Showing posts with label Hybrid 10-Step System. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hybrid 10-Step System. Show all posts

Sunday, November 23, 2025

Understanding Our Two Core Systems: The Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (Long-Term Focus Variant) and the Strategic Deep Averaging Strategy (SDA)

Board Lot Warrior › Subok Series › Orientation Post

A visual guide to the two evolving systems of the Micro Stock Trader Blog—showing how the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy and SDA work together across different market cycles.

Dito nagsisimula ang bagong kabanata ng Micro Stock Trader. After months of real trades, real risks, and real lessons, it’s time to refine our backbone strategies — the Hybrid 10-Step Long-Term Variant and Strategic Deep Averaging. Kung gusto mong maintindihan bakit ganito ang takbo ng ating mga decisions lately, this post lays the foundation.

Sa gitna ng pabago-bagong takbo ng PSE at lumalalim na karanasan natin bilang Board Lot Warrior, kailangan nating maglatag ng malinaw at solidong pundasyon. Hindi sapat ang instincts; kailangan natin ng strategy na may backbone — isang framework na may puso at prinsipyo.

Sa post na ito, ilalahad nating ang updated Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (Long-Term Focus Variant) at ang Strategic Deep Averaging (SDA) approach na pinanday ng tunay na trades, tunay na losses, at tunay na tawakkul.
Ito ang magiging gabay nating lahat moving forward.


1. The Hybrid 10-Step Strategy — Long-Term Focus Variant

Ito ang core playbook ng Micro Stock Trader para sa long-term, halal-friendly, board-lot-based investing. Kung may isang strategy na kaya mong gamitin kahit 10 years from now, ito ’yon.

Purpose

Para sa long-term accumulators, hindi para sa intraday traders.
Ginagamit sa Halal Core Growth, Ethical Turnaround Picks, at minsan sa Tactical Rotation Fund kapag long-term ang underlying picture.

What it does

• It evaluates a stock from macro → micro
• It aligns technicals + valuation + fundamentals
• It provides a full decision framework para di ka mabiktima ng emotions

Below is the detailed but narrative-friendly version of the steps.


STEP 1 — Identify Market State & Trend Context

Gamit ang monthly + weekly chart, tinitingnan natin kung:
• Bottoming ba?
• Reversal ba?
• Uptrend continuation ba?
• O trap lang?

Ito ang foundation ng long-term view. Walang layer kung hindi pasado dito.


STEP 2 — Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

Hinahanap kung undervalued relative to:
• Multi-year retracement zones
• Long-term support
• Intrinsic value alignment
• Dividend yield support

Ito ang step kung saan nasasabi nating: “Oo, may value dito.”


STEP 3 — Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

Tinitimbang ang behavior ng bulls/bears sa weekly at daily candlesticks.

Dito lumalabas ang:
• Heavy red → weakness
• Mid-range bars → neutrality
• Ignition bars → strength
• Volume shift → interest


STEP 4 — Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

Entry only kapag may alignment ang:
• Fundamental story
• Technical structure
• Risk environment
• Islamic ethical screens


STEP 5 — Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation

Hindi natin ginagamit ang traditional stop-loss.
Sa long-term variant, ang rule ay simple:
“Exit only if the underlying thesis is broken.”

Hindi tayo napapaikot ng noise.


STEP 6 — Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

This step checks kung nagbabago ang character ng trend.
Color shift → possible cycle shift.
Ito ang guide para malaman kung accumulated shares ba ay tama ang direction.


STEP 7 — Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

Small exits near valuation peaks.
Hindi all-out selling.
This is the heart of long-term sustainability.


STEP 8 — Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

Every correction = opportunity.
Pero hindi basta buy.
We wait for the alignment of Steps 1–4 again.


STEP 9 — Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

Ito ang pinaka-importante sa halal investing:
No excessive risk, no gambling, no over-concentration.


STEP 10 — Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

Final filter based on your Islamic investing principles and risk ethics.


2. Strategic Deep Averaging Strategy (SDA) — P/L-Driven Down-Cycle Strategy

Ito ang pinaka-unique sa Micro Stock Trader ecosystem.

Hindi ito usual "buy the dip."
Hindi rin ito long-term investing strategy.
Hindi rin ito pang-uptrend.

Purpose

Ginagamit only sa stocks na:
• Pre-qualified
• Fundamentally solid
• Halal-compliant
• May extremely low bankruptcy probability
• Bumagsak lang dahil sa market cycle, hindi dahil sa broken company

Identity of SDA

SDA = survival strategy inside a downcycle.
Habang bumabagsak, hindi ka natatakot.
Pero hindi ka rin basta buy, buy, buy.

You buy only when the unrealized P/L levels hit predetermined thresholds.

Core features

  1. Emotionless, P/L-based buying

  2. 10-layer maximum per downcycle

  3. Board-lot based accumulation

  4. No exits during downtrends

  5. Exit only sa cycle recovery or overvaluation zone

When it is used

• Heavy downtrend
• Macro crash
• PSEi at multi-year lows
• Consumer defensive stocks (URC, MONDE, WLCON, etc.)
• Market-wide fear and uncertainty
• When valuations are deeply discounted

Hindi ito ginagamit sa uptrend.
Hindi ito pantapat sa Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.
SDA is a downcycle weapon.


3. Newly Formulated SDA Exit Rules

Ito ang bagong bahagi ng strategy na nag-evolve during your live journaling.

General Philosophy

SDA accumulates deep but exits shallow.
Because the enemy of SDA is overconfidence.

Exit Rule #1 — Small Wins, Big Survivals

Kapag nagre-recover na ang presyo at tumatama sa +12% to +18% profit:
• Sell 1 board lot
• Keep the rest

This “slow release” exits the lowest layers first, creating natural de-risking.


Exit Rule #2 — Valuation Recovery Alignment

Kapag lumalapit sa fair value or lumalampas sa moving averages (20/50/100),
You trigger:
Layer-by-layer release
• No single big exit
• 1–3 board lots per sell signal


Exit Rule #3 — Overvaluation Exit

If price becomes clearly expensive:
• You exit majority of remaining lots
• But preserve at least 1 core lot (optional depende sa stock)


Exit Rule #4 — Thesis Break = Hard Exit

Ito ang rare case.

Kapag:
• May fraud
• May legal catastrophe
• Value collapse
• Broken thesis confirmed

Exit regardless of P/L.


4. How These Two Systems Co-Exist in the Blog

Kung bago ka sa Micro Stock Trader blog, mapapansin mong:

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

→ ginagamit sa uptrend structures
→ ginagamit sa long-term portfolios
→ ginagamit sa Halal Core Growth
→ ginagamit sa Stock Price Review posts
→ ginagamit sa Ethical Turnaround Picks

Strategic Deep Averaging (SDA)

→ ginagamit sa downtrends
→ ginagamit sa Subok Series crash environments
→ ginagamit kapag emotional risk ang kalaban, hindi fundamentals
→ ginagamit sa Board Lot Warrior persona

They do NOT conflict.

They serve different cycles.
They are used for different purposes.

If the market is rising → Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
If the market is falling → SDA

If the market is chaotic → both systems can appear, but in different portfolios.


5. Why We Are Evolving These Systems Publicly

Because this blog is not a “guru page.”
This is a documentation of a real person trading real capital,
guided by halal ethics, risk management, and emotional honesty.

Every rule is born from:
• Real losses
• Real wins
• Real decisions
• Real tawakkul

And that’s why many readers resonate with it.


Closing Thoughts

Kung bago ka pa lang, welcome sa journey.
Kung matagal ka na rito, salamat sa pag-stay sa pinaka-authentic na trading documentation sa Philippines.

Ang mahalaga dito:
Dalawa ang sandata natin—isa para sa storms, isa para sa sunshine.
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy for the bright seasons.
SDA for the dark valleys.

Together, they create a full-cycle, halal-friendly, emotion-resilient trading framework na hindi mo makikita sa kahit anong foreign YouTube channel.


SDA Exit Rules Update:


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Your official Micro Stock Trader Navigation Hub badge—use this icon to link readers to the main directory of all series and strategies.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment



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