Showing posts with label Shariah investing PSE. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Shariah investing PSE. Show all posts

Friday, August 15, 2025

MREIT, Inc. (MREIT) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱200,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

MREIT Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing consolidation below ₱14.50 resistance after recent breakout.
Weekly candlestick chart of MREIT (MREIT) with moving averages and key support-resistance levels.

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

  • Date: August 15, 2025

  • Stock: MREIT, Inc. (MREIT)

  • Exchange: PSE

  • Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)

  • Closing Price: ₱14.36

  • High: ₱14.54

  • Low: ₱14.26

  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱13.88

  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱13.70

  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱14.49

  • 8-MA (Immediate Trend): ₱14.16


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Currently nasa uptrend recovery stage. Price is above 20MA and 50MA, pero hawak pa ng 200MA resistance.
➡ Verdict: HOLD cautiously
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price is above 20MA and 50MA, malapit sa 200MA ₱14.49 (key hurdle). Value zone support nasa ₱13.70–₱13.90.
➡ Verdict: BUY on dips sa ₱13.80–₱14.00
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Breakout candles noong July, pero ngayon medyo nagfade ang volume at lumabas ang upper wick—sign ng hesitation near ₱14.50.
➡ Verdict: WAIT for follow-through
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Breakout confirmation only kapag strong close above ₱14.60 with volume. Otherwise, pullback buys are safer.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Best stop below ₱13.70 (50MA). Hard stop at ₱13.50 kung basag ang swing support.
➡ Verdict: Set stop-loss ₱13.50
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Latest candle green close pero with wick = indecision. Kailangan ng isa pang bullish candle para validation.
➡ Verdict: Monitor
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
First target ₱14.80, then ₱15.20. Long-term hold possible above ₱15.50.
➡ Verdict: SELL partials sa ₱14.80+
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Ideal re-entry kung magpullback sa ₱13.80 area with bullish reversal bar.
➡ Verdict: YES
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Use 50% core + 10% tactical re-entries. REITs are low-volatility, kaya safe ang gradual build.
➡ Verdict: Moderate core + tactical adds
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
No steep drop or 200MA violation, so counter-trend not needed.
➡ Verdict: N/A
✅ Score: 5/10

🧮 Total Score: 69/100
(July 13 score was 72/100 — slight decline dahil sa hesitation near resistance)


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Para kang umakyat sa tuktok ng bundok at saglit na natigil dahil may harang na bato. Hindi pa bagsak ang lakas ni MREIT, pero nag-iipon muna ng hininga bago muling sumugod.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Range: ₱13.80–₱14.00 (support pullback)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱13.50 (structure break)
📌 Target Prices: ₱14.80, ₱15.20, ₱15.80
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only on breakout above ₱14.60 with volume
📌 Position Strategy: Start moderate (core), add tacticals on dips/breakouts


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱40,000 Allocation)

Goal: Deploy ~70% of capital in staggered layers, keeping ~30% as cash buffer for flexibility.

1️⃣ Layer 1 – Tactical Entry (Pullback Zone)
📌 Entry Price: ₱14.00
📦 Shares: 500 (5 lots)
💸 Allocation: ₱7,000 (17.5% of capital)
🎯 Rationale: First defense zone above 20MA

2️⃣ Layer 2 – Core Entry (Stronger Support)
📌 Entry Price: ₱13.80
📦 Shares: 1,000 (10 lots)
💸 Allocation: ₱13,800 (34.5% of capital)
🎯 Rationale: Mid-range support (near 50MA)

3️⃣ Layer 3 – Breakout Add (Confirmation Trade)
📌 Entry Price: ₱14.70
📦 Shares: 500 (5 lots)
💸 Allocation: ₱7,350 (18.4% of capital)
🎯 Rationale: Buy strength upon breakout above resistance

💰 Total Committed Capital: ₱28,150 (~70%)
💵 Remaining Cash Buffer: ₱11,850 (~30%)


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

Strategy: Gradual trimming at resistance levels while keeping exposure for dividend yield.

1️⃣ First Exit – Trim Tactical
📌 Price: ₱14.80
📦 Shares: 500 (Layer 1)
🎯 Rationale: Lock gains from tactical pullback buy

2️⃣ Second Exit – Partial Core
📌 Price: ₱15.20
📦 Shares: 500 (half of Layer 2)
🎯 Rationale: Protect gains as price nears major resistance

3️⃣ Third Exit – Final Core / Breakout Add
📌 Price: ₱15.80+
📦 Shares: 500–1,000 (Layer 3 and remaining core)
🎯 Rationale: Take profits or hold selected shares for long-term dividend

⚠️ Hard Stop: ₱13.50 (close below this = thesis violation)


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / BUY ON PULLBACK
Recommendation: Test-buy sa ₱13.80–₱14.00. Add only on confirmed breakout over ₱14.60.
Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱13.50.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Gradual exits at ₱14.80, ₱15.20, and ₱15.80.
Position Size Strategy: Moderate core, tactical adds only on confirmation.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Sa mundo ng trading, hindi laging sunod-sunod ang pag-akyat—minsan kailangan muna mag-ipon ng lakas. Tulad ng disiplina at pasensya sa buhay, si MREIT ay paunti-unting umaakyat, steady lang, basta’t may tiwala at malinaw ang plano.


📊 Trade Simulation Update

Portfolio: Shariah-Compliant REIT Portfolio
Allocation: ₱40,000
Active Position: None (waiting for pullback or breakout)
Quick Hatol: Hintay lang, huwag mainip—darating din ang tamang buwelo.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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