Thursday, January 23, 2025

Live Testing the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Day 4, Week 4: Evaluating URC, MONDE, ALLHC, DDMPR, and RCR for Potential Trades

Contents:

  • Overview: Entering Day 4 of Week 4 in Phase 2 of Our Live Testing
  • Stock Evaluations Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy
  • Final Thoughts – Are We Entering Our First Trade Today?


Overview: Entering Day 4 of Week 4 in Phase 2 of Our Live Testing

As we progress into Day 4 of Week 4 in Phase 2 of live testing our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy, we are still on the hunt for our first trade under this phase. The objective remains the same—identifying high-probability trade setups while ensuring strict adherence to risk management.

Despite multiple evaluations over the past weeks, no setup has met our strict entry criteria for initiating a position. This disciplined approach ensures that we do not force trades in unfavorable market conditions. Today, we are revisiting five stocks—URC, MONDE, ALLHC, DDMPR, and RCR—to evaluate their potential trade setups based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Stock chart of RCR from January 22, 2025, with key technical indicators and trading signals.

January 22, 2025, closing chart of DDMPR analyzed under the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.


Are We Any Closer to Finding Our First Trade?

Today’s post will break down:
✅ Key technical insights from each stock’s January 22, 2025 closing chart.
✅ Buy and sell signals we are looking for today (January 23, 2025).
✅ Recommended stop-loss levels and profit-taking zones.
✅ Our overall game plan moving forward.

The analysis will determine if any of these stocks present a solid trade opportunity or if we continue to wait for better setups.


Stock Evaluations Using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy

1. URC (Universal Robina Corporation) – Bearish Continuation with No Clear Reversal Yet

Market State & Trend Context (Step 1)

URC remains in a strong downtrend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows.

  • The 200-day moving average (97.59) is trending downward, confirming long-term bearish sentiment.
  • The 20-day moving average (74.90) is also declining, acting as dynamic resistance.
  • URC closed at 64.50, significantly below both moving averages, reinforcing continued weakness.

Position, Location & Key Retracement Zones (Step 2)

  • Major resistance is at 75.00, near the 20-MA rejection zone.
  • Immediate support at 64.00 - 60.00 remains key for potential stabilization.
  • A break below 64.00 could open the door for further downside toward 58.00 - 60.00.

Power Bars & Retracement Strength (Step 3)

  • Recent red power bars with increasing volume suggest strong selling pressure.
  • No green power bars have emerged, meaning buyers are not stepping in aggressively yet.

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A green power bar closing above 66.00 with volume could indicate a potential short-term reversal.
  • Sell Signal: A break below 64.00 would confirm continued bearish momentum.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 60.00, ensuring risk control if the decline continues.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 70.00 - 72.00, where resistance may emerge.

👉 Verdict: No trade setup yet. We need confirmation of a reversal before considering a long trade.


2. MONDE (Monde Nissin Corporation) – Signs of Stabilization, but Not Ready for a Long Entry

Market State & Trend Context (Step 1)

MONDE is still in a downtrend, though it is showing early signs of stabilization above 7.00.

  • 20-MA (7.72) is a key resistance level to break before a bullish move can be confirmed.
  • 7.00 is acting as strong support, with buyers attempting to defend this level.

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A break above 7.50 with volume, indicating bullish momentum toward 7.72 - 8.00.
  • Sell Signal: A failure to break 7.50, or a red power bar near this level, could lead to a retest of 7.00 - 6.80.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 6.90, protecting against downside risks.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 7.80 - 8.00, aligning with resistance.

👉 Verdict: No trade yet. We need a strong breakout above 7.50.


3. ALLHC (AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp.) – Holding at Support, but Resistance is Strong

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A breakout above 1.75 with volume, confirming a potential reversal.
  • Sell Signal: A failure to break 1.70, signaling continued weakness.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 1.60, limiting downside risk.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 1.80 - 1.85, where resistance may emerge.

👉 Verdict: No trade yet. We need to see confirmation of a breakout.


4. DDMPR (DDMP REIT Inc.) – Attempting to Hold Support, but Lacks Strength

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A bounce off 1.05 with a strong green power bar, indicating buyers stepping in.
  • Sell Signal: A break below 1.05, signaling further downside risk.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 1.03, keeping losses minimal.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 1.08 - 1.10, aligning with 200-MA resistance.

👉 Verdict: No trade yet. Needs confirmation of support holding.


5. RCR (RL Commercial REIT Inc.) – Consolidating Near Breakout Levels

Buy and Sell Signals We Are Looking for Today (January 23, 2025)

  • Buy Signal: A break above 6.00 with volume, confirming a bullish breakout.
  • Sell Signal: A failure to hold above 5.88, leading to a potential pullback.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss Level: 5.85, protecting against a breakdown.
  • Partial Profit-Taking Level: 6.10 - 6.20, where sellers may emerge.

👉 Verdict: Closest to a trade setup, but needs confirmation of breakout.


Final Thoughts – Are We Entering Our First Trade Today?

Based on today’s evaluation, RCR is the closest stock to providing a potential buy setup, but we need to see a breakout above 6.00 with strong volume before entering.

For URC, MONDE, ALLHC, and DDMPR, none of them currently offer a strong enough setup to justify a trade. We remain on standby, ensuring we only take high-probability trades that align with our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Key Takeaways for January 23, 2025

Stay patient – No forced trades!

Monitor RCR closely for a potential breakout.

Wait for green power bars and strong volume before entering trades.

Stick to our stop-loss and profit-taking strategy.

🚀 The goal remains the same: Secure our first trade under Phase 2 – but only when conditions align!


Related Posts


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

No comments:

Post a Comment

Featured Post

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Daily Chart as of June 27, 2025 (Mid-Day) – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

WLCON breaks above ₱9.00 in mid-day trade on June 27, 2025. Hybrid 10-Step Strategy confirms hold with trailing stop and partial exit . 📅 P...