Showing posts with label Momentum Trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Momentum Trading. Show all posts

Friday, June 27, 2025

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Daily Chart as of June 27, 2025 (Mid-Day) – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

WLCON Daily Chart as of June 27, 2025 Mid-Day showing extended breakout past ₱9.00 with continued bullish momentum and volume confirmation.

WLCON breaks above ₱9.00 in mid-day trade on June 27, 2025. Hybrid 10-Step Strategy confirms hold with trailing stop and partial exit.

📅 Published: June 27, 2025 – 12:30 PM

🔄 Updated: June 27, 2025 – 9:00 PM


Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

📌 Introduction

Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) continued its rally as of the mid-day trading session on June 27, 2025, reaching an intraday high of ₱9.20 and last trading at ₱9.07, up by 6.71%. The stock has now gained significant momentum from its recent breakout above ₱8.50, drawing attention from momentum traders and position investors.

This review focuses on the mid-day daily chart, using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant to assess whether this move still offers an attractive opportunity or if partial exits should be prioritized.

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 27, 2025 (Mid-Day Session)
Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Daily (Mid-Day Chart)
Last Price: ₱9.07
High: ₱9.20
Low: ₱8.50
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱7.50
50-MA (Mid-Term Trend): ₱6.73
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱11.09
Volume (Mid-Day): 4.83M shares


📈 Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
WLCON is now in a clear short-term uptrend with strong separation between the price and the 20- and 50-day moving averages. The chart reflects a momentum continuation structure.
Verdict: BUY

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
The price is well above both the 20- and 50-day MAs, indicating that the current move is in the upper segment of the power leg. While not ideal for new entries, it remains valid for momentum follow-through.
Verdict: HOLD (for current holders); WAIT (for new entries)

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
A series of green candles has led to today’s breakout above ₱9.00. Volume remains strong mid-day, exceeding 4.8M.
Verdict: BUY

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
A proper entry occurred at the breakout of ₱8.50. Buying now at ₱9.07 carries increased risk and should be avoided unless price consolidates.
Verdict: HOLD (add only on breakout of ₱9.50 or pullback to ₱8.30–₱8.50)

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
A new trailing stop can be placed below ₱8.20 to protect unrealized gains.
Verdict: BUY with trailing stop

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
Multiple consecutive green candles confirm bullish momentum, with no reversal candle patterns present.
Verdict: BUY

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategy with Tactical Exits
Key levels to watch are ₱9.80, ₱10.50, and ₱11.00 (200-MA). A gradual scale-out approach is recommended.
Verdict: BEGIN PARTIAL SELLING near ₱9.80

Step 8: Potential Re-entry Zones
Pullbacks to ₱8.30–₱8.50 may be used to re-enter or add shares, especially on declining volume.
Verdict: WATCH for re-entry setups on weakness

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Additional tactical buys should only occur on a breakout above ₱9.50 or during clean consolidations.
Verdict: HOLD current exposure

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
No longer applicable. This is now a momentum continuation move with full trend reversal confirmation.
Verdict: Valid Trend-Following Setup


✅ Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD / PARTIAL PROFIT-TAKING

Recommendation: Maintain current positions. Do not chase further buys at ₱9.00+ without consolidation or breakout confirmation.

Risk Management: Trailing stop at ₱8.20 to lock in gains.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Begin trimming at ₱9.80 and ₱10.50. Final exit zone lies near the 200-MA at ₱11.09.

Position Size Strategy: Do not add more unless a pullback forms or a volume-backed breakout occurs.


🔜 Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Consider partial exits between ₱9.80 and ₱10.50

🔹 Existing holders → Hold and protect gains with a raised stop

🔹 Long-term investors → Wait for consolidation or continuation setup before committing new capital

🚨 Final Thought: WLCON is transitioning from breakout to extended move territory. Price is stretched but still climbing. Patience and trailing stops are key to locking in gains from here.

🔍 Commentary: Comparison Between June 27 Mid-Day Price Review and June 26 Trade Evaluation

  • Our June 26, 2025 Trade Evaluation scored our WLCON trade actions at 90/100, validating the timely execution of Layer 1 and Layer 3 buys as price confirmed a breakout past ₱8.00. At the time of that review, WLCON was trading in the ₱8.28–₱8.35 range, sitting just above key resistance levels but still early in the continuation phase. The setup was supported by a healthy weekly structure and rising volume, but further confirmation was required to justify continued upside.
  • In contrast, the June 27, 2025 mid-day price review presents a different technical phase. WLCON has now moved firmly into the momentum phase, breaching the psychological ₱9.00 barrier and printing a high of ₱9.20. This shift positions the stock outside of ideal entry zones, especially for new buyers. The Hybrid 10-Step Strategy now shifts from tactical entry planning to exit management, trailing stop adjustment, and risk protection.

  • While the June 26 evaluation focused on compliance and strategic positioning for entry, the June 27 update signals a transition from accumulation to reward harvesting. The current task is not to add exposure, but to manage gains, trim positions near targets like ₱9.80–₱10.50, and watch for exhaustion or overextension.

Both reviews agree that WLCON is in a confirmed uptrend. However, their respective focuses differ:

  • June 26 Evaluation → Validated entries, confirmed breakout, active layering

  • June 27 Review → Price extension, hold bias, partial exit, and trailing stop strategy

👉 In summary: The strategy has shifted from execution to management. Traders must now protect profits, not chase further highs. The groundwork has already been laid — the market is now responding.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


WLCON Reviews and Evaluation


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Friday, January 24, 2025

ATI Intra-Day Chart Evaluation – Buy or Sell Decision

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Intra-Day (Daily Chart Reference)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱17.02
  • High: ₱17.46
  • Low: ₱16.34
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱16.81
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱18.61
  • Price Movement: Potential trend reversal with strong volume
  • Volume: 159.2K, significantly higher than previous sessions
Stock chart of ATI showing price reversal above 20-MA with increased volume and key resistance levels.

ATI Intra-Day Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

ATI has been in a clear downtrend for several months, with price consistently trading below the 20-MA and 200-MA. However, today’s strong green candle, breaking above the 20-MA with high volume, signals a potential trend reversal.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price broke above the 20-MA (₱16.81), suggesting a short-term momentum shift.
  • The 200-MA (₱18.61) is still above, meaning the long-term trend is bearish.
  • Resistance levels:
    • First resistance: ₱17.50 (recent swing high)
    • Major resistance: ₱18.00-₱18.50 (near 200-MA)
  • Support levels:
    • Immediate support: ₱16.80 (20-MA)
    • Stronger support: ₱16.30 (recent low)

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • A strong green power bar suggests high buying pressure.
  • Volume is significantly higher, confirming potential institutional accumulation.
  • No major retracement yet, but price holding above ₱16.80 is crucial for further upside.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Ideal entry range: ₱16.80-₱17.00, as price recently cleared the 20-MA.
  • A pullback to ₱16.50-₱16.80 would provide a higher probability entry.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • Stop-loss below ₱16.80 for short-term traders.
  • A wider stop at ₱16.30 for a more conservative risk approach.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • If price closes above ₱17.00 with another green candle on Monday, it confirms the reversal strength.
  • A red candle close below ₱16.80 would signal weakness.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • First target: ₱17.50, a key resistance zone.
  • Second target: ₱18.00, a pre-breakdown level.
  • Final target: ₱18.60-₱19.00, near the 200-MA resistance.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • If price retraces to ₱16.80, a second entry for additional shares can be considered.
  • A retracement to ₱16.50 would offer another buying opportunity.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Increase position if price clears ₱17.50.
  • Reduce exposure if price struggles below ₱16.80.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trade setup, as today’s price action signals an early-stage reversal.

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

Recommendation: BUY today at ₱16.80-₱17.00, given the breakout above the 20-MA with strong volume.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱16.80 to protect against downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target ₱17.50, ₱18.00, and ₱18.60 for gradual exits.

Position Size Strategy: Start with a moderate position and add if momentum continues above ₱17.50.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action at ₱17.50. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱17.50, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱16.80. If the stock fails to hold the breakout, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱16.80 or lower, reassess for a second entry.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Evaluation of Trade No. 4 Evaluation – Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 4/20
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Momentum Entry
  • Signal: Previous day’s green bar close and price within the 50%-75% trend reversal zone
  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Shares Bought: 1,000
  • Entry Price: ₱2.21
  • Position Size: 1/3 of PREIT test trade allocation
Stock chart of PREIT showing trade entry near 50% pullback sweet spot with moving averages and key levels.

PREIT Trade No. 4 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 9/10

PREIT was in consolidation with a slight upward bias, forming a higher low structure near the 50% pullback sweet spot at ₱2.20. The previous day’s green closing bar signaled potential momentum continuation.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 10/10

  • Price was above the 20-MA (₱2.19), indicating short-term bullish momentum.
  • Price remained well above the 200-MA (₱1.98), confirming long-term stability.
  • The entry at ₱2.21 was aligned with the 50% pullback sweet spot, providing an optimal risk-reward ratio.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 8/10

  • The previous day closed with a green power bar, confirming buying strength.
  • The current session started with stability, maintaining price above the 50% retracement zone.
  • The absence of immediate selling pressure strengthened the trade conviction.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 9/10

  • Entry at ₱2.21 aligned with the 50% to 75% trend reversal zone, which historically acts as a high-probability area for trend continuation.
  • Price action confirmed momentum stability at this level, justifying the 1/3 position size.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Initial stop-loss placed at ₱2.13 (below 33% retracement), ensuring minimal downside risk.
  • A more conservative exit trigger would be below ₱2.19, breaking short-term moving average support.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 7/10

  • A red candle close below ₱2.19 would weaken the bullish thesis.
  • Green candles at ₱2.20 or above would confirm bullish trend continuation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First profit target: ₱2.26 (66% retracement level)
  • Second profit target: ₱2.30 (75% pullback sweet spot)
  • A final exit would be considered at ₱2.40, the previous high.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 8/10

  • If price retraces back to ₱2.20, a second entry for additional shares could be considered.
  • A failed breakout above ₱2.26 would trigger profit-taking and re-evaluation.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • If price holds above ₱2.26, an additional position could be added.
  • If price breaks below ₱2.19, a manual exit would be evaluated.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 10/10

  • No counter-trend trades were taken, as the uptrend remained intact.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 8.8/10

Trade Execution: Well-timed entry within the 50% pullback sweet spot, aligning with trend continuation signals.

Risk Management: Stop-loss set below ₱2.19, ensuring controlled downside.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target at ₱2.26, scaling out at ₱2.30-₱2.40.

Position Size Strategy: 1/3 of PREIT test allocation, allowing flexibility for future re-entries.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱2.26. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱2.26, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱2.19. If the stock loses momentum, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱2.20 or lower, evaluate a second position.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Featured Post

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Daily Chart as of June 27, 2025 (Mid-Day) – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

WLCON breaks above ₱9.00 in mid-day trade on June 27, 2025. Hybrid 10-Step Strategy confirms hold with trailing stop and partial exit . 📅 P...