Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) continues to exhibit strong price action while consolidating near a key resistance level. As of January 31, 2025, SCC closed at 34.60, showing a minor decline of -0.86% for the month. The stock traded within a range of 33.90 to 36.50, reflecting buyer and seller activity near a breakout zone.

The price is above both the 20-MA (32.23) and the 200-MA (23.60), suggesting long-term bullish strength despite short-term fluctuations.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 34.60
  • High: 36.50
  • Low: 33.90
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 32.23
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 23.60

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 40.00 (Major resistance level)
  • 75% Pullback: 38.00 (Short-term breakout zone)
  • 50% Pullback: 35.00 (Current mid-range level)
  • 0% Pullback: 32.00 (Key support near 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • SCC remains in an uptrend, trading above both the 20-MA and 200-MA.
  • January’s price action suggests a breakout attempt, but resistance near 36.50 caused a pullback.
  • If price holds above 32.00, the bullish trend remains intact.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with resistance ahead.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor for a breakout above 36.50.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price is above both moving averages, favoring long trades.
  • Retracement Zone: 32.00 - 34.00 acts as a strong support range for re-entry.

✅ Favorable for long-term holding, but resistance remains.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 36.50.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January’s candle suggests indecision, with an upper rejection at 36.50.
  • Volume remains high (36.37M), signaling continued market interest.

✅ Buying pressure remains, but resistance is limiting momentum.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume above 36.50 for confirmation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trade executed at 36.20 (100 shares on January 31), followed by a SELL at 36.10, and a re-entry at 36.20.
  • Trade was executed near resistance, making it a high-risk entry.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until a breakout is confirmed.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
  • Risk remains manageable as long as price stays above 34.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor stop-loss levels carefully.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No significant bullish confirmation yet.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Look for stronger momentum in February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • If price moves above 38.00 - 40.00, consider partial exits.
  • Dividends also provide an additional incentive to hold.

✅ Holding is justified for long-term investors.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 34.00 if price stabilizes.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 34.00.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless stability is confirmed.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Trade executed at 36.20 was near resistance, requiring careful risk management.
  • Adding to positions should be considered only if price moves above 36.50.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adjusting.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is necessary, as the stock remains in an uptrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 36.20, but avoid additional buys unless price breaks above 36.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 32.00 to manage downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 38.00 - 40.00 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 34.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 36.50 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 34.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: SCC remains in an uptrend, but a confirmed breakout above 36.50 is needed for further upside. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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