Is FPI a long-term value opportunity or a speculative breakout? Our updated stock price review explores this question using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus.
Contents:
- Introduction
- Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
- Final Stock Recommendation
- Next Steps
- Layered Accumulation Plan
- Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy
Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) weekly chart as of June 10, 2025
Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) monthly chart as of June 10, 2025
📍 I. Introduction
TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 10, 2025
Stock: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱0.2500
High: ₱0.2900
Low: ₱0.2500
20-MA: ₱0.2220 (Weekly), ₱0.2241 (Monthly)
200-MA: ₱0.2368 (Weekly)
50-MA: ₱0.2284 (Weekly), ₱0.2335 (Monthly)
8-MA: ₱0.2275 (Weekly), ₱0.2231 (Monthly)
A 10,000-share position was executed at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025, anticipating a breakout confirmation following a surge in volume and price.
This review uses the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant, designed for position trades that accumulate over value zones and hold through long-term cycles.
✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review
1. Market State & Trend Context
On the weekly chart, FPI has broken out from a long consolidation base, with volume surging to a 16-week high. On the monthly chart, price is reclaiming territory last seen in mid-2023, above key MAs.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)
2. Price Position & Value Zones
Price has moved slightly above the 200-week MA but is still within the broader long-term value zone identified between ₱0.22 and ₱0.25.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)
3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
The most recent weekly candle is a power bar with an extended body and high volume. Monthly candle also shows increasing demand.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 10/10)
4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
There’s limited fundamental news, but technically this is a high-probability volume breakout zone above long-term consolidation.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 7/10)
5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
A soft stop can be positioned below ₱0.22, the 20- and 50-week MA convergence and volume base.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)
6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
The orange 8-MA is sloping upward, crossing over key MAs. Weekly and monthly trend flips suggest sustained directional change.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)
7. Profit-Taking Strategy
Initial resistance lies at ₱0.30–₱0.34; multi-year resistance band may cap rallies, suggesting partial take-profits at those zones.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)
8. Re-Entry Plans
Pullbacks to ₱0.22–₱0.23 are favorable for re-entry or position additions.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)
9. Position Size Strategy
FPI’s board lot is 10,000 shares per tick size; Php3,000 allows for 1 board lot. Begin with 1–2 lots, add near support.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)
10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
No negative ESG news. Low-cap nature adds speculative risk but no violations detected for our ethical account.
➡ Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)
🎯 Final Score: 85/100 – STRONG BUY ZONE UNDER HYBRID 10-STEP STRATEGY
🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation
Final Stock Recommendation: BUY
📅 Recommendation: Accumulate at ₱0.22–₱0.25 as price confirms breakout with volume and multi-timeframe alignment.
🔢 Risk Management: Soft stop below ₱0.22 or if large red bar closes under 200-MA.
💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Consider partial exits at ₱0.30, ₱0.34, and ₱0.45 if volume sustains.
📆 Position Size Strategy: Start with 1–2 board lots (Php2,500–₱5,000) and layer on dips near the 20-week MA.
🔄 IV. Next Steps
Short-term traders → Wait for an intraday pullback toward ₱0.23–₱0.24 to re-enter with tight stops.
Long-term investors → Begin layering from ₱0.22–₱0.25, hold as long as price remains above trend MAs.
Existing holders → Maintain position, observe volume continuation, and consider partial profits if price reaches ₱0.30+
🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI
(Based on Php3,000.00 Capital and 10,000-Share Board Lot)
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Layer 1 (Initial Entry): 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 = ₱2,500 (Executed June 10, 2025)
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Layer 2 (Pullback Buy): 10,000 shares at ₱0.23 = ₱2,300 (GTC suggested)
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Layer 3 (Final Add-on): 10,000 shares at ₱0.22 if market retests MA20 base
Plan total: 30,000 shares (₱7,300 exposure max) over 3 layers
📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant
Executed Trade: June 10, 2025 – BUY 10,000 shares at ₱0.25
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Market Context: 9/10
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Value Zone Entry: 8/10
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Power Bar Confirmation: 10/10
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Technical Validity: 7/10
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Stop-Loss Consideration: 8/10
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MA Crossover Signal: 9/10
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Profit Setup: 8/10
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Re-Entry Strategy: 9/10
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Lot Compliance & Layering: 9/10
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Ethical Trading Fit: 8/10
🎯 Final Score: 85/100 – ALIGNED WITH STRATEGY AND TRADEABLE
🚨 Final Thought: Patience and discipline are key—stay focused on value zones and thesis integrity. Let the chart do the talking.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
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