Monday, January 27, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 7 – Tactical Entry for MREIT Inc. (MREIT)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 7/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Tactical Entry
  • Signal: Price testing 50% retracement level resistance
  • Stock: MREIT Inc. (MREIT)
  • Shares Bought: 200 out of 400 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱13.50
  • Position Size: 1/2 of target allocation
MREIT Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

MREIT Trade No. 7/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Each step is scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with the strategy.

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context – Score: 7/10

  • Market phase: MREIT is range-bound between ₱13.18 (support) and ₱13.61 (50% retracement resistance).
  • Trend: Sideways with slight bullish bias after holding above ₱13.18.
  • Structure: Higher lows forming, but resistance remains strong at ₱13.61.
    Verdict: Moderate strength – A confirmed breakout is still needed.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels – Score: 8/10

  • Price is above the 200-MA (₱13.21), indicating long-term bullish stability.
  • Price is testing the 50% retracement at ₱13.61, which is a major decision point for continuation or rejection.
    Verdict: Good setup, but needs breakout confirmation above ₱13.61.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength – Score: 6/10

  • No strong green power bar today. Volume increased, but price remains stuck below ₱13.61.
  • Buyers are defending the range but haven’t broken resistance.
    Verdict: Weak confirmation – momentum needs to improve.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels – Score: 7/10

  • Entry at ₱13.50 is slightly below the 50% retracement level (₱13.61), which is a tactical but unconfirmed level.
  • A breakout above ₱13.61 is needed to validate the entry.
    Verdict: Decent risk-reward, but requires confirmation.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments – Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱13.30 (previous support level).
  • Ensures controlled risk while allowing price fluctuation within the range.
    Verdict: Good risk management – effective stop placement.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation – Score: 6/10

  • Today’s candle is neutral with no decisive movement.
  • A strong green bar tomorrow would confirm the bullish case.
    Verdict: Lack of a clear confirmation bar is a concern.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets – Score: 8/10

  • Target 1: ₱13.83 (75% retracement level).
  • Target 2: ₱14.04 (100% pullback level).
  • Exit plan is aligned with major resistance zones.
    Verdict: Profit-taking plan is well-structured.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks – Score: 7/10

  • Possible re-entry zone at ₱13.18 (0% retracement) if price dips.
  • Adding on strength if ₱13.61 breaks is also an option.
    Verdict: Opportunities exist but require more patience.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management – Score: 7/10

  • Half of the allocation was bought at ₱13.50, allowing flexibility.
  • **Adding the remaining 200 shares only if price confirms above ₱13.61.
    Verdict: Well-managed entry sizing strategy.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails – Score: 9/10

  • No counter-trend trade needed since MREIT is range-bound.
  • The stop-loss below ₱13.30 limits downside exposure.
    Verdict: Strong adherence to trend-following principles.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 7.4/10 (Moderate Setup)

Trade Execution: The entry at ₱13.50 is within the retracement range but lacks a confirmed breakout.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱13.30 ensures a controlled downside.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target at ₱13.83, scaling out at ₱14.04.

Position Size Strategy: 1/2 allocation used, keeping room for further adjustments.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱13.61. If price holds above this level, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱13.30. If price fails to break out and momentum weakens, consider exiting earlier.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱13.18, a second tactical entry can be evaluated.

🚨 Final Thought: MREIT’s price action remains neutral-to-bullish, but a decisive move above ₱13.61 is required to justify further buying. If resistance holds, expect sideways consolidation. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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