Contents:
- Introduction
- Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
- Final Trade Recommendation
- Next Steps
Introduction
DDMP REIT, Inc. (DDMPR) remains a key player in the Philippine real estate investment trust sector. As of January 31, 2025, the stock price remains in a consolidation phase, presenting a potential opportunity for investors looking for a steady dividend yield while monitoring technical signals.
Trade Details:
- Stock: DDMP REIT, Inc. (DDMPR)
- Exchange: PSE
- Timeframe: Monthly
- Date: January 31, 2025
- Closing Price: 1.06
- High: 1.10
- Low: 1.05
- 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 1.10
- 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 1.40
Key Pullback Levels:
- 100% Pullback: 1.30 (Previous key resistance)
- 75% Pullback: 1.20 (Significant rejection area)
- 50% Pullback: 1.10 (Current short-term resistance)
- 0% Pullback: 1.00 (Long-term support zone)
This analysis follows the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.
DDMP REIT (DDMPR) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025
Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
- The long-term trend remains bearish to neutral, as the price is below the 200-MA (1.40).
- Short-term movement shows consolidation, with price hovering near the 1.05–1.10 range.
- Monthly rejection at 1.10 suggests sellers remain active near resistance.
✅ Market State: Consolidation below resistance.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor for breakout above 1.10 or accumulation near 1.00.
Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
- Negative Position: Price is below the 200-MA, indicating a weak long-term trend.
- Retracement Zone: Currently at the 50% retracement level (1.10), where it faced resistance.
✅ Favorable for gradual accumulation near 1.00–1.05.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Wait for breakout or deeper pullback.
Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
- No power bars or strong breakouts this month.
- Volume remains stable, suggesting controlled buying interest.
✅ Price stability observed, but no clear momentum shift.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need a strong breakout above 1.10.
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
- Our BUY trades at 1.06 align with a consolidation strategy, but price has yet to break resistance.
- A confirmed move above 1.10 would validate an upside bias.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No aggressive adding unless 1.00 support is retested.
Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
- Stop-loss below 1.00 to minimize downside exposure.
- Downside risk remains contained unless price breaks below 1.00.
✅ Risk is controlled, but further downside must be managed.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss below 1.00 remains intact.
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
- A small red candle closing at 1.06 suggests lack of momentum.
- No strong reversal signals yet.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in February.
Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
- Take partial profits near 1.15–1.20 if a breakout occurs.
- Exit strategy remains unchanged unless momentum shifts.
✅ Hold for dividends while monitoring resistance levels.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate exit required.
Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
- Best re-entry zone is near 1.00 if support holds.
✅ Consider adding at 1.00 for better risk-reward.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No rush to add positions.
Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
- BUY trades at 1.06 (3,000 shares on Jan 23, 1,000 shares on Jan 31) indicate gradual accumulation.
- Next steps depend on whether 1.00 support holds or 1.10 breaks.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Continue monitoring for an ideal setup.
Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
- No counter-trend trades are necessary as the stock remains in a neutral phase.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action needed.
Final Trade Recommendation
✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain existing positions at 1.06, but avoid aggressive adding until a clear breakout or support test at 1.00.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 1.00 to protect against downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 1.15–1.20 for partial exits upon breakout.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold current position and consider adding if price stabilizes at 1.00.
Next Steps
🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 1.10 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends while monitoring technical levels.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 1.00 level for potential re-entry or stop-loss activation.
🚨 Final Thought: The stock remains in a consolidation phase. A breakout above 1.10 is needed to confirm an uptrend, while support at 1.00 must hold to prevent further downside. 🚨
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Related Readings
- Micro Stock Trader: Comparing the Modified 10-Step Trading Strategy vs. Retracement Trading Strategy
- Micro Stock Trader Portfolio Tracker Page
