Showing posts with label Shariah Stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Shariah Stocks. Show all posts

Friday, August 1, 2025

Petron Corporation (PCOR) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart – July 31, 2025 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series | Ethical Turnaround Picks Portfolio
1 board lot = 1,000 shares | Trading Simulation Allocation: ₱75,000

Weekly candlestick chart of Petron Corporation (PCOR) with 8/20/50/200 MA lines and technical support at ₱2.35
PCOR Weekly Chart as of July 31, 2025 – Petron Corporation trading just above its 8, 20, and 50-week moving averages, with visible price stabilization near ₱2.45–2.50 support. The 200-week MA remains a major resistance at ₱2.99, suggesting a potential turnaround setup but still within a broader downtrend context.


🕊️ Introduction: Seeking Growth with Discipline and Purpose

Ang Petron Corporation (PCOR) ay matagal na nating binabantayan. Isa itong Shariah-compliant turnaround stock na napapanahon lalo’t may tensyon sa global oil markets. Sa pamamagitan ng Hybrid 10-Step Strategy, susuriin natin ang viability ng Layer 1 Tactical Entry na ginawa natin noong July 17, 2025 at kung paano ito tumutugma sa ating mas malawak na ethical trading framework.


📘 Contents

  • Weekly Chart Snapshot

  • Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation

  • Layered Accumulation Plan

  • Phased Exit Plan

  • Final Trade Recommendation

  • Final Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

TRADE DETAILS

Date: July 31, 2025
Stock: Petron Corporation (PCOR)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱2.49
High: ₱2.52
Low: ₱2.45
20-MA: ₱2.42
50-MA: ₱2.46
200-MA: ₱2.99


2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation

Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
(Score each step 1–10 | Total: 100 points)

  1. Identify Market State & Trend Context
    Sideways pa rin ang overall structure. Early signs ng bottom stabilization, pero wala pang upward breakout.
    ➡️ Verdict: Wait for Confirmation
    Score: 8 / 10

  2. Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
    Trading just above MA20, MA50, and MA8—pero malayo pa sa 200-MA. Entry price medyo mataas sa ideal retracement zone.
    ➡️ Verdict: Caution on Entry
    Score: 5 / 10

  3. Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
    Weak bullish follow-through; volume still below average.
    ➡️ Verdict: Wait
    Score: 4 / 10

  4. Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
    No strong catalyst aside from geopolitical speculation. Technically below MA50 resistance zone.
    ➡️ Verdict: Cautious Tactical Buy
    Score: 4 / 10

  5. Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
    Well-defined invalidation below ₱2.35. Controlled risk exposure.
    ➡️ Verdict: Valid Setup
    Score: 10 / 10

  6. Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
    Flat trendlines; no green signal above MA50 or strong crossover.
    ➡️ Verdict: No Trend Confirmation Yet
    Score: 3 / 10

  7. Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
    Logical target zones at ₱2.70 to ₱2.85.
    ➡️ Verdict: Reasonable Risk-Reward
    Score: 9 / 10

  8. Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
    Tactical buy zone sa ₱2.35–2.40 if bumalik.
    ➡️ Verdict: Ready for Re-Entry
    Score: 9 / 10

  9. Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
    Small Layer 1 entry; test-buy level only.
    ➡️ Verdict: Good Risk Management
    Score: 10 / 10

  10. Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
    PCOR is Shariah-compliant. Setup aligns with ethical and tactical filters.
    ➡️ Verdict: Allowed and Monitored
    Score: 8 / 10


🧮 Total Score: 70 / 100


3️⃣ Layered Accumulation Plan (₱75,000 Capital Example | 1 Board Lot = 1,000 Shares)

  • Layer 1 (Base Buy Zone): ₱2.50 (Executed July 17, 2025 | 10,000 shares)

  • Layer 2 (Support Re-entry Zone): ₱2.35

  • Layer 3 (Momentum Add-on): ₱2.55 (Only if breakout above MA50 with volume)

4️⃣ Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)

  • Target 1: ₱2.70 – Partial Trim (30%)

  • Target 2: ₱2.85 – Major Exit (50%)

  • Target 3: ₱3.00 – Final Exit / Thesis Review (20%)


✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

Recommendation: Tactical buy at ₱2.48–2.52 range based on early support stabilization and defined invalidation.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss below ₱2.35.
Profit-Taking Strategy: ₱2.70, ₱2.85, and ₱3.00 for phased exits.
Position Strategy: Small test-buy only. Add only upon volume-backed breakout.


🌱 Final Reflection: Trade with Purpose

Hindi lahat ng galaw kailangang saluhan agad. Pero kung may malinaw na base, may control sa risk, at swak sa prinsipyo, puwede tayong sumubok—ng may pag-iingat.

Ang tunay na lakas ng isang trader ay hindi sa tapang ng pasok, kundi sa disiplina ng paglabas.


📌 [Trade Simulation Update – Subok Series]

Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series | July 17, 2025


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart – July 31, 2025 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series | Ethical Turnaround Picks Portfolio
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE


Weekly stock chart of SCC showing 200-day MA support near ₱32
SCC Weekly Chart as of July 31, 2025 with 200-MA Support

🕊️ Panimula: Seeking Growth with Discipline and Purpose

In this review, we assess Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) using our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0. As part of our Ethical Turnaround Picks under the Subok ng Puso Series, SCC is under close watch for signs of price structure recovery and long-term bottoming potential.

This evaluation is based on the weekly chart as of July 31, 2025, guided by our values as a small, principled trader grounded in halal-conscious investing.


📘 Nilalaman

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Layered Accumulation Plan
4️⃣ Phased Exit Plan
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
🌱 Final Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

📊 TRADE DETAILS

  • Date: July 31, 2025

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)

  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange

  • Timeframes: Weekly

  • Closing Price: ₱33.00

  • High: ₱33.35

  • Low: ₱32.45

  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱33.59

  • 50-MA (Mid-Term Trend): ₱34.04

  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱32.11

📌 Price is sandwiched between the long-term 200-MA and short-term averages, indicating a crucial inflection point. Let’s dive deeper through the lens of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.


2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation

Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
(Score per step: 1–10 | Total: 100 Points)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
SCC is in a bottoming zone, having pulled back from a prior high near ₱38. The current price is slightly above the 200-MA but below the 20- and 50-MA. This signals a possible accumulation phase or early reversal.
Verdict: WAIT (Looking for higher low + breakout confirmation)
Score: 6/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price is straddling the long-term support area at ₱32.00–₱33.00. It’s near the 200-MA, making this a value zone for base-building setups.
Verdict: BUY WATCH (Early base zone – tactical testing okay)
Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
The recent candles show low momentum and reduced volume, but a string of higher lows is forming. No decisive green power bar yet.
Verdict: WAIT (Volume and power bar still weak)
Score: 5/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
No clean technical breakout yet. However, a break above ₱34.50 with volume would trigger an entry. Fundamentals need re-evaluation in Q3 results.
Verdict: HOLD OFF (No clean trigger yet)
Score: 5/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Initial stop-loss can be placed below ₱31.50, just beneath 200-MA. A break here invalidates the bottoming thesis.
Verdict: OK (Risk defined; manageable)
Score: 7/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Still red to neutral candles. No bullish color shift yet on weekly timeframe.
Verdict: NOT YET (Trend validation pending)
Score: 5/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Resistance zones seen at ₱36.00, ₱38.50, and ₱42.00. These can be used for scaling out upon confirmation of reversal.
Verdict: OK (Clear targets visible)
Score: 8/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
If SCC dips below ₱32.00 then reclaims 200-MA, tactical entries may be reloaded.
Verdict: PREPARE (Use tight stop + small size)
Score: 7/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Use tactical entries first (10%) to test reversal. Only build to core (50%) upon breakout confirmation above ₱34.50.
Verdict: START SMALL
Score: 8/10

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
SCC is included in the latest Shariah-compliant list. We're at a turnaround zone after a near 15% drop from prior highs – meets counter-trend criteria.
Verdict: ETHICALLY ALLOWED (Tactical only)
Score: 8/10


🧮 Total Score: 67/100
A low-to-mid conviction candidate with tactical merit for those willing to test a potential bottom reversal in a halal-compliant utility stock.


3️⃣ Layered Accumulation Plan

Trading Simulation Capital Allocation: ₱75,000
1 Board Lot = 100 shares

Layer 1 (Base Buy Zone): ₱33.00 – ₱15,000 = ~400 shares
Layer 2 (Breakout/Add Zone): ₱34.50 – ₱25,000 = ~700 shares
Layer 3 (Confirmation Layer): ₱36.50 – ₱35,000 = ~900 shares

👉 Total: ~2,000 shares | ₱75,000 allocation max

Note: Adjust position sizes if Layer 1 fails. Do not proceed to Layer 2 without breakout above 50-MA.


4️⃣ Phased Exit Plan

Profit-Taking Strategy Based on Weekly Structure

🎯 Target 1: ₱36.00 – Partial Trim (~20%)
🎯 Target 2: ₱38.50 – Major Partial Exit (~40%)
🎯 Target 3: ₱42.00 – Full Exit or Reassess

🎓 Profit-taking is strategic, not emotional. Follow the market—not your impulse.


Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / TACTICAL BUY
Recommendation: Tactical entry at ₱33.00 zone to test possible bottom with ₱31.50 stop-loss
Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱31.50 to protect capital
Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale out at ₱36.00, ₱38.50, and ₱42.00
Position Strategy: Start with a small test position, build only on strength


🌱 Final Reflection: Trade with Purpose

This isn’t just a stock—it’s a test of discipline and courage. Sa mundo ng turnaround trades, hindi lang strategy ang laban—kundi puso rin. Our entry at SCC is     not out of impulse, kundi guided by structure, values, and patience.

Sa bawat hakbang, we ask: aligned ba ito sa prinsipyo? May conviction ba? Kung oo, tuloy. Kung hindi, hintay lang. Growth with tawakkul—that’s the path we choose.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
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Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
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Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

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GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

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