Showing posts with label MONDE. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MONDE. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 5, 2025

MONDE Trade Evaluation: Trade No. 5/20 – Phase 2 Live Testing Review & Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Performance (Feb 5, 2025)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 5/20
  • Date: February 5, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Momentum Entry from Early Reversal Attempt
  • Signal: Breakout Above Recent Support with Strong Green Bar
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Shares Bought: Last 500 out of 1200 shares allocated (completing full position)
  • Entry Price: ₱7.79
  • Position Size: Full allocation completed

📌 Chart Overview:

  • Daily Chart: MONDE posted a strong +8.06% gain, closing at ₱7.78 with a volume surge of 13.978M shares, showing renewed interest and an early reversal signal.
  • The price is now above ₱7.50 and approaching the 20-MA (₱7.28), a critical short-term resistance level.
  • The 200-MA (₱9.67) remains well above, indicating that MONDE is still in a longer-term downtrend.
  • Monthly Chart: The price action shows a potential bottoming attempt, with MONDE bouncing from multi-year lows. However, the 20-MA (₱9.12) remains a key resistance level.
MONDE stock price monthly chart analysis for live testing under Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of February 5, 2025.

MONDE Trade No. 5/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Monthly Chart

MONDE stock price daily chart analysis for live testing under Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of February 5, 2025.

MONDE Trade No. 5/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Daily Chart

Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 7/10

  • MONDE is in a long-term downtrend but has shown strong signs of a short-term bottom.
  • A recovery attempt is underway, but confirmation is needed above ₱8.00-₱8.50.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Price is now trading slightly above key support levels but remains under major resistance zones (₱8.50-₱9.00).
  • Break above ₱8.00 would confirm a short-term bullish structure.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 9/10

  • Strong green candle with increasing volume confirms buying pressure.
  • A close above ₱7.80 signals continuation potential.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Entry aligns with a bullish move past recent support.
  • A break above ₱8.00-₱8.50 would further validate bullish momentum.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱7.50 ensures controlled downside risk.
  • A deeper pullback below ₱7.30 would invalidate the trade setup.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 8/10

  • Bullish price action with strong volume confirms upward momentum.
  • Needs continuation above ₱8.00 for stronger validation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First target: ₱8.50 (next major resistance).
  • Final target: ₱9.50-₱10.00 (longer-term retracement zone).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 7/10

  • A pullback to ₱7.60-₱7.70 could offer another entry opportunity.
  • Breakout above ₱8.00-₱8.50 justifies adding more exposure.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • Full allocation deployed, limiting further scaling.
  • Risk management is crucial near resistance levels.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 7/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but caution is needed near ₱8.50 resistance.
  • Failure to hold ₱7.50 could lead to further downside.

📌 Overall Strategy Score: 80/100

📌 Summary: Trade was well-executed based on momentum confirmation, but resistance near ₱8.50 must be monitored.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 8.0/10

✅ Trade Execution: Entry positioned at a breakout level, aligning with short-term trend reversal.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱7.50 ensures controlled downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱8.50, scaling out at ₱9.50-₱10.00.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Full allocation, requiring strict risk management.

Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱8.00-₱8.50. If MONDE holds this level, consider holding the position for further gains.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱7.50. If momentum weakens, reassess the trade and adjust stop-loss accordingly.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If MONDE retests ₱7.60 and holds, consider adding more exposure in future setups.

🚨 Conclusion: Trade No. 5 remains strong, with a bullish outlook. A move above ₱8.50 would confirm further upside, while a break below ₱7.50 would require caution. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Contents

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) experienced a significant decline in January 2025, closing at 6.65, reflecting a -22.67% drop for the month. The stock reached a high of 8.60 before breaking down and closing near its lows. MONDE is currently trading well below the 20-MA (9.13), confirming a continued downtrend with strong selling pressure.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 6.65
  • High: 8.60
  • Low: 6.65
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 9.13
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not available

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 12.00 (Strong resistance)
  • 75% Pullback: 10.00 (Major rejection area)
  • 50% Pullback: 8.00 (Short-term resistance)
  • 0% Pullback: 6.00 (Recent support)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Long-term trend remains bearish, as price is well below the 20-MA (9.13).
  • January’s massive red candle confirms a breakdown, indicating that sellers remain dominant.
  • If price drops below 6.00, the next potential support is uncertain.

✅ Market State: Strong downtrend with heavy selling pressure.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Avoid aggressive buying until stabilization occurs.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Negative Position: Price remains well below the 20-MA, signaling strong downside momentum.
  • Retracement Zone: 6.00 - 6.50 is a key support area that must hold for a potential bounce.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Watch for stabilization before making new entries.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s red candle is a power bar to the downside, signaling strong selling.
  • Volume was extremely high (174.3M), confirming institutional selling pressure.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No bullish breakout signals yet.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trades executed at 6.95 (500 shares on January 27), 7.18 (300 shares on January 31), and 7.16 (100 shares on January 31) were placed within the recent support zone.
  • Price closed lower at 6.65, which means positions are currently at a drawdown.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No additional buys until a reversal signal appears.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 6.00 to limit downside exposure.
  • A breakdown below 6.00 could trigger further declines.

✅ Risk is controlled, but the setup remains weak.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Manage risk carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No green reversal signals appeared this month.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price rebounds to 8.00, consider partial exits to mitigate risk.
  • If price fails to hold 6.00, reassess exposure.

✅ Holding remains a valid strategy with caution.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit, but monitor closely.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 6.00 if it holds as support.

✅ Consider adding on dips only if 6.00 holds.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Avoid new entries unless stability is confirmed.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trades at 6.95 and 7.18 are currently at a loss, requiring careful risk management.
  • If price moves above 7.50, adding to the position could be considered.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adjusting.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is necessary as the stock remains in a confirmed downtrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.

Final Trade Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain the position at 6.95 - 7.18, but avoid adding aggressively until a confirmed reversal appears.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below 6.00 to manage downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 8.00 - 10.00 for partial exits if a bounce occurs.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding only if price stabilizes above 6.50.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 7.50 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold cautiously, as the trend remains weak.
🔹 Existing holders → Monitor the 6.00 level for potential support failure.
🚨 Final Thought: MONDE is in a strong downtrend with high selling volume. Wait for stabilization before adding more positions. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Monday, January 27, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 9 – Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 9/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks (Step 8)
  • Signal: Price testing key support at ₱6.95 near 50% pullback level
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Shares Bought: 500 out of 900 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱6.95
  • Position Size: 56% Allocation

📌 Chart Overview:

  • Price is testing key support at ₱6.80-₱7.00 (retracement zone).
  • 50% pullback level at ₱7.04 was breached, bringing price close to the 0% pullback zone at ₱6.80.
  • Trend remains bearish, as price is below the 20-MA (₱7.68) and 200-MA (₱9.79).
  • Volume surged to 4.528M, indicating significant trading activity.
MONDE Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

MONDE Trade No. 9/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 6/10

  • MONDE remains in a downtrend, with price below both moving averages.
  • Attempted stabilization near ₱7.00, but selling pressure remains strong.
  • Needs a strong bounce above ₱7.10 to confirm support.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Entry near ₱6.95 aligns with key support and pullback levels.
  • However, the stock is below both moving averages, meaning upside remains limited.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 6/10

  • Recent candles lack strong green power bars, indicating weak momentum.
  • Price struggling to hold support, raising the risk of further downside.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Entry aligns with retracement structure, but confirmation is needed above ₱7.00-₱7.10.
  • Break below ₱6.80 would invalidate the trade setup.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱6.80 to control downside risk.
  • A break below this level would weaken the trade significantly.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 5/10

  • No clear bullish reversal pattern yet.
  • A green candle above ₱7.10 would validate a potential recovery.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 8/10

  • First target: ₱7.28 (100% pullback zone).
  • Final target: ₱7.68 (20-MA resistance level).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 7/10

  • Re-entry near support at ₱6.95 aligns with the strategy.
  • A bounce above ₱7.10 would confirm strength for scaling up.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 7/10

  • 56% of the position has been deployed, leaving room for scaling up.
  • Further additions should be made only above ₱7.10-₱7.28.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 5/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but entry in a bearish trend requires caution.
  • Failure to hold ₱6.80 invalidates the setup and necessitates an exit.

📌 Overall Strategy Score: 67/100
📌 Summary: The entry aligns with support, but confirmation above ₱7.10-₱7.28 is needed to maintain bullish bias.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 6.7/10

✅ Trade Execution: Entry positioned near key support level, aligning with re-entry criteria.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱6.80 ensures controlled downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱7.28, scaling out at ₱7.68.

✅ Position Size Strategy: 56% Allocation, leaving room for re-entries or scaling up.

Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱7.10-₱7.28. If MONDE holds this level, consider scaling up.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱6.80. If momentum weakens, reassess the trade and exit below ₱6.80.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If MONDE retests ₱6.80 and holds, consider adding more shares.

🚨 Conclusion: Trade No. 9 remains valid with moderate conviction, but confirmation of strength above ₱7.10 is critical for a successful outcome. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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