Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 2, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Discover our in-depth stock price review of AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) using daily, weekly, and monthly charts as of June 2, 2025. Includes a buy/sell decision based on the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, layered accumulation plan, and risk-managed entry.

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

In this comprehensive review, we examine the technical outlook of AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) using its daily, weekly, and monthly charts as of June 2, 2025. The stock has made a decisive move from long-term lows and is showing significant strength across multiple timeframes.

This analysis applies the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 to determine whether this current momentum marks the beginning of a sustainable bullish trend—or a premature rally.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: June 2, 2025
Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱0.79
High: ₱0.79
Low: ₱0.72
20-MA (Daily): ₱0.62
200-MA (Daily): ₱0.61
20-MA (Weekly): ₱0.49
200-MA (Weekly): ₱1.32
20-MA (Monthly): ₱0.81
200-MA (Monthly): ₱0.69

ABA has surged +8.22% in the latest session, breaking above critical moving averages with strong volume and momentum. Let’s evaluate this across the Hybrid 10-Step framework.



ABA stock price chart on daily timeframe showing breakout and trend reversal

ABA (PSE) Daily Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 2, 2025


ABA stock price chart on weerkly timeframe showing breakout and trend reversal

ABA (PSE) Weekly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 2, 2025


ABA stock price chart on daily timeframe showing breakout and trend reversal

ABA (PSE) Monthly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 2, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Focused on Tactical Trade Setups)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Across all three timeframes, ABA has shifted from a deep bottoming pattern into an early uptrend:

  • Daily: Price is now clearly above both 20- and 200-MA.

  • Weekly: ABA has broken above the 8-, 20-, and 50-week MAs but still below the 200-week MA.

  • Monthly: A strong green candle has reclaimed the 200-MA and is testing the 20-MA.

Verdict: BUY (Confirmed Bottom – Trend Reversal Phase)


Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Daily Chart: Price is in a far, positive position—ideal for short-term pullbacks or breakouts.

  • Weekly Chart: Price has transitioned to a positive zone but is still mid-range from long-term resistance.

  • Monthly Chart: Price is near the 20-MA (₱0.81), acting as the final gateway for long-term reversal confirmation.

Verdict: BUY (Multi-Timeframe Position Strengthening)


Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
All timeframes display green breakout bars closing near highs with rising volume, a reliable signal of institutional interest and momentum confirmation.

Verdict: BUY (High-Conviction Breakout with Volume Support)


Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
The breakout above ₱0.72–₱0.75 completes a multi-timeframe resistance breach. Conservative traders may wait for a monthly close above ₱0.81 for stronger confirmation.

Verdict: BUY (Entry Confirmed on Daily and Weekly, Monthly Pending)


Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
Logical stop-loss levels:

  • Aggressive: ₱0.70 (just below short-term support)

  • Moderate: ₱0.65 (below 8-day and 20-day MAs)

  • Conservative: ₱0.62 (below long-term trend invalidation zone)

Verdict: BUY (Risk is Manageable Across Timeframes)


Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
Color shift has occurred across all charts:

  • Daily and Weekly: Green candles dominate with clean trend alignment.

  • Monthly: First large green candle after three red bars.

Verdict: BUY (Momentum Shift Confirmed Across All Levels)


Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-Term Traders: ₱0.85–₱0.90

  • Swing Traders: ₱1.00–₱1.10

  • Long-Term Investors: ₱1.29–₱1.40 (200-week and 50-month MAs), up to ₱1.80–₱2.00 (historical resistance)

Verdict: BUY (Plan for Staggered Profit Targets)


Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Daily: ₱0.70–₱0.72 pullbacks

  • Weekly: ₱0.65–₱0.68 (EMA support zone)

  • Monthly: ₱0.69 (200-MA retest)

Verdict: BUY on Pullbacks (Support Re-Entry Zones Valid)


Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Start with core entry now (50%)

  • Add tactical re-entry on red days or pullbacks

  • Add final layer on monthly close above ₱0.81

Verdict: BUY (Layered Position Strategy Recommended)


Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Not applicable. The trade is aligned with a fresh trend reversal, not a counter-trend bounce.

Verdict: BUY (Trend-Aligned Setup)


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

Recommendation: Buy at ₱0.75–₱0.79 based on combined daily/weekly breakout and monthly bottom confirmation.

Risk Management: Place stop-loss at ₱0.65–₱0.68 to protect against invalidation of short-term uptrend.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale out at ₱0.90, ₱1.10, ₱1.30–₱1.40, and ₱2.00 for longer-term upside capture.

Position Size Strategy: Enter a moderate core position now. Add layers on confirmation above ₱0.81 or upon pullbacks to ₱0.70.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Watch ₱0.85–₱0.90 for resistance. Sell in tranches and tighten stops.

🔹 Long-term investors → This multi-timeframe reversal is rare. Consider layered accumulation while maintaining discipline.

🔹 Existing holders → Continue to hold; trail stop below ₱0.70 and prepare for scaling out at ₱1.00+ levels.

🚨 Final Thought: Daily momentum, weekly structure, and monthly trend reversal are aligning. This is a multi-chart confluence setup—a compelling case for initiating or increasing a long position. 🚨


🔄 ADDENDUM: Trade Execution and Tactical Adjustments (As of June 5, 2025)

📅 Trade Implementation Summary

Following our BUY recommendation at the ₱0.75–₱0.79 range, we executed a core position slightly above this zone based on updated intraday conditions and broader momentum confirmation.

Executed Trade:

  • Date: June 3, 2025

  • Action: BUY

  • Price: ₱0.80

  • Shares: 6,000

Tactical Follow-up Orders (Placed June 5, 2025):

  • GTC Order – 1,000 shares at ₱0.65

  • GTC Order – 2,000 shares at ₱0.70


✅ Justification for Initial Entry at ₱0.80

While our initial recommendation highlighted ₱0.75–₱0.79 as the optimal zone, the decision to enter at ₱0.80 was supported by the following technical and strategic factors:

  1. Momentum Alignment Across All Timeframes:
    Our entry followed a rare confluence of daily, weekly, and monthly bullish trend reversals, increasing the urgency to secure a base position.

  2. Risk Still Within Acceptable Threshold:
    The slight premium above our range was offset by strong chart structure, acceptable risk/reward, and real-time market strength.

  3. Strategic Core Position Initiation:
    This 6,000-share entry represents the first layer of a long-term trade, in line with our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy's layered execution framework


🎯 Why We Chose ABA Over Other Stocks

Our selection of ABA as a priority trade candidate was grounded in a combination of technical structure, trend alignment, and capital efficiency:

  1. Multi-Timeframe Reversal Setup:
    ABA displayed a synchronized bottoming pattern and breakout across daily, weekly, and monthly charts—a rare alignment signaling high-probability trend reversal.

  2. Low Absolute Price + Strong Relative Momentum:
    ABA offered an opportunity to accumulate a meaningful share count (within a budget of ₱5,000–₱10,000) while riding a momentum surge confirmed by volume—making it ideal for traders with limited capital.

  3. Clean Risk Definition:
    Support levels were technically well-defined, especially at the 8-day, 20-day, and 200-day MAs, allowing for disciplined stop-loss placement.

  4. Liquidity Spike and Retail Interest:
    With volumes reaching 20M+ shares daily, ABA showed renewed market participation, which is critical for validating breakouts and managing exits later on.

  5. Market Rotation Favoring Small-Cap Recovery:
    ABA’s recovery came during a broader rotation into speculative and turnaround plays, positioning it as a front-runner among early movers.

Verdict: Among the pool of chart candidates under review, ABA stood out as the most compelling stock demonstrating technical validity, strategic timing, affordability, and trade manageability—making it the ideal pick for our tactical entry test under the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.


✅ Rationale for GTC Buy Orders at ₱0.70 and ₱0.65

On June 4, ABA dropped 5% to close at ₱0.76, prompting us to deploy pullback-based tactical entries as per Step 8 (Re-Entry Zones) and Step 9 (Tactical Position Adjustments) of the strategy:

  • ₱0.70 GTC Order (2,000 shares):
    Targets the prior breakout and psychological support zone, near the 8-day EMA. It is a key area for buy-the-dip setups.

  • ₱0.65 GTC Order (1,000 shares):
    Aligns with the 20-day MA and serves as our deeper pullback zone. It acts as a final defense line for the bullish structure.

These orders were designed to average down our cost base and tactically reload if the trend remains intact through a healthy consolidation phase.


🔁 Updated Execution Commentary

Revised Entry Guidance: 

While our technical entry zone was ₱0.75–₱0.79, we entered a core position at ₱0.80 based on a momentum breakout trigger on June 3, 2025. 

We have since placed Good-Til-Cancelled (GTC) tactical buy orders at ₱0.70 (2,000 shares) and ₱0.65 (1,000 shares) to capitalize on short-term pullbacks, consistent with our long-term accumulation strategy.

This adjustment remains fully aligned with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 4.0 and reflects disciplined, adaptive trade management.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Morning Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


I. Introduction

This follow-up review examines Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) based on the morning session chart as of February 19, 2025.

MONDE recently attempted to break above the 9.13 resistance zone, following a strong close on February 18, 2025, at 8.45 with a volume surge of 10.465M, exceeding its target breakout volume of 10.41M.

This review will determine whether MONDE’s bullish momentum is sustainable and whether a buy opportunity exists using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0.

Updated Trade Details (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

  • Date: February 19, 2025
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Morning Chart (End of Morning Session)
  • Opening Price: 8.45
  • High: 8.60
  • Low: 8.28
  • Current Price: 8.52
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.51
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.55

Volume Analysis (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

  • Morning Volume: 3.825M
  • Closing Volume (February 18, 2025): 10.465M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 9.671M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 7.122M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 volume average): 10.41M

With MONDE’s price hovering near the 9.13 key breakout level, this analysis will evaluate whether the stock can sustain its bullish move or if a pullback is expected.

MONDE morning session chart with technical indicators as of February 19, 2025

MONDE Morning Session Stock Charts as of February 19, 2025



II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Daily Chart:

    • MONDE continues to trade below the 200-day MA (9.55), meaning the long-term trend remains bearish.
    • However, the price is now well above the 20-day MA (7.51), indicating strong short-term bullish momentum.
  • Monthly Chart:

    • The stock is attempting a recovery from the 6.65 low, but it remains below the 20-MA (9.14).

Verdict: Wait (Short-term bullish momentum is strong, but long-term downtrend remains).


Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • MONDE is currently at the 57% retracement level, slightly above the power move sweet spot of 8.47 - 9.13.
  • A break above 9.13 with strong volume would confirm a bullish continuation.

Verdict: Watch for Breakout Above 9.13 (Critical Level for Bulls).


Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • MONDE closed with high volume (10.465M) on February 18, 2025, exceeding the 10.41M breakout target, indicating strong buying interest.
  • However, the morning session volume (3.825M) is lower, meaning momentum must be sustained throughout the day.

Verdict: Buy on Further Strength (Monitor closing volume for confirmation).


Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A full confirmation occurs if MONDE closes above 9.13 with strong volume.
  • The key resistance levels:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)

Verdict: Small Entry Possible (Full confirmation needed).


Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering long, a stop-loss should be placed below 8.00 to protect against downside risk.
  • A drop below 7.50 would signal further weakness.

Verdict: Buy with Risk Management (Stop-loss at 8.00).


Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • Another green candle has formed, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
  • However, confirmation of bullish structure requires a sustained close above 9.13.

Verdict: Wait (Needs a strong close above 9.13).


Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)
    • Long-term: 10.50

Verdict: Hold Position, Take Partial Profits at 9.13 and 9.55.


Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Re-enter near 8.15 if support holds.
  • Buy on a confirmed breakout at 9.13.

Verdict: Watch for Re-Entry on Retracement or Breakout.


Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Initiate if MONDE holds above 9.13 with volume confirmation.
  • Tactical Entry: A small position can be taken near 8.52, increasing size upon confirmation above 9.13.

Verdict: Small Position Possible Near 8.52, Increase Size Above 9.13.


Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is recommended since MONDE is trading within a breakout structure.

Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading.


III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

Recommendation: Buy if MONDE holds above 9.13 with strong volume.

Risk Management: Stop-loss at 8.00 to manage downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 9.13 (short-term), 9.55 (mid-term), and 10.50 (long-term).

Position Size Strategy: Start small near 8.52, increase size upon confirmation above 9.13.


IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Monitor if MONDE sustains above 9.13 before taking full positions.

🔹 Long-term investors: Consider small entries near 8.52 with a stop at 8.00, then add if volume strengthens.

🔹 Existing holders: Monitor breakout confirmation above 9.13 before adding positions.

🚨 Final Thought: MONDE continues its breakout attempt. A strong close above 9.13 with volume confirmation is the key signal to watch. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Morning Session Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


I. Introduction

This is an updated follow-up review based on the morning session chart for Universal Robina Corporation (URC) as of February 19, 2025. We assessed the stock's breakout attempt above 70.20, awaiting confirmation of strength through price and volume.

As of the morning close, URC continued to hold above 70.20, showing further bullish strength. However, volume remains below the breakout threshold, making the validation of this move crucial for an entry decision.

Updated Trade Details (End-of-Morning Session)

  • Date: February 19, 2025
  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Morning Chart (End of Morning Session)
  • Opening Price: 66.90
  • High: 70.80
  • Low: 66.90
  • Current Price: 70.35
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 63.42
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 94.23

Volume Analysis (as of February 19, 2025 - End of Morning)

  • Closing Volume: 1.351M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 2.744M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 2.639M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 Volume Average): 3.92M

While price action remains bullish, breakout volume is still insufficient to confirm sustained upside momentum. Next, we will re-evaluate its technical setup using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

URC morning session chart with technical indicators as of February 19, 2025

URC Morning Session Stock Charts as of February 19, 2025



II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is still below the 200-day MA (94.23), indicating a long-term bearish trend.
  • The stock continues to sustain itself above 70.20, suggesting short-term bullish strength after reclaiming the 20-day MA (63.42).
  • The monthly chart shows an attempted reversal, but confirmation is still required.

Verdict: Wait (Trend reversal is in progress but needs further validation).


Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • URC has entered the 68.12 - 71.18 sweet spot—a key decision zone for a breakout continuation.
  • Holding above 71.18 with volume confirmation would validate the breakout.

Verdict: Watch for Confirmation (Entry point is valid, but strength must hold).


Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The morning session confirmed another green candle above 70.20, signaling continued buying interest.
  • However, breakout volume (3.92M) has not been reached—this remains a critical factor.

Verdict: Wait (Breakout needs volume confirmation).


Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • URC has breached the 70.20 resistance zone, a bullish sign.
  • A close above 71.18 with at least 3.92M volume is required for full confirmation.

Verdict: Small Entry Possible (Full confirmation needed).


Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • A stop-loss should be placed below 68.00 in case of a false breakout.
  • A move back below 66.90 would invalidate the bullish thesis.

Verdict: Buy if it holds above 71.18 (Stop-loss at 68.00).


Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • Another strong green candle is forming, indicating continued bullish sentiment.
  • However, confirmation through volume and sustained movement above 71.18 is still required.

Verdict: Wait (Bullish continuation must hold).


Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets remain:
    • Short-term: 75.00
    • Mid-term: 80.00
  • Partial exits recommended near 75.00 if the stock sustains momentum.

Verdict: Hold position, set target levels.


Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Pullbacks near 68.00 can be re-entry points if support is confirmed.
  • Re-enter near 71.18 with volume confirmation for a strong breakout play.

Verdict: Monitor re-entry zones near 68.00 or on confirmed break above 71.18.


Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Can be initiated if URC holds above 71.18 with volume confirmation.
  • Tactical Entry: A small position can be taken near 70.20, increasing size only on confirmation above 71.18.

Verdict: Small entry possible near 70.20, increase size upon confirmation above 71.18.


Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Since URC has not shown significant breakdowns, counter-trend trading is not recommended.

Verdict: Not applicable (Breakout setup, not a counter-trend trade).


III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

Recommendation: Buy if URC holds above 71.18 with strong volume (above 3.92M).

Risk Management: Stop-loss at 68.00 to manage downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 75.00 (short-term) and 80.00 (mid-term).

Position Size Strategy: Start with a small position near 70.20, increase size upon confirmation above 71.18.


IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Monitor if URC sustains above 71.18 before taking a full position.

🔹 Long-term investors: Consider small entries near 70.20 with a stop at 68.00, then add if volume strengthens.

🔹 Existing holders: Monitor if the breakout holds; partial profit-taking near 75.00 is recommended.

🚨 Final Thought: URC continues its breakout attempt. A strong close above 71.18 with volume confirmation is the key signal to watch. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


I. Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) is a major player in the Philippine stock market, known for its strong market presence in the food and beverage industry. This review will analyze its price movement using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 to determine the best trade decision.

Trade Details

  • Date: February 17, 2025
  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily
  • Closing Price: 63.95
  • High: 65.90
  • Low: 63.30
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 63.30
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 94.49

Pullback Under Consideration

  • Start of Power Move Date: January 14, 2025
  • Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 75.00
  • End of Power Move Date: February 12, 2025
  • End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 59.70
  • Power Move Trend: Bearish
  • Power Move Sweet Spot: 68.12 - 71.18
  • Market Price To Date: 70.20
  • Pullback Level To Date: 69%

Volume Analysis (as of February 17, 2025)

  • Closing Volume: 2.49M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 2.68M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 2.61M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 Volume Average): 3.92M

The following analysis will apply our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether URC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity.

URC stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025


URC stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

URC Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025



II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The daily chart shows a downtrend phase with URC trading well below its 200-day MA (94.49).
  • The price is hovering around the 20-day MA (63.30), signaling a potential short-term consolidation after a steep decline.
  • The monthly chart confirms the long-term downtrend, with the 200-MA (113.94) acting as resistance.

Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of trend reversal).


Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • The stock is currently below the 200-day MA, indicating a bearish macro trend.
  • The price is approaching the 70% retracement level (69%), making it a high-risk zone for long trades unless a reversal occurs.
  • Ideal bullish entry should be within the 25%-45% pullback range, meaning the stock is still in a danger zone for continued downside.

Verdict: Wait (Not yet in a favorable entry zone).


Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • A green candle with increased volume was seen on February 17, 2025, indicating short-term buying interest.
  • However, breakout volume (3.92M) has not been met, suggesting weak confirmation.

Verdict: Wait (Volume does not yet confirm breakout).


Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • The price is still below the key resistance zone (68.12 - 71.18).
  • A confirmed reversal pattern (e.g., higher lows or a strong bullish breakout above the sweet spot) is needed before entry.

Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of a breakout above 71.18).


Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering a long position, an initial stop-loss should be set below the recent swing low (59.70).
  • Risk remains high due to lack of volume confirmation.

Verdict: Wait (Risk is still high for new positions).


Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No clear color change pattern yet to confirm a trend reversal.
  • The stock remains inside a bearish channel with no strong green bar confirmation above key resistance.

Verdict: Wait (Needs clear color change confirmation).


Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets should be 75.00 for conservative exits and 80.00 for more aggressive ones.
  • However, since an entry is not confirmed, taking profits is not yet applicable.

Verdict: Not applicable yet (Entry not confirmed).


Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If the stock reclaims 71.18 with strong volume, a re-entry can be considered.
  • Alternatively, a pullback to 60.00 with bullish reversal confirmation could be another re-entry point.

Verdict: Wait (Monitor breakout levels before re-entry).


Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Not recommended yet due to uncertain trend.
  • Tactical Entry: Possible near 60.00 if a bullish reversal occurs or above 71.18 with strong volume.

Verdict: Wait (No adjustment needed until a clearer trend forms).


Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trading is not advisable yet since there hasn’t been a gap-down of more than 5% below the 200-MA or two consecutive large red candles near lows.

Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading (No clear reversal setup).


III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above 71.18 before considering a long position.
Risk Management: Stop-loss should be set below 59.70 if entering a trade.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 75.00 (conservative) and 80.00 (aggressive).
Position Size Strategy: Start with a small position upon breakout confirmation, then add gradually.


IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Avoid buying until a confirmed breakout above 71.18 occurs.
🔹 Long-term investors: May consider waiting for stabilization near 60.00 before adding positions.
🔹 Existing holders: Should monitor breakout confirmation or further downside risks before adjusting positions.
🚨 Final Thought: This is not the ideal entry point yet. A clearer bullish confirmation is required before taking action. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Stock Price Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps


I. Introduction

Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) is a major food and beverage player in the Philippine stock market. As of February 17, 2025, MONDE has shown a recovery attempt after its bearish power move from 9.95 to 6.65. The stock has now retraced to a pullback level of 57%, positioning it near the power move sweet spot of 8.47 - 9.13.

This review will apply the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 to determine whether MONDE presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity.

Trade Details

  • Date: February 17, 2025
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily
  • Closing Price: 8.15
  • High: 8.20
  • Low: 7.92
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.36
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.57

Pullback Under Consideration

  • Start of Power Move Date: November 20, 2024
  • Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 9.95
  • End of Power Move Date: January 31, 2025
  • End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 6.65
  • Power Move Trend: Bearish
  • Power Move Sweet Spot: 8.47 - 9.13
  • Market Price To Date: 8.52
  • Pullback Level To Date: 57%

Volume Analysis (as of February 17, 2025)

  • Closing Volume: 7.56M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 9.47M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 6.94M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 volume average): 10.41M

While MONDE has entered a technical retracement zone, volume has not yet fully confirmed a bullish breakout. Let’s proceed with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy analysis.

MONDE stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025


MONDE stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

MONDE Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025



II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Daily Chart:

    • MONDE is still in a long-term downtrend, as it trades below the 200-day MA (9.57).
    • However, it has reclaimed the 20-day MA (7.36), indicating short-term bullish momentum.
  • Monthly Chart:

    • The stock has bounced from the recent low (6.65) but remains below the 20-MA (9.14).
    • This suggests that long-term recovery is uncertain, and further confirmation is needed.

Verdict: Wait (Short-term bullish, but long-term trend is still down).


Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • MONDE is in the 57% pullback zone, right above the sweet spot (8.47 - 9.13).
  • A break above 9.13 would confirm a bullish continuation.
  • A rejection below 8.47 would indicate a failed recovery and a possible retest of 7.50 or lower.

Verdict: Watch for Breakout Above 9.13 (Key Decision Zone).


Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • MONDE has printed multiple green candles, but breakout volume is missing (current volume = 7.56M vs. target breakout volume = 10.41M).
  • The stock needs a surge in volume above 10.41M to confirm a breakout.

Verdict: Wait (Volume is below breakout threshold).


Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • An ideal buy entry would be on a break above 9.13 with strong volume.
  • Current resistance levels:
    • Short-term: 8.47 - 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.57 (200-MA)

Verdict: Wait (Buy on breakout above 9.13 with strong volume).


Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering long, stop-loss should be placed below 7.50 to protect against downside risk.
  • A drop below 6.65 would indicate further downside pressure.

Verdict: Buy only with risk management (Stop-loss at 7.50).


Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • MONDE has shown consistent green candles, signaling bullish momentum.
  • However, it needs to sustain this trend above key resistance levels.

Verdict: Wait (Needs sustained strength above 9.13).


Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.57
    • Long-term: 10.50

Verdict: Hold with profit-taking at key resistance zones.


Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Buy on retracement near 8.00 if support holds.
  • Breakout entry at 9.13 for momentum continuation.

Verdict: Watch for re-entry on retracement or confirmed breakout.


Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Entry should be considered above 9.13 with volume confirmation.
  • Tactical Entry: A smaller position may be taken near 8.15, but only if support holds.

Verdict: Small position possible near 8.15, full position upon breakout.


Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades are not recommended unless the stock retests 7.00 with a bullish reversal pattern.

Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading.


III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above 9.13 before entering.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below 7.50 to minimize downside risk.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 9.13 (short-term), 9.57 (mid-term), and 10.50 (long-term).

Position Size Strategy: Start small near 8.15 if support holds, increase size upon breakout confirmation.


IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Avoid entering until MONDE clears 9.13 with strong volume.

🔹 Long-term investors: Monitor for stability above 8.15 before considering accumulation.

🔹 Existing holders: Consider reducing exposure if price fails to break 9.13.

🚨 Final Thought: MONDE is in a potential reversal phase but needs confirmation above 9.13. A breakout with volume is required for a buy signal. 🚨



Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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