Saturday, February 1, 2025

Stock Price Review: MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) has been experiencing renewed volatility, with price fluctuations reflecting investor sentiment. As of January 31, 2025, MAC closed at 5.17, down -4.96% for the month, after reaching a high of 6.10. Price is now sitting above the 20-MA (4.68), indicating continued support, but the rejection from higher levels suggests a potential slowdown in momentum.

Trade Details:

  • Stock: MacroAsia Corporation (MAC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframe: Monthly
  • Date: January 31, 2025
  • Closing Price: 5.17
  • High: 6.10
  • Low: 5.05
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 4.68
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): Not available

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% Pullback: 7.50 (Strong resistance)
  • 75% Pullback: 6.50 (Short-term resistance)
  • 50% Pullback: 5.50 (Recent rejection area)
  • 0% Pullback: 4.50 (Major support near the 20-MA)

This stock price review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to ensure a structured and comprehensive assessment.

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) monthly stock chart showing price action, moving averages, and key technical levels.

MacroAsia Corporation (MAC) Monthly Chart as of January 31, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The long-term trend is shifting from bearish to neutral, as price remains above the 20-MA (4.68).
  • The stock faced strong rejection at 6.10, indicating sellers are active near higher resistance levels.
  • If price holds above 5.00, the uptrend can resume toward 6.50.

✅ Market State: Uptrend with a pullback.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor if 5.00 support holds before adding more.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Positive Position: Price remains above the 20-MA, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend.
  • Retracement Zone: 5.00 - 5.50 is a critical level where support must hold for the uptrend to continue.

✅ Favorable for holding, but needs confirmation.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Avoid new buys until confirmation above 5.50.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • January closed with a red candle, showing a pullback after a strong rally in previous months.
  • Volume is high (25.99M), indicating continued investor interest despite selling pressure.

✅ Buyers are present, but momentum has slowed.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – Need strong volume above 5.50 for a breakout.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • BUY trade executed at 5.58 (400 shares on January 27) was placed within the 50% retracement zone.
  • A move above 5.50 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – No additional entries until confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss should be placed below 4.90 to protect against downside risk.
  • Risk remains controlled as long as price holds above 5.00.

✅ Defined risk, manageable position.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – Stop-loss placement remains unchanged.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • January’s red candle suggests that buyers lost momentum.

🛑 Decision: WAIT – Observe price action in early February.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Target 6.50 - 7.50 for partial exits if the uptrend resumes.
  • Holding remains valid as long as price stays above 5.00.

✅ Holding remains a valid strategy.
🛑 Decision: HOLD – No immediate need to exit.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Best re-entry zone is near 5.00 if support holds.

✅ Consider adding on dips above 5.00.
🛑 Decision: WAIT – No new entries unless price stabilizes.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • BUY trade at 5.58 was executed near key levels, but confirmation is still needed.
  • If price moves above 5.50, adding to the position can be considered.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – Monitor trend before adding.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade needed as the stock remains in an uptrend.

🛑 Decision: HOLD – No counter-trend action required.


Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD
Recommendation: Maintain the position at 5.58, but avoid adding aggressively until a confirmed breakout above 5.50.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below 4.90 to protect against downside risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target 6.50 - 7.50 for gradual exits upon breakout.
Position Size Strategy: Hold the current position and consider adding if price stabilizes above 5.00 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for a breakout above 5.50 before adding positions.
🔹 Long-term investors → Hold positions for dividends and trend continuation.
🔹 Existing holders → Watch the 5.00 level for support confirmation.
🚨 Final Thought: MAC is in an uptrend but faced resistance at 6.10. A breakout above 5.50 is needed for further upside. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

No comments:

Post a Comment

Featured Post

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Daily Chart as of June 27, 2025 (Mid-Day) – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

WLCON breaks above ₱9.00 in mid-day trade on June 27, 2025. Hybrid 10-Step Strategy confirms hold with trailing stop and partial exit . 📅 P...