Showing posts with label Philippine Stocks. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | MONDE Stock Price Review

Weekly chart of Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) as of July 15, 2025

MONDE Weekly Chart as of July 15, 2025 – Price attempting breakout from recovery zone

Nilalaman:

Panimula
Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
Layered Accumulation Plan
Phased Exit Plan

I. Panimula

Ang stock na tinitingnan natin ngayon ay Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) — isa sa mga malalaking food manufacturers sa bansa, kilala sa Lucky Me! at iba pang household brands.

TRADE DETAILS
Date: July 15, 2025
Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱7.94
High: ₱8.14
Low: ₱7.72
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱7.38
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱10.99

Ang pagsusuring ito ay naka-base sa Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant na ginagamit natin para sa mas estratehikong pagtingin sa presyo ng stock.

II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
MONDE ay nasa long-term downtrend pa rin. Price ay nasa ibaba ng 200-week MA (₱10.99). Ngunit may signs ng short-term recovery dahil sa price breakout above the 8- at 20-MA.
➡ Verdict: Wait / Early Watch for Reversal

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Current price (₱7.94) is above the 20-MA (₱7.38) and 8-MA (₱7.46), pero below pa rin sa 50-MA (₱8.38) at 200-MA (₱10.99).
➡ Verdict: Wait / Near Breakout Area

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
May sunod-sunod na green candles with good volume recently, lalo na ‘yung bar na tumama sa ₱8.14. May lumalakas na momentum pero hindi pa solid breakout.
➡ Verdict: Watch for Confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Technically, confirmation na lang ang kulang: solid close above ₱8.40 with volume would seal a bullish breakout.
➡ Verdict: Watch for Trigger Candle

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Kung papasok sa ₱7.90–₱8.10 range, logical stop-loss ay below ₱7.00 — sa ilalim ng recent higher low support band.
➡ Verdict: Valid Stop Setup

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
May shift from red to green candles in the past 3 weeks. MA crossover ng 8-MA above 20-MA ay bullish early sign.
➡ Verdict: Positive Signal Developing

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Next resistance zones ay ₱8.80, ₱9.80, then ₱10.90. Pwede itong maging stair-step target sa phased exit strategy.
➡ Verdict: Profitable Zone Potential

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Magandang re-entry zone ay kung bumalik sa ₱7.40–₱7.60 range na may reversal bar confirmation.
➡ Verdict: Monitor for Retest Pullback

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Pwede nang pumasok tactically, pero hindi pa buhos — magsimula sa maliit habang di pa confirm ang breakout.
➡ Verdict: Tactical Entry Only

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Hindi applicable ang counter-trend setup ngayon dahil wala pang significant gap-down o extreme undervaluation na below 200-MA ng 5% or more.
➡ Verdict: Not Triggered

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / TACTICAL WATCHLIST

✅ Recommendation: Maghanda para sa possible tactical entry around ₱7.80–₱8.10 range kung mag-confirm ang breakout.
✅ Risk Management: Initial stop-loss sa ₱6.90
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: ₱8.80 → ₱9.80 → ₱10.90
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with 10%–20% tactical position, magdagdag upon confirmed breakout with volume above ₱8.40.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Huwag muna pumasok hangga't walang breakout confirmation.
🔹 Long-term investors → Puwedeng mag-abang ng dip sa ₱7.40–₱7.60 kung may bullish reversal.
🔹 Existing holders → Hold for now; bantayan ang breakout move above ₱8.40.

🚨 Final Thought: Ang bottoming process ay nagaganap na, pero hindi pa ito kumpirmadong reversal. Wag magmadali. Hintayin ang tunay na breakout. 🚨

V. Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 board lot = 100 shares)

Layer 1 – Tactical Watchlist Entry
🔹 Buy 100 shares @ ₱7.90 = ₱790
🔹 Rationale: Test positioning kung mag-confirm ang trend shift
🔹 Allocation: ₱1,000 (10%)

Layer 2 – Breakout Confirmation Entry
🔹 Buy 200 shares @ ₱8.50 = ₱1,700
🔹 Rationale: Momentum-based entry above resistance
🔹 Allocation: ₱2,000 (20%)

Layer 3 – Retest Support Entry
🔹 Buy 200 shares @ ₱7.50 = ₱1,500
🔹 Rationale: Reversal confirmation sa support zone
🔹 Allocation: ₱1,500 (15%)

Layer 4 – Full Position Only Upon Reversal Confirmation
🔹 Buy 300 shares @ ₱7.20 = ₱2,160
🔹 Rationale: Full conviction level upon confirmation of higher low
🔹 Allocation: ₱2,160 (20%)

Remaining Cash Buffer:
🔹 ₱3,340 for re-entries, future scaling, or capital protection

VI. Phased Exit Plan (Profit Targets-Based)

Target 1 – Partial Exit
🔹 Sell 200 shares @ ₱8.80 = ₱1,760
🔹 Rationale: First resistance level reached
🔹 % Exit: 20%

Target 2 – Main Exit
🔹 Sell 300 shares @ ₱9.80 = ₱2,940
🔹 Rationale: Next key resistance
🔹 % Exit: 30%

Target 3 – Final Exit / Long-Term Hold Zone
🔹 Sell 300 shares @ ₱10.90 = ₱3,270
🔹 Rationale: Full resistance stretch
🔹 % Exit: 30%

Remaining 20% – Optional long-term hold if momentum sustains above ₱11.00

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

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Monday, June 30, 2025

Stock Price Review: ATN Holdings, Inc. A (ATN) Weekly Chart as of June 30, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Weekly chart of ATN Holdings Inc. (ATN) as of June 30, 2025 showing consolidation above 200-MAContents

ATN Holdings Inc. (ATN) trades in a tight range as of July 1, 2025. We assess key levels for smart accumulation and exits using our 10-Step Strategy.

Introduction
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
Final Stock Recommendation
Next Steps
Layered Accumulation Plan
Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy

1. Introduction

ATN Holdings, Inc. A (PSE: ATN) remains a speculative but closely watched stock in the Philippine market due to its historical volatility and past surges in trading volume. This review evaluates the weekly chart of ATN as of June 30, 2025.

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 30, 2025
Stock: ATN Holdings, Inc. A (ATN)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱0.51
High: ₱0.54
Low: ₱0.50
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.53
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱0.47

This review applies our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant for a structured and evidence-based decision.

2. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

ATN shows signs of a wide, sideways consolidation. The stock is slightly above the 200-week MA (₱0.47), suggesting a tentative recovery from prior lows, but remains below the 20-week MA (₱0.53), indicating stalled short-term momentum.
➡ Verdict: HOLD/WAIT (No strong trend bias)

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Price is in a neutral to slightly bullish position—hovering between the 20-week and 200-week MA. The current pullback after the Q1 2025 move sits around the 55–65% zone, which falls within the bullish retracement sweet spot.
➡ Verdict: WATCHLIST (Potential re-accumulation zone forming)

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

There are no clear power bars or breakout signals in the current candles. Price action is consolidating with low volume after the earlier rally. No convincing green expansion candle has emerged recently.
➡ Verdict: WAIT (Lack of volume or price thrust)

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

Without a breakout above the ₱0.54 resistance or bullish engulfing confirmation, no entry signal is triggered. Traders should await a move above ₱0.54 with a follow-through candle and volume spike.
➡ Verdict: WAIT (Not yet an actionable setup)

ATN Holdings, Inc. (ATN) Weekly Chart Showing Consolidation Zone Between ₱0.47 and ₱0.56 as of June 30, 2025

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Any future tactical buy should be paired with a stop-loss just below the ₱0.47 support or recent swing low. Current risk zone is clearly defined, but risk-reward remains unattractive without a bullish trigger.
➡ Verdict: VALID SETUP ZONE, BUT AWAIT TRIGGER

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

No confirmed bullish color change. Weekly candles remain mixed with small-bodied bars, showing indecision.
➡ Verdict: WAIT (Indecisive candle structure)

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

If an entry happens post-breakout, partial exits could be taken at ₱0.60–₱0.65 zones based on previous price ceilings.
➡ Verdict: N/A at current stage

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

A re-entry around ₱0.47–₱0.50 could be considered if bullish signals confirm a higher low. Volume spikes and power candles near this support would be ideal.
➡ Verdict: WATCH ₱0.47–₱0.50 for Tactical Re-entry

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

A core position could be considered once a clear uptrend resumes. For now, only a tactical entry (10% allocation) may be tested if a breakout candle with volume appears.
➡ Verdict: SMALL TACTICAL ENTRY ONLY if breakout triggers

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

ATN is hovering just above the 200-week MA but has not suffered a significant drop below it. Thus, no counter-trend trade criteria are met yet.
➡ Verdict: DO NOT APPLY

Daily candlestick chart of ATN Holdings Inc. with horizontal support zones at ₱0.47, ₱0.50, and ₱0.54, and resistance levels marked at ₱0.60, ₱0.65, and ₱0.70, used for layered accumulation and phased exit plans.

ATN Daily Chart as of June 30, 2025 Highlighting Key Support and Resistance Levels for Strategic Accumulation and Exit Planning

3. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Hold and monitor for a confirmed breakout above ₱0.54 with strong volume before entering.

✅ Risk Management: Future entry must pair with a stop-loss below ₱0.47 to avoid deeper downside exposure.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exits may be planned at ₱0.60–₱0.65 on a successful breakout.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Begin with a small tactical entry post-breakout, and only add if momentum confirms with higher highs and strong candles.

4. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Refrain from initiating a trade unless a breakout with volume appears.

🔹 Long-term investors → Monitor ₱0.47–₱0.50 for re-entry signs, but do not accumulate aggressively until trend resumes.

🔹 Existing holders → May continue to hold with caution; cut below ₱0.47 if a breakdown occurs.

🚨 Final Thought: ATN remains in consolidation. Avoid premature entries. Patience is key—wait for momentum to show strength before participating.

5. Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Initial Capital)

Our accumulation strategy prioritizes capital preservation and strategic positioning during consolidation and potential reversals. Based on the current chart (June 30, 2025), price hovers between ₱0.47 and ₱0.54, with no confirmed breakout yet. The approach assumes only partial entry until momentum confirms.

Layer 1: Tactical Entry Zone — ₱0.50–₱0.51

Buy ₱2,000 worth of ATN (approx. 3,900 shares)
Justification: Testing initial support zone above 200-MA. Use tight stop-loss if breakdown occurs.

Layer 2: Retest Entry Zone — ₱0.47–₱0.48

Buy ₱3,000 worth of ATN (approx. 6,250 shares)
Justification: Key 200-week MA support level. This is a high-probability accumulation area.

Layer 3: Breakout Confirmation Entry — ₱0.54 and above (on strong volume)

Buy ₱3,000 worth of ATN (approx. 5,500 shares)
Justification: If a breakout candle forms with volume, this confirms momentum. Enter on close or pullback to ₱0.54 post-breakout.

Layer 4: Post-Breakout Pullback — ₱0.51–₱0.52 (only if Layer 3 executed)

Buy ₱2,000 worth of ATN (approx. 3,850 shares)
Justification: Add on breakout confirmation and successful retest, increasing exposure after validation.

Total Allocation: ₱10,000

Estimated Total Shares Accumulated: ~19,500 shares

Average Cost Basis Estimate: ₱0.51–₱0.515 depending on execution timing

6. Phased Exit Plan

This exit strategy follows the Tactical Position Management method, allowing for gradual unloading at key resistance levels:

Target 1: ₱0.60

Sell 25% of holdings
Rationale: First resistance zone from previous swing highs; partial exit to lock in early gains.

Target 2: ₱0.65

Sell 35% of holdings
Rationale: Second ceiling from 2024 high range; momentum-dependent partial unload.

Target 3: ₱0.70–₱0.75

Sell 40% of holdings
Rationale: If momentum and breakout are strong, ride the trend until exhaustion. This zone also allows potential 35–45% gain from cost basis.

Trailing Stop Strategy:

If the price exceeds ₱0.75, shift to a 5% trailing stop-loss on remaining shares to protect gains.

⚠ Important Notes for New Investors

Do not fully commit capital at once. Accumulate only on valid support bounces or breakout confirmations.
Always set stop-losses. If ATN breaks below ₱0.47 with conviction, consider exiting early positions to avoid capital erosion.
Stay updated weekly. Watch for volume surges and price action around the 20-week and 200-week MAs.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Introduction

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) continues to exhibit strong price action while consolidating near a key resistance level. As of January 31, 2025, SCC closed at 34.60, showing a minor decline of -0.86% for the month. The stock traded within a range of 33.90 to 36.50, reflecting buyer and seller activity near a breakout zone.

The price is above both the 20-MA (32.23) and the 200-MA (23.60), suggesting long-term bullish strength despite short-term fluctuations.

Trade Details:

Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframe: Monthly
Date: January 31, 2025
Closing Price: 34.60
High: 36.50
Low: 33.90
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 32.23
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 23.60

Key Pullback Levels:

100% Pullback: 40.00 (Major resistance level)
75% Pullback: 38.00 (Short-term breakout zone)
50% Pullback: 35.00 (Current mid-range level)
0% Pullback: 32.00 (Key support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

SCC remains in an uptrend, trading above both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
January’s price action suggests a breakout attempt, but resistance near 36.50 caused a pullback.
If price holds above 32.00, the bullish trend remains intact.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with resistance ahead.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a breakout above 36.50.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Positive Position: Price is above both moving averages, favoring long trades.
Retracement Zone: 32.00 - 34.00 acts as a strong support range for re-entry.

✅ Favorable for long-term holding, but resistance remains.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 36.50.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

January’s candle suggests indecision, with an upper rejection at 36.50.
Volume remains high (36.37M), signaling continued market interest.

✅ Buying pressure remains, but resistance is limiting momentum.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume above 36.50 for confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

BUY trade executed at 36.20 (100 shares on January 31), followed by a SELL at 36.10, and a re-entry at 36.20.
Trade was executed near resistance, making it a high-risk entry.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until a breakout is confirmed.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Stop-loss should be placed below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
Risk remains manageable as long as price stays above 34.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor stop-loss levels carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

No significant bullish confirmation yet.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Look for stronger momentum in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

If price moves above 38.00 - 40.00, consider partial exits.
Dividends also provide an additional incentive to hold.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Best re-entry zone is near 34.00 if price stabilizes.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 34.00.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless stability is confirmed.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Trade executed at 36.20 was near resistance, requiring careful risk management.
Adding to positions should be considered only if price moves above 36.50.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adjusting.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

No counter-trend trade is necessary, as the stock remains in an uptrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain the position at 36.20, but avoid additional buys unless price breaks above 36.50.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 38.00 - 40.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 34.00 with volume confirmation.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 36.50 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 34.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: SCC remains in an uptrend, but a confirmed breakout above 36.50 is needed for further upside. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Introduction

Manila Electric Company (MER) has been a key stock in the Philippine market, displaying strong trends in previous months. As of January 31, 2025, the stock presents an interesting technical setup for review.

Trade Details:

Stock: Manila Electric Company (MER)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframe: Monthly
Date: January 31, 2025
Closing Price: 448.00
High: 503.50
Low: 448.00
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 394.31
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 281.77

Key Pullback Levels:

100% Pullback: 520.00 (Approximate resistance zone)
75% Pullback: 480.00 (Significant level where price faced rejection)
50% Pullback: 430.00 (Mid-range zone)
0% Pullback: 280.00 (Long-term support near 200-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured and comprehensive analysis.

Manila Electric Company (MER) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Manila Electric Company (MER) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

The long-term trend is clearly bullish, as price remains above both the 20-MA and 200-MA. However, the monthly candlestick has closed with a strong rejection from the 500+ zone, indicating potential short-term exhaustion.

✅ Market State: Uptrend, but facing short-term resistance.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a better re-entry.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Current Position: Price is above both moving averages, confirming the long-term bullish bias.
Retracement Zones: Price has pulled back from a high of 503.50 and is now near the 75% retracement zone at 480.00.

✅ Favorable for dip buying near 430.00-450.00.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Wait for a reaction near 430.00.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

January’s red candle suggests profit-taking and resistance at 500+.
Volume is relatively high but not extreme, indicating controlled selling rather than panic.

✅ Strong momentum still present, but sellers dominate this month.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe the next monthly bar.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

The BUY trades at 481.40 and 472.40 were executed near the 75% retracement level.
However, the close at 448.00 suggests potential drawdown in the short term.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Avoid adding more positions until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Suggested stop-loss: below 420.00 for long positions.
Risk is moderate, but holding at 448.00 requires monitoring.

✅ Risk management intact, but downside risk exists.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No new entries until a bullish confirmation.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

A red closing candle suggests weak momentum going into February.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

If price retests 500+, partial exits should be considered.
A strong close above 480.00 is needed to resume bullish momentum.

✅ Exit strategy remains the same – take profits near 500.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate selling needed.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Best re-entry area: 430.00-450.00 if price stabilizes.
A bounce confirmation from this range is ideal.

✅ Buy re-entry possible near 430.00 if support holds.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Monitor price movement first.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

The BUY trades at 481.40 and 472.40 are now slightly in drawdown.
If price stabilizes in February, adding to the position near 430.00 could be considered.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No aggressive adding yet.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

No counter-trend trade is necessary as the long-term uptrend remains intact.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action needed.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain existing positions but avoid adding new ones until a confirmation above 450.00 or a dip to 430.00.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 420.00 to protect against downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 480.00-500.00 for gradual exits.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding at 430.00 if price stabilizes.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid aggressive buying; monitor price movement for confirmation.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions but be cautious if the price drops below 420.00.
🔹 Existing holders → Consider profit-taking near 500.00 on future rallies.
🚨 Final Thought: The trend is still bullish, but January's rejection suggests some cooling off. Watch the 430.00-450.00 zone for a better re-entry opportunity. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) faced a massive decline in January 2025, closing at 60.80, reflecting a -23.04% drop for the month. The stock reached a high of 83.95 before collapsing to 60.80, marking a decisive breakdown. URC is now trading far below the 20-MA (105.83) and the 200-MA (113.68), confirming a strong bearish trend.

Trade Details:

Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframe: Monthly
Date: January 31, 2025
Closing Price: 60.80
High: 83.95
Low: 60.80
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 105.83
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 113.68

Key Pullback Levels:

100% Pullback: 140.00 (Pre-2022 highs)
75% Pullback: 120.00 (Previous major breakdown level)
50% Pullback: 90.00 (Long-term resistance)
0% Pullback: 60.00 (Recent support)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

URC is in a strong bearish downtrend, confirmed by price trading well below both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
January’s red candle is a significant power bar downward, signaling intense selling pressure.
The breakdown below 70.00 triggered a sharp acceleration in the decline.

✅ Market State: Strong downtrend with no immediate support nearby.
🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid buying until stability is confirmed.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Negative Position: Price remains far below key moving averages, confirming an aggressive selloff.
Retracement Zone: 60.00 is the last support area before further downside risk.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Price needs to hold 60.00 before considering any re-entry.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

January’s red candle is a dominant power bar to the downside.
Volume surged to 42.46M, confirming extreme selling pressure.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No bullish signals detected.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

No buy signals detected, as price is in free fall.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Avoid entering until a proper base forms.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

If a trade were considered, a stop-loss below 58.00 would be required.
However, there is no confirmed support yet.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – Risk is too high at this stage.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

No bullish reversal or green power bars appeared this month.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need bullish confirmation before considering a buy.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

All positions have been exited; profit-taking does not apply.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No active positions to manage.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

If price stabilizes above 60.00, it may become a re-entry zone.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No immediate re-entry recommended.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

All trades have been fully exited, making this step unnecessary.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No adjustments needed.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

No counter-trend setup is valid, as price is still in freefall.

🛑 Decision: NO TRADE – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: NO TRADE
✅ Recommendation: Avoid entering URC at 60.80, as the bearish trend remains strong with no confirmed support.
✅ Risk Management: If price falls below 60.00, it could lead to further downside.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Not applicable as all positions have been exited.
✅ Position Size Strategy: No new positions should be taken until a strong bullish reversal appears.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid entering until a strong green candle with volume appears.
🔹 Long-term investors → Wait for stabilization above 60.00 before considering accumulation.
🔹 Existing holders → Fully exited, no further action required.
🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong downtrend with high selling volume. No trade should be considered until a proper base forms. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Introduction

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) experienced a significant decline in January 2025, closing at 6.65, reflecting a -22.67% drop for the month. The stock reached a high of 8.60 before breaking down and closing near its lows. MONDE is currently trading well below the 20-MA (9.13), confirming a continued downtrend with strong selling pressure.

Trade Details:

Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframe: Monthly
Date: January 31, 2025
Closing Price: 6.65
High: 8.60
Low: 6.65
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 9.13
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not available

Key Pullback Levels:

100% Pullback: 12.00 (Strong resistance)
75% Pullback: 10.00 (Major rejection area)
50% Pullback: 8.00 (Short-term resistance)
0% Pullback: 6.00 (Recent support)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Long-term trend remains bearish, as price is well below the 20-MA (9.13).
January’s massive red candle confirms a breakdown, indicating that sellers remain dominant.
If price drops below 6.00, the next potential support is uncertain.

✅ Market State: Strong downtrend with heavy selling pressure.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Avoid aggressive buying until stabilization occurs.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Negative Position: Price remains well below the 20-MA, signaling strong downside momentum.
Retracement Zone: 6.00 - 6.50 is a key support area that must hold for a potential bounce.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Watch for stabilization before making new entries.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

January’s red candle is a power bar to the downside, signaling strong selling.
Volume was extremely high (174.3M), confirming institutional selling pressure.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No bullish breakout signals yet.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

BUY trades executed at 6.95 (500 shares on January 27), 7.18 (300 shares on January 31), and 7.16 (100 shares on January 31) were placed within the recent support zone.
Price closed lower at 6.65, which means positions are currently at a drawdown.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No additional buys until a reversal signal appears.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Stop-loss should be placed below 6.00 to limit downside exposure.
A breakdown below 6.00 could trigger further declines.

✅ Risk is controlled, but the setup remains weak.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Manage risk carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

No green reversal signals appeared this month.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

If price rebounds to 8.00, consider partial exits to mitigate risk.
If price fails to hold 6.00, reassess exposure.

✅ Holding remains a valid strategy with caution.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit, but monitor closely.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Best re-entry zone is near 6.00 if it holds as support.

✅ Consider adding on dips only if 6.00 holds.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Avoid new entries unless stability is confirmed.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

BUY trades at 6.95 and 7.18 are currently at a loss, requiring careful risk management.
If price moves above 7.50, adding to the position could be considered.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adjusting.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

No counter-trend trade is necessary as the stock remains in a confirmed downtrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain the position at 6.95 - 7.18, but avoid adding aggressively until a confirmed reversal appears.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 6.00 to manage downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 8.00 - 10.00 for partial exits if a bounce occurs.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding only if price stabilizes above 6.50.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 7.50 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold cautiously, as the trend remains weak.
🔹 Existing holders → Monitor the 6.00 level for potential support failure.
🚨 Final Thought: MONDE is in a strong downtrend with high selling volume. Wait for stabilization before adding more positions. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Introduction

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) has been experiencing renewed volatility, with price fluctuations reflecting investor sentiment. As of January 31, 2025, MAC closed at 5.17, down -4.96% for the month, after reaching a high of 6.10. Price is now sitting above the 20-MA (4.68), indicating continued support, but the rejection from higher levels suggests a potential slowdown in momentum.

Trade Details:

Stock: MacroAsia Corporation (MAC)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframe: Monthly
Date: January 31, 2025
Closing Price: 5.17
High: 6.10
Low: 5.05
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 4.68
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not available

Key Pullback Levels:

100% Pullback: 7.50 (Strong resistance)
75% Pullback: 6.50 (Short-term resistance)
50% Pullback: 5.50 (Recent rejection area)
0% Pullback: 4.50 (Major support near the 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

The long-term trend is shifting from bearish to neutral, as price remains above the 20-MA (4.68).
The stock faced strong rejection at 6.10, indicating sellers are active near higher resistance levels.
If price holds above 5.00, the uptrend can resume toward 6.50.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with a pullback.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor if 5.00 support holds before adding more.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Positive Position: Price remains above the 20-MA, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Retracement Zone: 5.00 - 5.50 is a critical level where support must hold for the uptrend to continue.

✅ Favorable for holding, but needs confirmation.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 5.50.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

January closed with a red candle, showing a pullback after a strong rally in previous months.
Volume is high (25.99M), indicating continued investor interest despite selling pressure.

✅ Buyers are present, but momentum has slowed.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume above 5.50 for a breakout.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

BUY trade executed at 5.58 (400 shares on January 27) was placed within the 50% retracement zone.
A move above 5.50 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Stop-loss should be placed below 4.90 to protect against downside risk.
Risk remains controlled as long as price holds above 5.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

January’s red candle suggests that buyers lost momentum.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Target 6.50 - 7.50 for partial exits if the uptrend resumes.
Holding remains valid as long as price stays above 5.00.

✅ Holding remains a valid strategy.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Best re-entry zone is near 5.00 if support holds.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 5.00.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

BUY trade at 5.58 was executed near key levels, but confirmation is still needed.
If price moves above 5.50, adding to the position can be considered.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain the position at 5.58, but avoid adding aggressively until a confirmed breakout above 5.50.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 4.90 to protect against downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 6.50 - 7.50 for gradual exits upon breakout.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 5.00 with volume confirmation.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 5.50 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 5.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: MAC is in an uptrend but faced resistance at 6.10. A breakout above 5.50 is needed for further upside. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Introduction

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) remains a key player in the Philippine port and logistics sector. As of January 31, 2025, ATI closed at 17.20, showing a slight increase of +1.18% for the month. The price action indicates a pullback to the 20-MA (17.12) after reaching a high of 17.54. This setup suggests potential stabilization in the medium-term trend.

Trade Details:

Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframe: Monthly
Date: January 31, 2025
Closing Price: 17.20
High: 17.54
Low: 16.02
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 17.12
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 11.72

Key Pullback Levels:

100% Pullback: 20.00 (Strong resistance area)
75% Pullback: 18.50 (Short-term resistance)
50% Pullback: 17.00 (Key support area)
0% Pullback: 14.00 (Major support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

The long-term trend remains bullish, as price is above the 200-MA (11.72) and recently tested the 20-MA.
Short-term trend is showing weakness, but January's bounce from 16.02 suggests potential stabilization.
If price holds above 17.00, the uptrend can resume toward 18.50 - 20.00.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with a short-term pullback.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor if 17.00 support holds before adding more.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Positive Position: Price remains above the 20-MA, indicating long-term strength.
Retracement Zone: 17.00 - 17.30 is a critical support level that needs to hold for the uptrend to continue.

✅ Favorable for holding, but needs confirmation.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Wait for a breakout above 18.50 before considering further buys.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

January's candle closed green, showing early signs of recovery.
Volume remains moderate, suggesting controlled buying interest.

✅ Buyers stepped in, but confirmation is needed.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need a breakout above 18.50 for momentum.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

BUY trades executed at 17.04 (200 shares on January 27) and 17.30 (200 shares on January 31) were placed within a key support area.
A move above 18.50 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Stop-loss should be placed below 16.50 to protect against downside risk.
Risk is manageable as long as price holds above 17.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

January’s green candle suggests buyers are present, but not dominant yet.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Look for strength in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Target 18.50 - 20.00 for partial exits upon breakout.
Dividends remain a key factor in holding ATI.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to sell.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Best re-entry zone is near 17.00 if support holds.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 17.00.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

BUY trades at 17.04 and 17.30 are well-timed, but further confirmation is needed.
If price moves above 18.50, adding to the position can be considered.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain the position at 17.04 - 17.30, but avoid aggressive buying until a confirmed breakout above 18.50.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 16.50 to protect against downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 18.50 - 20.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 17.00 with volume confirmation.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 18.50 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 17.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: ATI is stabilizing, but confirmation of an uptrend requires a breakout above 18.50. Wait for momentum before adding. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubana, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Higop

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

🍗 Rice Meals tulad ng Chao Fan with Pork Siomai, Chicharon Bulaklak, o Lechon Kawali — swak sa mga ayaw ng sabaw pero gusto pa rin ng siksik sa lasa.

🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

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Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.

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Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.

Pages

Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Nilalaman:

I. Panimula

II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

III. Final Stock Recommendation

IV. Next Steps

V. Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 board lot = 100 shares)

VI. Phased Exit Plan (Profit Targets-Based)

Related Readings

Monday, June 30, 2025

1. Introduction

2. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

3. Final Stock Recommendation

4. Next Steps

5. Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Initial Capital)

6. Phased Exit Plan

⚠ Important Notes for New Investors

Related Readings

Saturday, February 1, 2025

Contents:

Introduction

Trade Details:

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

Final Trade Recommendation

Next Steps

Related Readings

Contents:

Introduction

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

Final Trade Recommendation

Next Steps

Related Readings

Contents:

Introduction

Trade Details:

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

Final Trade Recommendation

Next Steps

Related Readings

Contents:

Introduction

Trade Details:

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation