SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱200,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
Panimula: Abang Muna sa Gitna ng Katahimikan
Kamusta mga ka-Subok! Noong July 13, 2025 review, nakita natin si DDMPR na parang nagsisimulang mag-base sa ₱1.05–₱1.08 zone. May konting pag-asa noon na baka umangat kung mag-breakout sa ₱1.10.
Ngayon August 15, 2025, halos pareho pa rin ang itsura pero mas maingat ang galaw: bumaba sa ₱1.05, dumulas sa ilalim ng 8-MA at 20-MA, at nakasiksik sa 50-MA. Tahimik, walang buwelo, parang bangkang nakatali sa pantalan—handa pero hindi pa lumalayag.
Tanong: Mag-aabang ba tayo hanggang may malinaw na senyas ng reversal, o papasok na ulit kahit tahimik ang alon?
5 Paghahati ng Biglaang Rizq: May Layunin ang Bawat Piso — Subok ng Puso Series #2
₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
Date: August 15, 2025
Stock: DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
Closing Price: ₱1.05
High / Low: ₱1.07 / ₱1.04
Volume (9wk avg ref): ~14.13M
8‑MA: ₱1.07
20‑MA: ₱1.06
50‑MA: ₱1.05
200‑MA: ₱1.29
Ano ang nagbago mula July 13, 2025 review (week of July 11):
• Close mula ₱1.07 → ₱1.05 (light fade).
• Price ngayon below 8‑MA at 20‑MA, dikit sa 50‑MA (noon ay halos kahilera/above short MAs).
• 200‑MA nag-slide pa sa ₱1.29 (dating ~₱1.31) – long-term downtrend pa rin.
• Range pa rin sa ₱1.04–₱1.08; walang decisive breakout.
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Long-term downtrend intact (price malayo pa rin sa 200‑MA). Short-term, naging mas mahina: price below 8/20, nakasandal sa 50.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 5/10
Step 2: Price Position & Value Zones
Below 8- & 20‑MA (negative), pero nasa value band ng 50‑MA/₱1.05 support; malayo pa rin sa 200‑MA (undervalued structurally).
➡ Verdict: HOLD / SCOUT NEAR ₱1.03–₱1.05
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
Walang green power bar; tight bars lang at average volume. Walang clear momentum edge.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR STRENGTH
✅ Score: 5/10
Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Tech + Fundamentals)
Tech trigger na gusto natin: break above ₱1.08–₱1.10 with volume or strong bounce off ₱1.03–₱1.05.
➡ Verdict: TACTICAL BUY ONLY ON DIP OR CONFIRMATION
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy (Thesis Violation)
Hard stop below ₱1.00 (psych + swing structure). Tighten if daily closes <₱1.03.
➡ Verdict: SET HARD STOP
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 6: Color Change Signals
Kailangan ng malinaw na green close above ₱1.07–₱1.08 to flip short-term tone. Wala pa.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR COLOR CHANGE
✅ Score: 5/10
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation/Growth Cycles
Targets intact: ₱1.15 / ₱1.20 / ₱1.25 kapag may breakout confirmation.
➡ Verdict: TRIM INTO RESISTANCES
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans
Re-enter on supportive dips ₱1.02–₱1.04 if buyers show up; otherwise let it base. Limit re-entries.
➡ Verdict: ALLOW ONE TEST RE-ENTRY ONLY
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 9: Position Size Planning
Stay small habang walang breakout; core builds only after regaining 20‑MA and taking ₱1.10.
➡ Verdict: SMALL FIRST, ADD ON BREAKOUT
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
REIT, Shariah-screened list reference; counter-trend buys only on steep dips + strict stops.
➡ Verdict: ALLOW SMALL ETHICAL TEST BUY ON SUPPORT
✅ Score: 6/10
🧮 Total Score: 60/100
(Last review est.: 62/100 — bahagyang bumaba dahil price slipped under 8/20‑MA at walang power bar.)
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Para itong bangkang nakadaong sa pantalan: hindi pa pumapalaot, pero hindi rin lumulubog. Hawak sa timon, dahan-dahan, at huwag padalos-dalos. Kapag umalon sa ₱1.08–₱1.10, saka tayo daragdag. Kung lumusot sa ₱1.00, tahimik na umatras.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Ranges: Test buys sa ₱1.03–₱1.05 kung may intraday support; add only on breakout > ₱1.10 with volume.
📌 Stop-Loss Level: Hard stop below ₱1.00; tighten to <₱1.03 kung weak closes.
📌 Target Prices: ₱1.15 → ₱1.20 → ₱1.25 staged trims.
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add small on regain of 20‑MA and close ≥₱1.10; trim 25–30% each target.
📌 Position Strategy: Small size muna; convert to moderate only after confirmed breakout.
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱30,000 Allocation)
Goal: conservative build habang naghihintay ng confirmation; leave cash buffer.
• Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy: ₱1.05, 1,000 shares (~₱1,050 + fees). Rationale: tagiliran ng 50‑MA, near support. Allocation: ~₱1,100 (~4%).
• Layer 2 – Support Probe: ₱1.04, 1,000 shares. Rationale: dip toward value band; add only if buyers show. Allocation: ~₱1,090.
• Layer 3 – Deep Support Contingency: ₱1.02, 1,000 shares (optional). Rationale: final test near structure. Allocation: ~₱1,070.
• Layer 4 – Confirmation Add: ₱1.10, 1,000 shares upon strong close. Allocation: ~₱1,120.
• Layer 5 – Breakout Add: ₱1.15, 1,000 shares only if volume > 20‑wk avg. Allocation: ~₱1,160.
Planned Capital Used: ~₱5,540–₱5,600 (≈19% of ₱30k)
Cash Buffer: ~₱24k for flexibility and risk control.
Why small? Sideways-to-soft bias; we pay up only on confirmation.
At bago tayo tumuloy sa exit strategy, sagutin muna natin ng mas malalim ang tanong sa itaas: bakit nga ba maliit lang ang aktwal na na-deploy vs. ₱30k capital natin sa DDMPR?
Micro Stock Trader’s Commentary: Bakit Maliit ang Na-deploy na Capital?
Siguro mapapansin ninyo, mga ka-Subok, na kahit ₱30,000 ang nakalaan sa DDMPR, hanggang 19% lang (~₱5,600) ang nasa current Layered Plan. Bakit ganito kaliit?
👉 Dahil wala pang malinaw na trend reversal, ang Layers 1–5 ay scout entries lang. Ayaw muna nating i-lock ang buong kapital sa base-forming stage.
👉 Ang malaking cash buffer (~₱24k) ay hindi sayang — ito ang “expansion ammo” na gagamitin natin kapag:
-
May decisive breakout confirmation (₱1.10–₱1.15+ with volume).
-
O kaya kung magkaroon ng panic dip <₱1.00 na may reversal signal.
Ibig sabihin, dynamic ang layering. Yung Layer 1–5 ay default plan lang ngayon, pero puwede tayong magdagdag ng panibagong set of layers kung mag-evolve ang chart.
Sa madaling salita: mas mabuting may sobrang cash buffer kaysa maipit dahil over-allocated agad sa maling timing.
🪁 Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader: “’Wag mong ubusin ang lambat kung wala pang huli. Magtabi ng pisi — baka bukas biglang sumargo ang bangka.”
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
• Stage 1 – ₱1.15: Exit 25–30% to lock early gains and reduce risk near resistance.
• Stage 2 – ₱1.20: Exit next 25–30% as price tests higher band.
• Stage 3 – ₱1.25: Exit 25–30% into strength; trail remainder if momentum persists.
• Stage 4 – Runner: Hold last 10–15% only if price holds above ₱1.20 post-breakout; otherwise close.
Hard Stop Reminder: Full exit on weekly close under ₱1.00 or decisive breakdown of support with volume.
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT TO ADD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain small, tactical exposure only ₱1.03–₱1.05; add only on confirmed breakout above ₱1.10 with volume.
✅ Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱1.00; tighten to <₱1.03 if weakness persists.
✅ Profit Strategy: Trim at ₱1.15 / ₱1.20 / ₱1.25; trail remainder.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Small to start; scale to moderate after 20‑MA regained and ₱1.10 cleared.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Ang disiplina ang tunay na edge sa ganitong mga “hintayin-muna” setups. Sabr (patience) at amanah (responsible stewardship) ang kasama sa bawat click ng buy/sell. Kung wala pang linaw, huwag pilitin—ingatan ang kapital para sa tamang oras.
Trade Simulation Update
Portfolio: SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO
Allocation Now: Small tactical exposure only (max 5,000 shares plan; may remain unfilled).
Active Position: None or small test lot; P/L depende sa entry.
Quick Hatol: Sideways-soft; hintay sa ₱1.10 confirmation bago dagdag.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.
Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
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