Contents:
- Introduction
- Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
- Final Stock Recommendation
- Next Steps
Introduction
AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) has been trading in a downtrend, with price action struggling to regain momentum above key moving averages. As of the January 28, 2025 closing session, ALLHC closed at ₱1.66, posting a +2.47% gain for the day. This review evaluates whether the stock presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.
Trade Details
- Stock: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC)
- Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
- Timeframe: Daily Chart
- Date: January 28, 2025 (Closing Session)
- Closing Price: ₱1.66
- High: ₱1.67
- Low: ₱1.62
- 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱1.67
- 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.88
- Key Pullback Levels:
- 100% Pullback: ₱1.77
- 50% Pullback: ₱1.70
- 0% Pullback: ₱1.62
This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.
ALLHC Stock Price Review – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of January 28, 2025
Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
- ALLHC remains in a downtrend, trading below both the 20-day MA (₱1.67) and the 200-day MA (₱1.88).
- The 20-MA is sloping downward, confirming persistent bearish pressure.
- The price is attempting a bounce from support (₱1.62), but it remains below key resistance levels.
- Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A strong reversal signal is needed before considering long positions.
Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
- ALLHC is hovering near the 0% pullback level (₱1.62), which has served as support.
- Key resistance levels ahead include ₱1.70 (50% pullback) and ₱1.77 (100% pullback).
- Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – If ₱1.62 holds and price reclaims ₱1.70, a recovery might be possible.
Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
- Today's green candle suggests a possible short-term rebound, but there is no strong breakout signal yet.
- Volume remains low at 82K, indicating lack of aggressive buyer interest.
- Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – More volume is required to confirm strength.
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
- A buy signal will only be confirmed if ALLHC closes above ₱1.70 with strong volume.
- A failure to hold ₱1.62 would trigger another downward move.
- Recommendation: WAIT – Buying now is risky unless a stronger confirmation emerges.
Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
- If attempting a speculative counter-trend buy, a stop-loss should be placed below ₱1.60.
- The risk-reward setup favors a move toward ₱1.77 (resistance) if the bounce sustains.
- Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Only enter with a tight stop-loss.
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
- The recent candles indicate mixed signals, with multiple wicks showing selling pressure near ₱1.67.
- Recommendation: WAIT – A decisive bullish candle is needed.
Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
- Short-term traders should consider taking profits near ₱1.70 - ₱1.77.
- A full exit is advisable if price struggles to hold above ₱1.70.
- Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Partial exits near resistance are ideal.
Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
- If a breakout fails, a better re-entry zone would be around ₱1.55-₱1.60.
- Recommendation: WAIT FOR A DIP IF NO BREAKOUT OCCURS – Avoid buying prematurely.
Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)
- Core position: 50% size at ₱1.62-1.65, if a bullish follow-through occurs.
- Tactical add-on: 10% size above ₱1.70, if volume strengthens.
- Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Conservative traders should wait for confirmation.
Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
- Counter-trend trades should only be considered if ALLHC forms a clear double bottom or reclaims ₱1.70 with strong volume.
- Recommendation: STICK TO THE TREND – Avoid counter-trend trades without confirmation.
Final Trade Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT
✅ Recommendation: Hold if already positioned, but avoid new buys unless ALLHC reclaims ₱1.70 with volume.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱1.60 to limit downside risk.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target exits at ₱1.70 - ₱1.77 for short-term trades.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying until a clear breakout above ₱1.70 is confirmed.
Next Steps
🔹 Short-term traders → Buy only if price clears ₱1.70 with strong volume. Target ₱1.77.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold as long as ₱1.60 support remains intact.
🔹 Existing holders → Partial profit-taking recommended near ₱1.77.
🚨 Final Thought: ALLHC remains in a weak downtrend. Wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚨
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Related Readings
- Micro Stock Trader: Comparing the Modified 10-Step Trading Strategy vs. Retracement Trading Strategy
- Micro Stock Trader Portfolio Tracker Page
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