Weekly Chart of AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) as of June 30, 2025
We review AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) using its weekly chart as of June 30, 2025, through the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant. With signs of base formation and a bounce above key MAs, is ABA reversing or just pausing its downtrend? Find out if it’s time to buy, hold, or wait.
Contents:
- Introduction
- Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
- Final Stock Recommendation
- Next Steps
- Layered Accumulation Plan
- Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy
1. Introduction
We at Micro Stock Trader present our updated stock price review of AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA), focusing on its weekly price chart as of June 30, 2025, using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant.
TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 30, 2025
Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱0.71
High: ₱0.74
Low: ₱0.69
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.54
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.32
The following analysis outlines whether ABA currently presents a viable long-term buy opportunity based on its trend structure, retracement levels, and technical signals.
2. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
ABA is in a long-term downtrend, trading significantly below the 200-week moving average (₱1.32). However, it has recently formed a short-term base and is attempting a recovery. The price has pushed above the 20-week and 50-week MAs, indicating initial reversal strength.
➡ Verdict: Wait (Mid-base recovery but trend not yet fully reversed)
Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
The current price of ₱0.71 is above the 20-MA (₱0.54) and 50-MA (₱0.63), suggesting short-term strength. However, it remains far below the 200-MA, affirming long-term weakness. This places ABA in a deep pullback re-entry zone (55%–75% retracement from its peak), ideal for accumulation only with confirmation.
➡ Verdict: Hold/Watch (technically improving, but below long-term trend barrier)
Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
A series of green candles appeared in May and early June, pushing the price from below ₱0.50 to recent highs of ₱0.74. However, volume has begun to taper. No new power bar emerged this week.
➡ Verdict: Hold (Breakout attempt visible, but volume fading slightly)
Annotated Weekly Chart of ABA as of June 30, 2025, Highlighting Prior Downtrend and Base Formation
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
The breakout above the 50-MA was valid, but ABA has not yet confirmed a second leg higher. Buyers may consider entering on pullbacks to the ₱0.63–₱0.66 range, preferably with bullish reversal candles.
➡ Verdict: Wait (Entry level not optimal this week; consider lower re-entry zone)
Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
A logical stop-loss should be placed just below the 20-week MA (~₱0.53) to allow for healthy pullbacks without exposing capital to deeper downside.
➡ Verdict: Buy only with stop-loss setup in place (~₱0.52)
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
No red power bar has formed, and the last few bars have been small-bodied, suggesting consolidation. The bullish structure remains intact unless the price closes below ₱0.65.
➡ Verdict: Hold (Structure still favors a continuation, not reversal)
Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
A rally back to the ₱0.85–₱0.95 range offers a first-level profit-taking zone. Long-term holders may target ₱1.20 if reversal completes.
➡ Verdict: Hold with tactical exits near ₱0.85–₱0.95
Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
A re-entry is favorable if the price pulls back to the ₱0.62–₱0.66 area with renewed buying strength and volume. This mid-base zone aligns with the rising 8-week and 20-week MAs.
➡ Verdict: Watch for dip to ₱0.62–₱0.66 and reassess for entry
Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Given the lack of confirmed breakout and ABA’s history of volatility, traders should maintain tactical-sized entries (10%–20%), scaling only upon confirmation of a new uptrend.
➡ Verdict: Tactical Position Only (Don’t commit large capital yet)
Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
ABA already triggered multiple counter-trend entries earlier this year when it bottomed below ₱0.50. Those looking to add should ensure the price remains above ₱0.63 to avoid failed setups.
➡ Verdict: Not for counter-trend entry at this level; trend now neutral to early bullish
3. Final Stock Recommendation
Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / TACTICAL BUY ON DIPS
✅ Recommendation: Wait for pullbacks to ₱0.62–₱0.66 for tactical re-entry. No need to chase current price unless strong power bar re-emerges.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱0.52 to guard against trend failure.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Sell in tranches at ₱0.85, ₱0.95, and ₱1.20.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a small (tactical) position. Add only if strong volume accompanies breakout above ₱0.75.
4. Next Steps
🔹 Short-Term Traders → Avoid chasing ABA at current level. Wait for pullbacks or high-volume breakout.
🔹 Long-Term Investors → May begin slow accumulation below ₱0.66 with tight risk controls.
🔹 Existing Holders → Hold position. Monitor for breakout confirmation or weakness below ₱0.63.
🚨 Final Thought: ABA is no longer in free fall but has not fully reversed its long-term trend. Patience is essential. The bottoming base is forming but remains incomplete. 🚨
Daily chart of ABA as of June 30, 2025, highlighting buy zones, stop-loss thresholds, and phased exit targets using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.
5. Layered Accumulation Plan (₱10,000 Capital)
We divide capital into strategic layers to allow flexible entry based on technical zones, while preserving risk management and averaging potential.
Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy (₱2,000 or 20%)
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Buy Zone: ₱0.65–₱0.66
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Rationale: This is the mid-base re-entry area, aligned with the 8-week and 20-week MAs. Use this to test strength on dips.
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Shares Estimate: 3,000 shares @ ₱0.66 = ₱1,980
Layer 2 – Core Entry (₱4,000 or 40%)
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Buy Zone: ₱0.60–₱0.62 (GTC order recommended)
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Rationale: This is a deeper retracement and a strong support level. If price drops here and forms reversal candles, accumulate more.
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Shares Estimate: 6,500 shares @ ₱0.61 = ₱3,965
Layer 3 – Aggressive Add (₱2,000 or 20%)
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Buy Zone: Upon confirmed breakout above ₱0.75 with strong green power bar and volume above 5M.
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Rationale: Buy momentum breakout to ride second wave rally.
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Shares Estimate: 2,600 shares @ ₱0.77 = ₱2,002
Layer 4 – Contingency Reserve (₱2,000 or 20%)
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Purpose: Only deploy if price sharply dips back to ₱0.55–₱0.57 with bullish reversal candle and no breakdown below 20-week MA.
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Shares Estimate: 3,500 shares @ ₱0.57 = ₱1,995
6. Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Zones)
Use a tactical profit-taking approach by trimming positions in tranches as price reaches resistance or target levels.
Exit Phase 1 – Partial Trim at ₱0.85
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Target: Recover 40% of total invested capital
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Rationale: Major resistance zone before psychological ₱1.00; sell some to lock in early gains
Exit Phase 2 – Major Take-Profit at ₱0.95
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Target: Offload another 40%
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Rationale: Strong prior resistance seen in early 2024; reduce exposure
Exit Phase 3 – Final Harvest at ₱1.20
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Target: Sell remaining 20% if reached
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Rationale: This was a prior significant level before the large sell-off in mid-2023. Excellent level for long-term harvest.
🔐 Stop-Loss and Risk Management
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Soft Stop: Below ₱0.60, monitor price action carefully. Avoid averaging down below ₱0.55 unless reversal confirms.
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Hard Stop: Cut losses below ₱0.51 (near previous low and under the 20-week MA) to prevent major downside exposure.
Summary
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Total Capital: ₱10,000
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Position Size Strategy: 4 layers (₱2,000 / ₱4,000 / ₱2,000 / ₱2,000)
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Accumulation Range: ₱0.55 to ₱0.77
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Exit Range: ₱0.85 to ₱1.20
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Risk Control: Cut if close below ₱0.51
✅ This phased plan allows the investor to build conviction gradually, buy weakness, reward momentum, and exit strategically.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
