ABA Daily Chart as of September 15, 2025 showing price closing at ₱0.51, retesting flush zone support near ₱0.50–₱0.51 with weak momentum.
Similarly, ABA Weekly Chart as of September 15, 2025 showing price closing at ₱0.51, retesting flush zone support near ₱0.50–₱0.51 with weak momentum. | Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE.
ABA Trading Capital: ₱5,000
Active Position: 2,000 shares @ ₱0.5265 average = ₱1,053.09 including fees
Panimula: Tahimik na Labanan sa Flush Zone
Mga kasama, mukhang nahulog pa ng -₱0.01 si ABA ngayong linggo (₱0.51 close). Kahit simple lang tingnan, malaki ang kwento sa ilalim: nasa flush zone tayo. Kung tutuusin, medyo nagpipigil ang market—walang malakas na bugso ng volume, parang test lang kung matibay ba ang suporta o hindi. Ang tanong: ito ba’y paghahanda sa pag-akyat, o simpleng pahinga bago pa muling dumulas pababa?
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
-
Date: September 15, 2025
-
Stock: Abacore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
-
Exchange: PSE
-
Timeframe: Weekly
-
Closing Price: ₱0.51
-
High: ₱0.54
-
Low: ₱0.50
-
MAs: 8MA ₱0.57 | 20MA ₱0.62 | 50MA ₱0.59 | 200MA ₱1.29
-
Volume (50W-MA): 38.251M | Actual Weekly: 23.259M
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Step 1 – Market State & Trend Context
Still in downtrend; support being tested at ₱0.50–₱0.51.
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 2 – Price Position & Value Zones
Price below short and mid-term MAs, near flush zone. Risky but possible value.
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 3 – Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume
Small red candle, weak conviction. Volume above 50W-MA, pero hindi explosive.
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 4 – Entry Confirmation (Fundamental + Technical)
Fundamentals halal-compliant, undervalued book, pero technical trigger weak.
✅ Score: 6/10
Step 5 – Stop-Loss Policy
Hard stop: ₱0.49. Thesis stop: ₱0.50 flush zone.
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 6 – Color Change Signals
Back-to-back red weeks, negating last green.
✅ Score: 5/10
Step 7 – Profit-Taking Setup
Targets: ₱0.57–₱0.59, ₱0.66, ₱0.74, ₱0.80+.
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 8 – Re-Entry After Market Dips
Valid add sa ₱0.50–₱0.51 defense, if weak-volume flush down.
✅ Score: 7/10
Step 9 – Position Size Planning
2,000 shares (₱1,053 deployed) of ₱5,000 capital = ~21%. Still light.
✅ Score: 8/10
Step 10 – Ethical & Halal Overlay
Aligned sa principles, non-speculative.
✅ Score: 10/10
🧮 Total Score: 70 / 100 → Conditional BUY / Hold
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Kung baga sa sabayang inuman, si ABA ay parang isang baso ng kapeng barako na medyo lumamig. Hawak mo pa, pero hindi na gano’n kasarap higupin. Kung may dagdag apoy sa apoy (volume), saka lang ulit magiging matapang ang timpla.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱0.50–₱0.52 defense zone; add only if bounce confirmed.
📌 Stop-Loss Levels: Hard stop ₱0.49; Thesis stop ₱0.50.
📌 Targets: ₱0.57–₱0.59 (test resistance), ₱0.66, ₱0.73–₱0.74, ₱0.80+.
📌 Strategy: Maintain 2,000 shares; add only with conviction volume (≥4.5M daily or ≥19M weekly).
5️⃣ Layered Accumulation Plan (₱5,000 Capital – Faster Deployment | Dual-Check)
Layer 1 – Scout Buy
📌 ₱0.52 | 1,000 shares → ✅ Executed
-
Daily Trigger: Support hold + daily volume ≥4.5M (50% of 50D-MA).
-
Weekly Validation: Friday close holds support + weekly volume ≥19M (50% of 50W-MA).
Layer 2 – Flush Zone Add
📌 ₱0.50–₱0.51 | 1,000 shares
-
Daily Trigger: Flush down wick with weak volume (<4.5M).
-
Weekly Validation: No confirmed breakdown by Friday close.
Layer 3 – Conviction Layer
📌 ₱0.53–₱0.54 | 1,000 shares → ✅ Executed
-
Daily Trigger: Green close above 8MA + daily volume ≥4.5M.
-
Weekly Validation: Weekly close above prior high + weekly volume ≥19M.
Layer 4 – Breakout Confirmation
📌 ₱0.57–₱0.60 | 1,000 shares
-
Daily Trigger: Breakout above resistance + daily volume ≥4.5M.
-
Weekly Validation: Friday close above ₱0.60 with weekly volume ≥19M.
Layer 5 – Super-Conviction
📌 ₱0.66 | 1,000 shares
-
Daily Trigger: Intraday breakout + daily volume ≥9M (100% of 50D-MA).
-
Weekly Validation: Sustained breakout + weekly volume ≥38M (100% of 50W-MA).
👉 Deployment Cap: Max 5,000 shares. Current: 2,000 shares @ ₱0.5265 avg.
6️⃣ Phased Exit Plan (Volume-Validated | Dual-Check)
Exit 1 – Trim Risk / Test Resistance
📌 ₱0.57–₱0.59 | Sell 1,000 shares
-
Daily Rule: Rejection with weak volume (<4.5M).
-
Weekly Rule: Friday close fails to break ₱0.59 with volume <19M.
Exit 2 – Mid-Range Profit
📌 ₱0.66 | Sell 1,000 shares
-
Daily Rule: Breakout stalls with weak follow-through.
-
Weekly Rule: No sustained close above ₱0.66 with ≥19M weekly volume.
Exit 3 – Extension Profit
📌 ₱0.73–₱0.74 | Sell 1,000 shares
-
Daily Rule: Exhaustion candles + volume tapering.
-
Weekly Rule: Rejection wick on Friday close.
Exit 4 – Runner Trail
📌 ₱0.80+ | Sell 1,000 shares
-
Daily Rule: Trail with 8MA close.
-
Weekly Rule: Rising volume sustains breakout.
⚠️ Cut Rules:
-
Immediate Cut: Breakdown below ₱0.49 + daily ≥4.5M or weekly ≥19M.
-
Delayed Cut: Breakdown with weak volume → observe up to 2 weeks.
-
Flush Zone Hold: ₱0.50–₱0.51 valid hold if weak volume breakdown.
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: CONDITIONAL BUY / HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain 2,000 shares; add only at ₱0.50–₱0.51 if weak-volume flush down.
✅ Risk Management: Cut below ₱0.49 on strong daily or weekly volume.
✅ Profit Strategy: Staged exits ₱0.57–₱0.80.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Still light (~21% allocation); room to scale only with confirmation.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Minsan, ang tunay na laban ay nasa paghihintay—huwag agad umatake kung walang kasamang sigaw ng suporta (volume). Sa ABA, nasa flush zone tayo: kung titibay ang depensa, may susunod na laban. Kung hindi, aba’y oras na para umatras.
📝 Reminder: Daily vs Weekly Volume Validation
-
Daily Volume (Execution Level):
-
Ginagamit para sa tactical layering at flush zone decisions.
-
Threshold: ≥50% ng 50D-MA (4.5M) = Strong / ≥100% (9M) = Super Strong.
-
Valid intraday o end-of-day.
-
-
Weekly Volume (Trend Validation):
-
Ginagamit para i-confirm kung sustainable ang support defense o breakout.
-
Threshold: ≥50% ng 50W-MA (19M) = Strong / ≥100% (38M) = Super Strong.
-
Valid lang sa Friday close — midweek moves ay tentative.
-
📌 Rule of Thumb: Daily = Entry Triggers, Weekly = Trend Verdict.
🔮 Possible Scenarios sa Friday Close (Sept 19, 2025) for ABA
1️⃣ Scenario A – Support Holds with Strong Weekly Volume
-
Close ≥ ₱0.51–₱0.52
-
Weekly volume ≥19M (50% of 50W-MA)
👉 Action: VALIDATE support defense. Pwede magdagdag sa Layer 2 (₱0.50–₱0.51) kung may natira pang allocation.
2️⃣ Scenario B – Support Holds pero Weak Volume
-
Close ≥ ₱0.51 pero weekly volume <19M
👉 Action: HUWAG muna mag-add. Defensive hold lang sa 2,000 shares. Susunod na linggo ulit ang bantayan.
3️⃣ Scenario C – Breakdown with Strong Volume
-
Close < ₱0.50
-
Weekly volume ≥19M
👉 Action: Immediate Cut (exit all). This means invalidated na ang flush zone, thesis violated.
4️⃣ Scenario D – Breakdown pero Weak Volume
-
Close < ₱0.50
-
Weekly volume <19M
👉 Action: Delayed Cut → Observe up to 2 weeks. Pwede pang “false flush” kung walang conviction. Hold defensive size.
5️⃣ Scenario E – Breakout Attempt Above ₱0.57–₱0.60
-
Close ≥ ₱0.60
-
Weekly volume ≥19M
👉 Action: VALID breakout. Trigger Layer 4 (₱0.57–₱0.60) add.
6️⃣ Scenario F – Breakout Wick (Flush Up)
-
Intraday breakout pero close below ₱0.57–₱0.60
-
Volume weak
👉 Action: Skip add. Treat as flush up. Hold lang.
📝 Key Point:
-
Mon–Thu: Execution possible (scout adds or trims) using daily triggers.
-
Friday: Validation day → confirms kung yung galaw ng week ay valid or fake.
📌 Kaya:
-
Daily = pang-entry/exit tactical moves.
-
Friday = pang-validate ng trend.
📊 Bakit allowed ang add hanggang Friday close?
-
Daily execution = tactical timing.
-
Any day, Mon–Fri, puwedeng mag-layer using daily rules (≥4.5M volume for conviction).
-
-
Weekly validation = trend verdict.
-
Pero ang final hatol kung “valid” ba ang bounce/breakout ay lalabas lang sa Friday settlement candle.
-
-
Friday = dual role.
-
That day, we get both the execution (daily triggers) and the final validation (weekly close).
-
Kaya pwede tayong mag-add up to the last minute (including run-off), dahil yun na ang magiging official weekly data point.
-
🔑 Nuances sa Friday Execution
-
✅ If support/bounce confirmed intraday with strong daily volume (≥4.5M): we can add.
-
✅ If breakout above ₱0.57–₱0.60 with ≥4.5M daily volume: tactical add is valid.
-
✅ If weekly close confirms (≥19M weekly volume): mas lalo pang validated ang add.
-
⚠️ If intraday breakout pero weak volume → possible Flush Up: better skip, kahit Friday.
-
⚠️ If breakdown below ₱0.50 with ≥19M weekly volume: immediate cut, even in run-off.
📑 Jimmy Series Link Hub
Stock Price Review
Trade ReviewMidweek Note
Validation FridayMore Posts
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment
👉 Kung handa ka nang i-level up ang iyong journey, Open your DragonFi account via Micro Stock Trader referral. Click here to join DragonFi.
DragonFi Lite: Investing Made for Everyone
Kung naghahanap ka naman ng mas magaang entry point sa stock market, bagay na bagay sa’yo ang DragonFi Lite — available na mismo sa MAYA app.
✅ Zero cash-in at cash-out fees – Sulit bawat piso, walang dagdag singil.
✅ No initial deposit – Pwede ka magsimula kahit maliit ang puhunan.
✅ All-in-one investing app – Lahat nasa iisang app na: savings, bills, at ngayon pati stocks.
Para sa isang Batangueñong Board Lot Warrior, swak ito kung gusto mo munang sumubok ng maliit na galaw bago mag-full throttle sa stock market. Para kang bumibili muna ng tingi sa palengke bago ka magpakilo-kilo.
👉 Kung wala ka pang MAYA account, pwede kang sumali gamit ang aming referral link para makuha ang perks. Pagkatapos, open mo lang ang DragonFi Lite sa:
MAYA > Grow My Money > Stocks > DragonFi
Ito ang tunay na kahulugan ng “Investing made for everyone.”
Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—“Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”
Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.
Isang milyong pisong biglaang dumating.
Hindi galing sa sugal. Hindi hiram.
Malinis. Legal. Bigay.
Rizq—kung tutuusin.
Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
O “saan ko i-invest?”
Kundi—“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”
Capital Allocation: ₱400,000
Objective: This portfolio seeks long-term growth from fundamentally strong, ethically aligned, and ideally Shariah-compliant businesses.
Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.
Objective: To generate passive income from a selection of halal-screened REITs and dividend-paying companies that pass ethical and Shariah filters.
Ito ang bahagi ng portfolio na tumatanggap ng biyaya habang natutulog ka, pero hindi mula sa haram.
Objective: To capture capital appreciation from undervalued or temporarily beaten-down companies showing signs of recovery—without crossing the ethical line.
Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.
Objective: To execute short- to mid-term tactical trades using ₱10,000 per board lot based on the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy, with real money and real-time conviction—under the mindset of a Board Lot Warrior.
Hindi ito simulation. Hindi ito paper trade. Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.
Objective: To maintain spiritual discipline and financial humility by leaving room—intentionally—for:
- 📉 Market patience
- 🤲 Giving opportunities
- ⚠️ Emergency trades
- 🛑 Delayed entry signals
- 💔 Life’s unplanned tests
This fund is not for stock picks.
This is for the moments when you choose not to act, because the best decision is sometimes to wait, or give.
Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series
Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado. Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus VariantOptimized for Accumulation, Patience, and Portfolio Growth
4 na Yugto ng Hybrid 10-Step StrategyKumpletong Trade Cycle ng Isang Board Lot Warrior
Categorized for Halal & Ethical InvestingList of Shariah-Compliant Stocks at PSE (As of December 25, 2024)
Tension-Resilient Stocks Series7 Shariah-Compliant Stocks na Tension-Resilient Kapag Tumitindi ang Init: USA vs Russia Edition
Pang-Bagyo Picks SeriesAlin ang Hindi Natitinag Kapag May Sakuna?
No comments:
Post a Comment