Friday, January 24, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 4 Evaluation – Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 4/20
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Momentum Entry
  • Signal: Previous day’s green bar close and price within the 50%-75% trend reversal zone
  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Shares Bought: 1,000
  • Entry Price: ₱2.21
  • Position Size: 1/3 of PREIT test trade allocation
Stock chart of PREIT showing trade entry near 50% pullback sweet spot with moving averages and key levels.

PREIT Trade No. 4 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 9/10

PREIT was in consolidation with a slight upward bias, forming a higher low structure near the 50% pullback sweet spot at ₱2.20. The previous day’s green closing bar signaled potential momentum continuation.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 10/10

  • Price was above the 20-MA (₱2.19), indicating short-term bullish momentum.
  • Price remained well above the 200-MA (₱1.98), confirming long-term stability.
  • The entry at ₱2.21 was aligned with the 50% pullback sweet spot, providing an optimal risk-reward ratio.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 8/10

  • The previous day closed with a green power bar, confirming buying strength.
  • The current session started with stability, maintaining price above the 50% retracement zone.
  • The absence of immediate selling pressure strengthened the trade conviction.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 9/10

  • Entry at ₱2.21 aligned with the 50% to 75% trend reversal zone, which historically acts as a high-probability area for trend continuation.
  • Price action confirmed momentum stability at this level, justifying the 1/3 position size.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Initial stop-loss placed at ₱2.13 (below 33% retracement), ensuring minimal downside risk.
  • A more conservative exit trigger would be below ₱2.19, breaking short-term moving average support.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 7/10

  • A red candle close below ₱2.19 would weaken the bullish thesis.
  • Green candles at ₱2.20 or above would confirm bullish trend continuation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First profit target: ₱2.26 (66% retracement level)
  • Second profit target: ₱2.30 (75% pullback sweet spot)
  • A final exit would be considered at ₱2.40, the previous high.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 8/10

  • If price retraces back to ₱2.20, a second entry for additional shares could be considered.
  • A failed breakout above ₱2.26 would trigger profit-taking and re-evaluation.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • If price holds above ₱2.26, an additional position could be added.
  • If price breaks below ₱2.19, a manual exit would be evaluated.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 10/10

  • No counter-trend trades were taken, as the uptrend remained intact.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 8.8/10

Trade Execution: Well-timed entry within the 50% pullback sweet spot, aligning with trend continuation signals.

Risk Management: Stop-loss set below ₱2.19, ensuring controlled downside.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target at ₱2.26, scaling out at ₱2.30-₱2.40.

Position Size Strategy: 1/3 of PREIT test allocation, allowing flexibility for future re-entries.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱2.26. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱2.26, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱2.19. If the stock loses momentum, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱2.20 or lower, evaluate a second position.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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