Monday, January 27, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 6 – Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 6/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Momentum Entry
  • Signal: Break above the 20-MA with strong bullish momentum
  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Shares Bought: 400 out of 800 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱17.04
  • Position Size: 1/2 of target allocation

📌 Chart Overview:

  • ATI closed at ₱17.50 (+0.69%), maintaining its breakout structure.
  • The stock surged above the 20-MA (₱16.82), confirming short-term trend reversal.
  • 200-MA (₱18.61) serves as the next major resistance level.
  • Volume at 77.9K suggests steady accumulation.
ATI Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

ATI Trade No. 6/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 8/10

  • ATI is transitioning from a downtrend into a potential uptrend.
  • Break above the 20-MA signals trend reversal, but confirmation above ₱18.00 is needed.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Price reclaimed the 20-MA (₱16.82), signaling short-term strength.
  • The next resistance is at the 200-MA (₱18.61), which must be cleared for further upside.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 9/10

  • Strong bullish price action with a breakout candlestick.
  • Momentum suggests continuation, provided volume remains steady.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 8/10

  • Entry was well-timed as the price confirmed strength above ₱17.00.
  • A retracement to ₱16.50 would offer another entry opportunity.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱16.40 to minimize risk.
  • A breakdown below this level invalidates the trade setup.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 8/10

  • Green candlestick formation confirms buying pressure.
  • Needs follow-through above ₱17.50 to confirm continuation.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 9/10

  • First target: ₱18.50 (near the 200-MA).
  • Final target: ₱19.50-₱20.00 (key resistance zone).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 7/10

  • A retest of ₱16.80-₱17.00 would offer another entry.
  • Breakout above ₱18.00 justifies scaling into the position.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 8/10

  • 1/2 position deployed, leaving room for scaling if price stabilizes above ₱18.00.
  • Further exposure should only be added above ₱18.50.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 6/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but caution is needed near ₱18.50 resistance.
  • Failure to hold above ₱16.50 would weaken the bullish setup.

📌 Overall Strategy Score: 80/100
📌 Summary: Trade was well-positioned on a momentum breakout, with further upside potential if price clears ₱18.50.


Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 8.0/10

Trade Execution: Entry positioned at a breakout level, aligning with trend reversal.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱16.40 ensures controlled downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱18.50, scaling out at ₱19.50-₱20.00.

Position Size Strategy: 1/2 Allocation, keeping flexibility for re-entries.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱18.00-₱18.50. If ATI holds this level, consider scaling up.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱16.50. If momentum weakens, reassess the trade and exit below ₱16.40.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If ATI retests ₱16.80-₱17.00 and holds, consider adding more shares.

🚨 Conclusion: Trade No. 6 remains strong, with bullish momentum. A move above ₱18.50 would confirm further upside. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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