Thursday, August 28, 2025

Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Trade Simulation Evaluation: Weekly Chart as of August 28, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

WLCON Weekly Chart as of August 28, 2025 showing bounce above 20-MA but capped below 50-MA resistance.
Weekly candlestick chart of Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) with moving averages and key support–resistance levels.

Panimula

Ayun na nga, kabayan—noong August 15 review, si WLCON ay nag-preno sa ₱9.60 matapos ma-untog sa 50-MA. Ngayon, August 28, medyo bumaba pa at naglaro sa ₱8.80 buy zone natin. At least, buhay pa ang short-term recovery kasi nakasalalay sa ibabaw ng 20-MA.

Kung last time ay sinabi nating “hintayin ang breakout o buy the dip,” eto na nga—naka-execute tayo ng dagdag na 1,500 shares sa ₱8.80. Tanong: ito ba’y tamang dagdag o delikadong sabit sa ilalim ng 50-MA?

Trade Simulation Update #17 – August 28, 2025
Stock Trading Capital Allocation: ₱100,000
Bought 1,500 shares of WLCON at ₱8.80 = ₱13,200
Ending Position: 4,500 shares = ₱40,500
Halal Core Growth Portfolio | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE


Nilalaman

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

  • Date: August 28, 2025

  • Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)

  • Exchange: PSE

  • Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)

  • Closing Price: ₱8.80

  • High: ₱8.90

  • Low: ₱8.39

  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱7.91

  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱10.35

  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱21.38

Changes vs August 15:

  • Presyo: ₱9.60 → ₱8.80 (mas malalim na pullback).

  • 20-MA: ₱7.73 → ₱7.91 (still rising).

  • 50-MA: ₱10.73 → ₱10.35 (nagpapababa, overhead resistance pa rin).

  • Buod: Presyo ngayon nasa ibabaw pa rin ng 20-MA pero di makalusot sa 50-MA.


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Short-term uptrend above 20-MA; pero medium/long-term downtrend pa rin (50/200-MA pababa).
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Presyo nasa ibabaw ng 20-MA pero malayo pa sa 50-MA; nasa gitna ng recovery zone.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
Green candle (+4.02%) pero maliit lang ang range; walang malakas na volume spike.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Fundamental/Technical Triggers)
Naka-buy tayo sa ₱8.80—sakto sa dip zone, pero wala pang breakout trigger.
➡ Verdict: HOLD / WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy (Thesis Violation, Not Noise)
Tactical stop dapat ₱8.50; hard stop ₱8.00 para proteksyon sa breakdown.
➡ Verdict: RAISED STOP IN PLACE
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Green candle nakabawi after prior red; bantayan kung susunod ang higher low.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation & Growth Cycles
Target resistance ₱10.50–₱11.00; doon pwedeng mag-trim.
➡ Verdict: PARTIAL SELL PLAN ACTIVE
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Naka-add na sa ₱8.80; next possible re-entry nasa ₱8.40–₱8.50 (if healthy pullback).
➡ Verdict: EXECUTED + PLAN NEXT
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning (Long-Term Portfolios)
Current: 4,500 shares (~40% allocation). Moderate pa rin, may room for adds.
➡ Verdict: MAINTAIN
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
Halal-screened; wala tayong counter-trend play. Discipline pa rin ang focus.
➡ Verdict: PROCEED ETHICALLY
✅ Score: 9/10

Decision criteria gauge showing BUY (80–100), CONDITIONAL BUY (65–79), WAIT (50–64), and RISK OFF (below 50).

🧮 Total Score: 76/100
(Umakyat ng 1 point mula Aug 15 dahil sa matagumpay na dip execution, pero hindi pa breakout.)


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Parang jeep na bumaba sa boundary, nakasingit ng dagdag pasahero sa ₱8.80. Pero wag kang kampante—baka biglang may checkpoint sa ₱10.35 (50-MA). Kaya’t steady lang ang manibela, wag mag-overtake kung di malinaw ang kalsada.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱8.40–₱8.80 (defensive dip), add on breakout > ₱10.80
📌 Stop-Loss Level: ₱8.50 tactical; ₱8.00 hard stop
📌 Target Prices: ₱10.50, ₱11.20, ₱12.50
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only on breakout; trim near ₱10.50–₱11.00
📌 Position Strategy: Moderate core; faster accumulation implemented


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱100,000 Allocation | Faster Deployment)

  • Layer 1 – Executed: ₱9.10, 3,000 shares ≈ ₱27,300 (~27%)

  • Trade Simulation #10: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Trade Simulation Review – Weekly Chart as of July 28, 2025 

  • Layer 2 – Executed: ₱8.80, 1,500 shares ≈ ₱13,200 (~13%)

  • Trade Simulation #17: Note: This post.

  • Layer 3 – Dip Add: ₱8.40–₱8.50, 1,500 shares ≈ ₱12,750 (~13%)

  • Layer 4 – Breakout Add: ₱10.80–₱11.00, 1,500 shares ≈ ₱16,200 (~16%)

  • Layer 5 – Continuation Add: ₱11.60–₱11.80, 1,000 shares ≈ ₱11,700 (~12%)

Total Possible Commitment: ₱81,150 (~81%)
Remaining Cash Buffer: ₱18,850 (~19%)


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

  • Stage 1 – ₱10.50: Exit 1,000 shares (~10% of capital).

  • Stage 2 – ₱11.20: Exit 1,200 shares (~12%).

  • Stage 3 – ₱12.00: Exit 1,300 shares (~13%).

  • Stage 4 – ₱12.80+: Trail remainder (20% retention).

Hard Stop: ₱8.00 (breakdown invalidation).


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD WITH READY ADDS

Recommendation: Hold 4,500 shares. Add only sa ₱8.40–₱8.50 defensive dip o breakout over ₱10.80.
Risk Management: Tactical stop ₱8.50; hard stop ₱8.00.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Trim near ₱10.50–₱11.20; scale out sa ₱12.00–₱12.80; retain 20%.
Position Size Strategy: Faster accumulation executed; keep moderate until breakout confirm.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Sa pangangalakal, hindi lang bilis ng add ang sukatan—kundi timing ng bawat hakbang. Sa tamang oras, Allah will grant rizq, basta’t disiplinado at tapat tayo sa plano.


📌 Trade Simulation Update #17 – August 28, 2025

  • Portfolio: Halal Core Growth Portfolio

  • Allocation: ₱100,000

  • Active Position: 4,500 shares @ avg ₱9.00 ≈ ₱40,500

  • Quick Hatol: Hold, bantayan ang ₱8.40–₱8.50 dip o breakout over ₱10.80.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment



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Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).


A collection of faith-driven investing lessons and reflections archived under Subok sa Puso.
A collection of faith-driven investing lessons and reflections archived under Subok sa Puso.

Ang “Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy” ay nagsimula sa isang tanong: “Kung biglang dumating ang isang milyong piso, susunod pa rin ba ang puso sa plano?” Mula sa biglaang biyaya, isinilang ang isang serye na hindi lang tungkol sa pag-invest—kundi sa pagsubok ng puso gamit ang disiplina ng Hybrid 10-Step Strategy para sa long-term at halal-conscious na trading.


₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy — Series #1
₱1,000,000 Walang Kapalit: Subok ng Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy — Series #1
The day biglaang rizq arrived without condition—and the test of the heart began.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—“Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”

Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.

Isang milyong pisong biglaang dumating.
Hindi galing sa sugal. Hindi hiram.
Malinis. Legal. Bigay.
Rizq—kung tutuusin.

Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
O “saan ko i-invest?”
Kundi—“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”



Breaking down the ₱1M windfall into purpose-driven portfolios aligned with faith.
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(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Nang dumating ang isang milyong piso na walang hinihinging kapalit, hindi ito basta tinanggap. Ito ay tinanggap na may pagtanaw ng utang na loob, panalangin, at pagnanais gamitin sa tama. Kaya't ito ang naging bahagi ng allocation—hindi lang bilang isang strategist, kundi bilang isang Muslim na mulat sa bigat ng pananagutan.


Focused on long-term growth stocks with halal fundamentals and conviction.
Halal Core Growth Portfolio — Series #3
Focused on long-term growth stocks with halal fundamentals and conviction.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱400,000

Objective: This portfolio seeks long-term growth from fundamentally strongethically aligned, and ideally Shariah-compliant businesses

Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.



Seeking steady halal income through screened REITs and dividend plays.
Shariah-Compliant Dividend / REIT Portfolio — Series #4
Seeking steady halal income through screened REITs and dividend plays.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱200,000

Objective: To generate passive income from a selection of halal-screened REITs and dividend-paying companies that pass ethical and Shariah filters.

Ito ang bahagi ng portfolio na tumatanggap ng biyaya habang natutulog ka, pero hindi mula sa haram.



Targeting undervalued stocks with a comeback story—and a conscience.
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(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱150,000

Objective: To capture capital appreciation from undervalued or temporarily beaten-down companies showing signs of recovery—without crossing the ethical line.

Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.



A battleground for real trades, small capital, and live tactical testing.
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A battleground for real trades, small capital, and live tactical testing.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: ₱150,000

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Hindi ito simulation. Hindi ito paper trade. Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.



Uninvested capital with a mission—ready for giving, regrouping, or guarding against loss.
Cash Reserve / Sadqah Buffer — Series #7
Uninvested capital with a mission—ready for giving, regrouping, or guarding against loss.

(Automatically updates when changes are made)

Capital Allocation: Entire ₱100,000 is held in cash, fully unassigned to any stock.

Objective: To maintain spiritual discipline and financial humility by leaving room—intentionally—for:

  • 📉 Market patience
  • 🤲 Giving opportunities
  • ⚠️ Emergency trades
  • 🛑 Delayed entry signals
  • 💔 Life’s unplanned tests

This fund is not for stock picks.

This is for the moments when you choose not to act, because the best decision is sometimes to wait, or give.



Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog
Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
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Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

A collection of educational, mindset-based, and strategic posts for disciplined Batangueño retail traders with small capital but strong conviction.

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado. Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.


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Optimized for Accumulation, Patience, and Portfolio Growth

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GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

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