Tuesday, January 28, 2025

Stock Price Review: Premiere Island Power REIT (PREIT) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


Introduction

Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT) has been consolidating within a narrow range, hovering around the 50% pullback level (₱2.20) for an extended period. The morning session chart of January 28, 2025, with our annotations, suggests that PREIT is attempting to break out of this consolidation. This analysis will determine if a buy, sell, or hold position is most suitable based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Morning Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱2.24
  • High: ₱2.24
  • Low: ₱2.15
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱2.19
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.99
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% Pullback: ₱2.40
    • 50% Pullback: ₱2.20
    • 0% Pullback: ₱2.00

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

PREIT Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

PREIT Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (Morning Session, January 27, 2025)



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • PREIT is in a sideways consolidation phase, fluctuating between ₱2.00 and ₱2.40.
  • The price is above the 200-day MA (₱1.99), confirming an overall bullish trend structure.
  • The 20-day MA (₱2.19) is flattening, indicating lack of strong momentum.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – The stock remains in a consolidation, and a breakout above ₱2.25-₱2.30 is needed for a stronger buy signal.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • PREIT is currently hovering near the 50% pullback level (₱2.20), which serves as a pivot zone.
  • A sustained breakout above ₱2.25 could push the stock toward the 100% pullback level (₱2.40).
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – A breakout confirmation is required for momentum.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The recent candles indicate an increase in bullish strength, with higher lows and higher closes.
  • Volume remains relatively low (55K), meaning a breakout still lacks strong conviction.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – If volume increases on an upward move, a breakout play is validated.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A buy signal will be confirmed if price breaks above ₱2.25 with strong volume.
  • A failure to hold ₱2.20 could push PREIT back to ₱2.00 support.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Conservative traders should wait for confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering at ₱2.22 - ₱2.25, a stop-loss should be placed below ₱2.15.
  • Risk-reward favors a move toward ₱2.40 (resistance) with downside limited to ₱2.00.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Stop-loss discipline is essential.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • The last few candles show bullish attempts, but there is no strong confirmation of trend acceleration yet.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Monitor for a strong green power bar.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-term traders can take partial profits at ₱2.30 - ₱2.40.
  • A full exit is recommended if price struggles to hold above ₱2.25.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Tactical profit-taking near ₱2.40 is advisable.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If a breakout fails, a re-entry at ₱2.00 - ₱2.05 would provide a better risk-reward setup.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A DIP IF NO BREAKOUT OCCURS – Avoid chasing if volume remains weak.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core position: 50% size at ₱2.20-2.25, if a breakout is confirmed.
  • Tactical add-on: 10% size above ₱2.30, if volume strengthens.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Manage positions based on breakout strength.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades are not applicable in this setup.
  • Recommendation: STICK TO THE TREND – Trade only on breakout confirmation.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY / HOLD

Recommendation: Buy on breakout above ₱2.25, or hold if already positioned. Avoid buying if volume remains weak.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱2.15 to limit downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target exits at ₱2.30 - ₱2.40 for short-term trades.

Position Size Strategy: Enter moderate size, adding more only above ₱2.30 with volume confirmation.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Buy only if price clears ₱2.25 with strong volume. Target ₱2.30 - ₱2.40.

🔹 Long-term investors → Hold as long as ₱2.00 support remains intact.

🔹 Existing holders → Partial profit-taking recommended near ₱2.40.

🚨 Final Thought: PREIT is testing a breakout zone. Watch for volume confirmation above ₱2.25 before committing to new positions. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) remains in a strong downtrend, struggling to reclaim key resistance levels. The updated chart includes the 20-day and 200-day moving averages, providing further insights into the stock's short-term and long-term trend dynamics. Our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy will determine whether a buy, sell, or hold stance is appropriate.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Morning Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱64.95
  • High: ₱65.50
  • Low: ₱64.35
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱73.00
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱96.78
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% Pullback: ₱69.60
    • 50% Pullback: ₱67.43
    • 0% Pullback: ₱65.25

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

URC Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

URC Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (Morning Session, January 27, 2025)



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is in a confirmed downtrend, with price action below both the 20-day MA (₱73.00) and the 200-day MA (₱96.78).
  • The 20-MA is sloping downward, signaling continued weakness.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A strong reversal signal is required before considering long positions.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • URC is trading below the 0% pullback level (₱65.25), indicating that support has failed.
  • The next resistance levels are ₱67.43 (50% pullback) and ₱69.60 (100% pullback).
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Price remains in bearish territory.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • No bullish power bars are visible on the chart.
  • Volume remains low, confirming a lack of strong buyer interest.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – There are no breakout signals.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No bullish technical signals are present to justify a long position.
  • The stock needs to reclaim at least ₱67.43 for a potential entry.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Entry at this level is premature.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If attempting a counter-trend buy, a stop-loss should be set below ₱63.50.
  • Given the ongoing downtrend, risk remains high for any new positions.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Avoid unnecessary risk.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No significant bullish color change signals have emerged.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A shift in momentum is required.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short traders should consider taking profits near ₱63.50 to ₱62.00.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No clear bullish reversal yet.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • The best re-entry zone for longs is near ₱60.00 if a strong bounce occurs.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A BETTER ENTRY – Buying now is too risky.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Aggressive traders may attempt a small speculative position, but caution is advised.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Maintain a conservative approach.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades should only be considered after two consecutive gap-downs or a 5% drop below the 200-day MA.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No valid counter-trend setup.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: SELL / WAIT

Recommendation: Avoid buying as URC remains in a strong downtrend below the 20-MA and 200-MA.

Risk Management: If considering a counter-trend buy, a stop-loss must be placed below ₱63.50.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Short sellers may target ₱63.50 to ₱62.00 for exits.

Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying; a small position may be tested at ₱60.00, but only with a strong reversal.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid buying until price reclaims ₱67.43.

🔹 Long-term investors → May consider waiting for stabilization above ₱73.00.

🔹 Existing holders → Should consider reducing exposure or selling on relief rallies.

🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong bearish phase. A proper bottoming requires accumulation and confirmation—wait for bullish confirmation before entering. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) Daily Chart as of January 27, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  1. Introduction
  2. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  3. Final Stock Recommendation
  4. Next Steps

Introduction

DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) is a Philippine-based real estate investment trust (REIT) that provides exposure to commercial property leasing. The stock has remained relatively range-bound in recent months, making it a candidate for a technical analysis review under our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱1.06
  • High: ₱1.07
  • Low: ₱1.03
  • Volume (SMA 9): 2.276M shares

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% (Recent Low): ₱1.03
  • 50% Pullback Level: ₱1.06
  • 0% (Recent High): ₱1.09

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured and data-driven assessment.

DDMPR Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

DDMPR Stock Price Review – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of January 27, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context

  • Market State: Sideways Range (₱1.03 - ₱1.09)
  • Trend Context: The stock is consolidating between key levels, with no strong bullish or bearish trend emerging.

Recommendation: Hold/Wait for Directional Clarity


Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Current price (₱1.06) is near the 50% pullback level.
  • Support Zone: ₱1.03, acting as the lower range support.
  • Resistance Zone: ₱1.09, the most recent high.

Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above ₱1.09 or a pullback near ₱1.03 for a low-risk entry.


Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • Volume today is 2.276M shares, suggesting average trading interest.
  • There is no strong power bar or breakout candle, indicating that a decisive move hasn’t happened yet.

Recommendation: Avoid new positions unless a breakout above ₱1.09 occurs with strong volume.


Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • If the price breaks above ₱1.09, it would confirm bullish momentum.
  • A retest of ₱1.03 with stabilization could offer a low-risk entry point.

Recommendation: Buy on breakout above ₱1.09 or near ₱1.03 with confirmation.


Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Aggressive Stop-Loss: Below ₱1.03
  • Conservative Stop-Loss: Below ₱1.00 (psychological support)

Recommendation: Set stop-loss below ₱1.03 (aggressive) or below ₱1.00 (conservative).


Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No strong reversal candle patterns yet, indicating continued consolidation.
  • A strong green candle above ₱1.09 would be a bullish signal.

Recommendation: Wait for a confirmation candle before making a move.


Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • First Target: ₱1.09 (Resistance Level)
  • Second Target: ₱1.12 - ₱1.15 (potential breakout extension)

Recommendation: Take profits at ₱1.09 for conservative trades, or ₱1.12+ if breakout holds.


Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Re-enter near ₱1.03 if the stock finds support and reverses higher.
  • Avoid re-entry if price drops below ₱1.00.

Recommendation: Re-enter near ₱1.03 with stop-loss at ₱1.00.


Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core Position: 50% at breakout above ₱1.09.
  • Tactical Entry: Add 10-20% at ₱1.12 if momentum continues.

Recommendation: Start with 50% on breakout, add on confirmation.


Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trading unless the price drops significantly below ₱1.00.

🚫 Recommendation: Avoid counter-trend trading for now.


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: WAIT for Breakout or Retest of Support

Recommendation: Buy above ₱1.09 with volume confirmation or on dip to ₱1.03 if it holds.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱1.03 (aggressive) or ₱1.00 (conservative).

Profit-Taking Strategy: Take partial profits at ₱1.09, full exit at ₱1.12 - ₱1.15.

Position Size Strategy: Start with 50% on breakout, add more if price stabilizes above ₱1.12.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid entering unless a breakout above ₱1.09 occurs.

🔹 Long-term investors → Can accumulate cautiously near ₱1.03 with a stop-loss at ₱1.00.

🔹 Existing holders → Hold as long as price stays above ₱1.03.

🚨 Final Thought: DDMPR is in consolidation. A breakout above ₱1.09 is needed for bullish confirmation, while a pullback to ₱1.03 could provide a low-risk entry. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: RL Commercial REIT Inc. (RCR) Daily Chart as of January 27, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  1. Introduction
  2. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  3. Final Stock Recommendation
  4. Next Steps

Introduction

RL Commercial REIT Inc. (RCR) is a key player in the Philippine REIT market, offering investors exposure to a diversified portfolio of income-generating commercial properties. This stock price review assesses its daily chart as of January 27, 2025, using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether it's a buy, sell, or hold.

Trade Details

  • Stock: RL Commercial REIT Inc. (RCR)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱5.99
  • High: ₱6.03
  • Low: ₱5.99
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱5.92
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱5.62

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% (Recent High): ₱6.26
  • 75% Pullback: ₱6.12
  • 66% Pullback: ₱6.07
  • 50% Pullback: ₱5.98
  • 33% Pullback: ₱5.89
  • 0% Pullback (Major Support): ₱5.70

This analysis follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured and comprehensive evaluation.

RCR Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

RCR Stock Price Review – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of January 27, 2025



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context

  • Market State: RCR is in a consolidation phase, with the price fluctuating within a range of ₱5.70 - ₱6.26 over the past few months.
  • Trend Context: The 20-MA (₱5.92) is currently above the 200-MA (₱5.62), indicating a bullish bias.

Recommendation: Hold/Watch for Breakout Confirmation


Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Price is above the 200-MA, confirming an overall uptrend.
  • Current price (₱5.99) is at the 50% retracement level (₱5.98)—a key pivot zone for trend continuation or rejection.

Recommendation: Hold/Buy on Confirmation of Breakout Above ₱6.00


Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The price has been consolidating near resistance with gradual volume increase (1.782M shares traded today).
  • Breakout potential above ₱6.00, but needs stronger volume confirmation.

Recommendation: Buy on Breakout Above ₱6.00 with Strong Volume


Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A breakout above ₱6.00 with high volume would confirm strength.
  • If rejected, expect a retest of support near ₱5.85 - ₱5.92.

Recommendation: Buy Above ₱6.00 or Wait for Pullback to ₱5.85-₱5.92


Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Aggressive Stop-Loss: Below ₱5.85 (recent minor support).
  • Conservative Stop-Loss: Below ₱5.70 (major support).

Recommendation: Set Stop-Loss at ₱5.85 (Aggressive) or ₱5.70 (Conservative)


Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • The candlestick formation is bullish, with higher lows and closes above the 20-MA.
  • A green power bar closing above ₱6.00 would confirm an uptrend.

Recommendation: Wait for Confirmation Above ₱6.00


Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • First Target: ₱6.12 (75% retracement).
  • Second Target: ₱6.26 (Recent High).

Recommendation: Take Partial Profits at ₱6.12, Full Exit at ₱6.26


Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Re-enter at ₱5.85-₱5.92 if the pullback holds.
  • If ₱5.70 breaks down, avoid re-entry.

Recommendation: Re-enter on Dip at ₱5.85-₱5.92


Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core Position: 50% at ₱6.00 breakout.
  • Tactical Entry: Additional 10-20% on confirmation above ₱6.12.

Recommendation: Start with 50% Position, Add on Strength


Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade unless a major breakdown below ₱5.70 occurs.

🚫 Recommendation: No Counter-Trend Trading for Now


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY on Breakout Above ₱6.00

Recommendation: Buy at ₱6.00+ if volume confirms breakout.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱5.85 (Aggressive) or ₱5.70 (Conservative).

Profit-Taking Strategy: Take partial profits at ₱6.12, full exit at ₱6.26.

Position Size Strategy: Start with 50%, add more if price stabilizes above ₱6.12.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for confirmation above ₱6.00 before entering.

🔹 Long-term investors → Consider accumulating near ₱5.85-₱5.92 for better risk-reward.

🔹 Existing holders → Hold as long as price stays above ₱5.85.

🚨 Final Thought: A breakout above ₱6.00 is the key trigger. Volume confirmation is essential before committing to a full position. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Monday, January 27, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 9 – Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 9/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks (Step 8)
  • Signal: Price testing key support at ₱6.95 near 50% pullback level
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Shares Bought: 500 out of 900 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱6.95
  • Position Size: 56% Allocation

📌 Chart Overview:

  • Price is testing key support at ₱6.80-₱7.00 (retracement zone).
  • 50% pullback level at ₱7.04 was breached, bringing price close to the 0% pullback zone at ₱6.80.
  • Trend remains bearish, as price is below the 20-MA (₱7.68) and 200-MA (₱9.79).
  • Volume surged to 4.528M, indicating significant trading activity.
MONDE Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

MONDE Trade No. 9/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 6/10

  • MONDE remains in a downtrend, with price below both moving averages.
  • Attempted stabilization near ₱7.00, but selling pressure remains strong.
  • Needs a strong bounce above ₱7.10 to confirm support.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Entry near ₱6.95 aligns with key support and pullback levels.
  • However, the stock is below both moving averages, meaning upside remains limited.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 6/10

  • Recent candles lack strong green power bars, indicating weak momentum.
  • Price struggling to hold support, raising the risk of further downside.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Entry aligns with retracement structure, but confirmation is needed above ₱7.00-₱7.10.
  • Break below ₱6.80 would invalidate the trade setup.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱6.80 to control downside risk.
  • A break below this level would weaken the trade significantly.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 5/10

  • No clear bullish reversal pattern yet.
  • A green candle above ₱7.10 would validate a potential recovery.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 8/10

  • First target: ₱7.28 (100% pullback zone).
  • Final target: ₱7.68 (20-MA resistance level).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 7/10

  • Re-entry near support at ₱6.95 aligns with the strategy.
  • A bounce above ₱7.10 would confirm strength for scaling up.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 7/10

  • 56% of the position has been deployed, leaving room for scaling up.
  • Further additions should be made only above ₱7.10-₱7.28.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 5/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but entry in a bearish trend requires caution.
  • Failure to hold ₱6.80 invalidates the setup and necessitates an exit.

📌 Overall Strategy Score: 67/100
📌 Summary: The entry aligns with support, but confirmation above ₱7.10-₱7.28 is needed to maintain bullish bias.


Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 6.7/10

Trade Execution: Entry positioned near key support level, aligning with re-entry criteria.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱6.80 ensures controlled downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱7.28, scaling out at ₱7.68.

Position Size Strategy: 56% Allocation, leaving room for re-entries or scaling up.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱7.10-₱7.28. If MONDE holds this level, consider scaling up.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱6.80. If momentum weakens, reassess the trade and exit below ₱6.80.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If MONDE retests ₱6.80 and holds, consider adding more shares.

🚨 Conclusion: Trade No. 9 remains valid with moderate conviction, but confirmation of strength above ₱7.10 is critical for a successful outcome. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Evaluation of Trade No. 8 – Manila Electric Company (MER)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps


Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 8/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Tactical Pullback Entry
  • Signal: Price near 50% retracement support (₱476.85)
  • Stock: Manila Electric Company (MER)
  • Shares Bought: 10 out of 20 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱475.00
  • Position Size: 1/2 of target allocation

MER Trade No. 8/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart



Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Each step is scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with the strategy.

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context – Score: 6/10

  • Market phase: MER is in a range-bound phase between ₱450.20 (support) and ₱503.50 (resistance).
  • Trend: Short-term bearish after failing to hold above the 20-MA.
  • Structure: A breakdown below the 50% retracement (₱476.85) suggests further downside risk.
    Verdict: Moderate risk – Needs recovery above ₱476.85 to confirm strength.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels – Score: 7/10

  • Price is below the 20-MA (₱485.86), indicating short-term weakness.
  • Price is near the 50% retracement level (₱476.85), a key support zone.
    Verdict: Good support test, but trend bias remains weak.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength – Score: 5/10

  • Today’s red candle shows selling pressure.
  • No strong green bar confirming support yet.
    Verdict: Weak confirmation – entry is speculative.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels – Score: 7/10

  • Entry at ₱475.00 is slightly below the 50% retracement level (₱476.85).
  • Price action stability is uncertain—failure to hold may lead to ₱450.20.
    Verdict: Decent entry point, but further weakness is possible.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments – Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss placed below ₱472.00 (previous low).
  • Limits downside risk while allowing minor fluctuations.
    Verdict: Good risk management—tight stop placement.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation – Score: 5/10

  • No bullish reversal candle yet.
  • A green close above ₱476.85 is needed to confirm entry validity.
    Verdict: No confirmation—entry remains speculative.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets – Score: 8/10

  • Target 1: ₱485.86 (20-MA).
  • Target 2: ₱503.50 (previous resistance).
    Verdict: Profit-taking levels align with resistance zones.

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks – Score: 7/10

  • Possible re-entry at ₱450.20 if support fails.
  • Adding exposure above ₱485.86 remains an option.
    Verdict: Opportunities exist but require confirmation.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management – Score: 6/10

  • Half allocation used, keeping room for adjustments.
  • Adding the remaining 10 shares only if ₱476.85 holds.
    Verdict: Position sizing is cautious but speculative.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails – Score: 8/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade yet, but failure below ₱472.00 could lead to a deeper pullback.
    Verdict: Risk is manageable, but caution is needed.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 6.8/10 (Moderate Risk)

Trade Execution: The entry at ₱475.00 is aligned with key retracement levels but lacks strong bullish confirmation.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱472.00 ensures a controlled downside.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Initial target at ₱485.86, scaling out at ₱503.50.

Position Size Strategy: 1/2 allocation used, leaving flexibility for further adjustments.


Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱476.85. If price holds above this level, consider adding exposure.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱472.00. If price fails to hold support, consider exiting earlier.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If price retraces back to ₱450.20, a second tactical entry can be evaluated.

🚨 Final Thought: MER’s price action remains uncertain, with a need for a strong green candle above ₱476.85 to validate this entry. If support fails, expect a retest of ₱450.20. Trade cautiously. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

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🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

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🤳 Para sa mga G na umorder online

Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.


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