Friday, January 31, 2025

Stock Price Review: Premiere Island Power REIT (PREIT) Daily Chart as of January 30, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT) experienced a sharp -6.22% decline, closing at ₱2.11 during the January 30, 2025 session. This selloff pushed the stock below the 20-day moving average (₱2.19) while remaining above the 200-day moving average (₱1.99), signaling increasing downside risk. The sudden drop raises questions about whether PREIT presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 30, 2025 (Closing Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱2.11
  • High: ₱2.23
  • Low: ₱2.11
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱2.19
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.99
  • Volume: 73K (low liquidity and declining participation)

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

PREIT Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Daily Chart as of January 30, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • PREIT has shifted into a short-term downtrend, breaking below the 20-day MA (₱2.19) for the first time in several weeks.
  • The 200-day MA (₱1.99) remains intact, meaning the long-term trend is still bullish, but momentum has weakened.
  • A break below ₱2.10 could trigger further selling toward ₱2.00 or lower.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – The stock has lost momentum, and caution is warranted.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • The key support zone is now at ₱2.00, aligned with the 200-day MA.
  • Resistance has shifted to ₱2.19 (20-day MA) and ₱2.25, which must be reclaimed for bullish confirmation.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A recovery above ₱2.19 is needed before considering longs.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The latest red candle is a strong bearish power bar, indicating a potential breakdown.
  • Volume remains low (73K), meaning there is no strong buying support at current levels.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No breakout signals or momentum shifts are present.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No buy signals are present, as the stock is trading below the short-term trend.
  • A recovery above ₱2.19 would be the first sign of strength.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – Entering at current levels is too risky.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If holding a long position, a stop-loss should be placed below ₱2.00.
  • If PREIT breaks ₱2.00, the next downside target is ₱1.85-₱1.90.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Reducing risk exposure is advised.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No bullish reversal signals have appeared.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Look for a green power bar before entering.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-term traders should consider exiting positions if PREIT fails to recover ₱2.19.
  • The next profit-taking level would be ₱2.25-₱2.30 if recovery occurs.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A bounce may offer a better exit opportunity.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Ideal re-entry would be near ₱2.00, where the 200-MA offers support.
  • A break below ₱2.00 would mean waiting for stabilization at ₱1.85-₱1.90.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION – No immediate re-entry is advised.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • New buyers should avoid full-sized positions until confirmation emerges.
  • Recommendation: HOLD CASH / WAIT – No need to take unnecessary risks.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • A counter-trend trade is not advisable until volume increases significantly.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A CONFIRMED TREND REVERSAL – The risk remains high.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: SELL / WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Sell or reduce exposure while below ₱2.19. Re-enter only if price stabilizes at ₱2.00 or reclaims ₱2.19 with volume.

✅ Risk Management: Set a stop-loss below ₱2.00 to protect against downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Short-term traders should exit on any relief rally to ₱2.25-₱2.30.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying until a trend reversal is confirmed.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid buying until a strong bullish reversal emerges above ₱2.19.

🔹 Long-term investors → Hold only if ₱2.00 support remains intact.

🔹 Existing holders → Consider reducing exposure on failed recovery attempts.

🚨 Final Thought: PREIT has lost momentum and risks further downside if ₱2.00 fails. Patience is key—wait for confirmation before entering new positions. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Thursday, January 30, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Monthly Chart as of January 30, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) has experienced significant downside pressure, closing at ₱64.35, a massive -18.54% decline in the latest monthly session. The stock has broken through major long-term support levels, trading well below both the 20-month and 200-month moving averages, indicating a deep bearish trend. This review evaluates whether URC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Monthly Chart
  • Date: January 30, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱64.35
  • High: ₱83.95
  • Low: ₱64.15
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱106.00
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱113.69
  • Volume: 37.435M (elevated selling pressure)

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

URC Monthly Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

URC Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Monthly Chart as of January 30, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is in a long-term confirmed downtrend, with price action significantly below the 20-month and 200-month MAs.
  • The breakdown from ₱100 to ₱64 signals extreme weakness, suggesting that investors have lost confidence in the stock.
  • Volume is elevated, indicating panic selling rather than controlled distribution.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – The trend is strongly bearish, and caution is warranted.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • URC has broken below critical long-term support levels, showing no immediate signs of stabilization.
  • The next potential support is in the ₱50-₱55 range, aligning with previous consolidation zones from 2013-2014.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – The stock must establish a base before considering long positions.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The large red monthly candle suggests strong selling pressure, with no bullish reversal signals present.
  • The increase in volume confirms a capitulation event, but without reversal patterns, buying remains high-risk.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – There are no breakout signals or momentum shifts.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • There is no valid buy entry at current levels given the lack of a stabilization pattern.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – Confirmation of a bottoming structure is required before considering long entries.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Stop-loss levels are difficult to define in free-fall conditions—traders should avoid attempting to catch the falling knife.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Holding positions without a clear support level is highly risky.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No green reversal candles or trend-shifting signals are present.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – Confirmation of buying interest is needed.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Traders still holding URC should consider reducing exposure while the trend remains bearish.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Locking in losses before further downside is advisable.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • A re-entry should only be considered if price stabilizes above ₱70 with increasing volume.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION – No immediate re-entry is advised.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • New buyers should avoid full-sized positions until a bottom is confirmed.
  • Recommendation: HOLD CASH / WAIT – No need to take unnecessary risks in a weak market.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • A counter-trend trade can only be considered if a multi-month base forms with clear bullish reversals.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A CONFIRMED TREND REVERSAL – The risk remains high for premature entries.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: SELL / WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Sell on any relief rallies or wait for a confirmed bottom before considering new buys.

✅ Risk Management: Avoid speculative entries while the long-term trend remains bearish.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Short-term traders should reduce exposure on any bounce toward ₱75-₱80.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying until a trend reversal is confirmed.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid buying until a strong bullish reversal pattern emerges.

🔹 Long-term investors → Consider waiting for stabilization before averaging down.

🔹 Existing holders → Should consider exiting positions or reducing exposure.

🚨 Final Thought: URC is in a deep bearish trend, and further downside is possible. Patience is key—wait for confirmation before entering new positions. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Stock Price Review: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) has been in a strong uptrend, reaching a recent high of ₱36.50 before showing a slight pullback. The January 28, 2025 closing session reflects a price decrease of -0.55%, settling at ₱36.20. Our amended chart annotations now include key pullback levels (0%, 25%, 50%, and 100%), which provide crucial insights into SCC’s potential retracement zones. This review determines whether SCC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Closing Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱36.20
  • High: ₱36.40
  • Low: ₱36.10
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱35.34
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱33.02
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 0% Pullback (Resistance): ₱36.50
    • 25% Sweet Spot Pullback: ₱35.50
    • 50% Pullback (Stronger Support): ₱34.50
    • 100% Pullback (Major Support): ₱32.50

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

SCC Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

SCC Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Closing Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • SCC remains in a strong uptrend, trading above both the 20-MA (₱35.34) and 200-MA (₱33.02).
  • The 20-MA is sloping upward, confirming continued bullish momentum.
  • The stock is now pulling back from ₱36.50, testing initial support zones.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – The trend remains bullish, with pullbacks offering re-entry opportunities.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • SCC is currently trading just below the 0% pullback level (₱36.50).
  • The first strong retracement zone is at ₱35.50 (25% sweet spot pullback), aligning with the 20-day MA.
  • The 50% pullback level (₱34.50) is a major support zone for potential bounce plays.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Buying near support levels presents better risk-reward.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The last few candles indicate consolidation after a strong rally, suggesting profit-taking.
  • Volume remains strong at 1.114M, supporting continued market participation.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – A breakout above ₱36.50 with volume would confirm trend continuation.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • The best buy entry is near ₱35.50-₱35.00, aligning with the 25% pullback sweet spot.
  • A confirmed breakout above ₱36.50 with volume would signal further upside.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Enter near pullback levels or on breakout confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • A stop-loss should be placed below ₱34.50 (50% pullback level) to manage downside risk.
  • If the pullback extends to ₱32.50, reassessing the trend would be necessary.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Stop-loss placement is key for risk management.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No bearish reversal signals have appeared yet.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Monitor for any significant bearish candle formations.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-term traders can take partial profits near ₱38.00-₱39.00.
  • A full exit is recommended if price struggles to hold above ₱36.00.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Partial exits near resistance levels are advisable.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If a breakout fails, a better re-entry zone would be around ₱34.50-₱35.00.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Avoid chasing if price struggles at resistance.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core position: 50% size at ₱35.00-₱35.50, if price holds above 20-MA.
  • Tactical add-on: 10% size above ₱36.50, if volume strengthens.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Manage positions based on breakout strength.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades should only be considered if SCC forms a clear reversal pattern.
  • Recommendation: STICK TO THE TREND – Trade only on trend continuation confirmation.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY / HOLD

✅ Recommendation: Buy near support at ₱35.50 (25% pullback), or on breakout above ₱36.50 with volume.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱34.50 to protect against downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target exits at ₱38.00-₱39.00 for short-term trades.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Enter moderate size, adding more only above ₱36.50 with volume confirmation.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Buy only if price holds ₱35.50 or breaks above ₱36.50 with strong volume. Target ₱38.00-₱39.00.

🔹 Long-term investors → Hold as long as ₱34.50 support remains intact.

🔹 Existing holders → Partial profit-taking recommended near ₱38.00-₱39.00.

🚨 Final Thought: SCC remains in a strong uptrend. Look for a confirmed breakout or buy on dips. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Tuesday, January 28, 2025

Stock Price Review: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC) has been trading in a downtrend, with price action struggling to regain momentum above key moving averages. As of the January 28, 2025 closing session, ALLHC closed at ₱1.66, posting a +2.47% gain for the day. This review evaluates whether the stock presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: AyalaLand Logistics Holdings Corp. (ALLHC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Closing Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱1.66
  • High: ₱1.67
  • Low: ₱1.62
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱1.67
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.88
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% Pullback: ₱1.77
    • 50% Pullback: ₱1.70
    • 0% Pullback: ₱1.62

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

ALLHC Stock Price Review – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of January 28, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • ALLHC remains in a downtrend, trading below both the 20-day MA (₱1.67) and the 200-day MA (₱1.88).
  • The 20-MA is sloping downward, confirming persistent bearish pressure.
  • The price is attempting a bounce from support (₱1.62), but it remains below key resistance levels.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A strong reversal signal is needed before considering long positions.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • ALLHC is hovering near the 0% pullback level (₱1.62), which has served as support.
  • Key resistance levels ahead include ₱1.70 (50% pullback) and ₱1.77 (100% pullback).
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – If ₱1.62 holds and price reclaims ₱1.70, a recovery might be possible.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • Today's green candle suggests a possible short-term rebound, but there is no strong breakout signal yet.
  • Volume remains low at 82K, indicating lack of aggressive buyer interest.
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – More volume is required to confirm strength.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A buy signal will only be confirmed if ALLHC closes above ₱1.70 with strong volume.
  • A failure to hold ₱1.62 would trigger another downward move.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – Buying now is risky unless a stronger confirmation emerges.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If attempting a speculative counter-trend buy, a stop-loss should be placed below ₱1.60.
  • The risk-reward setup favors a move toward ₱1.77 (resistance) if the bounce sustains.
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Only enter with a tight stop-loss.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • The recent candles indicate mixed signals, with multiple wicks showing selling pressure near ₱1.67.
  • Recommendation: WAIT – A decisive bullish candle is needed.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-term traders should consider taking profits near ₱1.70 - ₱1.77.
  • A full exit is advisable if price struggles to hold above ₱1.70.
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Partial exits near resistance are ideal.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If a breakout fails, a better re-entry zone would be around ₱1.55-₱1.60.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A DIP IF NO BREAKOUT OCCURS – Avoid buying prematurely.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core position: 50% size at ₱1.62-1.65, if a bullish follow-through occurs.
  • Tactical add-on: 10% size above ₱1.70, if volume strengthens.
  • Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT – Conservative traders should wait for confirmation.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades should only be considered if ALLHC forms a clear double bottom or reclaims ₱1.70 with strong volume.
  • Recommendation: STICK TO THE TREND – Avoid counter-trend trades without confirmation.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Hold if already positioned, but avoid new buys unless ALLHC reclaims ₱1.70 with volume.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱1.60 to limit downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target exits at ₱1.70 - ₱1.77 for short-term trades.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying until a clear breakout above ₱1.70 is confirmed.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Buy only if price clears ₱1.70 with strong volume. Target ₱1.77.

🔹 Long-term investors → Hold as long as ₱1.60 support remains intact.

🔹 Existing holders → Partial profit-taking recommended near ₱1.77.

🚨 Final Thought: ALLHC remains in a weak downtrend. Wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: Premiere Island Power REIT (PREIT) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT) has been consolidating within a narrow range, hovering around the 50% pullback level (₱2.20) for an extended period. The morning session chart of January 28, 2025, with our annotations, suggests that PREIT is attempting to break out of this consolidation. This analysis will determine if a buy, sell, or hold position is most suitable based on our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Premiere Island Power REIT Corporation (PREIT)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Morning Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱2.24
  • High: ₱2.24
  • Low: ₱2.15
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱2.19
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.99
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% Pullback: ₱2.40
    • 50% Pullback: ₱2.20
    • 0% Pullback: ₱2.00

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

PREIT Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

PREIT Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (Morning Session, January 27, 2025)


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • PREIT is in a sideways consolidation phase, fluctuating between ₱2.00 and ₱2.40.
  • The price is above the 200-day MA (₱1.99), confirming an overall bullish trend structure.
  • The 20-day MA (₱2.19) is flattening, indicating lack of strong momentum.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – The stock remains in a consolidation, and a breakout above ₱2.25-₱2.30 is needed for a stronger buy signal.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • PREIT is currently hovering near the 50% pullback level (₱2.20), which serves as a pivot zone.
  • A sustained breakout above ₱2.25 could push the stock toward the 100% pullback level (₱2.40).
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – A breakout confirmation is required for momentum.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The recent candles indicate an increase in bullish strength, with higher lows and higher closes.
  • Volume remains relatively low (55K), meaning a breakout still lacks strong conviction.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – If volume increases on an upward move, a breakout play is validated.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A buy signal will be confirmed if price breaks above ₱2.25 with strong volume.
  • A failure to hold ₱2.20 could push PREIT back to ₱2.00 support.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Conservative traders should wait for confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering at ₱2.22 - ₱2.25, a stop-loss should be placed below ₱2.15.
  • Risk-reward favors a move toward ₱2.40 (resistance) with downside limited to ₱2.00.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Stop-loss discipline is essential.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • The last few candles show bullish attempts, but there is no strong confirmation of trend acceleration yet.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Monitor for a strong green power bar.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short-term traders can take partial profits at ₱2.30 - ₱2.40.
  • A full exit is recommended if price struggles to hold above ₱2.25.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Tactical profit-taking near ₱2.40 is advisable.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If a breakout fails, a re-entry at ₱2.00 - ₱2.05 would provide a better risk-reward setup.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A DIP IF NO BREAKOUT OCCURS – Avoid chasing if volume remains weak.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core position: 50% size at ₱2.20-2.25, if a breakout is confirmed.
  • Tactical add-on: 10% size above ₱2.30, if volume strengthens.
  • Recommendation: BUY / HOLD – Manage positions based on breakout strength.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades are not applicable in this setup.
  • Recommendation: STICK TO THE TREND – Trade only on breakout confirmation.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY / HOLD

✅ Recommendation: Buy on breakout above ₱2.25, or hold if already positioned. Avoid buying if volume remains weak.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱2.15 to limit downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target exits at ₱2.30 - ₱2.40 for short-term trades.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Enter moderate size, adding more only above ₱2.30 with volume confirmation.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Buy only if price clears ₱2.25 with strong volume. Target ₱2.30 - ₱2.40.

🔹 Long-term investors → Hold as long as ₱2.00 support remains intact.

🔹 Existing holders → Partial profit-taking recommended near ₱2.40.

🚨 Final Thought: PREIT is testing a breakout zone. Watch for volume confirmation above ₱2.25 before committing to new positions. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of January 28, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) remains in a strong downtrend, struggling to reclaim key resistance levels. The updated chart includes the 20-day and 200-day moving averages, providing further insights into the stock's short-term and long-term trend dynamics. Our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy will determine whether a buy, sell, or hold stance is appropriate.

Trade Details

  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025 (Morning Session)
  • Closing Price: ₱64.95
  • High: ₱65.50
  • Low: ₱64.35
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱73.00
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱96.78
  • Key Pullback Levels:
    • 100% Pullback: ₱69.60
    • 50% Pullback: ₱67.43
    • 0% Pullback: ₱65.25

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured assessment.

URC Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

URC Stock Price Review – Analyzing Buy or Sell Signals with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy (Morning Session, January 27, 2025)


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is in a confirmed downtrend, with price action below both the 20-day MA (₱73.00) and the 200-day MA (₱96.78).
  • The 20-MA is sloping downward, signaling continued weakness.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A strong reversal signal is required before considering long positions.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • URC is trading below the 0% pullback level (₱65.25), indicating that support has failed.
  • The next resistance levels are ₱67.43 (50% pullback) and ₱69.60 (100% pullback).
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Price remains in bearish territory.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • No bullish power bars are visible on the chart.
  • Volume remains low, confirming a lack of strong buyer interest.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – There are no breakout signals.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • No bullish technical signals are present to justify a long position.
  • The stock needs to reclaim at least ₱67.43 for a potential entry.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Entry at this level is premature.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If attempting a counter-trend buy, a stop-loss should be set below ₱63.50.
  • Given the ongoing downtrend, risk remains high for any new positions.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Avoid unnecessary risk.

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No significant bullish color change signals have emerged.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – A shift in momentum is required.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Short traders should consider taking profits near ₱63.50 to ₱62.00.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No clear bullish reversal yet.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • The best re-entry zone for longs is near ₱60.00 if a strong bounce occurs.
  • Recommendation: WAIT FOR A BETTER ENTRY – Buying now is too risky.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Aggressive traders may attempt a small speculative position, but caution is advised.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – Maintain a conservative approach.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trades should only be considered after two consecutive gap-downs or a 5% drop below the 200-day MA.
  • Recommendation: SELL / WAIT – No valid counter-trend setup.

Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: SELL / WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Avoid buying as URC remains in a strong downtrend below the 20-MA and 200-MA.

✅ Risk Management: If considering a counter-trend buy, a stop-loss must be placed below ₱63.50.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Short sellers may target ₱63.50 to ₱62.00 for exits.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Avoid aggressive buying; a small position may be tested at ₱60.00, but only with a strong reversal.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid buying until price reclaims ₱67.43.

🔹 Long-term investors → May consider waiting for stabilization above ₱73.00.

🔹 Existing holders → Should consider reducing exposure or selling on relief rallies.

🚨 Final Thought: URC remains in a strong bearish phase. A proper bottoming requires accumulation and confirmation—wait for bullish confirmation before entering. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) Daily Chart as of January 27, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  1. Introduction
  2. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  3. Final Stock Recommendation
  4. Next Steps

Introduction

DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) is a Philippine-based real estate investment trust (REIT) that provides exposure to commercial property leasing. The stock has remained relatively range-bound in recent months, making it a candidate for a technical analysis review under our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

Trade Details

  • Stock: DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱1.06
  • High: ₱1.07
  • Low: ₱1.03
  • Volume (SMA 9): 2.276M shares

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% (Recent Low): ₱1.03
  • 50% Pullback Level: ₱1.06
  • 0% (Recent High): ₱1.09

This review follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured and data-driven assessment.

DDMPR Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

DDMPR Stock Price Review – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of January 27, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context

  • Market State: Sideways Range (₱1.03 - ₱1.09)
  • Trend Context: The stock is consolidating between key levels, with no strong bullish or bearish trend emerging.

✅ Recommendation: Hold/Wait for Directional Clarity

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Current price (₱1.06) is near the 50% pullback level.
  • Support Zone: ₱1.03, acting as the lower range support.
  • Resistance Zone: ₱1.09, the most recent high.

✅ Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above ₱1.09 or a pullback near ₱1.03 for a low-risk entry.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • Volume today is 2.276M shares, suggesting average trading interest.
  • There is no strong power bar or breakout candle, indicating that a decisive move hasn’t happened yet.

✅ Recommendation: Avoid new positions unless a breakout above ₱1.09 occurs with strong volume.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • If the price breaks above ₱1.09, it would confirm bullish momentum.
  • A retest of ₱1.03 with stabilization could offer a low-risk entry point.

✅ Recommendation: Buy on breakout above ₱1.09 or near ₱1.03 with confirmation.

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Aggressive Stop-Loss: Below ₱1.03
  • Conservative Stop-Loss: Below ₱1.00 (psychological support)

✅ Recommendation: Set stop-loss below ₱1.03 (aggressive) or below ₱1.00 (conservative).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No strong reversal candle patterns yet, indicating continued consolidation.
  • A strong green candle above ₱1.09 would be a bullish signal.

✅ Recommendation: Wait for a confirmation candle before making a move.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • First Target: ₱1.09 (Resistance Level)
  • Second Target: ₱1.12 - ₱1.15 (potential breakout extension)

✅ Recommendation: Take profits at ₱1.09 for conservative trades, or ₱1.12+ if breakout holds.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Re-enter near ₱1.03 if the stock finds support and reverses higher.
  • Avoid re-entry if price drops below ₱1.00.

✅ Recommendation: Re-enter near ₱1.03 with stop-loss at ₱1.00.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core Position: 50% at breakout above ₱1.09.
  • Tactical Entry: Add 10-20% at ₱1.12 if momentum continues.

✅ Recommendation: Start with 50% on breakout, add on confirmation.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trading unless the price drops significantly below ₱1.00.

🚫 Recommendation: Avoid counter-trend trading for now.

Final Stock Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: WAIT for Breakout or Retest of Support

✅ Recommendation: Buy above ₱1.09 with volume confirmation or on dip to ₱1.03 if it holds.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱1.03 (aggressive) or ₱1.00 (conservative).

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Take partial profits at ₱1.09, full exit at ₱1.12 - ₱1.15.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with 50% on breakout, add more if price stabilizes above ₱1.12.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid entering unless a breakout above ₱1.09 occurs.

🔹 Long-term investors → Can accumulate cautiously near ₱1.03 with a stop-loss at ₱1.00.

🔹 Existing holders → Hold as long as price stays above ₱1.03.

🚨 Final Thought: DDMPR is in consolidation. A breakout above ₱1.09 is needed for bullish confirmation, while a pullback to ₱1.03 could provide a low-risk entry. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Review: RL Commercial REIT Inc. (RCR) Daily Chart as of January 27, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  1. Introduction
  2. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  3. Final Stock Recommendation
  4. Next Steps

Introduction

RL Commercial REIT Inc. (RCR) is a key player in the Philippine REIT market, offering investors exposure to a diversified portfolio of income-generating commercial properties. This stock price review assesses its daily chart as of January 27, 2025, using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether it's a buy, sell, or hold.

Trade Details

  • Stock: RL Commercial REIT Inc. (RCR)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily Chart
  • Date: January 28, 2025
  • Closing Price: ₱5.99
  • High: ₱6.03
  • Low: ₱5.99
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱5.92
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱5.62

Key Pullback Levels:

  • 100% (Recent High): ₱6.26
  • 75% Pullback: ₱6.12
  • 66% Pullback: ₱6.07
  • 50% Pullback: ₱5.98
  • 33% Pullback: ₱5.89
  • 0% Pullback (Major Support): ₱5.70

This analysis follows our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy for a structured and comprehensive evaluation.

RCR Daily Chart with technical indicators and retracement levels

RCR Stock Price Review – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy as of January 27, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context

  • Market State: RCR is in a consolidation phase, with the price fluctuating within a range of ₱5.70 - ₱6.26 over the past few months.
  • Trend Context: The 20-MA (₱5.92) is currently above the 200-MA (₱5.62), indicating a bullish bias.

✅ Recommendation: Hold/Watch for Breakout Confirmation

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • Price is above the 200-MA, confirming an overall uptrend.
  • Current price (₱5.99) is at the 50% retracement level (₱5.98)—a key pivot zone for trend continuation or rejection.

✅ Recommendation: Hold/Buy on Confirmation of Breakout Above ₱6.00

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The price has been consolidating near resistance with gradual volume increase (1.782M shares traded today).
  • Breakout potential above ₱6.00, but needs stronger volume confirmation.

✅ Recommendation: Buy on Breakout Above ₱6.00 with Strong Volume

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A breakout above ₱6.00 with high volume would confirm strength.
  • If rejected, expect a retest of support near ₱5.85 - ₱5.92.

✅ Recommendation: Buy Above ₱6.00 or Wait for Pullback to ₱5.85-₱5.92

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • Aggressive Stop-Loss: Below ₱5.85 (recent minor support).
  • Conservative Stop-Loss: Below ₱5.70 (major support).

✅ Recommendation: Set Stop-Loss at ₱5.85 (Aggressive) or ₱5.70 (Conservative)

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • The candlestick formation is bullish, with higher lows and closes above the 20-MA.
  • A green power bar closing above ₱6.00 would confirm an uptrend.

✅ Recommendation: Wait for Confirmation Above ₱6.00

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • First Target: ₱6.12 (75% retracement).
  • Second Target: ₱6.26 (Recent High).

✅ Recommendation: Take Partial Profits at ₱6.12, Full Exit at ₱6.26

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Re-enter at ₱5.85-₱5.92 if the pullback holds.
  • If ₱5.70 breaks down, avoid re-entry.

✅ Recommendation: Re-enter on Dip at ₱5.85-₱5.92

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments (Position Sizing Strategy)

  • Core Position: 50% at ₱6.00 breakout.
  • Tactical Entry: Additional 10-20% on confirmation above ₱6.12.

✅ Recommendation: Start with 50% Position, Add on Strength

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade unless a major breakdown below ₱5.70 occurs.

🚫 Recommendation: No Counter-Trend Trading for Now

Final Stock Recommendation

✅ Final Trade Recommendation: BUY on Breakout Above ₱6.00

✅ Recommendation: Buy at ₱6.00+ if volume confirms breakout.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱5.85 (Aggressive) or ₱5.70 (Conservative).

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Take partial profits at ₱6.12, full exit at ₱6.26.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with 50%, add more if price stabilizes above ₱6.12.

Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Wait for confirmation above ₱6.00 before entering.

🔹 Long-term investors → Consider accumulating near ₱5.85-₱5.92 for better risk-reward.

🔹 Existing holders → Hold as long as price stays above ₱5.85.

🚨 Final Thought: A breakout above ₱6.00 is the key trigger. Volume confirmation is essential before committing to a full position. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Monday, January 27, 2025

Evaluation of Trade No. 9 – Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)

Contents:

  • Trade Details
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Trade Assessment
  • Next Steps

Trade Details

  • Trade No.: 9/20
  • Date: January 27, 2025
  • Action: Buy
  • Entry Type: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks (Step 8)
  • Signal: Price testing key support at ₱6.95 near 50% pullback level
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Shares Bought: 500 out of 900 allocated
  • Entry Price: ₱6.95
  • Position Size: 56% Allocation

📌 Chart Overview:

  • Price is testing key support at ₱6.80-₱7.00 (retracement zone).
  • 50% pullback level at ₱7.04 was breached, bringing price close to the 0% pullback zone at ₱6.80.
  • Trend remains bearish, as price is below the 20-MA (₱7.68) and 200-MA (₱9.79).
  • Volume surged to 4.528M, indicating significant trading activity.
MONDE Closing Daily Chart with moving averages and retracement levels for trade evaluation on January 27, 2025.

MONDE Trade No. 9/20 – Post-Trade Analysis Chart


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Each step scored out of 10 based on trade alignment with strategy.)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context - Score: 6/10

  • MONDE remains in a downtrend, with price below both moving averages.
  • Attempted stabilization near ₱7.00, but selling pressure remains strong.
  • Needs a strong bounce above ₱7.10 to confirm support.

Step 2: Assess Price Position Relative to Key Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Entry near ₱6.95 aligns with key support and pullback levels.
  • However, the stock is below both moving averages, meaning upside remains limited.

Step 3: Power Bars & Retracement Strength - Score: 6/10

  • Recent candles lack strong green power bars, indicating weak momentum.
  • Price struggling to hold support, raising the risk of further downside.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Retracement Levels - Score: 7/10

  • Entry aligns with retracement structure, but confirmation is needed above ₱7.00-₱7.10.
  • Break below ₱6.80 would invalidate the trade setup.

Step 5: Tactical Stop-Loss Adjustments - Score: 9/10

  • Stop-loss set below ₱6.80 to control downside risk.
  • A break below this level would weaken the trade significantly.

Step 6: Color Change as a Secondary Confirmation - Score: 5/10

  • No clear bullish reversal pattern yet.
  • A green candle above ₱7.10 would validate a potential recovery.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Aligned with Retracement Targets - Score: 8/10

  • First target: ₱7.28 (100% pullback zone).
  • Final target: ₱7.68 (20-MA resistance level).

Step 8: Re-Entry at Secondary Retracement Pullbacks - Score: 7/10

  • Re-entry near support at ₱6.95 aligns with the strategy.
  • A bounce above ₱7.10 would confirm strength for scaling up.

Step 9: Tactical Position Management - Score: 7/10

  • 56% of the position has been deployed, leaving room for scaling up.
  • Further additions should be made only above ₱7.10-₱7.28.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trades Only When Retracement Fails - Score: 5/10

  • Not a counter-trend trade, but entry in a bearish trend requires caution.
  • Failure to hold ₱6.80 invalidates the setup and necessitates an exit.

📌 Overall Strategy Score: 67/100
📌 Summary: The entry aligns with support, but confirmation above ₱7.10-₱7.28 is needed to maintain bullish bias.

Final Trade Assessment

Trade Rating: 6.7/10

✅ Trade Execution: Entry positioned near key support level, aligning with re-entry criteria.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at ₱6.80 ensures controlled downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at ₱7.28, scaling out at ₱7.68.

✅ Position Size Strategy: 56% Allocation, leaving room for re-entries or scaling up.

Next Steps

📌 Monitor price action near ₱7.10-₱7.28. If MONDE holds this level, consider scaling up.

📌 Watch for weakness below ₱6.80. If momentum weakens, reassess the trade and exit below ₱6.80.

📌 Look for re-entry opportunities. If MONDE retests ₱6.80 and holds, consider adding more shares.

🚨 Conclusion: Trade No. 9 remains valid with moderate conviction, but confirmation of strength above ₱7.10 is critical for a successful outcome. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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