at 481.40 and 472.40 were executed near the 75% retracement level.
  • However, the close at 448.00 suggests potential drawdown in the short term.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Avoid adding more positions until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Suggested stop-loss: below 420.00 for long positions.
  • Risk is moderate, but holding at 448.00 requires monitoring.

✅ Risk management intact, but downside risk exists.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No new entries until a bullish confirmation.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • A red closing candle suggests weak momentum going into February.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price retests 500+, partial exits should be considered.
  • A strong close above 480.00 is needed to resume bullish momentum.

✅ Exit strategy remains the same – take profits near 500.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate selling needed.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry area: 430.00-450.00 if price stabilizes.
  • A bounce confirmation from this range is ideal.

✅ Buy re-entry possible near 430.00 if support holds.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Monitor price movement first.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • The BUY trades at 481.40 and 472.40 are now slightly in drawdown.
  • If price stabilizes in February, adding to the position near 430.00 could be considered.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No aggressive adding yet.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is necessary as the long-term uptrend remains intact.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action needed.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain existing positions but avoid adding new ones until a confirmation above 450.00 or a dip to 430.00.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 420.00 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 480.00-500.00 for gradual exits.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding at 430.00 if price stabilizes.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Avoid aggressive buying; monitor price movement for confirmation.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions but be cautious if the price drops below 420.00.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Consider profit-taking near 500.00 on future rallies.
🚨 Final Thought: The trend is still bullish, but January's rejection suggests some cooling off. Watch the 430.00-450.00 zone for a better re-entry opportunity. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) faced a massive decline in January 2025, closing at 60.80, reflecting a -23.04% drop for the month. The stock reached a high of 83.95 before collapsing to 60.80, marking a decisive breakdown. URC is now trading far below the 20-MA (105.83) and the 200-MA (113.68), confirming a strong bearish trend.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 60.80
  • High: 83.95
  • Low: 60.80
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 105.83
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 113.68

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 140.00 (Pre-2022 highs)
  • 75% Pullback: 120.00 (Previous major breakdown level)
  • 50% Pullback: 90.00 (Long-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 60.00 (Recent support)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is in a strong bearish downtrend, confirmed by price trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
  • January’s red candle is a significant power bar downward, signaling intense selling pressure.
  • The breakdown below 70.00 triggered a sharp acceleration in the decline.

✅ Market State: Strong downtrend with no immediate support nearby.
πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid buying until stability is confirmed.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: Price remains far below key moving averages, confirming an aggressive selloff.
  • Retracement Zone: 60.00 is the last support area before further downside risk.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Price needs to hold 60.00 before considering any re-entry.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s red candle is a dominant power bar to the downside.
  • Volume surged to 42.46M, confirming extreme selling pressure.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No bullish signals detected.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No buy signals detected, as price is in free fall.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until a proper base forms.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 58.00 would be required.
  • However, there is no confirmed support yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Risk is too high at this stage.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No bullish reversal or green power bars appeared this month.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need bullish confirmation before considering a buy.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • All positions have been exited; profit-taking does not apply.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No active positions to manage.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If price stabilizes above 60.00, it may become a re-entry zone.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No immediate re-entry recommended.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • All trades have been fully exited, making this step unnecessary.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments needed.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend setup is valid, as price is still in freefall.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
Recommendation: Avoid entering URC at 60.80, as the bearish trend remains strong with no confirmed support.
Risk Management: If price falls below 60.00, it could lead to further downside.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable as all positions have been exited.
Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a strong bullish reversal appears.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Wait for stabilization above 60.00 before considering accumulation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Fully exited, no further action required.
🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong downtrend with high selling volume. No trade should be considered until a proper base forms. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Stock Price Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Contents

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) experienced a significant decline in January 2025, closing at 6.65, reflecting a -22.67% drop for the month. The stock reached a high of 8.60 before breaking down and closing near its lows. MONDE is currently trading well below the 20-MA (9.13), confirming a continued downtrend with strong selling pressure.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 6.65
  • High: 8.60
  • Low: 6.65
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 9.13
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not available

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 12.00 (Strong resistance)
  • 75% Pullback: 10.00 (Major rejection area)
  • 50% Pullback: 8.00 (Short-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 6.00 (Recent support)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Long-term trend remains bearish, as price is well below the 20-MA (9.13).
  • January’s massive red candle confirms a breakdown, indicating that sellers remain dominant.
  • If price drops below 6.00, the next potential support is uncertain.

✅ Market State: Strong downtrend with heavy selling pressure.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Avoid aggressive buying until stabilization occurs.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: Price remains well below the 20-MA, signaling strong downside momentum.
  • Retracement Zone: 6.00 - 6.50 is a key support area that must hold for a potential bounce.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Watch for stabilization before making new entries.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s red candle is a power bar to the downside, signaling strong selling.
  • Volume was extremely high (174.3M), confirming institutional selling pressure.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No bullish breakout signals yet.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trades executed at 6.95 (500 shares on January 27), 7.18 (300 shares on January 31), and 7.16 (100 shares on January 31) were placed within the recent support zone.
  • Price closed lower at 6.65, which means positions are currently at a drawdown.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No additional buys until a reversal signal appears.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 6.00 to limit downside exposure.
  • A breakdown below 6.00 could trigger further declines.

✅ Risk is controlled, but the setup remains weak.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Manage risk carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No green reversal signals appeared this month.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price rebounds to 8.00, consider partial exits to mitigate risk.
  • If price fails to hold 6.00, reassess exposure.

✅ Holding remains a valid strategy with caution.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit, but monitor closely.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 6.00 if it holds as support.

✅ Consider adding on dips only if 6.00 holds.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Avoid new entries unless stability is confirmed.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trades at 6.95 and 7.18 are currently at a loss, requiring careful risk management.
  • If price moves above 7.50, adding to the position could be considered.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adjusting.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is necessary as the stock remains in a confirmed downtrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 6.95 - 7.18, but avoid adding aggressively until a confirmed reversal appears.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 6.00 to manage downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 8.00 - 10.00 for partial exits if a bounce occurs.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding only if price stabilizes above 6.50.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 7.50 before adding positions.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold cautiously, as the trend remains weak.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Monitor the 6.00 level for potential support failure.
🚨 Final Thought: MONDE is in a strong downtrend with high selling volume. Wait for stabilization before adding more positions. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Stock Price Review: MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) has been experiencing renewed volatility, with price fluctuations reflecting investor sentiment. As of January 31, 2025, MAC closed at 5.17, down -4.96% for the month, after reaching a high of 6.10. Price is now sitting above the 20-MA (4.68), indicating continued support, but the rejection from higher levels suggests a potential slowdown in momentum.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: MacroAsia Corporation (MAC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 5.17
  • High: 6.10
  • Low: 5.05
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 4.68
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not available

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 7.50 (Strong resistance)
  • 75% Pullback: 6.50 (Short-term resistance)
  • 50% Pullback: 5.50 (Recent rejection area)
  • 0% Pullback: 4.50 (Major support near the 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend is shifting from bearish to neutral, as price remains above the 20-MA (4.68).
  • The stock faced strong rejection at 6.10, indicating sellers are active near higher resistance levels.
  • If price holds above 5.00, the uptrend can resume toward 6.50.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with a pullback.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor if 5.00 support holds before adding more.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price remains above the 20-MA, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend.
  • Retracement Zone: 5.00 - 5.50 is a critical level where support must hold for the uptrend to continue.

✅ Favorable for holding, but needs confirmation.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 5.50.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January closed with a red candle, showing a pullback after a strong rally in previous months.
  • Volume is high (25.99M), indicating continued investor interest despite selling pressure.

✅ Buyers are present, but momentum has slowed.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume above 5.50 for a breakout.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trade executed at 5.58 (400 shares on January 27) was placed within the 50% retracement zone.
  • A move above 5.50 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 4.90 to protect against downside risk.
  • Risk remains controlled as long as price holds above 5.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • January’s red candle suggests that buyers lost momentum.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Target 6.50 - 7.50 for partial exits if the uptrend resumes.
  • Holding remains valid as long as price stays above 5.00.

✅ Holding remains a valid strategy.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 5.00 if support holds.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 5.00.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trade at 5.58 was executed near key levels, but confirmation is still needed.
  • If price moves above 5.50, adding to the position can be considered.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 5.58, but avoid adding aggressively until a confirmed breakout above 5.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 4.90 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 6.50 - 7.50 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 5.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 5.50 before adding positions.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Watch the 5.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: MAC is in an uptrend but faced resistance at 6.10. A breakout above 5.50 is needed for further upside. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Stock Price Review: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) remains a key player in the Philippine port and logistics sector. As of January 31, 2025, ATI closed at 17.20, showing a slight increase of +1.18% for the month. The price action indicates a pullback to the 20-MA (17.12) after reaching a high of 17.54. This setup suggests potential stabilization in the medium-term trend.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 17.20
  • High: 17.54
  • Low: 16.02
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 17.12
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 11.72

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 20.00 (Strong resistance area)
  • 75% Pullback: 18.50 (Short-term resistance)
  • 50% Pullback: 17.00 (Key support area)
  • 0% Pullback: 14.00 (Major support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend remains bullish, as price is above the 200-MA (11.72) and recently tested the 20-MA.
  • Short-term trend is showing weakness, but January's bounce from 16.02 suggests potential stabilization.
  • If price holds above 17.00, the uptrend can resume toward 18.50 - 20.00.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with a short-term pullback.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor if 17.00 support holds before adding more.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price remains above the 20-MA, indicating long-term strength.
  • Retracement Zone: 17.00 - 17.30 is a critical support level that needs to hold for the uptrend to continue.

✅ Favorable for holding, but needs confirmation.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Wait for a breakout above 18.50 before considering further buys.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January's candle closed green, showing early signs of recovery.
  • Volume remains moderate, suggesting controlled buying interest.

✅ Buyers stepped in, but confirmation is needed.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need a breakout above 18.50 for momentum.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trades executed at 17.04 (200 shares on January 27) and 17.30 (200 shares on January 31) were placed within a key support area.
  • A move above 18.50 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 16.50 to protect against downside risk.
  • Risk is manageable as long as price holds above 17.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • January’s green candle suggests buyers are present, but not dominant yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Look for strength in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Target 18.50 - 20.00 for partial exits upon breakout.
  • Dividends remain a key factor in holding ATI.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to sell.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 17.00 if support holds.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 17.00.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trades at 17.04 and 17.30 are well-timed, but further confirmation is needed.
  • If price moves above 18.50, adding to the position can be considered.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 17.04 - 17.30, but avoid aggressive buying until a confirmed breakout above 18.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 16.50 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 18.50 - 20.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 17.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 18.50 before adding positions.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Watch the 17.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: ATI is stabilizing, but confirmation of an uptrend requires a breakout above 18.50. Wait for momentum before adding. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) has been on a prolonged downtrend, with price action remaining below key moving averages. As of January 31, 2025, ALLHC closed at 1.58, reflecting a -7.06% drop for the month, showing continued weakness in momentum. Price is currently trading below both the 20-MA (1.94) and the 200-MA (1.77), indicating a strong bearish environment.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 1.58
  • High: 1.77
  • Low: 1.58
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 1.94
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 1.77

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 3.00 (Long-term resistance)
  • 75% Pullback: 2.50 (Major breakdown level)
  • 50% Pullback: 2.00 (Short-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 1.50 (Long-term support zone)

Since there are no current positions, this analysis will focus on whether a new position should be initiated using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

ALLHC monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Bearish market structure: Price is trading below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, confirming a strong downtrend.
  • 200-MA is at 1.77, meaning ALLHC is now trading below its long-term trend, which signals further weakness.
  • January’s close at 1.58 marks a breakdown below key moving averages.

✅ Market State: Downtrend, with price breaking key supports.
πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until signs of stabilization appear.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: The stock is trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, which suggests limited upside potential in the short term.
  • Retracement Zone: Price has dropped near the 1.50 level, which is a critical long-term support.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Wait for confirmation before considering an entry.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January closed with a red candle, showing no signs of bullish reversal.
  • Volume is high (11.52M), but price continues to drop, suggesting increased selling pressure.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No strong buying signals present.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No bullish signals confirming a reversal yet.
  • A strong green candle or volume surge would be needed to indicate buyers are stepping in.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No entry signal confirmed.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 1.50 would be necessary.
  • However, price is already near long-term support, and a break below 1.50 could lead to further downside.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Risk remains high, with no clear stop-loss placement.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No green power bars or reversal signs yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until there is a bullish signal.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • No positions exist, so no profit-taking strategy applies.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No positions to manage.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • A re-entry should only be considered if price stabilizes above 1.75.
  • Current support is weak, meaning a break below 1.50 could lead to further downside.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – Wait for a base formation before considering re-entry.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Since there is no position, adjustments do not apply.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments necessary.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades are only advisable after two consecutive gap-downs or extreme oversold conditions.
  • Since price is gradually declining rather than collapsing, no counter-trend strategy applies.

πŸ›‘ Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
Recommendation: Avoid entering ALLHC at 1.58 as there are no clear reversal signals. Wait for confirmation above 1.75 before considering an entry.
Risk Management: If price drops below 1.50, it could lead to further downside.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable due to lack of position.
Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a clear reversal is confirmed.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Wait for stability above 1.75 before considering accumulation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Should assess stop-loss levels and consider cutting losses if price breaks below 1.50.
🚨 Final Thought: ALLHC remains in a clear downtrend with no bullish confirmation. Avoid taking positions until a proper reversal is evident. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Thursday, January 23, 2025

Live Testing the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Day 4, Week 4: Evaluating URC, MONDE, ALLHC, DDMPR, and RCR for Potential Trades

Contents:

  • Overview: Entering Day 4 of Week 4 in Phase 2 of Our Live Testing
  • Stock Evaluations Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy
  • Final Thoughts – Are We Entering Our First Trade Today?


Overview: Entering Day 4 of Week 4 in Phase 2 of Our Live Testing

As we progress into Day 4 of Week 4 in Phase 2 of live testing our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy, we are still on the hunt for our first trade under this phase. The objective remains the same—identifying high-probability trade setups while ensuring strict adherence to risk management.

Despite multiple evaluations over the past weeks, no setup has met our strict entry criteria for initiating a position. This disciplined approach ensures that we do not force trades in unfavorable market conditions. Today, we are revisiting five stocks—URC, MONDE, ALLHC, DDMPR, and RCR—to evaluate their potential trade setups based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Stock chart of RCR from January 22, 2025, with key technical indicators and trading signals.

January 22, 2025, closing chart of DDMPR analyzed under the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.


Are We Any Closer to Finding Our First Trade?

Today’s post will break down:
✅ Key technical insights from each stock’s January 22, 2025 closing chart.
✅ Buy and sell signals we are looking for today (January 23, 2025).
✅ Recommended stop-loss levels and profit-taking zones.
✅ Our overall game plan moving forward.

The analysis will determine if any of these stocks present a solid trade opportunity or if we continue to wait for better setups.


Stock Evaluations Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

1. URC (Universal Robina Corporation) – Bearish Continuation with No Clear Reversal Yet

Market State & Trend Context (Step 1)

URC remains in a strong downtrend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows.

  • The 200-day moving average (97.59) is trending downward, confirming long-term bearish sentiment.
  • The 20-day moving average (74.90) is also declining, acting as dynamic resistance.
  • URC closed at 64.50, significantly below both moving averages, reinforcing continued weakness.

Position, Location & Key Retracement Zones (Step 2)

  • Major resistance is at 75.00, near the 20-MA rejection zone.
  • Immediate support at 64.00 - 60.00 remains key for potential stabilization.
  • A break below 64.00 could open the door for further downside toward 58.00 - 60.00.

Power Bars & Retracement Strength (Step 3)

  • Recent red power bars with increasing volume suggest strong selling pressure.
  • No green power bars have emerged, meaning buyers are not stepping in aggressively yet.

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A green power bar closing above 66.00 with volume could indicate a potential short-term reversal.
  • Sell Signal: A break below 64.00 would confirm continued bearish momentum.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 60.00, ensuring risk control if the decline continues.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 70.00 - 72.00, where resistance may emerge.

πŸ‘‰ Verdict: No trade setup yet. We need confirmation of a reversal before considering a long trade.


2. MONDE (Monde Nissin Corporation) – Signs of Stabilization, but Not Ready for a Long Entry

Market State & Trend Context (Step 1)

MONDE is still in a downtrend, though it is showing early signs of stabilization above 7.00.

  • 20-MA (7.72) is a key resistance level to break before a bullish move can be confirmed.
  • 7.00 is acting as strong support, with buyers attempting to defend this level.

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A break above 7.50 with volume, indicating bullish momentum toward 7.72 - 8.00.
  • Sell Signal: A failure to break 7.50, or a red power bar near this level, could lead to a retest of 7.00 - 6.80.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 6.90, protecting against downside risks.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 7.80 - 8.00, aligning with resistance.

πŸ‘‰ Verdict: No trade yet. We need a strong breakout above 7.50.


3. ALLHC (AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp.) – Holding at Support, but Resistance is Strong

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A breakout above 1.75 with volume, confirming a potential reversal.
  • Sell Signal: A failure to break 1.70, signaling continued weakness.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 1.60, limiting downside risk.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 1.80 - 1.85, where resistance may emerge.

πŸ‘‰ Verdict: No trade yet. We need to see confirmation of a breakout.


4. DDMPR (DDMP REIT Inc.) – Attempting to Hold Support, but Lacks Strength

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A bounce off 1.05 with a strong green power bar, indicating buyers stepping in.
  • Sell Signal: A break below 1.05, signaling further downside risk.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 1.03, keeping losses minimal.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 1.08 - 1.10, aligning with 200-MA resistance.

πŸ‘‰ Verdict: No trade yet. Needs confirmation of support holding.


5. RCR (RL Commercial REIT Inc.) – Consolidating Near Breakout Levels

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A break above 6.00 with volume, confirming a bullish breakout.
  • Sell Signal: A failure to hold above 5.88, leading to a potential pullback.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 5.85, protecting against a breakdown.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 6.10 - 6.20, where sellers may emerge.

πŸ‘‰ Verdict: Closest to a trade setup, but needs confirmation of breakout.


Final Thoughts – Are We Entering Our First Trade Today?

Based on today’s evaluation, RCR is the closest stock to providing a potential buy setup, but we need to see a breakout above 6.00 with strong volume before entering.

For URC, MONDE, ALLHC, and DDMPR, none of them currently offer a strong enough setup to justify a trade. We remain on standby, ensuring we only take high-probability trades that align with our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Key Takeaways for January 23, 2025

Stay patient – No forced trades!

Monitor RCR closely for a potential breakout.

Wait for green power bars and strong volume before entering trades.

Stick to our stop-loss and profit-taking strategy.

πŸš€ The goal remains the same: Secure our first trade under Phase 2 – but only when conditions align!


Related Posts


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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MONDE (Monde Nissin Corporation) January 22, 2025, Daily Chart Analysis Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

Contents:

  • Overview
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Analysis
  • Conclusion

Overview

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) remains in a downtrend, though recent price action suggests early signs of stabilization above 7.00. The 20-day moving average (7.72) is a key resistance level, with 7.50 - 7.72 serving as the next critical test. A break above 7.50 with strong volume could signal a potential short-term reversal, while failure to sustain above 7.00 could lead to a retest of 6.80 - 6.50. Given the broader bearish trend, traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of strength before entering long positions.

Technical chart of MONDE on January 22, 2025, displaying moving averages, price trends, and volume indicators.

MONDE’s January 22, 2025, daily chart shows signs of stabilization, with key resistance at 7.72 and support at 7.00.

Market State & Trend Context (Step 1)

MONDE remains in a long-term downtrend, despite recent signs of a potential short-term bounce:

  • The 200-day moving average (9.85) is trending downward, confirming a bearish long-term structure.
  • The 20-day moving average (7.72) is acting as immediate resistance.
  • The stock is attempting to stabilize above 7.00, a key psychological and technical level.

Position, Location & Key Retracement Zones (Step 2)

  • The price is below both the 20-MA and 200-MA, indicating continued weakness.
  • Key resistance lies at 7.72 - 8.00, aligning with the 20-MA rejection zone.
  • Support is forming at 7.00, where buyers are starting to step in.
  • If price breaks below 7.00, the next downside target would be 6.50 - 6.70.

Power Bars & Retracement Strength (Step 3)

  • A green power bar has appeared, signaling renewed buying interest.
  • However, volume remains uncertain, meaning follow-through is necessary to confirm strength.
  • If price breaks above 7.50 with volume, it could challenge the 7.72 - 8.00 resistance zone.

Entry with Confirmation from Both Strategies (Step 4)

  • Long entries should only be considered if price clears 7.50 with a strong green candle and volume spike.
  • Short trades remain viable if price rejects 7.72 - 8.00 at the 20-MA resistance level.

Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments (Step 5)

  • For longs, a stop-loss should be placed below 6.90, ensuring protection against breakdown risk.
  • For shorts, stop-loss should be above 8.10, as a breakout above this level could signal trend reversal.

Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation (Step 6)

  • A shift to green near support (7.00) suggests some bullish pressure.
  • A strong green candle above 7.50 would further validate a bullish case.

Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets (Step 7)

  • For shorts, taking profits at 7.00 - 6.80 is advisable.
  • For longs, exits should be targeted near 7.80 - 8.00, where resistance is expected.

Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks (Step 8)

  • A pullback to 7.00 with support confirmation could be a re-entry point for long trades.
  • A failed breakout above 7.80 would offer another shorting opportunity.

Tactical Position Management (Step 9)

  • Long trades should be sized cautiously, given the strong downtrend structure.
  • If price rejects 7.72, adding short exposure could be beneficial.

Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails (Step 10)

  • A counter-trend trade (long) should only be considered if price closes above 7.50 with strong volume.
  • Until confirmation, the safer strategy remains to trade with the downtrend.

Conclusion

The January 22, 2025, daily chart of MONDE suggests early signs of stabilization, but resistance at 7.72 - 8.00 remains a major test.

  • A break above 7.50 with strong volume could indicate a short-term recovery.
  • If price fails at 7.72 - 8.00, another leg downward toward 6.80 - 7.00 is likely.
    Traders should wait for confirmation before making directional trades.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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