TACTICAL ROTATION FUND | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Panimula: Pagkatapos ng Konsolidasyon, May Buwelo na
Matagal ding nag-ipon ng lakas ang ICT mula sa sideways galaw nitong unang bahagi ng taon. Pero nitong mga nakaraang linggo, tuloy-tuloy ang akyat at lumampas na sa ₱480 area, na dati’y naging mahigpit na resistance.
Wala tayong naunang review para sa ICT dito sa Subok Series, kaya ngayon ay magandang pagkakataon na balikan at suriin ito gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy. Tanong ngayon: may espasyo pa ba sa rally, o maghihintay muna tayo ng panibagong setup bago pumasok?
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Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
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Date: August 15, 2025
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Stock: International Container Terminal Services, Inc. (ICT)
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Exchange: PSE
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Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
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Closing Price: ₱481.00
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High: ₱494.80
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Low: ₱481.00
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20-MA (Short-Term): ₱409.30
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50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱396.00
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200-MA (Long-Term): ₱272.30
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Clear uptrend. Price is well above all major MAs.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 2: Price Position & Value Zones
Price at ₱481, far above 20MA (₱409). Extended na, posibleng maghanap ng pahinga.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
Recent green bars with steady volume—momentum still intact.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Fundamentals + Technical)
Breakout above ₱450 confirmed. Fundamentals remain solid (ICT is a global leader in port ops).
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 9/10
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy
Logical SL sa ₱450, which aligns with 8MA support.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
No reversal signs yet; bars remain bullish.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation Cycles
Resistance ahead near ₱500 psychological level. Pwede nang partial trim kapag tumama.
➡ Verdict: HOLD/Trim
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans
Best re-entry kung mag-retest sa ₱450–₱460 zone.
➡ Verdict: WAIT TO RE-ENTER
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 9: Position Size Planning
Moderate size muna (20–30% allocation). Breakout confirmation → pwede dagdag.
➡ Verdict: BUY (moderate size)
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
No major red flags. ICT business aligned with logistics, allowed for halal investing.
➡ Verdict: BUY
✅ Score: 9/10
🧮 Total Score: 80/100
(A strong BUY rating, pero watch out for overextension.)
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Parang barkong nagsimula nang umusad matapos ang mahabang paghinto sa pier. Kung may hawak ka na, hawakan pa. Pero kung sasakay ka pa lang, mas maigi maghintay ng tamang baybayin ng presyo bago pumasok.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱460–₱470 (best re-entry zone)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱450 (structure break)
📌 Target Prices: ₱500 (short-term), ₱520–₱550 (medium-term)
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Trim at ₱500; re-add if retest holds ₱460 with bounce.
📌 Position Strategy: Start with moderate size (10 shares minimum = ₱4,810), add on breakout continuation.
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱50,000 Allocation)
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Layer 1 – ₱470: 10 shares = ₱4,700 (Test Buy)
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Layer 2 – ₱460: 20 shares = ₱9,200 (Confirmation Buy)
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Layer 3 – ₱450: 30 shares = ₱13,500 (Core Build-up)
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Layer 4 – ₱430: 40 shares = ₱17,200 (Aggressive Add)
✅ Total Committed Capital: ₱44,600
💸 Remaining Cash Buffer: ₱5,400 (11%)
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
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Exit 1 – ₱500: 20 shares (take profit at round number resistance)
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Exit 2 – ₱520: 20 shares (partial trim, lock gains)
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Exit 3 – ₱550: 30 shares (major profit take)
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Exit 4 – Trail Stop: last 30 shares, ride trend until reversal
⚠️ Always respect hard stop below ₱450.
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: BUY / WAIT FOR DIP
✅ Recommendation: Enter at ₱460–₱470 range or add on confirmed breakout above ₱500.
✅ Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱450 to protect capital.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale out at ₱500, ₱520, ₱550.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start moderate, add only if trend confirms.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Sa paglalayag ng isang barko, mahalaga ang tamang timpla ng pasensya at disiplina. Hindi lahat ng biyahe ay para sumakay agad. Minsan, hintayin munang dumaong sa tamang pantalan bago tumalon.
📊 Trade Simulation Update
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Portfolio: Tactical Rotation Fund
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Allocation: ₱50,000
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Active Position: None yet, waiting for entry zone (₱460–₱470)
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Quick Hatol: BUY on dip, avoid chasing highs
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado. Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
