Friday, January 24, 2025

ATI Intra-Day Chart Evaluation – Buy or Sell Decision

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Stock: Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Intra-Day (Daily Chart Reference)
  • Date: January 24, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱17.02
  • High: ₱17.46
  • Low: ₱16.34
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱16.81
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱18.61
  • Price Movement: Potential trend reversal with strong volume
  • Volume: 159.2K, significantly higher than previous sessions
Stock chart of ATI showing price reversal above 20-MA with increased volume and key resistance levels.

ATI Intra-Day Chart Analysis – January 24, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

ATI has been in a clear downtrend for several months, with price consistently trading below the 20-MA and 200-MA. However, today’s strong green candle, breaking above the 20-MA with high volume, signals a potential trend reversal.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels

  • Price broke above the 20-MA (₱16.81), suggesting a short-term momentum shift.
  • The 200-MA (₱18.61) is still above, meaning the long-term trend is bearish.
  • Resistance levels:
    • First resistance: ₱17.50 (recent swing high)
    • Major resistance: ₱18.00-₱18.50 (near 200-MA)
  • Support levels:
    • Immediate support: ₱16.80 (20-MA)
    • Stronger support: ₱16.30 (recent low)

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength

  • A strong green power bar suggests high buying pressure.
  • Volume is significantly higher, confirming potential institutional accumulation.
  • No major retracement yet, but price holding above ₱16.80 is crucial for further upside.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels

  • Ideal entry range: ₱16.80-₱17.00, as price recently cleared the 20-MA.
  • A pullback to ₱16.50-₱16.80 would provide a higher probability entry.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments

  • Stop-loss below ₱16.80 for short-term traders.
  • A wider stop at ₱16.30 for a more conservative risk approach.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation

  • If price closes above ₱17.00 with another green candle on Monday, it confirms the reversal strength.
  • A red candle close below ₱16.80 would signal weakness.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets

  • First target: ₱17.50, a key resistance zone.
  • Second target: ₱18.00, a pre-breakdown level.
  • Final target: ₱18.60-₱19.00, near the 200-MA resistance.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks

  • If price retraces to ₱16.80, a second entry for additional shares can be considered.
  • A retracement to ₱16.50 would offer another buying opportunity.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management

  • Increase position if price clears ₱17.50.
  • Reduce exposure if price struggles below ₱16.80.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails

  • No counter-trend trade setup, as today’s price action signals an early-stage reversal.

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

Recommendation: BUY today at ₱16.80-₱17.00, given the breakout above the 20-MA with strong volume.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱16.80 to protect against downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target ₱17.50, ₱18.00, and ₱18.60 for gradual exits.

Position Size Strategy: Start with a moderate position and add if momentum continues above ₱17.50.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action at ₱17.50. If the stock breaks and holds above ₱17.50, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱16.80. If the stock fails to hold the breakout, reassess and tighten stop-loss levels.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱16.80 or lower, reassess for a second entry.



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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