Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITs Series
Nilalaman:
- Panimula
- Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
- Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
- Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
- Layered Accumulation Plan
- Phased Exit Plan
📌 Paalala para sa Review na Ito
Ang review na ito ay bahagi ng ating serye kung saan sinusuri natin hindi lang ang Shariah-compliant stocks, kundi pati na rin ang ilang hindi pa kasama sa opisyal na listahan.
👉 Para lang po ito sa public awareness.
👉 Hindi ito automatic na buy recommendation.
👉 Kayo pa rin ang may final na desisyon sa inyong investment journey.
Tuloy lang ang pag-aaral, mga ka-trader!
1. Panimula
📌 TRADE DETAILS
Date: July 11, 2025
Stock: AREIT, Inc. (AREIT)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱41.05
High: ₱41.60
Low: ₱40.95
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱39.82
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱37.63
AREIT ay isa sa mga kilalang Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) sa PSE na kilala sa consistent dividend yield at quality commercial real estate assets. Sa chart ngayong linggo, may panibagong senyales ng lakas—pero pasok ba ito sa ating Hybrid 10-Step Strategy?
Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant, sisilipin natin kung bibili ba tayo, maghihintay, o magbebenta.
2. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Nasa uptrend si AREIT sa weekly timeframe. Price ay consistent na nasa taas ng 200-MA (₱37.63) at 20-MA (₱39.82). Malawak ang space sa pagitan nila — bullish wide state ito.
➡ Verdict: BUY candidate
✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price is above both MAs — positive position. Nasa mid-range pullback pa siya coming from breakout, kaya hindi overextended.
➡ Verdict: BUY candidate
✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Malinis ang mga green candles nitong mga nakaraang linggo, may breakout attempt above ₱41 pero may konting rejection sa taas. Volume ay medyo lumamig pero hindi alarming.
➡ Verdict: HOLD/WAIT for confirmation
✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Technically, may breakout above recent resistance (₱40), pero kailangan pa ng follow-through above ₱41.60.
➡ Verdict: WAIT for bullish continuation confirmation
✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Ang logical stop loss ay below ₱39.00 (malapit sa 20-MA) or tight below ₱39.50 kung conservative.
➡ Verdict: VALID setup if entered at ₱40 or below
✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Walang reversal signals. Green ang color coding ng candles at nakaangat ang short-term MA.
➡ Verdict: HOLD or ADD on confirmation
✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Immediate resistance ay nasa ₱42.50 to ₱43.00. Long-term range target nasa ₱45–₱47 kung bullish scenario mag-materialize.
➡ Verdict: WATCH for partial exits near ₱43+
✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung bumalik sa ₱39.50–₱40 with bounce, puwedeng re-entry area.
➡ Verdict: VALID re-entry candidate on dip
✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Ideal ang core entry with 50% of capital kung may confirmation breakout above ₱41.60. Tactical test buy ok sa mga dips.
➡ Verdict: Start with Tactical Entry, scale to Core if confirmed
✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Hindi ito counter-trend. Wala rin tayong major drops kaya hindi pa applicable ang contrarian buy.
➡ Verdict: Not Applicable
3. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?
Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT with Tactical Readiness
✅ Recommendation: Maghintay ng clear breakout and close above ₱41.60 bago mag full position. Tactical test buy ok sa ₱40–₱40.50 area.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱39.00 para protectahan ang setup kung bumagsak.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exit sa ₱43–₱45 zone, full exit kung makitaan ng rejection sa ₱47+.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Simulan sa maliit na 100-share tactical test buy, dagdagan lang kung mag-confirm ang uptrend breakout.
4. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
🔹 Short-term traders → Maghintay ng breakout close above ₱41.60 bago pumasok.
🔹 Long-term investors → Pwede magtactical buy sa ₱40 area, pero huwag munang mag-full commit. Maghintay ng confirmation.
🔹 Existing holders → HOLD position. Consider trimming sa ₱43+ kung short-term ang horizon.
🚨 Final Thought: Huwag mong habulin ang breakout hangga’t hindi pa confirmed. Malaki ang potential ni AREIT pero may resistensya pa sa ₱42+.
5. Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital | 1 board lot = 100 shares)
Goal: Maximize buying opportunities while minimizing risk.
📦 Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy
➡ 100 shares @ ₱40.00 = ₱4,000
🎯 Condition: Enter if may dip + bounce sa ₱39.80–₱40.20
📦 Layer 2 – Confirmation Buy
➡ 100 shares @ ₱41.60 = ₱4,160
🎯 Condition: Enter on breakout close above ₱41.60 with volume
📦 Layer 3 – Momentum Add-On (Optional)
➡ 100 shares @ ₱43.00 = ₱4,300
🎯 Condition: Add only if strong move with high volume and bullish market
💡 Note: Total capital na gagamitin sa ideal scenario ay nasa ₱8,160–₱8,460. May natitirang buffer for flexibility.
6. Phased Exit Plan
🎯 Target 1 – Partial Exit
➡ ₱43.00
📦 Ibenta ang 100 shares na Layer 2
🎯 Target 2 – Full Exit
➡ ₱45.00–₱47.00
📦 Ibenta ang remaining shares (Layer 1 and/or Layer 3)
🚨 Emergency Exit / Stop Loss
➡ ₱39.00
📉 Pag nabasag ito with volume, exit all remaining positions.
BASAHIN PA: Board Lot Warrior | REITs Series (July 11, 2025)
Weekly Stock Price Reviews ng mga REIT gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.
Tuloy-tuloy ang aral at diskarte! Heto ang kabuuang listahan ng mga REITs na sinuri ngayong linggo—mula sa Shariah-compliant picks gaya ng DDMPR at RCR, hanggang sa mainstream REITs tulad ng AREIT at VREIT. Alamin kung alin ang may buwelo, alin ang sideways pa, at kung kailan pwedeng pumasok kahit board lot lang ang kaya ng puhunan.
Shariah-Compliant REITs
Reviewed for Public Awareness
Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.
Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
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