Micro Stock Trader: Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Morning Session Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Morning Session Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

I. Introduction

This is an updated follow-up review based on the morning session chart for Universal Robina Corporation (URC) as of February 19, 2025. We assessed the stock's breakout attempt above 70.20, awaiting confirmation of strength through price and volume.

As of the morning close, URC continued to hold above 70.20, showing further bullish strength. However, volume remains below the breakout threshold, making the validation of this move crucial for an entry decision.

Updated Trade Details (End-of-Morning Session)

Date: February 19, 2025
Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Morning Chart (End of Morning Session)
Opening Price: 66.90
High: 70.80
Low: 66.90
Current Price: 70.35
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 63.42
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 94.23

Volume Analysis (as of February 19, 2025 - End of Morning)

Closing Volume: 1.351M
30-day Volume Average: 2.744M
65-day Volume Average: 2.639M
Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 Volume Average): 3.92M

While price action remains bullish, breakout volume is still insufficient to confirm sustained upside momentum. Next, we will re-evaluate its technical setup using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

URC morning session chart with technical indicators as of February 19, 2025

URC Morning Session Stock Charts as of February 19, 2025

II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

URC is still below the 200-day MA (94.23), indicating a long-term bearish trend.
The stock continues to sustain itself above 70.20, suggesting short-term bullish strength after reclaiming the 20-day MA (63.42).
The monthly chart shows an attempted reversal, but confirmation is still required.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Trend reversal is in progress but needs further validation).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

URC has entered the 68.12 - 71.18 sweet spot—a key decision zone for a breakout continuation.
Holding above 71.18 with volume confirmation would validate the breakout.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Confirmation (Entry point is valid, but strength must hold).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

The morning session confirmed another green candle above 70.20, signaling continued buying interest.
However, breakout volume (3.92M) has not been reached—this remains a critical factor.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Breakout needs volume confirmation).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

URC has breached the 70.20 resistance zone, a bullish sign.
A close above 71.18 with at least 3.92M volume is required for full confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Small Entry Possible (Full confirmation needed).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

A stop-loss should be placed below 68.00 in case of a false breakout.
A move back below 66.90 would invalidate the bullish thesis.

➡ Verdict: Buy if it holds above 71.18 (Stop-loss at 68.00).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

Another strong green candle is forming, indicating continued bullish sentiment.
However, confirmation through volume and sustained movement above 71.18 is still required.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Bullish continuation must hold).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Profit targets remain:
- Short-term: 75.00
- Mid-term: 80.00
Partial exits recommended near 75.00 if the stock sustains momentum.

➡ Verdict: Hold position, set target levels.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

Pullbacks near 68.00 can be re-entry points if support is confirmed.
Re-enter near 71.18 with volume confirmation for a strong breakout play.

➡ Verdict: Monitor re-entry zones near 68.00 or on confirmed break above 71.18.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Core Position: Can be initiated if URC holds above 71.18 with volume confirmation.
Tactical Entry: A small position can be taken near 70.20, increasing size only on confirmation above 71.18.

➡ Verdict: Small entry possible near 70.20, increase size upon confirmation above 71.18.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

Since URC has not shown significant breakdowns, counter-trend trading is not recommended.

➡ Verdict: Not applicable (Breakout setup, not a counter-trend trade).

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

✅ Recommendation: Buy if URC holds above 71.18 with strong volume (above 3.92M).

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at 68.00 to manage downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 75.00 (short-term) and 80.00 (mid-term).

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a small position near 70.20, increase size upon confirmation above 71.18.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Monitor if URC sustains above 71.18 before taking a full position.

🔹 Long-term investors: Consider small entries near 70.20 with a stop at 68.00, then add if volume strengthens.

🔹 Existing holders: Monitor if the breakout holds; partial profit-taking near 75.00 is recommended.

🚨 Final Thought: URC continues its breakout attempt. A strong close above 71.18 with volume confirmation is the key signal to watch. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

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