Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
Nilalaman:
- Kwento sa Likod ng Trade
- Weekly Chart Check (As of July 11, 2025)
- Trade Decision Review
- Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation (Long-Term Focus Variant)
- Tactical Plan Moving Forward
- Final Trade Recommendation: BUY
- Pabaon na Kaisipan
Kwento sa Likod ng Trade
Aba'y kasunod agad ang aksyon matapos ang dalawang sunod na review natin kay ABA nitong July 9 at July 10. Kung naalala niyo, pasado sa 9 out of 10 ang setup base sa Weekly Layer 1 Hybrid Strategy.
Ang tanong ngayon: may buwelo pa ba? Kaya ngayong July 11, 2025—pumasok tayo ulit, dalawang beses pa, habang nagkakaayusan pa sa weekly structure.
Unang bili natin umaga—1,000 shares sa ₱0.66. Kinahapunan, bumaba pa ng bahagya, kaya sinundan agad ng dagdag na 1,000 shares sa ₱0.65. Ang net total: ₱661.95 at ₱651.92—sakto sa planong "moderate entry" na paliwanag natin sa nakaraang post.
Ngayong may hawak na tayo, suriin natin kung solid pa rin ba ang foundation ng diskarte.
Weekly Chart Check (As of July 11, 2025)
📌 Trade Snapshot:
📅 Petsa ng Trade: July 11, 2025 (AM)
📈 Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
📉 Entry Price: ₱0.66
📊 Shares: 1,000
💸 Net Amount: ₱661.95 (kasama na fees)
🧭 Strategy: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant
📂 Entry Type: Layer 1 – Tactical Add on Pullback
📦 Total Capital Plan: ₱5,000 (1,000-share board lot system)
📌 Trade Snapshot:
📅 Petsa ng Trade: July 11, 2025 (PM)
📈 Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
📉 Entry Price: ₱0.65
📊 Shares: 1,000
💸 Net Amount: ₱651.92 (kasama na fees)
🧭 Strategy: Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant
📂 Entry Type: Layer 1 – Tactical Add on Lower Dip
📦 Total Capital Plan: ₱5,000 (1,000-share board lot system)
Technical Re-Evaluation (Post-Buy Execution)
1. Pullback to Moving Average Support
Yung candle ngayong linggo bumaba below the 8-week MA (₱0.70) at sumalo sa bandang 50-week MA (₱0.63). Hindi ito breakdown. Sa halip, mukhang technical pullback lang mula sa extended rally simula April. Mid-range bar pa rin, at above average volume.
2. Layer 1 Structure Still Intact
Sa July 10 review, nabanggit na buo ang weekly base at may breakout confirmation. Walang major breakdown sa chart ngayong linggo kaya valid pa rin ang Layer 1 context. Nasa area of interest pa tayo.
3. MA Stack Watch
-
MA8: ₱0.70
-
MA50: ₱0.63
-
MA20: ₱0.54
Ang price kasalukuyang nakatuntong sa pagitan ng MA50 at MA8. Ito'y tactical area to buy on pullback kung susundin ang hybrid model. Hindi pa tapos ang momentum pero kailangan ng confirmation candle next week.
Trade Decision Review
Trade Executed
-
✅ July 11 AM Buy: ₱0.66 – within tactical pullback
-
✅ July 11 PM Buy: ₱0.65 – confirmed lower dip buying
Strategically, ang average natin this trading date ay nasa ₱0.6559. Good positioning yan—nasa loob ng base support range. Hindi pa ito breakout add, kaya swak sa moderate phase buy.
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation (Long-Term Focus Variant)
Pasok pa rin ang taktikal na bili natin base sa Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant. Eto ang teknikal na pagsusuri natin:
✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
May confirmed reversal sa weekly chart simula April. Ang kasalukuyang candle ay healthy pullback sa loob ng base at hindi bearish breakdown.
Score: 10/10
✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Entry sa ₱0.66 at ₱0.65 ay malapit sa MA50 (₱0.63) at nasa itaas ng MA20 (₱0.54). Pasok sa long-term value buy zone.
Score: 10/10
✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Nagkaroon ng sunod-sunod na green power candles. Current red bar ay mid-range at may volume—hindi panic selling.
Score: 9/10
✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Walang bago sa fundamentals, pero solid ang technical trigger sa MA support at Layer 1 base.
Score: 8/10
✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Stop-loss set below ₱0.61, aligned with structural support. Malinis at walang emosyon.
Score: 10/10
✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Walang trend-breaking candle. Consolidation lang, kaya trend is still valid.
Score: 9/10
✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Target na ₱0.75 at ₱0.82 ay realistic based sa past range at trend projection.
Score: 9/10
✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Re-entry na execute na mismo sa July 11 sa ilalim ng pullback. May allowance pa kung mag-retest ang MA20.
Score: 9/10
✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Ang ₱1,313.87 total cost ay nasa ~13% ng hypothetical ₱10K base. Sakto sa moderate tranche rule.
Score: 9/10
✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Retail-driven speculative move. Wala namang signs ng manipulation. Pasok sa ethical micro-trading criteria.
Score: 7/10
✅ Final Strategy Alignment Score: 90/100
Tugma ang bili natin sa long-term hybrid framework—tactical buy sa loob ng valid structure, may buwelo pa, at merong malinaw na plano para sa risk at reward.
Tactical Plan Moving Forward
Entry Review: Done. 2,000 shares accumulated thi date at sa average na ₱0.6559.
Stop-Loss: Hard cut sa ₱0.61 (below MA50 and recent low).
Upside Target:
-
First take-profit: ₱0.75
-
Full take-profit: ₱0.82
Add Position Plan: Add only kung mag-breakout ulit sa ₱0.72–₱0.75 with volume.
Position Sizing Strategy: Moderate. Monitor volume surge for conviction buy.
Final Trade Recommendation: BUY
✅ Recommendation: Buy executed at ₱0.66 and ₱0.65 based on tactical pullback entry within validated weekly Layer 1 setup.
✅ Risk Management: Cut-loss at ₱0.61 below MA50 and weekly support.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target partial exit at ₱0.75 and full at ₱0.82.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Moderate accumulation; add only if breakout happens with conviction.
Pabaon na Kaisipan
Ang diskarte sa trading ay parang pamimingwit sa ilog—‘di ka laging siguradong may huli, pero kung alam mo ang agos, tiwala lang sa tinik ng bitag mo.
📌 [Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series]
Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy SeriesPortfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio | Capital Allocation: ₱30,000
Trade Simulation #2 (Morning Session) | Shares: 3,000 | Price: ₱0.66 | Value: ₱1,980
Trade Simulation #3 (Afternoon Session) | Shares: 3,000 | Price: ₱0.65 | Value: ₱1,980
Para sa layunin ng ating “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” series, ina-upscale natin ang ABA live trades sa araw na ito tungo sa isang morning session simulated trade ng 3,000 shares sa parehong presyo na ₱0.66 at afternoon session simulated trade ng 3,000 shares sa parehong presyo na ₱0.65 . Bahagi ito ng ating Tactical Rotation Fund Portfolio, na may capital allocation na ₱30,000.
Dahil ito ay simulated at hindi live execution, hindi na natin isinama ang friction cost tulad ng transaction fees at taxes. Ginagamit natin ang simulation na ito upang mas mapalawak ang ating case studies at masuri ang performance ng mga halal core stocks sa loob ng ating diversified ethical trading framework.
🧪 Subok sa puso. Hindi lang ng strategy.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
No comments:
Post a Comment