Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series | Halal Core Portfolio
Simulated Trade | 3,000 shares at ₱9.10 | Capital Allocation: ₱100,000
Contents:
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Market State & Trend Context
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Price Position vs Value Zones
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Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Clues
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Entry Confirmation: Fundamentals + Technical
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Stop-Loss Thesis Level
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Trend Validation
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Profit-Taking Plan
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Re-Entry Strategy
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Position Sizing
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Ethical & Strategic Fit
📊 Final Trade Recommendation
🌾 Reflection & Rizq Reminder
🧭 1. Market State & Trend Context ✅ (8/10)
WLCON is emerging from a prolonged downtrend that bottomed out in Q2 2025. The recent uptick marks an early reversal phase, likely transitioning from capitulation to potential accumulation. The price has now printed higher lows for 4 consecutive weeks.
Verdict: Early recovery phase. Signs of shift from bearish exhaustion to quiet accumulation.
🗺️ 2. Price Position vs Value Zones ✅ (9/10)
Price has decisively reclaimed the 8-day EMA (₱8.56) and 20-week MA (₱7.39) with strength. The 50-week MA (₱11.24) remains overhead, offering a mid-range resistance target. Entry at ₱9.10 is near the short-term breakout level.
Verdict: Price is inside a developing value zone. Still favorable for layering long-term positions.
🔋 3. Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Clues ✅ (9/10)
A strong green power bar emerged last week, closing at ₱9.66 (+6.15%) on above-average volume (22.949M). Volume buildup since May suggests quiet accumulation beneath the surface.
Verdict: Accumulation signs + breakout candle = confirmation of interest.
🧩 4. Entry Confirmation: Fundamentals + Technical ✅ (10/10)
WLCON remains a fundamentally halal company engaged in home retail. No red flags on Islamic compliance. Technically, the bullish crossover between the 8 EMA and 20 MA adds further strength to the thesis.
Verdict: Clean chart + halal fundamentals = alignment achieved.
🛡️ 5. Stop-Loss Based on Thesis, Not Emotion ✅ (9/10)
Our thesis is anchored on the breakout holding. If price closes below ₱8.00 on the weekly chart, it would invalidate the move and break the bullish structure.
Stop-Loss: Close below ₱8.00 (weekly)
🌱 6. Trend Validation (Color Shift / Structure) ✅ (8/10)
The 8 EMA has flipped above the 20 MA — a signal of early color shift. Weekly candles are showing strength with higher closes and increasing volume. A new trend may be forming.
Verdict: Color shift confirmed. Trend validation underway.
📦 7. Profit-Taking Plan ✅ (7/10)
We are not rushing exits. This is a Halal Core Portfolio stock intended for multi-quarter holds. However, we plan to scale partially at ₱11.00–₱12.00, aligned with the 50-week MA.
Initial Exit Target: ₱11.00 to ₱12.00
Final Target Zone: ₱13.80 to ₱15.00 (pending future trend strength)
🌀 8. Re-Entry Plans if Stopped or Trimmed ✅ (8/10)
If price hits stop and resets, we will re-enter near ₱7.00–₱7.20, which aligns with the 20-week MA and prior consolidation. For successful breakouts, future adds may come above ₱10.50 if volume holds.
⚖️ 9. Position Size with Discipline ✅ (9/10)
Capital allocation: ₱100,000
Shares bought: 3,000 @ ₱9.10 = ₱27,300
Remaining cash: ₱72,700, reserved for additional board lots.
Verdict: Initial layer placed. Room left for scale-in if trend confirms.
🧠 10. Ethical & Personal Alignment ✅ (10/10)
✅ Shariah-compliant
✅ Aligned with Core Portfolio values
✅ Bought with clean intention — no hype chasing
✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (Tactical Entry Simulation)
✅ Recommendation: Buy at ₱9.10 based on confirmed breakout from accumulation zone and bullish crossover of key moving averages.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱8.00 (weekly close) to guard against failed breakout.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale partial gains at ₱11.00–₱12.00; hold remaining for extended move.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Started with a moderate layer. Ready to add above ₱10.50 or on dips near ₱7.20 if thesis remains intact.
🌾 Reflection & Rizq Reminder
Ang kita ay hindi sigurado, pero ang disiplina ay bahagi ng tawakkul.
This trade embodies quiet conviction — grounded in halal intention and structured execution.
If the trend rewards us, alhamdulillah. If not, qadrullah — at may natutunan tayo sa bawat hakbang.
Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
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