Showing posts with label ATI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ATI. Show all posts

Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) remains a key player in the Philippine port and logistics sector. As of January 31, 2025, ATI closed at 17.20, showing a slight increase of +1.18% for the month. The price action indicates a pullback to the 20-MA (17.12) after reaching a high of 17.54. This setup suggests potential stabilization in the medium-term trend.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 17.20
  • High: 17.54
  • Low: 16.02
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 17.12
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 11.72

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 20.00 (Strong resistance area)
  • 75% Pullback: 18.50 (Short-term resistance)
  • 50% Pullback: 17.00 (Key support area)
  • 0% Pullback: 14.00 (Major support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend remains bullish, as price is above the 200-MA (11.72) and recently tested the 20-MA.
  • Short-term trend is showing weakness, but January's bounce from 16.02 suggests potential stabilization.
  • If price holds above 17.00, the uptrend can resume toward 18.50 - 20.00.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with a short-term pullback.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor if 17.00 support holds before adding more.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price remains above the 20-MA, indicating long-term strength.
  • Retracement Zone: 17.00 - 17.30 is a critical support level that needs to hold for the uptrend to continue.

✅ Favorable for holding, but needs confirmation.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Wait for a breakout above 18.50 before considering further buys.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January's candle closed green, showing early signs of recovery.
  • Volume remains moderate, suggesting controlled buying interest.

✅ Buyers stepped in, but confirmation is needed.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Need a breakout above 18.50 for momentum.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trades executed at 17.04 (200 shares on January 27) and 17.30 (200 shares on January 31) were placed within a key support area.
  • A move above 18.50 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 16.50 to protect against downside risk.
  • Risk is manageable as long as price holds above 17.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • January’s green candle suggests buyers are present, but not dominant yet.

πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – Look for strength in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Target 18.50 - 20.00 for partial exits upon breakout.
  • Dividends remain a key factor in holding ATI.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to sell.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 17.00 if support holds.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 17.00.
πŸ›‘ Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trades at 17.04 and 17.30 are well-timed, but further confirmation is needed.
  • If price moves above 18.50, adding to the position can be considered.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

πŸ›‘ Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 17.04 - 17.30, but avoid aggressive buying until a confirmed breakout above 18.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 16.50 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 18.50 - 20.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 17.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

πŸ”Ή Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 18.50 before adding positions.
πŸ”Ή Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
πŸ”Ή Existing holders → Watch the 17.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: ATI is stabilizing, but confirmation of an uptrend requires a breakout above 18.50. Wait for momentum before adding. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Monday, January 27, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 6 – Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 6/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Momentum Entry
  • Signal: Break above the 20-MA with strong bullish momentum
  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Shares Bought: 400 out of 800 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱17.04
  • Position Size: 1/2 of target allocation

πŸ“Œ Chart Overview:

  • ATI closed at ₱17.50 (+0.69%), maintaining its breakout structure.
  • The stock surged above the 20-MA (₱16.82), confirming short-term trend reversal.
  • 200-MA (₱18.61) serves as the next major resistance level.
  • Volume at 77.9K suggests steady accumulation.
ATI Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

ATI Trade No. 6/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 8/10

  • ATI is transitioning from a downtrend into a potential uptrend.
  • Break above the 20-MA signals trend reversal, but confirmation above ₱18.00 is needed.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Price reclaimed the 20-MA (₱16.82), signaling short-term strength.
  • The next resistance is at the 200-MA (₱18.61), which must be cleared for further upside.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 9/10

  • Strong bullish price action with a breakout candlestick.
  • Momentum suggests continuation, provided volume remains steady.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Entry was well-timed as the price confirmed strength above ₱17.00.
  • A retracement to ₱16.50 would offer another entry opportunity.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱16.40 to minimize risk.
  • A breakdown below this level invalidates the trade setup.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 8/10

  • Green candlestick formation confirms buying pressure.
  • Needs follow-through above ₱17.50 to confirm continuation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First target: ₱18.50 (near the 200-MA).
  • Final target: ₱19.50-₱20.00 (key resistance zone).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 7/10

  • A retest of ₱16.80-₱17.00 would offer another entry.
  • Breakout above ₱18.00 justifies scaling into the position.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • 1/2 position deployed, leaving room for scaling if price stabilizes above ₱18.00.
  • Further exposure should only be added above ₱18.50.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 6/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but caution is needed near ₱18.50 resistance.
  • Failure to hold above ₱16.50 would weaken the bullish setup.

πŸ“Œ Overall Strategy Score: 80/100
πŸ“Œ Summary: Trade was well-positioned on a momentum breakout, with further upside potential if price clears ₱18.50.


Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 8.0/10

Trade Execution: Entry positioned at a breakout level, aligning with trend reversal.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱16.40 ensures controlled downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱18.50, scaling out at ₱19.50-₱20.00.

Position Size Strategy: 1/2 Allocation, keeping flexibility for re-entries.


Next Steps

πŸ“Œ Monitor price action near ₱18.00-₱18.50. If ATI holds this level, consider scaling up.

πŸ“Œ Watch for weakness below ₱16.50. If momentum weakens, reassess the trade and exit below ₱16.40.

πŸ“Œ Look for re-entry opportunities. If ATI retests ₱16.80-₱17.00 and holds, consider adding more shares.

🚨 Conclusion: Trade No. 6 remains strong, with bullish momentum. A move above ₱18.50 would confirm further upside. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Friday, January 24, 2025

ATI Intra-Day Chart Evaluation – Buy or Sell Decision

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Intra-Day (Daily Chart Reference)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱17.02
  • High: ₱17.46
  • Low: ₱16.34
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱16.81
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱18.61
  • Price Movement: Potential trend reversal with strong volume
  • Volume: 159.2K, significantly higher than previous sessions
Stock chart of ATI showing price reversal above 20-MA with increased volume and key resistance levels.

ATI Intra-Day Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

ATI has been in a clear downtrend for several months, with price consistently trading below the 20-MA and 200-MA. However, today’s strong green candle, breaking above the 20-MA with high volume, signals a potential trend reversal.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price broke above the 20-MA (₱16.81), suggesting a short-term momentum shift.
  • The 200-MA (₱18.61) is still above, meaning the long-term trend is bearish.
  • Resistance levels:
    • First resistance: ₱17.50 (recent swing high)
    • Major resistance: ₱18.00-₱18.50 (near 200-MA)
  • Support levels:
    • Immediate support: ₱16.80 (20-MA)
    • Stronger support: ₱16.30 (recent low)

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • A strong green power bar suggests high buying pressure.
  • Volume is significantly higher, confirming potential institutional accumulation.
  • No major retracement yet, but price holding above ₱16.80 is crucial for further upside.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Ideal entry range: ₱16.80-₱17.00, as price recently cleared the 20-MA.
  • A pullback to ₱16.50-₱16.80 would provide a higher probability entry.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • Stop-loss below ₱16.80 for short-term traders.
  • A wider stop at ₱16.30 for a more conservative risk approach.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • If price closes above ₱17.00 with another green candle on Monday, it confirms the reversal strength.
  • A red candle close below ₱16.80 would signal weakness.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • First target: ₱17.50, a key resistance zone.
  • Second target: ₱18.00, a pre-breakdown level.
  • Final target: ₱18.60-₱19.00, near the 200-MA resistance.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • If price retraces to ₱16.80, a second entry for additional shares can be considered.
  • A retracement to ₱16.50 would offer another buying opportunity.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Increase position if price clears ₱17.50.
  • Reduce exposure if price struggles below ₱16.80.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trade setup, as today’s price action signals an early-stage reversal.

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

Recommendation: BUY today at ₱16.80-₱17.00, given the breakout above the 20-MA with strong volume.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱16.80 to protect against downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target ₱17.50, ₱18.00, and ₱18.60 for gradual exits.

Position Size Strategy: Start with a moderate position and add if momentum continues above ₱17.50.


Next Steps

πŸ“Œ Monitor price action at ₱17.50. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱17.50, consider adding exposure.

πŸ“Œ Watch for weakness below ₱16.80. If the stock fails to hold the breakout, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

πŸ“Œ Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱16.80 or lower, reassess for a second entry.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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