Tuesday, January 28, 2025

Stock Price Review: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) has been trading in a downtrend, with price action struggling to regain momentum above key moving averages. As of the January 28, 2025 closing session, ALLHC closed at ₱1.66, posting a +2.47% gain for the day. This review evaluates whether the stock presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Closing Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱1.66
  • High: ₱1.67
  • Low: ₱1.62
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱1.67
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.88
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% Pullback: ₱1.77
    • 50% Pullback: ₱1.70
    • 0% Pullback: ₱1.62

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

ALLHC Stock Price Review – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of January 28, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • ALLHC remains in a downtrend, trading below both the 20-day MA (₱1.67) and the 200-day MA (₱1.88).
  • The 20-MA is sloping downward, confirming persistent bearish pressure.
  • The price is attempting a bounce from support (₱1.62), but it remains below key resistance levels.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A strong reversal signal is needed before considering long positions.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • ALLHC is hovering near the 0% pullback level (₱1.62), which has served as support.
  • Key resistance levels ahead include ₱1.70 (50% pullback) and ₱1.77 (100% pullback).
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – If ₱1.62 holds and price reclaims ₱1.70, a recovery might be possible.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • Today's green candle suggests a possible short-term rebound, but there is no strong breakout signal yet.
  • Volume remains low at 82K, indicating lack of aggressive buyer interest.
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – More volume is required to confirm strength.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A buy signal will only be confirmed if ALLHC closes above ₱1.70 with strong volume.
  • A failure to hold ₱1.62 would trigger another downward move.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – Buying now is risky unless a stronger confirmation emerges.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If attempting a speculative counter-trend buy, a stop-loss should be placed below ₱1.60.
  • The risk-reward setup favors a move toward ₱1.77 (resistance) if the bounce sustains.
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Only enter with a tight stop-loss.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • The recent candles indicate mixed signals, with multiple wicks showing selling pressure near ₱1.67.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – A decisive bullish candle is needed.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-term traders should consider taking profits near ₱1.70 - ₱1.77.
  • A full exit is advisable if price struggles to hold above ₱1.70.
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Partial exits near resistance are ideal.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If a breakout fails, a better re-entry zone would be around ₱1.55-₱1.60.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A DIP IF NO BREAKOUT OCCURS – Avoid buying prematurely.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core position: 50% size at ₱1.62-1.65, if a bullish follow-through occurs.
  • Tactical add-on: 10% size above ₱1.70, if volume strengthens.
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Conservative traders should wait for confirmation.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades should only be considered if ALLHC forms a clear double bottom or reclaims ₱1.70 with strong volume.
  • Recommendation: STICK TO THE TREND – Avoid counter-trend trades without confirmation.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Hold if already positioned, but avoid new buys unless ALLHC reclaims ₱1.70 with volume.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱1.60 to limit downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target exits at ₱1.70 - ₱1.77 for short-term trades.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying until a clear breakout above ₱1.70 is confirmed.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Buy only if price clears ₱1.70 with strong volume. Target ₱1.77.

🔹 Long-term investors → Hold as long as ₱1.60 support remains intact.

🔹 Existing holders → Partial profit-taking recommended near ₱1.77.

🚨 Final Thought: ALLHC remains in a weak downtrend. Wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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