Showing posts with label PSE Trading Plan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PSE Trading Plan. Show all posts

Thursday, June 26, 2025

Trade Evaluation: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) – Layer 3 Entry at ₱8.28 on June 26, 2025 Assessed Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

WLCON Weekly Chart as of June 26, 2025 showing bullish breakout above 20-MA with high volume. Ideal tactical entry setup.

WLCON Layer 3 tactical buy at ₱8.28 on June 26, 2025 evaluated using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy. Breakout strength confirmed.

Contents:

  • Introduction

  • Trade Execution Overview

  • Step-by-Step Evaluation Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

  • Final Tactical Entry Decision

  • Next Steps

📌 Introduction

We are closely monitoring the recovery play of Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) after its prolonged downtrend. As of the mid-day session on June 26, 2025, WLCON has advanced to ₱8.28, showing strong signs of bullish breakout continuation on the weekly chart. This trade evaluation focuses on the planned Layer 3 buy action—an additional 100 shares to be executed at the 1:00 PM resumption of trading.

This move is part of our ongoing implementation of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, under our ₱5,000 capital layering plan.


💼 Trade Execution Overview

  • Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)

  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)

  • Trade Action: Buy 100 shares (Layer 3 Entry)

  • Planned Entry Price: ₱8.28

  • Date: June 26, 2025

  • Session: Mid-day Weekly Chart

  • Board Lot: 100 shares

  • Indicators at Mid-Day:

    • 20-MA: ₱6.98

    • 50-MA: ₱11.89

    • 200-MA: ₱22.29

    • Volume (week-to-date): 12.32M


✅ Step-by-Step Evaluation Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
WLCON remains technically in a long-term downtrend but is clearly forming a bullish reversal base. Price has crossed the 20-MA and is now breaking upward with momentum.
➡ Verdict: Wait for full reversal on higher timeframe, but valid for tactical buy.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Price now sits above the 20-MA and within the sweet spot of a bullish recovery retracement (40–50% zone). This confirms an attractive range for breakout continuation.
➡ Verdict: Positive tactical zone.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
Last week’s breakout candle is now being followed by another green bar with mid-week volume already hitting 12.32M—clear institutional interest.
➡ Verdict: Strong confirmation of power move.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Your planned entry at ₱8.28 is slightly above the previous week’s high. The price is breaking out from a multi-week base.
➡ Verdict: Valid Layer 3 breakout entry.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
Logical stop-loss is below ₱7.00 (20-MA level), offering a manageable downside.
➡ Verdict: Proper stop identified.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Confirmation
A consistent shift from red to green candles over the last three weeks confirms bullish reversal.
➡ Verdict: Reversal signal present.
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
Target profit zones include ₱9.80, ₱10.50, and the 50-MA at ₱11.89.
➡ Verdict: Tactical exit zones are well-defined.
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 8: Potential Re-entry Zones
Any pullback to ₱7.80–₱8.00 may serve as a re-entry if profit-taking occurs.
➡ Verdict: Re-entry plan viable.
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Layer 3 is in line with our ₱5,000 plan (100 shares initial, 200 core, 200 add-on).
➡ Verdict: Position sizing fully compliant.
✅ Score: 10/10

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
This is no longer a counter-trend play—momentum is now in favor.
➡ Verdict: Valid continuation trade.
✅ Score: 8/10


📊 Final Score: 83 / 100

Interpretation:Good Quality Entry – Confirmed Breakout with Strong Setup Compliance


🎯 Final Tactical Entry Decision

Action: Proceed with buying 100 shares at ₱8.28 during the 1:00 PM trading resumption.

Stop-Loss: Place below ₱7.00 (just under the 20-MA on weekly).

Profit Targets: Take partial profits near ₱9.80 and ₱10.50; consider holding balance to ₱11.89.

Position Sizing: Stay within the total ₱5,000 capital layering framework (up to 600 shares maximum).


📌 Next Steps

🔹 Watch for strong closing volume on Friday to confirm weekly breakout

🔹 Adjust stop-loss to breakeven if price exceeds ₱8.80

🔹 Avoid chasing if price sharply rises beyond ₱8.50 intraday

🔹 Prepare to take profits near ₱10.50 if upward move extends rapidly

🚨 Final Thought: This Layer 3 entry is backed by a strong breakout from base. Manage with discipline—protect capital, follow exits, and allow the trend to work.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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