ABA Weekly Chart holds the ₱0.52–₱0.55 support range with strong weekly volume.
ABA Daily Chart ranges between ₱0.52–₱0.56, no breakout yet but volume remains supportive.
MREIT Daily Chart confirms strong sell-off with heavy volume at ₱13.40–₱13.60 range.
MREIT Weekly Chart shows breakdown below ₱13.80 support with heavy red volume.
Nilalaman
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
1️⃣ Chart Snapshots
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MREIT Weekly: Closing at ₱13.60, bumagsak below ₱13.80 support at may volume spike (24.95M vs 4.41M average).
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MREIT Daily: ₱13.40 close, tuloy-tuloy na sell-off, heavy volume (20.05M vs 1.65M). Breakdown confirmed.
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ABA Weekly: ₱0.52 close, hawak pa rin ang MA8 support, volume 71.6M vs 39M. May hawak na buyers sa current zone.
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ABA Daily: ₱0.54 close, nagre-range sa 0.52–0.56 area, above MA8 but below 20MA/50MA. Neutral consolidation.
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Scoring – MREIT (Exit Confirmed)
1. Market State & Trend Context – Bearish breakdown mode below major support.
✅ 1/10
2. Price Position & Value Zones – Nasa ilalim ng lahat ng MA, wala sa value zone.
✅ 1/10
3. Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume – Heavy red bars with strong volume flush.
✅ 1/10
4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental/Technical) – Invalidated, thesis broken.
✅ 0/10
5. Stop-Loss Policy (Thesis Violation) – Na-trigger sa ₱13.80 breakdown.
✅ 2/10
6. Color Change Signals – Confirmed red dominance, no reversal.
✅ 1/10
7. Profit-Taking (Valuation/Growth Cycles) – Forced exit, walang profit preserved.
✅ 0/10
8. Re-Entry Plans After Dips – Possible only above ₱14.00 reclaim with volume, wala pa.
✅ 2/10
9. Position Size Planning – Controlled (100 shares only), maliit ang damage.
✅ 5/10
10. Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations – REIT, ethical, pero wala sa tamang timing.
✅ 3/10
🧮 Total Score: 16 / 100 → Bearish (Invalidated Trade)
🔎 Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Scoring – ABA (Active Position)
1. Market State & Trend Context – Sideways to mildly bearish, pero may consolidation base.
✅ 5/10
2. Price Position & Value Zones – Nasa accumulation zone ₱0.52–₱0.55, nasa ilalim pa ng mid-range MAs.
✅ 6/10
3. Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume – Neutral candles, pero supportive volume.
✅ 6/10
4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental/Technical) – Active buy thesis still valid, speculative.
✅ 6/10
5. Stop-Loss Policy (Thesis Violation) – Clear defensive stop sa ₱0.50.
✅ 7/10
6. Color Change Signals – Mixed candles, walang conviction green pa.
✅ 5/10
7. Profit-Taking (Valuation/Growth Cycles) – Target zones defined ₱0.62–₱0.80+.
✅ 7/10
8. Re-Entry Plans After Dips – Next layer reserved at ₱0.66 breakout w/ volume.
✅ 7/10
9. Position Size Planning – 3,000 shares deployed, 1 layer reserved.
✅ 6/10
10. Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations – Small cap risk, pero tactical OK.
✅ 6/10
🧮 Total Score: 61 / 100 → Neutral–Speculative Hold (waiting for breakout)
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
Mga kasama, klaro ang verdict ngayong linggo: MREIT hindi nakalusot sa ₱13.80—kaya tama lang ang pag-exit sa ₱13.46. Rule is rule. Sa ABA naman, steady lang. Walang conviction green pero hawak pa rin ang 0.52–0.55 range. Walang panic, bantay lang.
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan | LIVE)
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ABA: Monitor bounce sa ₱0.55–0.56 with ≥20M volume. Defensive stop-loss if ₱0.50 breaks with strong red volume.
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MREIT: Keep out muna. Possible re-entry if mag-reclaim ₱14.00 with green candle + ≥10M volume.
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
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ABA:
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Layer 1–3 (₱0.52–0.58): ✅ filled (3,000 shares).
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Layer 4: Skipped for now.
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Layer 5 Super-Conviction (₱0.66 + ≥38M weekly volume): 🔲 pending.
-
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MREIT: Closed. Re-entry plan only above ₱14.00 with volume confirmation.
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
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ABA:
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First exit target ₱0.62–0.65.
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Second exit target ₱0.70–0.75.
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Third exit target ₱0.80+.
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MREIT: Fully executed exit at ₱13.46.
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
ABA – HOLD
✅ Recommendation: Maintain 3,000 shares, watch ₱0.55 breakout with volume.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.50 with strong volume.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: First trim ₱0.62–0.65, then scale out at ₱0.70–0.75.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Keep current exposure, reserve Layer 5 for breakout.
MREIT – EXIT CONFIRMED
✅ Recommendation: Stay out after exit at ₱13.46.
✅ Risk Management: Only re-enter on ₱14.00 reclaim with ≥10M volume.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: N/A, position closed.
✅ Position Size Strategy: No exposure until re-entry signal.
8️⃣ Closing Reflection
Validation Friday proves our discipline. MREIT exit shows na hindi lahat ng trades kayang ilaban—minsan mas mahalaga ang preservation ng capital kaysa sa pag-asa. Sa ABA, patience lang muna. Kung may breakout, ready tayo. Kung wala, bantay at hawak ng disiplina.
👉 Unang realized loss ng Jimmy Series: -₱55.44. Maliit man pero malaking paalala na rules over hope ang dapat manaig.
👉 Sa Jimmy Series, hindi manghuhula ang trader—handa lang sa lahat ng posibilidad.
9️⃣ Tactical Alert
-
Watch ABA ₱0.55–0.56 breakout zone.
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Avoid chasing MREIT below ₱14.00.
🔟 LIVE TRADE LOG – Jimmy Series (as of Sept 19, 2025)
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Trade #1 – ABA (Sept 15): 1,000 shares @ ₱0.53 | ₱531.56 cost | Active
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Trade #2 – ABA (Sept 15): 1,000 shares @ ₱0.52 | ₱521.53 cost | Active
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Trade #3 – ABA (Sept 16): 1,000 shares @ ₱0.58 | ₱581.72 cost | Active
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Trade #4 – MREIT (Sept 17 AM): 100 shares @ ₱13.92 | ₱1,396.11 cost | Closed
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Trade #5 – MREIT (Sept 19 AM): 100 shares @ ₱13.46 | ₱1,340.67 proceeds | Exit Confirmed, Net Loss ₱55.44
Portfolio Status:
-
Seed Capital: ₱5,000
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Deployed Capital: ₱1,634.81 (ABA active)
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Remaining Cash: ₱3,309.75
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Total Portfolio Value: ₱4,944.56
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Net Realized P/L: -₱55.44 (-1.1%)
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Active Positions: 1 (ABA, 3,000 shares)
🔮 Scenario Validation Addendum – Sept 19, 2025
ABA Scenarios (Planned vs Actual)
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Scenario 1 (Positive): Bounce at ₱0.55 with ≥20M volume, possible breakout to ₱0.58–0.60.
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Scenario 2 (Neutral): Range trade sa ₱0.52–0.55, no strong conviction.
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Scenario 3 (Negative): Breakdown below ₱0.50 with strong red volume → defensive stop.
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Actual Result: ✅ Scenario 2 ang tumama. ABA stayed in range, walang breakout pero hindi rin bumigay. Hawak pa rin ang 3,000 shares.
MREIT Rule-Based Exit
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Walang ginawa na scenario planning for MREIT. Ang nakalagay sa Exit Plan: cut below ₱13.80 with strong volume.
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Actual Result: ✅ Rule was triggered, kaya exit confirmed at ₱13.46.
Lesson Learned
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For ABA, scenario drills kept us calm—handa na tayo kahit alin ang lumabas.
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For MREIT, the strict exit rule prevented hope trading—small loss taken, capital preserved.
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Validation Friday proves the power of preparedness + discipline: scenarios guide expectations, rules enforce action.
📑 Jimmy Series Link Hub
Stock Price Review
Trade ReviewMidweek Note
Validation FridayMore Posts
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment
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Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—“Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”
Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.
Isang milyong pisong biglaang dumating.
Hindi galing sa sugal. Hindi hiram.
Malinis. Legal. Bigay.
Rizq—kung tutuusin.
Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
O “saan ko i-invest?”
Kundi—“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”
Capital Allocation: ₱400,000
Objective: This portfolio seeks long-term growth from fundamentally strong, ethically aligned, and ideally Shariah-compliant businesses.
Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.
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Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.
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Hindi ito simulation. Hindi ito paper trade. Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.
Objective: To maintain spiritual discipline and financial humility by leaving room—intentionally—for:
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Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus VariantOptimized for Accumulation, Patience, and Portfolio Growth
4 na Yugto ng Hybrid 10-Step StrategyKumpletong Trade Cycle ng Isang Board Lot Warrior
Categorized for Halal & Ethical InvestingList of Shariah-Compliant Stocks at PSE (As of December 25, 2024)
Tension-Resilient Stocks Series7 Shariah-Compliant Stocks na Tension-Resilient Kapag Tumitindi ang Init: USA vs Russia Edition
Pang-Bagyo Picks SeriesAlin ang Hindi Natitinag Kapag May Sakuna?
