Showing posts with label Retail Investor Education. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Retail Investor Education. Show all posts

Saturday, November 15, 2025

Launching a New Series: Strategic Deep Averaging — P/L-Driven Down-Cycle Strategy (Live Trading Edition)

Board Lot Warrior › Special Series › Down-Cycle Accumulation › Launch Post

Banner image with a dark green trading background, candlestick chart rising on the right side, and bold text that reads: “Launching a New Series — Strategic Deep Averaging: P/L-Driven Down-Cycle Strategy (Live Trading Edition).” Includes a Board Lot Warrior logo in the upper left.
A dynamic green banner introducing the new Board Lot Warrior live-trading series, “Strategic Deep Averaging: P/L-Driven Down-Cycle Strategy,” featuring candlestick visuals to emphasize real-market execution.

Sa panahon ng takot, duda, at historic lows sa PSEi, dito tumatapang ang tunay na Board Lot Warrior. This new series is our live, rules-based, real-capital contribution to rebuilding confidence in Philippine retail investing.


The Launch

Ngayong taon, habang ang PSEi ay nasa multi-year lows, consumer confidence ay bagsak, at sunod-sunod ang corruption scandals, isang bagay ang mas malinaw kaysa dati:

Mababa pa rin ang retail participation sa Philippine Stock Exchange.

At hindi ito haka-haka.

Inulat mismo ni Richmond Mercurio sa The Philippine Star na ayon kay PSE President Ramon Monzon:

What dictates liquidity is retail investing.

Vietnam?
💥 $900 million a day
💥 80% retail-driven

Tayo?
💤 17% retail participation

Kung gusto nating maging mas buhay at mas liquid ang mercado, kailangan gumalaw ang retail investor.

Pero paano gagalaw kung takot, skepticism, at “bahala-na investing” ang umiikot?

Dito pumapasok ang bagong serye natin.


Nilalaman

1️⃣ Why This New Series Exists
2️⃣ Introducing Our New System
3️⃣ Why Start Now?
4️⃣ What This New Series Promises
5️⃣ Strategic Deep Averaging Rules (Version 0.1)
6️⃣ MAPA: Maximum Allowable Pain Area
7️⃣ A Final Message to the Filipino Retail Investor


1️⃣ Why This New Series Exists

Hindi ito backtesting.
Hindi ito hypothetical.
Hindi ito demo account.

This is real money. Hard capital. Tunay na pera.

Pwedeng lumago.
Pwedeng mawala kung mali ang diskarte.

At ito ang pinaka-authentic contribution natin sa stock market education movement ng PSE:

Live trading, documented, transparent.
Board-lot execution only — relatable para sa small investors.
Rules-based accumulation — walang freestyle, walang hula.

Kung nagawa ng Vietnam, bakit hindi natin kaya?

Confidence + discipline + education + real examples.
Yan ang gusto nating ibigay.


2️⃣ Introducing Our New System

Strategic Deep Averaging (SDA): P/L-Driven Down-Cycle Strategy

Isang bagong modelo ng pag-accumulate na ginawa para sa bottoming phases at bear cycles.

Guided by:

🟩 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 — Long-Term Focus Variant
🟩 Inspired by Oliver Velez’s 8-Step Strategy
🟩 Reinforced with halal investing principles

For years, tinuro sa mga Pinoy investors:

❌ “Averaging down is bad.”
❌ “Catching a falling knife is suicide.”
❌ “Hintayin mo muna mag-stabilize bago bumili ulit.”

Pero kung long-term ka…
at nasa structural bottoming cycle tayo…

Ang tanong ay hindi “Should you average down?”
Ang tanong ay “How do you average down SAFELY and SYSTEMATICALLY?”

At yan mismo ang sagot ng Strategic Deep Averaging.


3️⃣ Why Start Now?

Because the market is giving us one of the rarest opportunities in its modern history:

📉 PSEi is at multi-year lows
💸 Valuations are compressed
📈 Dividend yields are elevated
😔 Retail sentiment is rock-bottom
📊 PSE wants retail participation to rise above 20% again

Hindi natin kontrolado ang macroeconomy.
Pero kaya nating magbigay ng ehemplo:

A disciplined retail investor, trading live, using rules and structure — board lot by board lot.


4️⃣ What This New Series Promises

Starting today:

1. Every trade is real.

Kung magkano, kailan, bakit, ano ang P/L — documented lahat.

2. Every trade follows the SDA rules.

No shortcuts. No randomness.

3. Every post will explain the logic.

Para madaling sundan ng beginners at returning investors.

4. Every win and every mistake will be published.

Real-time learning > textbook knowledge.

5. Every post promotes responsible, ethical, and halal-aligned retail participation.

Ito ang ambag natin sa liquidity and market confidence.


5️⃣ Strategic Deep Averaging (SDA) Rules

Version 0.1 — Preliminary

(Kept concise below to maintain launch-post flow. Full Rulebook available upon request.)

1. Activate SDA only during confirmed down-cycles

Index at support, deeply discounted, sellers exhausted.

2. Thesis must be halal, strong, and long-term

No riba, no weak balance sheets.

3. Entries are P/L-driven, not price-driven

Deploy only when loss thresholds are hit.

4. Layered allocation structure

8–10 layers depending on P/L bands.

5. Respect MAPA (Maximum Allowable Pain Area)

Stop SDA once MAPA is breached.

6. Thesis must remain intact

No averaging during dividend cuts, dilution, scandals.

7. Never exceed 90% allocation — halal risk principle

Never “all-in.”

8. End SDA once recovery signals appear

Reclaiming 20W MA, HH-HL structure, improving volume.

9. Profit-taking must be layered, not all-out

Cyclical exits + maintained core.

10. SDA applies only to liquid names

No basura stocks.


6️⃣ MAPA: Maximum Allowable Pain Area (Preliminary Guide)

This determines hanggang saan ang kaya mong tiisin bago sabihin:
“Stop. Reassess. Baka broken thesis na.”

Below is our recommended MAPA per theme.

1. Consumer Portfolio (URC, MONDE, WLCON)

📉 MAPA: –28% to –35%

2. REIT / Property Yield Portfolio (CREIT, DDMPR, MREIT, RCR)

📉 MAPA: –30% to –40%

3. Logistics & Infrastructure (ATI, ICT)

📉 MAPA: –35% to –42%

4. Energy (PCOR, SCC)

📉 Legacy Power: –35% to –45%
📉 Renewables: –25% to –32%


7️⃣ A Final Message to the Filipino Retail Investor

Ang stock market ay hindi laro ng swerte.
Hindi ito para sa malalaki lang ang puhunan.
Hindi ito para sa “lucky” lang.

Ito ay para sa mga disiplinado.

Kung gusto nating makita ang retail participation umangat mula 17% papuntang 20%, 30%, o mas mataas pa…

hindi sapat ang reklamo, hindi sapat ang takot, hindi sapat ang pag-share ng memes.

Kailangan ng mga taong magpapakita ng maayos, transparent, at totoong proseso — live, real, walang filter.

Ito ang ambag ng Board Lot Warrior.

Live trades.
Real risks.
Real money.
Real mistakes.
Real discipline.
Real growth.

At higit sa lahat — real courage to invest with integrity, structure, and halal principles.

This is our commitment to the Philippine Stock Exchange,
to the Filipino investing community,
and to the next 3–7 years of disciplined long-term accumulation.

Welcome to the new era of the Board Lot Warrior.
Let the down-cycle work for us.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment



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Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


A collection of faith-driven investing lessons and reflections archived under Subok sa Puso.
A collection of faith-driven investing lessons and reflections archived under Subok sa Puso.

Ang “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” ay nagsimula sa isang tanong: “Kung biglang dumating ang isang milyong piso, susunod pa rin ba ang puso sa plano?” Mula sa biglaang biyaya, isinilang ang isang serye na hindi lang tungkol sa pag-invest—kundi sa pagsubok ng puso gamit ang disiplina ng Hybrid 10-Step Strategy para sa long-term at halal-conscious na trading.


₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy — Series #1
₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy — Series #1
The day biglaang rizq arrived without condition—and the test of the heart began.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—“Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”

Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.

Isang milyong pisong biglaang dumating.
Hindi galing sa sugal. Hindi hiram.
Malinis. Legal. Bigay.
Rizq—kung tutuusin.

Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
O “saan ko i-invest?”
Kundi—“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”



Breaking down the ₱1M windfall into purpose-driven portfolios aligned with faith.
5 Paghahati ng Biglaang Rizq: May Layunin ang Bawat Piso — Series #2
Breaking down the ₱1M windfall into purpose-driven portfolios aligned with faith.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Nang dumating ang isang milyong piso na walang hinihinging kapalit, hindi ito basta tinanggap. Ito ay tinanggap na may pagtanaw ng utang na loob, panalangin, at pagnanais gamitin sa tama. Kaya't ito ang naging bahagi ng allocation—hindi lang bilang isang strategist, kundi bilang isang Muslim na mulat sa bigat ng pananagutan.


Focused on long-term growth stocks with halal fundamentals and conviction.
Halal Core Growth Portfolio — Series #3
Focused on long-term growth stocks with halal fundamentals and conviction.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱400,000

Objective: This portfolio seeks long-term growth from fundamentally strongethically aligned, and ideally Shariah-compliant businesses

Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.



Seeking steady halal income through screened REITs and dividend plays.
Shariah-Compliant Dividend / REIT Portfolio — Series #4
Seeking steady halal income through screened REITs and dividend plays.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱200,000

Objective: To generate passive income from a selection of halal-screened REITs and dividend-paying companies that pass ethical and Shariah filters.

Ito ang bahagi ng portfolio na tumatanggap ng biyaya habang natutulog ka, pero hindi mula sa haram.



Targeting undervalued stocks with a comeback story—and a conscience.
Ethical Turnaround Picks — Series #5
Targeting undervalued stocks with a comeback story—and a conscience.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱150,000

Objective: To capture capital appreciation from undervalued or temporarily beaten-down companies showing signs of recovery—without crossing the ethical line.

Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.



A battleground for real trades, small capital, and live tactical testing.
Tactical Rotation Fund (Board Lot Warrior Account) — Series #6
A battleground for real trades, small capital, and live tactical testing.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱150,000

Objective: To execute short- to mid-term tactical trades using ₱10,000 per board lot based on the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy, with real money and real-time conviction—under the mindset of a Board Lot Warrior.

Hindi ito simulation. Hindi ito paper trade. Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.



Uninvested capital with a mission—ready for giving, regrouping, or guarding against loss.
Cash Reserve / Sadqah Buffer — Series #7
Uninvested capital with a mission—ready for giving, regrouping, or guarding against loss.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: Entire ₱100,000 is held in cash, fully unassigned to any stock.

Objective: To maintain spiritual discipline and financial humility by leaving room—intentionally—for:

  • 📉 Market patience
  • 🤲 Giving opportunities
  • ⚠️ Emergency trades
  • 🛑 Delayed entry signals
  • 💔 Life’s unplanned tests

This fund is not for stock picks.

This is for the moments when you choose not to act, because the best decision is sometimes to wait, or give.



Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog
Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD

Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

A collection of educational, mindset-based, and strategic posts for disciplined Batangueño retail traders with small capital but strong conviction.

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado. Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.


A sequential, refined 10-step framework optimized for disciplined long-term investing.
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
Optimized for Accumulation, Patience, and Portfolio Growth

Visualizing the four stages of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy in the disciplined trade cycle of a Board Lot Warrior.
4 na Yugto ng Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
Kumpletong Trade Cycle ng Isang Board Lot Warrior

Categorized for Halal & Ethical Investing
List of Shariah-Compliant Stocks at PSE (As of December 25, 2024)

Highlighting resilient Shariah-compliant stocks during geopolitical tensions in the USA vs Russia edition of the Tension-Resilient Stocks Series.
Tension-Resilient Stocks Series
7 Shariah-Compliant Stocks na Tension-Resilient Kapag Tumitindi ang Init: USA vs Russia Edition


Highlighting storm-resistant Shariah-compliant stock picks that can withstand financial floods and market turbulence.
Pang-Bagyo Picks Series
Alin ang Hindi Natitinag Kapag May Sakuna?


GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.


GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubana, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Higop

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

🍗 Rice Meals tulad ng Chao Fan with Pork Siomai, Chicharon Bulaklak, o Lechon Kawali — swak sa mga ayaw ng sabaw pero gusto pa rin ng siksik sa lasa.

🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

🤳 Para sa mga G na umorder online

Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.


Sa totoo lang, sa bawat higop ng lugaw sa GAWLOO, parang may yumayakap sa’yo—maalala mo si Nanay o si Lola na nagluluto ng lugaw tuwing masama ang pakiramdam mo. Ngayon, kahit wala si Nanay sa tabi mo, may GAWLOO ka sa Rosario.

Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.

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