ETHICAL TURNAROUND PICKS | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Panimula: Antabay sa Susi ng Pagbangon
Noong August 1 review, nakita natin ang SCC na nakatuntong sa 200-MA support sa paligid ng ₱32.11 habang sinusubukan ang base-building phase. Ngayon, August 15, bumaba pa ng konti ang short-term averages at halos sumalubong na sa presyo, pero nananatiling nakatayo ang 200-MA sa ₱32.16 bilang matibay na sandigan.
Tanong ngayon: hudyat ba ito ng mas malalim na paghina, o tahimik lang na paghanda para sa susunod na buwelo? Tuloy ang pagbabantay, lalo na’t nasa ethical turnaround list natin ito.
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart – July 31, 2025 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
5 Paghahati ng Biglaang Rizq: May Layunin ang Bawat Piso — Subok ng Puso Series #2
₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
Date: August 15, 2025
Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframes: Weekly (primary)
Closing Price: ₱32.50
High: ₱32.60
Low: ₱32.15
20-MA (Short-Term): ₱33.10
50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱34.00
200-MA (Long-Term): ₱32.16
📌 Kumpara noong August 1 (₱33.00 close), mas mababa ng 50 sentimos ngayon ang presyo at mas dikit na sa 200-MA. Ang short- at mid-term averages ay pababa pa rin, kaya nananatiling testing phase ang laban.
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Price is consolidating near long-term support. Still in bottoming phase.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price hugging 200-MA at ₱32.16, value zone intact.
➡ Verdict: BUY WATCH
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Small candles, weak volume. Walang breakout bar.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 5/10
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Breakout above ₱34.50 remains needed. Walang bagong trigger.
➡ Verdict: HOLD OFF
✅ Score: 5/10
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
₱31.50 stop-loss stays valid.
➡ Verdict: OK
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Neutral-to-red pa rin, no green shift.
➡ Verdict: NOT YET
✅ Score: 5/10
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Targets remain ₱36, ₱38.50, ₱42. Structure intact.
➡ Verdict: OK
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung mag-breakdown sa ₱32 pero bumawi agad, tactical re-entry valid.
➡ Verdict: PREPARE
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Stay small (Layer 1 only). Core only above ₱34.50.
➡ Verdict: START SMALL
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Still halal-compliant; qualifies as turnaround.
➡ Verdict: ALLOWED
✅ Score: 8/10
🧮 Total Score: 67/100 (same as August 1 review—neutral to cautious stance maintained).
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Parang bangka sa Batangas Bay — naka-angkla pero walang bumubulong na makina. SCC ay steady sa 200-MA pero wala pang hatak ng volume. Diyan muna tayo sa pantalan — handa, pero huwag padalos-dalos.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Range: ₱32.00–₱33.00 (test zone)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱31.50 (hard stop below 200-MA)
📌 Target Prices: ₱36.00, ₱38.50, ₱42.00
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only above ₱34.50 breakout with volume
📌 Position Strategy: Tactical small buy; avoid full core until reversal confirmed
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱75,000 Allocation)
Layer 1 – Tactical Base Buy
₱33.00 | 400 shares | ₱13,200 allocation (~18%)
Rationale: Test buy at 200-MA
Layer 2 – Breakout Add
₱34.50 | 700 shares | ₱24,150 allocation (~32%)
Rationale: Confirm breakout above 50-MA
Layer 3 – Confirmation Layer
₱36.50 | 1,100 shares | ₱40,150 allocation (~50%)
Rationale: Full conviction add on reversal strength
👉 Total: 2,200 shares | ~₱77,500 (slightly over capital, adjust Layer 3 down to fit ₱75k)
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
🎯 Target 1: ₱36.00 – Sell 20% (~440 shares)
🎯 Target 2: ₱38.50 – Sell 40% (~880 shares)
🎯 Target 3: ₱42.00 – Sell 40% (~880 shares)
🔒 Hard Stop: ₱31.50 (all shares exit if broken).
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / TACTICAL BUY
✅ Recommendation: Small tactical buy at ₱32–₱33 zone. Build only on breakout above ₱34.50.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱31.50 to protect capital.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Exit gradually at ₱36, ₱38.50, and ₱42.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Stay small; core only if trend confirms.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Patience muna, kapatid. Ang trading ay hindi karera kundi lakad na may direksyon. Kung hindi pa binibigay ang hudyat ng buwelo, huwag pilitin. Tuloy lang sa disiplina, tawakkul, at pagrespeto sa setup.
📌 Trade Simulation Update
Portfolio: Ethical Turnaround Picks
Allocation: ₱75,000
Active Position: None (waiting tactical entry at ₱32–₱33)
Quick Hatol: Steady sa support—pero walang hangin pa ang layag.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado. Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
