Contents:
- Overview of DDMPR’s Market Context
- Chart Evaluation Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
- Final Thoughts
Overview of DDMPR’s Market Context
DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) closed at ₱1.06 on January 21, 2025, with a -2.75% decline from the previous session. The day’s high was ₱1.08, and the low was ₱1.05, aligning closely with key moving averages. Volume stood at 3.022 million, indicating moderate trading interest.
A critical factor in today’s market action is the ex-dividend date of DDMPR. Historically, REITs tend to decline after the ex-date as investors adjust for the dividend payout. Let’s analyze this chart using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to assess its potential movement.
DDMPR’s January 21, 2025, stock chart showing key technical levels post-ex-dividend.
Step 1: Identifying Market State & Trend Context
- 200-day MA (₱1.09): The price is still below the long-term moving average, indicating an overall downtrend.
- 20-day MA (₱1.05): The stock has been consolidating around this short-term support level.
- Trend Context: After a prolonged sideways phase, the stock has been attempting a short-term recovery but faces resistance near the 200-day MA.
📌 Conclusion: DDMPR is in an early trend reversal attempt but still struggling to break key resistances.
Step 2: Assessing Price Position Relative to Key Levels
- The closing price (₱1.06) is above the 20-day MA (₱1.05) but below the 200-day MA (₱1.09).
- A successful break and close above ₱1.09 could confirm a potential reversal.
📌 Conclusion: Caution is needed, as failure to hold above ₱1.05 could signal a pullback.
Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength
- The recent bullish push showed higher-than-average volume, but today’s red candle signals profit-taking.
- The current retracement is moderate, suggesting this could be a temporary pullback.
📌 Conclusion: Watch for a green power bar in the next few sessions for confirmation.
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Using Technical Alignment
- The ideal entry would be near the ₱1.05 support zone with a confirmation signal (e.g., bounce with strong volume).
- Breakout Entry: A close above ₱1.09 could confirm bullish momentum.
📌 Conclusion: No clear entry signal yet, but potential setups exist if it holds above ₱1.05.
Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments
- A logical stop-loss would be below ₱1.03 (recent swing low).
- If it breaks below ₱1.05 decisively, a deeper correction may follow.
📌 Conclusion: Risk management is crucial—tight stops recommended below ₱1.03.
Step 6: Color Change as Secondary Confirmation
- The price needs a green candle tomorrow to confirm strength.
- If the next session turns red, it may indicate further weakness.
📌 Conclusion: A color change to green at this level would be a bullish signal.
Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategy
- If entered at ₱1.05, potential profit-taking zones:
- Partial Exit at ₱1.10 (above 200-day MA resistance and adjusted for transaction cost)
- Full Exit at ₱1.15 (previous resistance)
📌 Conclusion: Short-term traders may consider scaling out if price struggles at ₱1.10.
Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Pullbacks
- Best re-entry: If price pulls back near ₱1.03-₱1.05 and holds.
- Aggressive traders could attempt a momentum breakout trade if it surges past ₱1.09.
📌 Conclusion: Monitor for re-entry opportunities around ₱1.05.
Step 9: Tactical Position Management
- Shallow retracement (₱1.05-₱1.06) → Can consider larger positions.
- Deeper retracement (₱1.03) → Smaller position with tight stop.
📌 Conclusion: Size positions accordingly based on retracement depth.
Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
- If the price fails to hold ₱1.05, a counter-trend short may be possible down to ₱1.00.
- However, trading against a REIT’s support levels can be risky.
📌 Conclusion: Avoid counter-trend shorts unless a major breakdown occurs.
Trading Plan
Entry: Near ₱1.05 (if it holds)
Stop-Loss: Below ₱1.03
Targets: ₱1.10 (partial), ₱1.15 (full)
Position Allocation: 10,000 shares total (4,000 for Core Position, 6,000 for Tactical Actions)
Transaction Size: Minimum of 2,000 shares per trade
Core Position Entry:
- Entry Price: Php 1.05
- No. of Shares: 4,000
- Gross Amount: Php 4,200.00
- Transaction Cost: Php 12.39
- Net Amount: Php 4,212.39
- Core Position Exit - Breakeven:
- Exit Price: Php 1.07
- No. of Shares: 4,000.00
- Gross Amount: Php 4,280.00
- Transaction Cost:
- Net Amount: Php 4,241.69
- Realized Gain: Php 29.30
- Core Position Partial Exit:
- Exit Price: Php 1.10
- No. of Shares: 2,000.00
- Gross Amount: Php 2,200.00
- Transaction Cost: Php 19.69
- Net Amount: Php 2,180.31
- Partial Profit: Php 74.00
- Core Position Full Exit:
- Exit Price: Php 1.15
- No. of Shares: 2,000.00
- Gross Amount: Php 2,300.00
- Transaction Cost: Php 20.58
- Net Amount: Php 2,279.42
- Partial Profit: Php 173.00
- Total Gain: Php 247.00 (5.87%)
