Saturday, July 12, 2025

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Stock Price Review: Daily Chart as of July 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

URC stock daily chart breakout above ₱97 as of July 11, 2025
URC Daily Chart as of July 11, 2025

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan

📌 Paunang Paliwanag sa Ating Review Series

Magandang araw po sa inyo, mga kababayan! Dito po sa ating simpleng review series, pangunahing layunin nating makatulong sa mga small retail traders—lalo na po yung mga gustong magsimula sa ethical at Shariah-compliant investing.

Ang URC (Universal Robina Corporation) ay kasama sa listahan ng Shariah-compliant stocks sa Philippine Stock Exchange, kaya ito po ay maaaring isaalang-alang ng mga ethical investors.

Tandaan pa rin natin:

👉 Ang review na ito ay para sa educational at analytical purposes lamang.
👉 Hindi ito automatic na buy recommendation.
👉 Kayo pa rin ang may final na desisyon batay sa inyong risk tolerance at portfolio strategy.


Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

I. Panimula

TRADE DETAILS
Date: July 11, 2025
Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange
Timeframes: Daily Chart
Closing Price: ₱97.00
High: ₱97.15
Low: ₱94.00
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱89.60
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱82.26

Ang review na ito ay isinagawa gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant, para matukoy kung karapat-dapat bang pasukin ang stock na ito ngayon o maghintay pa.

II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

URC is in a clear uptrend. Nasa taas ng 20-day at 200-day MA ang presyo, at tuluy-tuloy ang galaw paakyat.
➡ Verdict: BUY Bias – Confirmed Trend

✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

Yung current price (₱97) ay malayo na sa 20-MA at 200-MA, kaya medyo mataas na ang lipad—baka overbought temporarily.
➡ Verdict: WAIT for pullback – Wag habulin, abang muna sa ilalim

✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

May mga green power bars na sumabog pataas with volume spike—malinis ang breakout above ₱94.
➡ Verdict: HOLD kung may hawak na, BUY on pullback sa breakout base

✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

Yung breakout above ₱94 ay solid na confirmation. Volume-backed move, at walang malaking resistance hanggang ₱100.
➡ Verdict: BUY kung bumalik sa ₱93–₱95 area

✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation

Pwede maglagay ng stop-loss below ₱88.50, just under the 20-day MA, para protektado ang capital.
➡ Verdict: Set hard stop at ₱88.50

✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

Wala pa tayong nakikitang red signal o bearish reversal sa daily chart. Trend paakyat.
➡ Verdict: HOLD or BUY pa rin

✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

Next resistances ay ₱100 at ₱105. Dito magandang magbawas ng konti para mag-lock ng gains.
➡ Verdict: SELL partial near ₱100–₱105

✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

Kung mag-pullback sa ₱93–₱95 area with strong volume support, pasok ulit.
➡ Verdict: BUY on healthy dip sa breakout zone

✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

Core entry: 50% ng capital kung mag-pullback. Tactical add: 10–20% kung mag-breakout ulit above ₱97.
➡ Verdict: Layered buying strategy ang best approach

✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

Walang counter-trend setup needed. URC is trending well and is Shariah-compliant.
➡ Verdict: Not Applicable – Focus sa trend-following strategy

III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY on Pullback

✅ Recommendation: Buy near ₱93–₱95 kung may healthy dip.
✅ Risk Management: Set stop-loss below ₱88.50.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Sell partial sa ₱100, ₱105, then trail the rest.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start moderate at pullback, then add tactically kung tuloy ang momentum.

IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Kung Tumama:

  • Partial sell sa ₱100

  • Trail ang natira above ₱105

  • Re-entry kung magkaroon ng bagong breakout move

🔹 Kung Sumablay:

  • Cut loss below ₱88.50

  • Monitor for new base or reversal sa ₱85–₱87 zone

  • Wag mag-average down nang walang confirmation

🚨 Final Thought: Hindi dapat habulin ang mataas na presyo. Ang tunay na diskarte ay yung marunong maghintay sa pullback. Kung Shariah investing ang gusto mo, URC is a solid candidate—pero timing pa rin ang susi.

V. Layered Accumulation Plan (Capital: ₱10,000 | 1 board lot = 10 shares)

Capital: ₱10,000 | 1 Board Lot = 10 Shares

🔸 Core Entry – 50% Capital (₱5,000)

  • Buy 10 shares @ ₱94 = ₱940

  • Buy 10 shares @ ₱92 = ₱920

  • Total Shares: 20

  • Cost: ₱1,860
    🟩 Remarks: Entry sa loob ng pullback zone. Solid support level.

🔸 Tactical Entry – 20% Capital (₱2,000)

  • Buy 10 shares @ ₱96 = ₱960

  • Buy 10 shares @ ₱97 = ₱970

  • Total Shares: 20

  • Cost: ₱1,930
    🟦 Remarks: Pang-momentum entry kapag nag-breakout above ₱97

🔸 Total Shares Accumulated: 40 shares
🔸 Total Capital Deployed: ₱3,790
🔸 Remaining Cash Reserve: ₱6,210
🟨 Purpose ng Cash Reserve:

  • For future add-ons kung may breakout retest or deeper pullback

  • Pang contingency sa ibang trades or opportunity setups

📌 Note: Pwede pa magdagdag ng isa pang board lot kung bumalik sa ₱90 or may strong bullish reversal pattern sa lower zone.

VI. Phased Exit Plan (Based on ₱10,000 Capital)

For 40 Shares Total Accumulated

🔹 First Target Exit – 25% of position

  • Sell 10 shares @ ₱100

  • Profit: (₱100 - avg entry price) × 10
    🟢 Objective: Secure quick gains near psychological resistance

🔹 Second Target Exit – 25% of position

  • Sell 10 shares @ ₱105
    🟢 Objective: Capture mid-term momentum if breakout continues

🔹 Third Target Exit – 25% of position

  • Sell 10 shares @ ₱110
    🟢 Objective: Ride extension move toward next resistance zone

🔹 Final Exit – 25% of position (Trailing Stop)

  • Sell remaining 10 shares using trailing stop-loss

  • Suggested trailing stop: ₱3–₱4 below recent high
    🟢 Objective: Maximize gains if trend sustains, exit only if reversal shows

📌 Reminder:

  • Kung hindi umabot ang price sa mga targets, wag pilitin.

  • Mas importante pa rin ang risk management—cut below ₱88.50 kung nasira ang structure.

  • Ang phased exit ay para mabawasan ang stress sa decision-making habang nasa actual trade.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Friday, July 11, 2025

Manila Water Company, Inc. (MWC) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

MWC stock weekly chart showing price action and moving averages

Weekly Price Chart of MWC as of July 11, 2025

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan

I. Panimula

📌Paunang Paliwanag sa Ating Review Series

Magandang araw po sa inyo, mga kababayan! Dito po sa ating simpleng review series, hindi lang po tayo magpo-focus sa mga Shariah-compliant stocks, kundi pati na rin sa ilang mga stocks na hindi pa kasama sa official Shariah list.

Ginagawa po natin ito hindi para mag-promote, kundi para magbigay linaw at dagdag kaalaman sa ating mga kapwa maliliit na investors—lalo na po yung mga gustong makaalam kung paano gumagalaw ang merkado sa kabuuan.

Kaya po kung may makita kayong stock na hindi Shariah-certified, tandaan po natin:
👉 For public awareness lang po ito.
👉 Hindi ito automatic na rekomendasyon sa pagbili.
👉 At higit sa lahat, kayo pa rin ang may final na desisyon sa inyong investment journey.

Tuloy lang ang pag-aaral, mga taga-Batangas at mga ka-trader!

Basta disiplina at aral, hindi maliligaw.

TRADE DETAILS

Date: July 11, 2025
Stock: Manila Water Company, Inc. (MWC)
Exchange: PSE (Philippine Stock Exchange)
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱38.35
High: ₱38.95
Low: ₱38.20
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱33.74
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱22.39

Susuriin po natin ang stock na ito gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant. Tara’t balikan ang chart!

II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
MWC is clearly in a strong uptrend, with price moving significantly above both the 20-MA and 200-MA. The spread between the MAs is wide, signaling momentum-driven bullish trend.
➡ Verdict: BUY SETUP CANDIDATE

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price is in a far positive position, hovering well above the 20-MA (₱33.74) and the 200-MA (₱22.39). Medyo extended na, kaya kailangan bantayan ang possible pullback for better entries.
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR PULLBACK

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Nakita natin ang malalakas na green candles noong May–June 2025 na may kasamang volume surge. Pero nitong huli, merong red candle with slight dip—normal lang sa consolidation.
➡ Verdict: HOLD – Observe next candle for confirmation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
Walang immediate breakout signal, pero puwedeng abangan kung mag-retest sa 20-MA area near ₱34–₱35. If price stabilizes there with bullish reversal signs, pasok na.
➡ Verdict: CONDITIONAL BUY upon pullback near ₱35 support

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise
Ang logical stop loss ay below ₱33 (20-MA) or tighter at ₱34 kung tactical entry.
➡ Verdict: SL = ₱33 (below 20-MA)

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
No significant color change or bearish engulfing candle yet. Trend still intact.
➡ Verdict: HOLD

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Price may test ₱40–₱42 zone. Resistance evident near ₱39.50–₱40.50. Partial exits pwede doon.
➡ Verdict: SELL HALF near ₱40–₱41 if entered earlier

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Re-entry ideal sa ₱34–₱35 area if may green candle bounce.
➡ Verdict: RE-ENTRY PLAN in place near ₱34.50 area

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
Core position dapat initiated sa pullback zone. Tactical entries not advised dito sa peak area.
➡ Verdict: CORE POSITION only after retracement

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Hindi ito pasok sa ethical rebound zone. Wala pang major drop or double gap down.
➡ Verdict: NOT APPLICABLE

III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

Final Stock Recommendation: WAIT FOR PULLBACK (HOLD kung may hawak na)

✅ Recommendation: Buy sa ₱34–₱35 range if may support confirmation.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱33 to avoid extended downside.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Sell partial near ₱40–₱42.
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with moderate position at ₱34.50 zone; magdagdag lang kung may follow-through bounce.

IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Short-term traders → Avoid chasing high. Wait sa confirmation candle near ₱34.
🔹 Long-term investors → Pwede nang magplano for core entry upon pullback.
🔹 Existing holders → Hold and consider partial profit-taking sa ₱40+.

🚨 Final Thought: Di po masama maghintay sa tamang entry. Lalo na kung bullish pa ang trend pero medyo malayo na sa MA.

V. Layered Accumulation Plan

Capital: ₱10,000 | 1 board lot = 100 shares

💰 Plan: Buy in tranches pag bumalik sa support zones

  • Layer 1 (Tactical Probe Entry): ₱35.00 = 100 shares = ₱3,500

  • Layer 2 (Core Position): ₱34.00 = 100 shares = ₱3,400

  • Layer 3 (Final Pullback Buy): ₱33.00 = 100 shares = ₱3,300

🔁 Total: ₱10,200 (Approx., pwede adjust slight per actual bid/ask)

VI. Phased Exit Plan

🎯 Target 1: ₱40 – Partial sell 100 shares
🎯 Target 2: ₱41.50 – Sell another 100 shares
🎯 Target 3: ₱43+ – Final exit or trail stop

📉 Stop-Loss for All Layers: ₱32.90
👉 Use trailing stop kung mag-breakout above ₱42

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITs Series

Weekly stock chart of CREIT displaying trend and moving averages
CREIT Weekly Chart as of July 11, 2025 showing clear bullish trend

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan
Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

I. Panimula

Sa linggong ito, sisilipin natin ang galaw ng Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT) gamit ang weekly chart na may petsang July 11, 2025. Isa ang CREIT sa mga popular na REIT choices ng mga long-term dividend investors dahil sa exposure nito sa renewable energy at consistent income streams.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: July 11, 2025
Stock: Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱3.61
High: ₱3.62
Low: ₱3.56
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱3.28
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱3.20

Gagamitin natin ang Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant para sa masinsin at estratehikong pagsusuri.

II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

Ang CREIT ay nasa malinaw na uptrend. Ang presyo ay consistent na nakasampa sa itaas ng 20-MA at 200-MA.
➡ Verdict: BUY

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

✅ Positive Position: Price above both 20-MA (₱3.28) at 200-MA (₱3.20)
✅ Far Location: Medyo mataas na ang layo mula sa mga MA → potential for pullback or retest
➡ Verdict: WAIT FOR PULLBACK THEN BUY

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

✅ Sunod-sunod ang green power bars, with increasing volume. Matibay ang momentum.
➡ Verdict: BUY on pullback or breakout continuation

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

✅ Confirmed breakout above ₱3.30 resistance noong June. Currently testing ₱3.60 level.
➡ Verdict: BUY if support holds above ₱3.40

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation

📌 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below ₱3.28 (20-MA) or conservative sa ₱3.15 (50-MA)
➡ Verdict: BUY with SL at ₱3.15–₱3.28

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

✅ Walang red reversal candles. Wicks are short, body strong. Trend intact.
➡ Verdict: HOLD or ADD ON PULLBACK

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

📌 Target levels based on previous REIT rallies:
– Initial: ₱3.80
– Next swing zone: ₱4.00
➡ Verdict: HOLD until target zones are approached

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

📌 Re-entry zone: Between ₱3.20 to ₱3.40 kung mag-pullback
➡ Verdict: WAIT and BUY DIP if confirmed support

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

✅ Core Position: near ₱3.30–₱3.40
✅ Tactical Add-ons: above ₱3.60 breakout or ₱3.20 dip
➡ Verdict: BUY CORE now, ADD tactically on setups

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

❌ Not applicable – no breakdown, no discount zone, no gap-downs
➡ Verdict: Not Allowed at current levels

III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY on Controlled Pullback

✅ Recommendation: Buy between ₱3.30 to ₱3.44 during pullback; possible add-on if it breaks ₱3.70 with volume
✅ Risk Management: Set Stop-Loss below ₱3.28 or ₱3.15 depending sa risk appetite
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Trim at ₱3.80, partial exit sa ₱4.00
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with moderate core position, add kung mag-breakout with strong volume

IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Short-term traders → Hintayin ang retest sa ₱3.40 bago sumampa.
🔹 Long-term investors → Maaaring pumasok na sa pullback or peso cost averaging (PCA) sa loob ng ₱3.30–₱3.44.
🔹 Existing holders → Hold tightly. Consider partial exits sa ₱3.80–₱4.00 range.

🚨 Final Thought: Tuloy-tuloy ang trend pero wag habulin sa taas. Hintayin ang tamang suporta bago sumampa.

V. Layered Accumulation Plan

Capital: ₱10,000
Board Lot: 1,000 shares (CREIT)
Max Entry Price: ₱3.44 (nearest to 8-MA)
Target Layers: 3 (₱3,300 per layer approx)

📌 Layer 1: ₱3.44 – Buy 1,000 shares (₱3,440)
📌 Layer 2: ₱3.30 – Buy 1,000 shares (₱3,300)
📌 Layer 3: ₱3.15 – Buy 1,000 shares (₱3,150)

Total shares if complete: 3,000 shares (cost: approx ₱9,890)

✅ Goal: Gradually build a strong base sa mga support levels habang nasa trend pa.

VI. Phased Exit Plan

🎯 Target 1: ₱3.80 – Sell 1,000 shares
🎯 Target 2: ₱4.00 – Sell 1,000 shares
🎯 Target 3: Trail remaining 1,000 shares with stop-loss at 20-MA or price reversal

✅ Purpose: Secure profits habang may momentum, pero may natitirang position kung magtuloy ang rally


BASAHIN PA: Board Lot Warrior | REITs Series (July 11, 2025)

Weekly Stock Price Reviews ng mga REIT gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.

Tuloy-tuloy ang aral at diskarte! Heto ang kabuuang listahan ng mga REITs na sinuri ngayong linggo—mula sa Shariah-compliant picks gaya ng DDMPR at RCR, hanggang sa mainstream REITs tulad ng AREIT at VREIT. Alamin kung alin ang may buwelo, alin ang sideways pa, at kung kailan pwedeng pumasok kahit board lot lang ang kaya ng puhunan.

Shariah-Compliant REITs

Reviewed for Public Awareness


Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Related Readings


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RL Commercial REIT, Inc. (RCR) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | REITs Series

RCR stock weekly chart with moving averages and price support zone
RCR Weekly Chart as of July 11, 2025 showing breakout and consolidation

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Phased Exit Plan
Source: PSE Circular CN-2025-0001, “Updated List of Shariah-Compliant Securities,” issued January 8, 2025, covering the period ending December 25, 2024. Screening conducted by IdealRatings, Inc. and published by the Philippine Stock Exchange (www.pse.com.ph).

I. Panimula

Ngayong linggo, tinutukan natin ang price action ng RL Commercial REIT, Inc. (RCR) gamit ang Weekly Chart as of July 11, 2025. Isa ito sa mga REITs na steady ang uptrend at may dividend-paying nature—kaya paborito ng mga long-term investors.

TRADE DETAILS
Date: July 11, 2025
Stock: RL Commercial REIT, Inc. (RCR)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱7.38
High: ₱7.63
Low: ₱7.38
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱6.65
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱6.03

Ang pagsusuri ay naka-base sa Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

II. Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Strong Uptrend. Price is consistently above both 20-MA at 200-MA. May series of bullish candles simula Q1 2025.
➡ Verdict: BUY Bias

Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Price is at ₱7.38, above both ₱6.65 (20-MA) at ₱6.03 (200-MA). Malapit sa short-term resistance zone.
➡ Verdict: HOLD / WAIT for pullback around ₱7.00–₱6.65 for better entry

Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
May breakout with strong green candle last June, followed by healthy consolidation ngayong linggo. Volume is stable at 43.985M, medyo above average.
➡ Verdict: BUY on retracement

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
REIT stock with stable dividend. Technically, ang support sa ₱7.00 at ₱6.65 ay magandang re-entry zone.
➡ Verdict: Tactical BUY on dips

Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Stop-loss sa ₱6.20 (near 50-MA) kung ma-break with volume. Violation ng uptrend structure pag bumaba pa sa ₱6.00.
➡ Verdict: Use ₱6.20 hard stop

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Green candles dominate the recent 8 weeks. Wala pang red reversal bar.
➡ Verdict: Trend still intact – HOLD / ADD on dips

Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
Next resistance target is ₱7.80–₱8.00. Diyan pwede mag-partial sell.
➡ Verdict: Partial profit-taking sa ₱7.80–₱8.00

Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Magandang bumili sa support range ₱7.00 down to ₱6.65, lalo kung may bullish confirmation candle.
➡ Verdict: Prepare re-entry at ₱7.00/₱6.65

Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

  • Core Position: 50% allocation near ₱7.00

  • Tactical Entry: 10% near ₱6.65 or ₱6.20 pag may quick dip
    ➡ Verdict: Use Layered Accumulation with ₱10,000 capital

Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
Di applicable – wala pang major crash or gap-down.
➡ Verdict: Not applicable

III. Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba o Dadaan Lang?

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY on Pullback

✅ Recommendation: Accumulate around ₱7.00 to ₱6.65 for long-term hold.
✅ Risk Management: Hard stop-loss below ₱6.20
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial exit at ₱7.80 and ₱8.00
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start core position at ₱7.00 (50%), tactical adds at ₱6.65 (10%)

IV. Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

🔹 Kung Tumama:

  • Sell 30% at ₱7.80

  • Sell another 30% at ₱8.00

  • Retain remaining for dividend and capital gains

🔹 Kung Sumablay:

  • Cut loss below ₱6.20

  • Re-assess only if new support forms above ₱6.00

V. Layered Accumulation Plan

Capital: ₱10,000
Board Lot: 100 shares (minimum)

  1. Buy 200 shares @ ₱7.00 = ₱1,400
    (Core entry, 20%)

  2. Buy 200 shares @ ₱6.80 = ₱1,360
    (Core continuation, 20%)

  3. Buy 100 shares @ ₱6.65 = ₱665
    (Tactical support add, 10%)

  4. Buy 100 shares @ ₱6.50 = ₱650
    (Final dip add, 10%)
    Total Allocation = ₱4,075
    Remaining cash reserved for re-entry or averaging down if bumalik sa ₱6.20 zone.

VI. Phased Exit Plan

Target Sell Levels:

  1. Sell 100 shares @ ₱7.80 = ₱780

  2. Sell 100 shares @ ₱8.00 = ₱800

  3. Sell 100 shares @ ₱8.20 = ₱820

  4. Sell remaining shares on trailing stop or ex-date

Profit gradually locked in habang umaakyat, pero may natitirang position for dividend income.


BASAHIN PA: Board Lot Warrior | REITs Series (July 11, 2025)

Weekly Stock Price Reviews ng mga REIT gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.

Tuloy-tuloy ang aral at diskarte! Heto ang kabuuang listahan ng mga REITs na sinuri ngayong linggo—mula sa Shariah-compliant picks gaya ng DDMPR at RCR, hanggang sa mainstream REITs tulad ng AREIT at VREIT. Alamin kung alin ang may buwelo, alin ang sideways pa, at kung kailan pwedeng pumasok kahit board lot lang ang kaya ng puhunan.

Shariah-Compliant REITs

Reviewed for Public Awareness


Mainam Basahin: Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series

Isang koleksyon ng edukasyonal, mindset-based, at strategic posts para sa retail traders na may disiplina sa plano at malasakit sa galaw ng merkado.

Para sa maliit ang puhunan, pero malawak ang pag-iisip — at paninindigang Batangueño.

Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


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Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA) Stock Price Review: Weekly Chart as of July 11, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader

Weekly chart of Araneta Properties Inc. (ARA) showing strong bullish candle with volume, testing the 20-week MA at ₱0.55.

ARA Weekly Chart Shows Breakout Attempt with Power Candle – As of July 11, 2025

Nilalaman:

  • Panimula
  • Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
  • Hatol sa Stock: Bibili ba Dadaan Lang?
  • Next Move: Plano Pag Tumama o Sumablay

I. Panimula

Aba'y eto nanaman tayo sa pagsusuri ng Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA) – isa sa mga low-priced property plays sa Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE). Matapos ang matamlay na takbo noong Hunyo, aba'y tila gumalaw na ulit! Biglang may 11.34% na galaw pataas sa linggong ito. Pero tanong ng marami: "May aasahan ba sa ARA o trap lang 'to?"

Balikan muna natin ang mga detalye:

TRADE DETAILS
📅 Date: July 11, 2025
🏢 Stock: Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA)
📈 Exchange: PSE
⏱️ Timeframe: Weekly
💰 Closing Price: ₱0.54
📈 High: ₱0.58
📉 Low: ₱0.50
📊 20-MA: ₱0.55
📉 200-MA: ₱0.94

Gaya ng una nating pagsusuri noong June 30, 2025, sinabi nating "Hold/Wait" pa rin at bantayan ang ₱0.48. Ngayong may bagong bar na may lakas, suriin natin kung nagbago na ba ang ihip ng hangin.

II. Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
Malinaw pa rin — long-term downtrend si ARA (200-MA @ ₱0.94), pero may hawak siyang sideways base simula March 2024. Ang magandang balita? Sa wakas, may malinis na green bar na lumabas ngayong linggo, at nakatawid na ulit sa 8-week MA (₱0.51).
➡ Verdict: Wait pa rin. Trend ay hindi pa nababali.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
Yung closing na ₱0.54 ay near sa 20-MA, pero hindi pa rin lagpas. Medyo alanganin ang pwesto — 'ika nga, "pwedeng tumuloy, pwedeng bumalik." Kung ito ay reversal talaga, kailangan natin ng follow-through.
➡ Verdict: Wait – kulang pa sa tibay para sumabay.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
May power candle ngayong linggo (green bar, wide range, malakas ang volume). Ayan ang gusto nating makita. Mukhang sinubukan niyang mag-breakout mula sa range sa ₱0.51.
➡ Verdict: Tactical Buy kung mag-follow-through next week.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Entry confirmation ay kailangan ng second bullish bar above ₱0.55 next week. Kung mag-hold siya above ₱0.54 at may volume pa rin, pwede na nating simulan ang unang layer.
➡ Verdict: Watch for Confirmation

Stock Price Review Gamit and Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

ARA Weekly Chart Shows Breakout Attempt with Power Candle Annotated – As of July 11, 2025

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
Kung papasok tayo, dapat may tight stop-loss sa ₱0.48 — yan ang naging support sa daily chart. Pag bumagsak ulit dyan, trap lang ito.
➡ Verdict: BUY kung may follow-through, STOP sa ₱0.48

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
Green ang weekly candle, volume ay halos 3x average. Magandang color shift ito, pero isang linggo pa lang. Tuloy-tuloy dapat.
➡ Verdict: Positibo, pero bantayan pa.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
Kapag nagkataon na tuloy-tuloy ito, unang resistance ay ₱0.60, ₱0.65, tapos ₱0.70. Doon tayo magbawas.
➡ Verdict: May visible exit zones. Ready na kung pumutok.

Step 8: Potential Re-entry Zones
Kung mag-breakout sa ₱0.57–₱0.60 at bumalik sa ₱0.54, pwede tayong mag-reentry doon. Tight stop pa rin sa ₱0.50 below.
➡ Verdict: Watch ₱0.54–₱0.55 zone for re-entry.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
Pwede tayong gumamit ng 10% tactical entry sa current setup. Kung mag-confirm, dagdagan hanggang 50% allocation.
➡ Verdict: Tactical Entry Allowed

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Hindi na ito counter-trend setup. Ang tanong ngayon ay: “Magta-trend reversal ba ‘to?”
➡ Verdict: Not counter-trend anymore. Reversal under watch.

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: Tactical Buy on Confirmation

✅ Recommendation: Tactical Buy sa ₱0.54–₱0.55 area kung may follow-through sa susunod na linggo.

✅ Risk Management: Use hard stop-loss sa ₱0.48 to cut early kung hindi matuloy ang breakout.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Partial sell sa ₱0.60, ₱0.65 at ₱0.70.

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start small (10% allocation), add to 30–50% kung mag-hold above ₱0.57.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Puwede nang mag-test buy kung may follow-up candle. Bantayan ang ₱0.55 resistance.

🔹 Long-term investors → Maghintay pa rin ng base-building above ₱0.60 bago full commitment.

🔹 Existing holders → Hold and monitor ₱0.55 breakout. Prepare to sell above ₱0.60.

🚨 Final Thought: Reversal signs are forming, pero isang green bar ay hindi pa katumbas ng bagong trend. Hintayin ang follow-through bago magbuo ng lakas ng loob.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.

Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.


Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Dashboard
Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader
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GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

SPONSORED CONTENT | Local Business Spotlight

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.


GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubaña, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Subo

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

🍗 Rice Meals tulad ng Chao Fan with Pork Siomai, Chicharon Bulaklak, o Lechon Kawali — swak sa mga ayaw ng sabaw pero gusto pa rin ng siksik sa lasa.

🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

🤳 Para sa mga G na umorder online

Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.

Sa totoo lang, sa bawat subo ng lugaw sa GAWLOO, parang may yumayakap sa’yo—maalala mo si Nanay o si Lola na laging nagluluto ng lugaw kapag may sakit ka o inuulan ang panahon. Ngayon, kahit wala si Nanay sa tabi mo, may GAWLOO ka na rito sa Rosario.

Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.




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GAWLOO: Ang Lugawang May Sarap ng Southeast Asia — Gawa ng Batangueñong Galing Abroad

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

📍 Matatagpuan sa V. Escaño St., Brgy. C, Rosario Batangas, si GAWLOO ay hindi lang basta kainan — isa siyang kwento ng pangarap, passion, at panlasang umikot sa Asia.


GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience Dine-In

Ang may-ari, si Jay Ubana, ay isang Batangueñong cook na nagtrabaho sa Singapore at Dubai ng 12 taon. Sa dami ng napuntahan niyang bansa—Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore—natutunan niyang i-appreciate ang iba't ibang bersyon ng congee. “Paborito talaga ng mga Pinoy ang lugaw,” wika ni Jay, “Kahit anong oras, kahit anong pakiramdam—masarap maglugaw.”

⭐ Lasa't Alaala sa Bawat Higop

Hindi lang basta lugaw, kundi southeast Asian-inspired congee na may toppings na mala-ulam sa sarap:

Kung taga-Rosario, Batangas ka at nag-crave ka ng lugaw na may level-up na twist—eto na ang sagot sa panalangin ng sikmura mo: GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience.

GAWLOO, The Southeast Asian Congee Experience facade

🍲 Seafood Gawloo at Lechon Gawloo — ang kanilang best-sellers na puwedeng pang-breakfast o pang-dinner.

🍛 Mix & Match Toppings: Tuwalya, Chicharon Bulaklak, Atay, Chicken, Fried Tokwa at iba pa.

🍗 Rice Meals tulad ng Chao Fan with Pork Siomai, Chicharon Bulaklak, o Lechon Kawali — swak sa mga ayaw ng sabaw pero gusto pa rin ng siksik sa lasa.

🧋 Drinks? May Black Gulaman at Lychee para pampawi ng uhaw habang humihigop ka ng mainit-init na lugaw.

💸 Presyo na Kayang-Kaya

Hindi mo kailangang bumyahe pa sa abroad para matikman ang ganitong congee—₱80 lang ang Small Bowl na may 1 Topping, at kung mas gutom ka, may Large Bowl for ₱90. Pwede ka ring magpa-top up ng 2, 3 o 4 na toppings para sa ultimate lugaw overload!

🤳 Para sa mga G na umorder online

Pwede kang magpa-deliver! Text o tawag lang sa 09397785658. Hanapin lang ang GAWLOO sa Facebook para sa menu at updates.

Sa totoo lang, sa bawat higop ng lugaw sa GAWLOO, parang may yumayakap sa’yo—maalala mo si Nanay o si Lola na nagluluto ng lugaw tuwing masama ang pakiramdam mo. Ngayon, kahit wala si Nanay sa tabi mo, may GAWLOO ka sa Rosario.

Supportahan natin ang lokal! Tikman ang lugaw na may kwento. Tikman ang GAWLOO.

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