Friday, August 15, 2025

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
ETHICAL TURNAROUND PICKS | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

SCC Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing price testing 200-MA support at ₱32.16.
Weekly candlestick chart of Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) with moving averages and key support-resistance levels.

Panimula: Antabay sa Susi ng Pagbangon

Noong August 1 review, nakita natin ang SCC na nakatuntong sa 200-MA support sa paligid ng ₱32.11 habang sinusubukan ang base-building phase. Ngayon, August 15, bumaba pa ng konti ang short-term averages at halos sumalubong na sa presyo, pero nananatiling nakatayo ang 200-MA sa ₱32.16 bilang matibay na sandigan.

Tanong ngayon: hudyat ba ito ng mas malalim na paghina, o tahimik lang na paghanda para sa susunod na buwelo? Tuloy ang pagbabantay, lalo na’t nasa ethical turnaround list natin ito.

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

Date: August 15, 2025
Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframes: Weekly (primary)
Closing Price: ₱32.50
High: ₱32.60
Low: ₱32.15
20-MA (Short-Term): ₱33.10
50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱34.00
200-MA (Long-Term): ₱32.16

📌 Kumpara noong August 1 (₱33.00 close), mas mababa ng 50 sentimos ngayon ang presyo at mas dikit na sa 200-MA. Ang short- at mid-term averages ay pababa pa rin, kaya nananatiling testing phase ang laban.


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Price is consolidating near long-term support. Still in bottoming phase.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price hugging 200-MA at ₱32.16, value zone intact.
➡ Verdict: BUY WATCH
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Small candles, weak volume. Walang breakout bar.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 5/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Breakout above ₱34.50 remains needed. Walang bagong trigger.
➡ Verdict: HOLD OFF
✅ Score: 5/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
₱31.50 stop-loss stays valid.
➡ Verdict: OK
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Neutral-to-red pa rin, no green shift.
➡ Verdict: NOT YET
✅ Score: 5/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Targets remain ₱36, ₱38.50, ₱42. Structure intact.
➡ Verdict: OK
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung mag-breakdown sa ₱32 pero bumawi agad, tactical re-entry valid.
➡ Verdict: PREPARE
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Stay small (Layer 1 only). Core only above ₱34.50.
➡ Verdict: START SMALL
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Still halal-compliant; qualifies as turnaround.
➡ Verdict: ALLOWED
✅ Score: 8/10

🧮 Total Score: 67/100 (same as August 1 review—neutral to cautious stance maintained).


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Parang bangka sa Batangas Bay — naka-angkla pero walang bumubulong na makina. SCC ay steady sa 200-MA pero wala pang hatak ng volume. Diyan muna tayo sa pantalan — handa, pero huwag padalos-dalos.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Range: ₱32.00–₱33.00 (test zone)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱31.50 (hard stop below 200-MA)
📌 Target Prices: ₱36.00, ₱38.50, ₱42.00
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only above ₱34.50 breakout with volume
📌 Position Strategy: Tactical small buy; avoid full core until reversal confirmed


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱75,000 Allocation)

Layer 1 – Tactical Base Buy
₱33.00 | 400 shares | ₱13,200 allocation (~18%)
Rationale: Test buy at 200-MA

Layer 2 – Breakout Add
₱34.50 | 700 shares | ₱24,150 allocation (~32%)
Rationale: Confirm breakout above 50-MA

Layer 3 – Confirmation Layer
₱36.50 | 1,100 shares | ₱40,150 allocation (~50%)
Rationale: Full conviction add on reversal strength

👉 Total: 2,200 shares | ~₱77,500 (slightly over capital, adjust Layer 3 down to fit ₱75k)


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

🎯 Target 1: ₱36.00 – Sell 20% (~440 shares)
🎯 Target 2: ₱38.50 – Sell 40% (~880 shares)
🎯 Target 3: ₱42.00 – Sell 40% (~880 shares)

🔒 Hard Stop: ₱31.50 (all shares exit if broken).


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / TACTICAL BUY
Recommendation: Small tactical buy at ₱32–₱33 zone. Build only on breakout above ₱34.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱31.50 to protect capital.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Exit gradually at ₱36, ₱38.50, and ₱42.
Position Size Strategy: Stay small; core only if trend confirms.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Patience muna, kapatid. Ang trading ay hindi karera kundi lakad na may direksyon. Kung hindi pa binibigay ang hudyat ng buwelo, huwag pilitin. Tuloy lang sa disiplina, tawakkul, at pagrespeto sa setup.


📌 Trade Simulation Update

Portfolio: Ethical Turnaround Picks
Allocation: ₱75,000
Active Position: None (waiting tactical entry at ₱32–₱33)
Quick Hatol: Steady sa support—pero walang hangin pa ang layag.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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