Friday, August 15, 2025

DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱200,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

DDMPR Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing close at ₱1.05 below 8- and 20-MA, hugging the 50-MA near ₱1.05.
Weekly candlestick chart of DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR) with moving averages and key support-resistance levels.

Panimula: Abang Muna sa Gitna ng Katahimikan

Kamusta mga ka-Subok! Noong July 13, 2025 review, nakita natin si DDMPR na parang nagsisimulang mag-base sa ₱1.05–₱1.08 zone. May konting pag-asa noon na baka umangat kung mag-breakout sa ₱1.10.

Ngayon August 15, 2025, halos pareho pa rin ang itsura pero mas maingat ang galaw: bumaba sa ₱1.05, dumulas sa ilalim ng 8-MA at 20-MA, at nakasiksik sa 50-MA. Tahimik, walang buwelo, parang bangkang nakatali sa pantalan—handa pero hindi pa lumalayag.

Tanong: Mag-aabang ba tayo hanggang may malinaw na senyas ng reversal, o papasok na ulit kahit tahimik ang alon?

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

Date: August 15, 2025
Stock: DDMP REIT Inc. (DDMPR)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
Closing Price: ₱1.05
High / Low: ₱1.07 / ₱1.04
Volume (9wk avg ref): ~14.13M
8‑MA: ₱1.07
20‑MA: ₱1.06
50‑MA: ₱1.05
200‑MA: ₱1.29

Ano ang nagbago mula July 13, 2025 review (week of July 11):
• Close mula ₱1.07 → ₱1.05 (light fade).
• Price ngayon below 8‑MA at 20‑MA, dikit sa 50‑MA (noon ay halos kahilera/above short MAs).
200‑MA nag-slide pa sa ₱1.29 (dating ~₱1.31) – long-term downtrend pa rin.
• Range pa rin sa ₱1.04–₱1.08; walang decisive breakout.


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Long-term downtrend intact (price malayo pa rin sa 200‑MA). Short-term, naging mas mahina: price below 8/20, nakasandal sa 50.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 5/10

Step 2: Price Position & Value Zones
Below 8- & 20‑MA (negative), pero nasa value band ng 50‑MA/₱1.05 support; malayo pa rin sa 200‑MA (undervalued structurally).
➡ Verdict: HOLD / SCOUT NEAR ₱1.03–₱1.05
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
Walang green power bar; tight bars lang at average volume. Walang clear momentum edge.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR STRENGTH
✅ Score: 5/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Tech + Fundamentals)
Tech trigger na gusto natin: break above ₱1.08–₱1.10 with volume or strong bounce off ₱1.03–₱1.05.
➡ Verdict: TACTICAL BUY ONLY ON DIP OR CONFIRMATION
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy (Thesis Violation)
Hard stop below ₱1.00 (psych + swing structure). Tighten if daily closes <₱1.03.
➡ Verdict: SET HARD STOP
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals
Kailangan ng malinaw na green close above ₱1.07–₱1.08 to flip short-term tone. Wala pa.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR COLOR CHANGE
✅ Score: 5/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation/Growth Cycles
Targets intact: ₱1.15 / ₱1.20 / ₱1.25 kapag may breakout confirmation.
➡ Verdict: TRIM INTO RESISTANCES
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans
Re-enter on supportive dips ₱1.02–₱1.04 if buyers show up; otherwise let it base. Limit re-entries.
➡ Verdict: ALLOW ONE TEST RE-ENTRY ONLY
✅ Score: 6/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning
Stay small habang walang breakout; core builds only after regaining 20‑MA and taking ₱1.10.
➡ Verdict: SMALL FIRST, ADD ON BREAKOUT
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Considerations
REIT, Shariah-screened list reference; counter-trend buys only on steep dips + strict stops.
➡ Verdict: ALLOW SMALL ETHICAL TEST BUY ON SUPPORT
✅ Score: 6/10

🧮 Total Score: 60/100
(Last review est.: 62/100 — bahagyang bumaba dahil price slipped under 8/20‑MA at walang power bar.)


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Para itong bangkang nakadaong sa pantalan: hindi pa pumapalaot, pero hindi rin lumulubog. Hawak sa timon, dahan-dahan, at huwag padalos-dalos. Kapag umalon sa ₱1.08–₱1.10, saka tayo daragdag. Kung lumusot sa ₱1.00, tahimik na umatras.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Ranges: Test buys sa ₱1.03–₱1.05 kung may intraday support; add only on breakout > ₱1.10 with volume.
📌 Stop-Loss Level: Hard stop below ₱1.00; tighten to <₱1.03 kung weak closes.
📌 Target Prices: ₱1.15 → ₱1.20 → ₱1.25 staged trims.
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add small on regain of 20‑MA and close ≥₱1.10; trim 25–30% each target.
📌 Position Strategy: Small size muna; convert to moderate only after confirmed breakout.


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱30,000 Allocation)

Goal: conservative build habang naghihintay ng confirmation; leave cash buffer.

Layer 1 – Tactical Test Buy: ₱1.05, 1,000 shares (~₱1,050 + fees). Rationale: tagiliran ng 50‑MA, near support. Allocation: ~₱1,100 (~4%).
Layer 2 – Support Probe: ₱1.04, 1,000 shares. Rationale: dip toward value band; add only if buyers show. Allocation: ~₱1,090.
Layer 3 – Deep Support Contingency: ₱1.02, 1,000 shares (optional). Rationale: final test near structure. Allocation: ~₱1,070.
Layer 4 – Confirmation Add: ₱1.10, 1,000 shares upon strong close. Allocation: ~₱1,120.
Layer 5 – Breakout Add: ₱1.15, 1,000 shares only if volume > 20‑wk avg. Allocation: ~₱1,160.

Planned Capital Used: ~₱5,540–₱5,600 (≈19% of ₱30k)
Cash Buffer: ~₱24k for flexibility and risk control.
Why small? Sideways-to-soft bias; we pay up only on confirmation.

At bago tayo tumuloy sa exit strategy, sagutin muna natin ng mas malalim ang tanong sa itaas: bakit nga ba maliit lang ang aktwal na na-deploy vs. ₱30k capital natin sa DDMPR?

Micro Stock Trader’s Commentary: Bakit Maliit ang Na-deploy na Capital?

Siguro mapapansin ninyo, mga ka-Subok, na kahit ₱30,000 ang nakalaan sa DDMPR, hanggang 19% lang (~₱5,600) ang nasa current Layered Plan. Bakit ganito kaliit?

👉 Dahil wala pang malinaw na trend reversal, ang Layers 1–5 ay scout entries lang. Ayaw muna nating i-lock ang buong kapital sa base-forming stage.
👉 Ang malaking cash buffer (~₱24k) ay hindi sayang — ito ang “expansion ammo” na gagamitin natin kapag:

  • May decisive breakout confirmation (₱1.10–₱1.15+ with volume).

  • O kaya kung magkaroon ng panic dip <₱1.00 na may reversal signal.

Ibig sabihin, dynamic ang layering. Yung Layer 1–5 ay default plan lang ngayon, pero puwede tayong magdagdag ng panibagong set of layers kung mag-evolve ang chart.

Sa madaling salita: mas mabuting may sobrang cash buffer kaysa maipit dahil over-allocated agad sa maling timing.

🪁 Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader: “’Wag mong ubusin ang lambat kung wala pang huli. Magtabi ng pisi — baka bukas biglang sumargo ang bangka.”


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

Stage 1 – ₱1.15: Exit 25–30% to lock early gains and reduce risk near resistance.
Stage 2 – ₱1.20: Exit next 25–30% as price tests higher band.
Stage 3 – ₱1.25: Exit 25–30% into strength; trail remainder if momentum persists.
Stage 4 – Runner: Hold last 10–15% only if price holds above ₱1.20 post-breakout; otherwise close.

Hard Stop Reminder: Full exit on weekly close under ₱1.00 or decisive breakdown of support with volume.


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT TO ADD

Recommendation: Maintain small, tactical exposure only ₱1.03–₱1.05; add only on confirmed breakout above ₱1.10 with volume.
Risk Management: Hard stop below ₱1.00; tighten to <₱1.03 if weakness persists.
Profit Strategy: Trim at ₱1.15 / ₱1.20 / ₱1.25; trail remainder.
Position Size Strategy: Small to start; scale to moderate after 20‑MA regained and ₱1.10 cleared.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Ang disiplina ang tunay na edge sa ganitong mga “hintayin-muna” setups. Sabr (patience) at amanah (responsible stewardship) ang kasama sa bawat click ng buy/sell. Kung wala pang linaw, huwag pilitin—ingatan ang kapital para sa tamang oras.


Trade Simulation Update

Portfolio: SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO
Allocation Now: Small tactical exposure only (max 5,000 shares plan; may remain unfilled).
Active Position: None or small test lot; P/L depende sa entry.
Quick Hatol: Sideways-soft; hintay sa ₱1.10 confirmation bago dagdag.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
SHARIAH-COMPLIANT REIT PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱200,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

Weekly candlestick chart of Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT) with moving averages and key support-resistance levels.

Panimula: Konting Hinga Pagkatapos ng Buwelo

Balikan natin si CREIT mula sa huling review noong August 1, 2025 kung saan nakita natin ang matatag na konsolidasyon sa ₱3.69 area. Ngayon, dalawang linggo makalipas, medyo nagbago ang tono: bumitaw ang presyo sa ₱3.67 high at nagsara sa ₱3.60, bahagyang lumampas pababa sa 8-MA pero hawak pa rin ng 20-MA support.

Tanong ngayon: simpleng pahinga lang ba ito bago muling sumugod pataas, o simula ng mas malalim na retracement? Sa review na ito, titignan natin kung saan ligtas pumasok at saan dapat magbawas kung sakaling magtuloy ang pagbaba.

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

TRADE DETAILS

  • Date: August 15, 2025

  • Stock: Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT)

  • Exchange: PSE

  • Timeframes: Weekly (primary)

  • Closing Price: ₱3.60

  • High: ₱3.67

  • Low: ₱3.53

  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱3.41

  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱3.22

  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱3.21

  • 8-MA (Very Short-Term): ₱3.63

📌 Observation: CREIT had its first red weekly candle in weeks, pulling back after rallying near ₱3.70. Price closed just below the 8-MA but still comfortably above the 20-MA, suggesting a cooling phase within a bullish structure.


2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Uptrend pa rin, pero may first sign ng short-term weakness.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Presyo nasa gitna ng range (₱3.41–₱3.70). Malapit pa rin sa mid-range bullish zone.
➡ Verdict: BUY on dip near 20-MA
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
May rejection candle this week, pero volume hindi sobra lakas. Weak selling pressure.
➡ Verdict: WAIT for confirmation
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Dividend REIT, fundamentals intact. Technically, mas safe bumili sa ₱3.50–₱3.55 kung mag-retest.
➡ Verdict: BUY on support test
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Hard SL below ₱3.40 (break ng 20-MA support).
➡ Verdict: BUY with strict SL
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
First red bar pero hindi pa reversal pattern. Watch next candle.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Trim on strength near ₱3.85–₱4.00.
➡ Verdict: HOLD existing positions
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Re-entry zone ₱3.50–₱3.55 (20-MA).
➡ Verdict: BUY ON DIP
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Core at ₱3.50 zone; tactical add only on breakout > ₱3.70.
➡ Verdict: Stay moderate
✅ Score: 9/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Still aligned with halal investing. No contrarian play needed.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 10/10

🧮 Total Score: 87/100 (vs. 91/100 noong Aug 1) – slight downgrade dahil sa unang pullback signal.


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Parang kabayo sa karera si CREIT—tumigil saglit para huminga. Hindi ibig sabihin tapos na ang laban; baka mas malakas pa ang takbo sa susunod na buwelo.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱3.50–₱3.55 (buy on dip near 20-MA)
📌 Stop-Loss Level: Below ₱3.40 (trend break)
📌 Target Prices: ₱3.85 → ₱4.00
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Add only above ₱3.70 breakout with volume
📌 Position Strategy: Stay moderate, protect gains, don’t chase highs


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱50,000 Allocation)

  • Layer 1 – Base Buy: ₱3.50, 1,000 shares = ₱3,500 (core)

  • Layer 2 – Pullback Entry: ₱3.55, 1,000 shares = ₱3,550

  • Layer 3 – Support Confirmed: ₱3.60, 1,000 shares = ₱3,600

  • Layer 4 – Breakout Add: ₱3.70, 1,000 shares = ₱3,700

  • Layer 5 – Momentum Add: ₱3.85, 1,000 shares = ₱3,850

Total Planned Commitment: ₱18,200 (leaves buffer cash for flexibility).


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

  • Target 1: ₱3.85 – Trim 1,000 shares

  • Target 2: ₱4.00 – Sell 1,000–2,000 shares

  • Target 3: Trail stop at 20-MA for last 1,000–2,000 shares
    📌 Hard Stop: ₱3.40


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / BUY ON DIP
Recommendation: Accumulate only on pullback at ₱3.50–₱3.55, wait for breakout > ₱3.70 before adding.
Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱3.40.
Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exits at ₱3.85 and ₱4.00.
Position Size Strategy: Moderate position, add tactically on breakout strength.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Ang disiplina ang tunay na puhunan ng isang trader. Hindi lahat ng pullback ay masama—minsan, ito ang hininga bago ang panibagong lakas. Huwag manghinayang, huwag madaliin. Sa CREIT, patience ang puhunan para manatiling halal at maayos ang galaw.


📌 Trade Simulation Update

Portfolio: Shariah-Compliant REIT Portfolio
Allocation: ₱50,000
Active Position: Waiting for pullback entry at ₱3.50–₱3.55
Quick Hatol: HOLD muna, wag maghabol—hintayin ang tamang pasok.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
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Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
BOARD LOT WARRIOR DASHBOARD

Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

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Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
HALAL CORE GROWTH PORTFOLIO | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱100,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE

WLCON Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing pullback to ₱9.60 above 8MA, below 50MA near ₱10.73.
Weekly candlestick chart of Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) with moving averages and key support–resistance levels.

Panimula

Balikan natin si WLCON. Noong August 1 review, naka-tapak sa ₱10.00 at kumakaway sa 50‑MA—parang konting tulak na lang. Two weeks later, may konting preno: nag-close sa ₱9.60 at nauntog malapit sa 50‑MA. Ayos lang—nasa ibabaw pa rin ng 8‑MA at 20‑MA, ibig sabihing buhay ang short-term recovery.

Last time, sinabi nating “add on breakout or buy the dip.” Tanong ngayon: patuloy ba tayong mag-aantabay sa breakout o maghihintay muna ng mas malinaw na buwelo bago magdagdag?


Nilalaman

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader
4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)
5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
8️⃣ Closing Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

Date: August 15, 2025
Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: PSE
Timeframes: Weekly (primary), Daily (supporting)
Closing Price: ₱9.60
High: ₱10.10
Low: ₱9.32
20‑MA (Short‑Term): ₱7.73
50‑MA (Mid‑Term): ₱10.73
200‑MA (Long‑Term): ₱21.60

Ano ang nagbago mula August 1, 2025:

  • Presyo: mula ₱10.00₱9.60 (minor pullback).

  • 20‑MA umakyat ₱7.50 → ₱7.73 (short‑term trend improving).

  • 50‑MA bumaba ₱11.08 → ₱10.73 (nananatiling pababa—overhead resistance).

  • 200‑MA bahagyang bumaba ₱21.82 → ₱21.60 (long-term downtrend pa rin).

  • Buod: Above 8/20‑MA, below 50‑MA; nauntog sa mid‑term resistance kaya nag-pahinga.


2️⃣ Hybrid 10‑Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Market State & Trend Context
Short‑term uptrend mula sa bottom; medium/long‑term downtrend pa rin habang pababa ang 50/200‑MA.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long‑Term Value Zones
Presyo above 20‑MA pero below 50‑MA—mid‑range; hindi optimal ang agresibong add.
➡ Verdict: WAIT / HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price & Volume
Red candle −4.95% after a multi‑week climb; momentum hindi basag, pero hindi rin power week.
➡ Verdict: HOLD
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation (Fundamental/Technical Triggers)
Walang fresh breakout; mas maigi ang buy‑the‑dip sa 9.10–9.40 with reversal signal.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 5: Stop‑Loss Policy (Thesis Violation, Not Noise)
Itaas ang tactical stop sa ₱8.60; core hard stop sa ₱8.20 (structure break).
➡ Verdict: HOLD with raised stop
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
First red after series of greens; bantayan kung susunod ang isa pang red below 8‑MA.
➡ Verdict: WAIT
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 7: Profit‑Taking via Valuation & Growth Cycles
Initial resistance ₱10.50–₱11.00 (near 50‑MA); pwedeng mag-trim doon.
➡ Verdict: PARTIAL SELL on strength
✅ Score: 7/10

Step 8: Re‑Entry Plans After Market Dips
₱9.10–₱9.40 dip‑buy zone; deeper ₱8.80–₱8.90 if low volume selloff.
➡ Verdict: PLAN RE‑ENTRY
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning (Long‑Term Portfolios)
Maintain moderate core; tactical adds only sa breakout > ₱10.80 or confirmed dip reversal.
➡ Verdict: MAINTAIN
✅ Score: 8/10

Step 10: Ethical & Counter‑Trend Considerations
Shariah‑screened sa ating list; walang counter‑trend attempt—discipline over FOMO.
➡ Verdict: PROCEED ETHICALLY
✅ Score: 9/10

🧮 Total Score: 75/100
(Down from 85/100 on Aug 1 dahil sa rejection near 50‑MA at red weekly candle.)


3️⃣ Hatol ng Batangueñong Trader

Kung kotse ‘to, naka-second gear na si WLCON—umandar na, pero may humps sa 50‑MA. Hindi pa oras mag-diin sa silinyador; apak muna sa preno, check side mirrors, saka humanap ng tamang buwelo.


4️⃣ Next Steps (Tactical Plan)

📌 Entry Price Ranges: ₱9.10–₱9.40 (dip‑buy with reversal); add on breakout over ₱10.80 with volume
📌 Stop‑Loss Level: Tactical ₱8.60; Core hard stop ₱8.20
📌 Target Prices: ₱10.50, ₱11.20, ₱12.50
📌 Add/Trim Plan: Trim on strength near ₱10.50–₱11.00; add only on breakout or clean dip reversal
📌 Position Strategy: Moderate core, small tactical adds; avoid overtrading habang pababa pa ang 50‑MA


5️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱100,000 Allocation)

Layer 1 – Executed (Test‑to‑Core): ₱9.10, 3,000 shares₱27,300 (~27%)
Rationale: Early trend turn above 20‑MA; risk‑managed starter.

Layer 2 – Dip Add: ₱9.30–₱9.40, 1,000 shares₱9,350 (~9%)
Rationale: Buy‑the‑dip within rising 8/20‑MA zone.

Layer 3 – Deeper Support: ₱8.80–₱8.90, 1,500 shares₱13,350 (~13%)
Rationale: Defensive add near higher‑low area.

Layer 4 – Breakout Add: ₱10.80–₱11.00, 1,000 shares₱10,900 (~11%)
Rationale: Confirmation above 50‑MA.

Layer 5 – Continuation Add: ₱11.60–₱11.80, 800 shares₱9,360 (~9%)

Total Committed (if filled): ~₱70,260 (~70%)
Remaining Cash Buffer: ~₱29,740 (~30%) for volatility & opportunities.


6️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan

Stage 1 – ₱10.50: Exit 800 shares (~8% of capital).
Rationale: First resistance / near 50‑MA.

Stage 2 – ₱11.20: Exit 1,000 shares (~11%).
Rationale: Breakout follow‑through check.

Stage 3 – ₱12.00: Exit 1,200 shares (~12%).
Rationale: Next resistance cluster; lock gains.

Stage 4 – ₱12.80+: Trail remainder with rising 8/20‑MA.
Rationale: Let winners run; review fundamentals/market tone.

Hard Stop Reminder: ₱8.20 (structure break).


7️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / WAIT TO ADD

Recommendation: Hold existing Layer 1 (₱9.10). Add only on breakout > ₱10.80 with volume or dip‑reversal at ₱9.10–₱9.40.
Risk Management: Tactical stop ₱8.60; hard stop ₱8.20 to guard downside.
Profit Strategy: Trim near ₱10.50–₱11.00, scale out at ₱12.00–₱12.50; trail remainder.
Position Size Strategy: Moderate; escalate only after 50‑MA reclaim and higher‑high confirmation.


8️⃣ Closing Reflection

Hindi lahat ng arangkada diretso paakyat. Disiplina, tawakkul, at plano ang panangga sa liko ng merkado. Huwag ipilit; hintayin ang malinaw na senyales. Sa tamang oras, kikilos tayo—ayon sa sistema, hindi sa emosyon.


Trade Simulation Update

Portfolio: Halal Core Growth Portfolio
Allocation: ₱100,000
Active Position: 3,000 shares @ ₱9.10 | Current close ₱9.60 | ~+5.5% unrealized
Quick Hatol: Hold; bantayan ang breakout sa ₱10.80 o dip‑reversal sa ₱9.10–₱9.40.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant
Halal Core Growth Portfolio | Trading Simulation Capital: ₱150,000 | Subok Series
Micro Stock Trader | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) weekly stock chart, August 15, 2025. Price closed at ₱81.00, below 20-day and 50-day moving averages, with strong red candle and high volume. Key support at ₱80.
URC Weekly Chart as of August 15, 2025 showing breakdown below MA20 and MA50 with heavy bearish candle near ₱80 support.


Introduction: Seeking Growth with Discipline and Purpose

Mga kabayan, heto na’t balik-tanaw tayo kay Universal Robina Corporation (URC). Noong July 21, 2025, nag-entry tayo sa tactical Layer 1 buy sa ₱94. Sabi nga noon, “eto na ang buwelo ng URC—nakasampa na sa trend at volume.”

Pero ngayon, as of August 15, 2025, ibang-iba ang itsura ng chart. Mula sa breakout momentum, bigla tayong sinabuyan ng malakas na red candle, bagsak hanggang ₱81.00 (-8.89%). Ano ang nagbago at ano ang ibig sabihin nito sa ating plano? Tara, himayin muli gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.


Contents

1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation
3️⃣ Trade Cycle Status Update
4️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan
5️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan
6️⃣ Final Trade Recommendation
7️⃣ Final Reflection


1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot

TRADE DETAILS

  • Date: August 15, 2025
  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: PSE
  • Timeframes: Weekly (with 8, 20, 50, 200 MA overlays)
  • Closing Price: ₱81.00
  • High: ₱88.50
  • Low: ₱80.10
  • 20-MA (Short-Term): ₱85.55
  • 50-MA (Mid-Term): ₱83.22
  • 200-MA (Long-Term): ₱111.88

📉 Malinaw na nagkaroon ng breakdown below MA20 at MA50, sabay malaking bearish volume spike.


2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Dating nasa uptrend recovery phase ang URC, pero ngayong linggo, nabasag ang momentum. Price closed below MA20 at MA50, malapit sa danger zone.
Verdict: Wait / Defensive Mode | Score: 6/10

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Closing price ₱81 ay halos kapantay lang ng MA50 (₱83.22). Malapit na sa “line in the sand” level. Pag nabasag pa ito pababa, balik sa bearish bias.
Verdict: Caution | Score: 6/10

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Yung malakas na red candle -8.89% with high volume ay bearish power bar—sign ng distribution at panic selling.
Verdict: SELL Signal for short-term traders | Score: 5/10

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Hindi ito confirmation ng bullish entry—bagkus, invalidation ng recent bullish thesis. Walang bagong support hold.
Verdict: No new entry yet | Score: 5/10

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Ang SL na ₱86 ay triggered na. Kaya kung tactical trade, dapat cut na. Long-term? Bantayan kung mag-hold ang ₱80 psychological support.
Verdict: Stop respected | Score: 6/10

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Malinaw ang shift—mula green candles noong July, ngayon red engulfing.
Verdict: HOLD defensive | Score: 5/10

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Walang profit-taking kasi negative agad ang move. Kailangan ayusin exit strategy.
Verdict: None yet | Score: 6/10

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Kung mag-hold sa ₱80, puwedeng test re-entry sa Layer 1 ulit. Pero kung basag ₱80, hintay sa ₱75 area.
Verdict: Monitor only | Score: 7/10

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Buti na lang naka-test lot pa lang tayo (Layer 1). Hindi tayo overexposed.
Verdict: Controlled risk | Score: 9/10

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
URC remains halal-compliant and defensive consumer staple, pero kailangan irespeto ang market signals.
Verdict: HOLD as core watchlist | Score: 8/10

📊 Total Score: 63 / 100
Malinaw na bumaba ang grado kumpara sa huling review (95/100).


3️⃣ Trade Cycle Status Update

  • Phase: Breakdown Checkpoint

  • Current Action: Stop triggered for tactical trade at ₱86.

  • Next Move: Monitor ₱80 support. Add only kapag may bullish reversal signal.


4️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱150,000 Capital Example | Post-Breakdown Adjustments)

👉 Guiding Principle: Huwag habulin ang basag na trend. Maliit lang muna sa umpisa (test buys), dagdag lang kapag may malinaw na base or confirmed reversal.

Layer 1 – Support Test Buy
📌 ₱81.00–₱82.00
Position: 200 shares = ₱16,200
Allocation: ~10% (tiny test buy, kung mag-hold ang ₱80 support)

Layer 2 – Deeper Support Entry (if breakdown)
📌 ₱78.00–₱79.00
Position: 200 shares = ₱15,600–₱15,800
Allocation: ~10% (only if nag-hold dito, kasi ₱80 break = danger zone)

Layer 3 – Recovery Confirmation (Above MA20)
📌 ₱86.00–₱87.00
Position: 300 shares = ₱25,800
Allocation: ~17% (buy only kapag nakabalik sa ibabaw ng MA20 with volume)

Layer 4 – Trend Reclaim Zone
📌 ₱90.00–₱92.00
Position: 300 shares = ₱27,000
Allocation: ~18% (add kapag nabawi ang breakdown zone at nag-stabilize)

Layer 5 – Full Momentum Add-on
📌 ₱95.00–₱98.00
Position: 400 shares = ₱38,000
Allocation: ~25% (for full reversal confirmation)

🔑 Max Deployment: ~80% of ₱150,000
(Reserve at least 20% cash buffer in case of deeper drops or volatility)


5️⃣ Updated Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)

Target 1 – Relief Rally Trim
📌 ₱90.00–₱92.00
Exit 25% of position
Reason: First resistance zone from recent breakdown, psychological barrier

Target 2 – Recovery Resistance
📌 ₱100.00–₱102.00
Exit 35% of position
Reason: Clear psychological level and prior strong resistance

Target 3 – Trend Reversal / Long-Term Ceiling
📌 ₱110.00–₱112.00 (MA200 zone ₱111.88)
Exit 40% of position or trail stop if trend continues
Reason: Long-term resistance, possible ceiling for cycle


Summary ng Pagbabago mula July 24 plan:

  • Dati: Aggressive entries (₱90–₱102 range) kasi breakout momentum.

  • Ngayon: Defensive entries (₱81–₈7) muna, add lang kapag nakabalik sa trend.

  • Dati: Exit targets ₱106 / ₱115 / ₱123.

  • Ngayon: Mas conservative ₱92 / ₱102 / ₱112 (aligned sa bagong resistance levels).


6️⃣ ✅ Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD / AVOID ADDING

  • Recommendation: HOLD current test position only. Avoid aggressive adding. Re-entry only if ₱80 support holds with bullish reversal signals, or if price recovers above MA20 (₱86–₇).

  • Risk Management: Hard stop if breakdown below ₱80 (major structure violation). Keep cash buffer (~20% of capital) for flexibility.

  • Profit-Taking Strategy: Trim at ₱90–₱92 (first resistance), partial exit at ₱100–₱102, final review/exit near ₱110–₱112 (MA200 ceiling).

  • Position Size Strategy: Stay small and defensive (Layer 1 only). Add gradually in Layers 3–5 only after trend recovery confirmation.


7️⃣ 🌱 Final Reflection: Trade with Purpose

Mga kabayan, hindi araw-araw Pasko sa trading. Ang URC, kahit matibay na halal consumer stock, napapalo rin ng market volatility. Ang tunay na diskarte ay hindi sa pagpilit humabol, kundi sa pagrespeto sa signals at sa pagkontrol ng risk.

Kung baga sa Batangas kape—minsan mapait, pero kung tama ang timpla, sulit pa rin sa huli.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Tactical Live Portfolio Dashboard
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Ang Inyong Batangueñong Retail Stock Trader
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Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

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GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

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📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.


GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubana, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Higop

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

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🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

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🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

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Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.

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