Micro Stock Trader: Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

I. Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) is a major player in the Philippine stock market, known for its strong market presence in the food and beverage industry. This review will analyze its price movement using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 to determine the best trade decision.

Trade Details

Date: February 17, 2025
Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Daily
Closing Price: 63.95
High: 65.90
Low: 63.30
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 63.30
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 94.49

Pullback Under Consideration

Start of Power Move Date: January 14, 2025
Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 75.00
End of Power Move Date: February 12, 2025
End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 59.70
Power Move Trend: Bearish
Power Move Sweet Spot: 68.12 - 71.18
Market Price To Date: 70.20
Pullback Level To Date: 69%

Volume Analysis (as of February 17, 2025)

Closing Volume: 2.49M
30-day Volume Average: 2.68M
65-day Volume Average: 2.61M
Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 Volume Average): 3.92M

The following analysis will apply our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether URC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity.

URC stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

URC stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

URC Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025

II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

The daily chart shows a downtrend phase with URC trading well below its 200-day MA (94.49).
The price is hovering around the 20-day MA (63.30), signaling a potential short-term consolidation after a steep decline.
The monthly chart confirms the long-term downtrend, with the 200-MA (113.94) acting as resistance.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of trend reversal).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

The stock is currently below the 200-day MA, indicating a bearish macro trend.
The price is approaching the 70% retracement level (69%), making it a high-risk zone for long trades unless a reversal occurs.
Ideal bullish entry should be within the 25%-45% pullback range, meaning the stock is still in a danger zone for continued downside.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Not yet in a favorable entry zone).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

A green candle with increased volume was seen on February 17, 2025, indicating short-term buying interest.
However, breakout volume (3.92M) has not been met, suggesting weak confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Volume does not yet confirm breakout).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

The price is still below the key resistance zone (68.12 - 71.18).
A confirmed reversal pattern (e.g., higher lows or a strong bullish breakout above the sweet spot) is needed before entry.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of a breakout above 71.18).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

If entering a long position, an initial stop-loss should be set below the recent swing low (59.70).
Risk remains high due to lack of volume confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Risk is still high for new positions).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

No clear color change pattern yet to confirm a trend reversal.
The stock remains inside a bearish channel with no strong green bar confirmation above key resistance.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs clear color change confirmation).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

Profit targets should be 75.00 for conservative exits and 80.00 for more aggressive ones.
However, since an entry is not confirmed, taking profits is not yet applicable.

➡ Verdict: Not applicable yet (Entry not confirmed).

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

If the stock reclaims 71.18 with strong volume, a re-entry can be considered.
Alternatively, a pullback to 60.00 with bullish reversal confirmation could be another re-entry point.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Monitor breakout levels before re-entry).

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

Core Position: Not recommended yet due to uncertain trend.
Tactical Entry: Possible near 60.00 if a bullish reversal occurs or above 71.18 with strong volume.

➡ Verdict: Wait (No adjustment needed until a clearer trend forms).

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

Counter-trend trading is not advisable yet since there hasn’t been a gap-down of more than 5% below the 200-MA or two consecutive large red candles near lows.

➡ Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading (No clear reversal setup).

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above 71.18 before considering a long position.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss should be set below 59.70 if entering a trade.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 75.00 (conservative) and 80.00 (aggressive).
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a small position upon breakout confirmation, then add gradually.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Avoid buying until a confirmed breakout above 71.18 occurs.
🔹 Long-term investors: May consider waiting for stabilization near 60.00 before adding positions.
🔹 Existing holders: Should monitor breakout confirmation or further downside risks before adjusting positions.
🚨 Final Thought: This is not the ideal entry point yet. A clearer bullish confirmation is required before taking action. 🚨

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

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