Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Stock Price Review: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 10, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Is FPI a long-term value opportunity or a speculative breakout? Our updated stock price review explores this question using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus.

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy


FPI weekly chart showing volume breakout above consolidation

Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) weekly chart as of June 10, 2025


FPI monthly chart showing volume breakout above consolidation

Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI) monthly chart as of June 10, 2025

📍 I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 10, 2025
Stock: Forum Pacific, Inc. (FPI)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframes: Weekly, Monthly
Closing Price: ₱0.2500
High: ₱0.2900
Low: ₱0.2500
20-MA: ₱0.2220 (Weekly), ₱0.2241 (Monthly)
200-MA: ₱0.2368 (Weekly)
50-MA: ₱0.2284 (Weekly), ₱0.2335 (Monthly)
8-MA: ₱0.2275 (Weekly), ₱0.2231 (Monthly)

A 10,000-share position was executed at ₱0.25 on June 10, 2025, anticipating a breakout confirmation following a surge in volume and price.

This review uses the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant, designed for position trades that accumulate over value zones and hold through long-term cycles.


✅ II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant Review

1. Market State & Trend Context
On the weekly chart, FPI has broken out from a long consolidation base, with volume surging to a 16-week high. On the monthly chart, price is reclaiming territory last seen in mid-2023, above key MAs.
Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)

2. Price Position & Value Zones
Price has moved slightly above the 200-week MA but is still within the broader long-term value zone identified between ₱0.22 and ₱0.25.
Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)

3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation
The most recent weekly candle is a power bar with an extended body and high volume. Monthly candle also shows increasing demand.
Verdict: BUY (score: 10/10)

4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)
There’s limited fundamental news, but technically this is a high-probability volume breakout zone above long-term consolidation.
Verdict: BUY (score: 7/10)

5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point
A soft stop can be positioned below ₱0.22, the 20- and 50-week MA convergence and volume base.
Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)

6. Color Change / Reversal Signals
The orange 8-MA is sloping upward, crossing over key MAs. Weekly and monthly trend flips suggest sustained directional change.
Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)

7. Profit-Taking Strategy
Initial resistance lies at ₱0.30–₱0.34; multi-year resistance band may cap rallies, suggesting partial take-profits at those zones.
Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)

8. Re-Entry Plans
Pullbacks to ₱0.22–₱0.23 are favorable for re-entry or position additions.
Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)

9. Position Size Strategy
FPI’s board lot is 10,000 shares per tick size; Php3,000 allows for 1 board lot. Begin with 1–2 lots, add near support.
Verdict: BUY (score: 9/10)

10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities
No negative ESG news. Low-cap nature adds speculative risk but no violations detected for our ethical account.
Verdict: BUY (score: 8/10)

🎯 Final Score: 85/100 – STRONG BUY ZONE UNDER HYBRID 10-STEP STRATEGY


🚀 III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY

📅 Recommendation: Accumulate at ₱0.22–₱0.25 as price confirms breakout with volume and multi-timeframe alignment.

🔢 Risk Management: Soft stop below ₱0.22 or if large red bar closes under 200-MA.

💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Consider partial exits at ₱0.30, ₱0.34, and ₱0.45 if volume sustains.

📆 Position Size Strategy: Start with 1–2 board lots (Php2,500–₱5,000) and layer on dips near the 20-week MA.


🔄 IV. Next Steps

Short-term traders → Wait for an intraday pullback toward ₱0.23–₱0.24 to re-enter with tight stops.

Long-term investors → Begin layering from ₱0.22–₱0.25, hold as long as price remains above trend MAs.

Existing holders → Maintain position, observe volume continuation, and consider partial profits if price reaches ₱0.30+


🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for FPI

(Based on Php3,000.00 Capital and 10,000-Share Board Lot)

  • Layer 1 (Initial Entry): 10,000 shares at ₱0.25 = ₱2,500 (Executed June 10, 2025)

  • Layer 2 (Pullback Buy): 10,000 shares at ₱0.23 = ₱2,300 (GTC suggested)

  • Layer 3 (Final Add-on): 10,000 shares at ₱0.22 if market retests MA20 base

Plan total: 30,000 shares (₱7,300 exposure max) over 3 layers


📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Executed Trade: June 10, 2025 – BUY 10,000 shares at ₱0.25

  • Market Context: 9/10

  • Value Zone Entry: 8/10

  • Power Bar Confirmation: 10/10

  • Technical Validity: 7/10

  • Stop-Loss Consideration: 8/10

  • MA Crossover Signal: 9/10

  • Profit Setup: 8/10

  • Re-Entry Strategy: 9/10

  • Lot Compliance & Layering: 9/10

  • Ethical Trading Fit: 8/10

🎯 Final Score: 85/100 – ALIGNED WITH STRATEGY AND TRADEABLE


🚨 Final Thought: Patience and discipline are key—stay focused on value zones and thesis integrity. Let the chart do the talking.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings



Monday, June 9, 2025

Stock Price Review: Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON) Weekly Chart as of June 9, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

WLCON stock review using Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Should long-term investors start accumulating now despite weak technicals?

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps
  • Layered Accumulation Plan
  • Evaluation of Adherence to Strategy


Weekly chart of WLCON showing resistance at 20-week MA and ongoing downtrend

Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON) weekly chart as of June 9, 2025

🧭 I. Introduction

TRADE DETAILS
Date: June 9, 2025
Stock: Wilcon Depot, Inc. (WLCON)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱7.09
High: ₱7.34
Low: ₱7.06
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱7.20
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱22.45

WLCON continues to trade significantly below its long-term moving average and is currently testing its short-term 20-week MA from below. Volume has slightly picked up but remains modest compared to major downtrend periods. This review is guided by our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant, with a focus on patient accumulation and value-zone layering.


📈 II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Adapted for Long-Term Focus)

1. Market State & Trend Context

WLCON remains in a confirmed long-term downtrend, having declined from above ₱30 in early 2023 to its current levels below ₱8. It is currently attempting to stabilize just beneath its declining 20-week moving average.
Verdict: HOLD/WAIT


2. Price Position & Value Zones

The price sits significantly below the 200-week MA (₱22.45), suggesting a deep discount from long-term valuations. However, price is still not showing strong accumulation signs or base formation yet.
Verdict: WAIT


3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation

No recent power bar breakout is evident on the weekly chart. Although we’ve seen some green volume bars, they do not yet constitute a confirmed shift in institutional buying behavior.
Verdict: HOLD/WAIT


4. Entry Confirmation (Fundamental & Technical)

Fundamentally, WLCON remains a dominant player in its sector. However, from a technical standpoint, we await more decisive support-building and a base confirmation on longer timeframes.
Verdict: HOLD


5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation Point

A soft stop for long-term investors may be set near the ₱6.00 psychological level. Breach below that without rebound may call for re-evaluation.
Verdict: HOLD


6. Color Change / Reversal Signals

We observe minor weekly green candles, but no sustained momentum or “color change” has formed to imply a reversal.
Verdict: WAIT


7. Profit-Taking Strategy

Given the long-term nature of this plan, target zones for partial profit-taking may include ₱10.00 (nearest former support), ₱12.00 (50-week MA), and ₱16.00 (major structure midpoint).
Verdict: HOLD – No trigger yet


8. Re-Entry Plans

Not yet relevant as no prior successful breakout has been initiated. First buy zone consideration may begin only once a base confirms near current levels.
Verdict: WAIT


9. Position Size Strategy (Board Lot Conversion & Layering Plan)

Board lot is 100 shares. Long-term investors may consider starting with minimal layers of 100 to 200 shares only if price dips near ₱6.00, and prepare larger allocations if momentum begins to shift back above ₱8.00.
Verdict: WAIT for better layer trigger zones


10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities

While WLCON may be fundamentally solid, the technical backdrop lacks ethical trade setup justification at this point. We do not recommend counter-trend buys while the weekly trend remains downward.
Verdict: NOT YET


✅ III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

📅 Recommendation: Hold and monitor price behavior near ₱6.00–₱6.50 zone. Wait for stronger signs of support-building and institutional accumulation.

🔢 Risk Management: Monitor soft stop below ₱6.00 for downside protection.

💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: Consider taking profits in stages at ₱10.00, ₱12.00, and ₱16.00 once position is established and confirmed.

📆 Position Size Strategy: For investors with limited capital, delay layering until more clarity emerges. Use 100-share entries only after stabilization or a base appears.


🔄 IV. Next Steps

Short-term traders → No tactical trade opportunity yet. Avoid premature entry until clear breakout signals above ₱8.00 are seen.

Long-term investors → Monitor closely. Prepare to layer 100-share blocks if support confirms around ₱6.00 with improving volume.

Existing holders → Hold. Reduce only if new lows below ₱6.00 breach your soft stop threshold.


🧩 V. Layered Accumulation Plan for WLCON

(Based on Php3,000 Capital and 100-Share Board Lot)

Given the 100-share board lot requirement and a cautious stance due to WLCON's ongoing downtrend, we outline a 3-layer accumulation strategy suited for small capital and long-term patience.

  • Layer 1 (Initial Position – Executed June 9, 2025):
    Bought 100 shares @ ₱7.31 = ₱731.00
    Rationale: Modest starter position to build presence near 20-week MA resistance zone.

  • Layer 2 (Pending GTC Order):
    Buy 100 shares @ ₱7.00 = ₱700.00
    Rationale: Averaging down near minor support and psychological level.

  • Layer 3 (Reserve Capital):
    Buy 100 shares @ ₱6.25–₱6.50 (monitor price behavior) = ₱650.00
    Rationale: Final layer at expected soft support zone, contingent on volume and stabilization.

  • Total Projected Capital Use: ~₱2,081

  • Cash Buffer: ~₱900 (30% of capital remains for price rejection or breakout scenario flexibility)

⚖️ This layered plan prioritizes low-cost exposure and disciplined patience, as WLCON remains technically weak but potentially forming a long-term bottom.


📊 VI. Evaluation of Recent Action for Adherence to the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant

Action Evaluated:

  • Entry on June 9, 2025 @ ₱7.31 for 100 shares

  • Placed GTC Order @ ₱7.00 for 100 shares

Using a 10-point scoring system per strategy step, we evaluated our recent action against each component of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant:

  1. Market State & Trend Context received a score of 6 out of 10. While the downtrend is acknowledged, entering before a base or reversal makes the trade early, though not entirely misaligned.

  2. Price Position & Value Zones earned 7 out of 10, as the entry was just beneath the 20-week MA, which may act as short-term resistance. However, it’s within range of technical interest.

  3. Power Bars & Volume Confirmation scored 4 out of 10 due to the absence of any clear power bar or volume spike at entry.

  4. Entry Confirmation was given 5 out of 10. While the fundamentals are acceptable, there was no strong technical trigger to justify the timing.

  5. Stop-Loss / Thesis Violation scored 7 out of 10, with a soft stop anticipated near ₱6.00, a logical psychological level.

  6. Color Change / Reversal Signal earned only 4 out of 10, as no significant reversal pattern or weekly trend shift has yet emerged.

  7. Profit-Taking Strategy received 6 out of 10, as it is pre-planned in the broader post but not immediately relevant during the entry.

  8. Re-Entry Plan was scored 8 out of 10 because the GTC order at ₱7.00 represents a clear follow-up strategy and cost-averaging plan.

  9. Position Size Strategy achieved a perfect 10 out of 10, demonstrating full compliance with board lot requirements, small exposure, and capital preservation.

  10. Ethical/Counter-Trend Opportunities earned 6 out of 10, as there was no confirmed setup, but the entry still fits the long-term patient accumulation framework.

Final Total Score: 63 out of 100

Interpretation:

Our Layer 1 entry on June 9, 2025, reflects a cautious yet slightly early move into WLCON. While it aligns with long-term accumulation intent, several technical signals such as volume, trend reversal, and power bars were not yet present. As such, this position is considered a speculative but structurally acceptable initial buy under our long-term strategy.

🚨 Final Thought: No stock moves up without demand. Patience is key—allow the stock to form a true base before engaging in new positions.


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings



Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Weekly Chart as of June 9, 2025 – Long-Term Accumulation Case Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

From breakout setup to long-term opportunity: Why ABA is entering the early stages of a potential wealth-building cycle for patient investors.

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

Introduction

In our earlier post dated June 4, 2025, we examined AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) as a breakout candidate from a short-term tactical trade perspective, identifying a valid range entry at ₱0.75–₱0.79 based on a confluence of signals from the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Since then, price action has continued to align with our expected breakout path—providing us the opportunity to shift gears and now evaluate ABA from a long-term investment viewpoint.

This follow-up review focuses on the weekly timeframe as of June 9, 2025, in line with our enhanced Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, which prioritizes accumulation, trend development, and position scaling rather than fast rotations or immediate exits.

TRADE DETAILS:
Date: June 9, 2025
Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
Timeframe: Weekly
Closing Price: ₱0.77
High: ₱0.79
Low: ₱0.75
20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱0.51
200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱1.32

This updated review explores whether ABA now qualifies as a gradual accumulation candidate for long-term investors who prefer structured position-building over speculative swing entries.

Weekly stock chart of ABA with bullish breakout and moving average crossover

 Weekly chart of ABA showing breakout and reversal base as of June 9, 2025


Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

(Adapted for Long-Term Focus)

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
The long-term trend remains bearish, with price well below the 200-week MA (₱1.32). However, short-term structure is now bullish, supported by a breakout above the 20-week MA (₱0.51) and sustained upward momentum over the past 5 weeks.
Verdict: Long-term downtrend with short-term bullish structure. Early reversal.

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones
ABA is positively positioned above all short-term MAs (8, 20, and 50-week). The latest price action has moved outside the ideal 25%–45% sweet spot for trend-continuation pullbacks, suggesting a need to wait for dips or scale in slowly.
Verdict: Hold for long-term, layer in during soft pullbacks.

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
A clear green power candle emerged during the week of May 27, 2025, with volume expansion to 15.788M shares—the strongest in recent quarters. This is a valid breakout signal in the context of a long-term base.
Verdict: Bullish; confirms early accumulation by institutions.

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
Price has broken above critical resistance at ₱0.60 and is approaching the next threshold of ₱0.80. Sustaining above ₱0.80 would validate a long-term trend reversal.
Verdict: Accumulation near ₱0.75 is valid; full conviction entry at ₱0.80+

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
For long-term positions, a strategic stop-loss may be placed below ₱0.62 (swing low) or ₱0.51 (weekly 20-MA). Position size should reflect the volatility and low float nature of the stock.
Verdict: Position sizing and stop discipline critical below ₱0.62

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
The weekly chart has fully transitioned from red to green bars, marking a sentiment reversal that aligns with our long-term entry thesis.
Verdict: Valid trend reversal under development.

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits
Profit zones should target long-term resistance levels:

  • First Tier: ₱0.90 (previous minor resistance)

  • Second Tier: ₱1.00

  • Final Tier: ₱1.20–₱1.30 near 200-week MA
    Verdict: Set tiered take-profit plan and trail gains beyond ₱0.90

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones
Re-entries can be planned at:

  • ₱0.67–₱0.70: Minor support at 50-MA

  • ₱0.51–₱0.55: Stronger support at 20-MA for major pullback
    Verdict: Re-enter only on pullbacks with low-volume corrections.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments
We recommend initiating with a 50% core position near ₱0.75–₱0.77, and adding remaining 50% only after a solid weekly close above ₱0.80.
Verdict: Use layered core-tactical scaling strategy.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
Not applicable in current conditions. ABA has exited the deep bear zone and is forming a base for long-term recovery.
Verdict: No counter-trend trade needed. Focus on core buildup.


Final Stock Recommendation

Final Stock Recommendation: BUY for Long-Term Accumulation

Recommendation: Begin phased accumulation at ₱0.75–₱0.77, based on volume confirmation and price leadership over short-term MAs.

Risk Management: Stop-loss below ₱0.62 or ₱0.51 depending on investor tolerance.

Profit-Taking Strategy: Gradual exits near ₱0.90, ₱1.00, and ₱1.30.

Position Size Strategy: Moderate-sized initial entry (50%) with add-on above ₱0.80 for conviction-based layering.


Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders → Consider partial profit at ₱0.79–₱0.85 if quick bounce occurs.

🔹 Long-term investors → Begin core position and monitor for breakout confirmation above ₱0.80.

🔹 Existing holders → Hold positions and tighten stop to ₱0.64 if breakout stalls.


Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA (Php10,000 Capital)

As part of our long-term positioning for AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA), we are implementing a layered accumulation plan designed to optimize entry across pullback zones and breakout confirmations. With an initial capital of Php10,000.00, we have already deployed Php4,800.00 on June 3, 2025, buying 6,000 shares at ₱0.80 for our core position (48%).

Office desk setup with computer displaying ABA layered accumulation plan and a wall graphic showing the wealth-building cycle: Invest, Gain, Reinvest, Save.

Inside the Micro Stock Trader virtual office, the ambiance reflects focused strategy—highlighting the Layered Accumulation Plan for ABA alongside a visual of the Wealth-Building Cycle designed to guide long-term investors.

Assumptions:

🔹 Total Capital: Php10,000.00

🔹 Core Position (Executed): 6,000 shares @ ₱0.80 = Php4,800.00

🔹 Remaining Capital: Php5,200.00

Layer 2 – Tactical Pullback Entry

  • Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱0.70

  • Capital Allocation: Php1,400.00

  • Rationale: Add tactically on retracement near short-term MA support

Layer 3 – Deep Pullback Entry (Defensive Zone)

  • Buy 1,000 shares @ ₱0.65 (GTC order already placed)

  • Capital Allocation: Php650.00

  • Rationale: Capitalize on deeper retracement near breakout base

Layer 4 – Breakout Momentum Add-On

  • Buy 2,000 shares @ ₱0.85

  • Capital Allocation: Php1,700.00

  • Rationale: Add on confirmation of trend reversal if price breaks ₱0.80+ on volume

Contingency Reserve

  • Unallocated Buffer: Php1,450.00

  • Purpose: Reserved for averaging or emergency re-entry if price volatility increases

This plan maintains capital discipline, ensures low average cost, and allows us to scale into ABA's potential recovery while minimizing risk during volatility.

🚨 Final Thought: The breakout thesis from early June is playing out. With volume and moving average alignment on our side, ABA may be shifting into a new bullish cycle. Early accumulation could reward patient holders in the months ahead. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


Related Readings

Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0 – Long-Term Focus Variant

Micro Stock Trader Blog | Batangueñong Trade Mindset Series | July 2025

Illustrated breakdown of the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant with icons for each trading step.

Visual guide to the 10-step long-term investment strategy used by Micro Stock Trader

Optimized for Accumulation, Patience, and Portfolio Growth

Long-term investing requires more than just buying and holding—it demands a structured strategy that balances conviction, timing, and risk management. At Micro Stock Trader, we’ve developed the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant to address this need. This enhanced framework is specifically designed for investors seeking to build positions gradually over time, using disciplined accumulation within value zones while managing risk through fundamental thesis validation. Whether you're investing with limited capital or looking to anchor your portfolio with quality long-term plays, this strategy offers a step-by-step guide optimized for patience, accumulation, and sustainable portfolio growth.

Summary of Key Differences from the Original Strategy:

  • Greater focus on weekly and monthly charts

  • Emphasis on value zones and thesis integrity

  • Wider tolerance for pullbacks and volatility

  • Profit-taking guided by valuation cycles, not short-term technical targets

  • Stop-losses based on fundamental deterioration, not price dips


✅ Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Use monthly and weekly charts to determine the macro trend: Is the stock bottoming, trending upward, or stuck in consolidation?

  • Focus on long-term moving averages (50-MA, 100-MA, 200-MA) and multi-year support/resistance zones.

  • Validate trend strength by ensuring price is attempting to reclaim or hold above the 200-MA on the weekly chart.

Verdict: Accumulate if the stock is bottoming or gradually recovering from long-term support.


✅ Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones

  • Identify whether the price is deeply discounted or fairly valued relative to historical norms.

  • Use retracement zones of 45%–75% from previous major rallies to identify accumulation sweet spots.

  • Favor setups where price is near or slightly below book value, intrinsic value estimates, or dividend yield support zones.

Verdict: Begin layering in once price enters ideal long-term retracement range.


✅ Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift

  • Spot volume-supported green candles or multi-week stabilization as early signs of accumulation.

  • Even without power bars, long-term investors monitor for tight basing patterns or failed breakdowns.

  • Declining volume after a selloff can signal seller exhaustion.

Verdict: Accumulate when quiet accumulation behavior or bullish candle formations start to appear.


✅ Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers

  • Technical: Enter on reclaim of 200-week MA or breakout from a long-term base.

  • Fundamental: Enter when the stock has a strong balance sheet, clear dividend policy, low P/E or P/B ratio, and signs of sector recovery.

  • Ethical investors may also screen for Shariah-compliant or socially responsible metrics.

Verdict: Accumulate once the stock aligns with both fundamental conviction and technical signs of reversal.


✅ Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation, Not Noise

  • Do not use tight stop-losses.

  • Exit only if:

    • The company loses its core earnings base

    • Dividends are suspended without cause

    • Management issues arise (e.g., fraud, delisting risk)

    • A clear long-term downtrend resumes with volume

  • Maintain a watchlist of red flags instead of price-based cutoffs.

Verdict: Hold while the original investment thesis remains valid.


✅ Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation

  • Use monthly chart candles to spot transitions from red to green over several months.

  • Sustained green bars suggest institutional accumulation.

  • A return of three consecutive green candles is a solid long-term buy signal.

Verdict: Use green candle series to time additional layering or bulk accumulation.


✅ Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles

  • Do not aim for quick exits.

  • Target price should be based on:

    • P/E or P/B reversion to mean

    • Historical highs adjusted for earnings

    • Dividend yield compression

  • Scale out partially when price becomes overvalued by more than 20–30% relative to intrinsic estimates.

Verdict: Exit gradually as valuation exceeds fair value or sector rotation begins.


✅ Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips

  • Be ready to re-enter during corrections to previous bases or near long-term support.

  • Use dividend announcements, quarterly earnings, or industry policy shifts as re-entry triggers.

  • Keep cash buffers for re-deployment during panic sell-offs.

Verdict: Maintain a shopping list of trusted names for pullback re-entries.


✅ Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios

  • Use phased layering-in strategy:

    • Initial Buy: 25% of allocation

    • Add-on 1: At next retracement or breakout (25%)

    • Add-on 2: After a strong reversal confirmation or earnings beat (50%)

  • Each tranche should have independent risk checks.

  • Stick to maximum 10% portfolio allocation per stock unless high conviction is reached.

Verdict: Build positions gradually; avoid overexposure in early stages.


✅ Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations

  • Invest only in companies with transparent governance, sustainable practices, or Shariah-compliant financial structures.

  • Take advantage of extreme market fear or dislocations to enter strong companies at irrational prices.

  • Use macro events (e.g., elections, regulatory changes, global pullbacks) as opportunities—not threats.

Verdict: Stay alert for deep value plays during times of market pessimism.


📌 Final Thought:

“Long-term investing isn’t about timing the perfect entry. It’s about aligning conviction, value, and patience—then letting time do the compounding.”



Micro Stock Trader Blog | Ang inyong Batangueñong retail stock trader | Board Lot Warrior Dashboard
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    Tuesday, June 3, 2025

    Stock Price Review: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts as of June 2, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

    Discover our in-depth stock price review of AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) using daily, weekly, and monthly charts as of June 2, 2025. Includes a buy/sell decision based on the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy – Long-Term Focus Variant, layered accumulation plan, and risk-managed entry.

    Contents:

    • Introduction
    • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
    • Final Stock Recommendation
    • Next Steps

    Introduction

    In this comprehensive review, we examine the technical outlook of AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA) using its daily, weekly, and monthly charts as of June 2, 2025. The stock has made a decisive move from long-term lows and is showing significant strength across multiple timeframes.

    This analysis applies the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 5.0 to determine whether this current momentum marks the beginning of a sustainable bullish trend—or a premature rally.

    TRADE DETAILS:
    Date: June 2, 2025
    Stock: AbaCore Capital Holdings, Inc. (ABA)
    Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
    Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
    Closing Price: ₱0.79
    High: ₱0.79
    Low: ₱0.72
    20-MA (Daily): ₱0.62
    200-MA (Daily): ₱0.61
    20-MA (Weekly): ₱0.49
    200-MA (Weekly): ₱1.32
    20-MA (Monthly): ₱0.81
    200-MA (Monthly): ₱0.69

    ABA has surged +8.22% in the latest session, breaking above critical moving averages with strong volume and momentum. Let’s evaluate this across the Hybrid 10-Step framework.



    ABA stock price chart on daily timeframe showing breakout and trend reversal

    ABA (PSE) Daily Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 2, 2025


    ABA stock price chart on weerkly timeframe showing breakout and trend reversal

    ABA (PSE) Weekly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 2, 2025


    ABA stock price chart on daily timeframe showing breakout and trend reversal

    ABA (PSE) Monthly Chart – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Confirmed as of June 2, 2025


    Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

    (Focused on Tactical Trade Setups)

    Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
    Across all three timeframes, ABA has shifted from a deep bottoming pattern into an early uptrend:

    • Daily: Price is now clearly above both 20- and 200-MA.

    • Weekly: ABA has broken above the 8-, 20-, and 50-week MAs but still below the 200-week MA.

    • Monthly: A strong green candle has reclaimed the 200-MA and is testing the 20-MA.

    Verdict: BUY (Confirmed Bottom – Trend Reversal Phase)


    Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

    • Daily Chart: Price is in a far, positive position—ideal for short-term pullbacks or breakouts.

    • Weekly Chart: Price has transitioned to a positive zone but is still mid-range from long-term resistance.

    • Monthly Chart: Price is near the 20-MA (₱0.81), acting as the final gateway for long-term reversal confirmation.

    Verdict: BUY (Multi-Timeframe Position Strengthening)


    Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation
    All timeframes display green breakout bars closing near highs with rising volume, a reliable signal of institutional interest and momentum confirmation.

    Verdict: BUY (High-Conviction Breakout with Volume Support)


    Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals
    The breakout above ₱0.72–₱0.75 completes a multi-timeframe resistance breach. Conservative traders may wait for a monthly close above ₱0.81 for stronger confirmation.

    Verdict: BUY (Entry Confirmed on Daily and Weekly, Monthly Pending)


    Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management
    Logical stop-loss levels:

    • Aggressive: ₱0.70 (just below short-term support)

    • Moderate: ₱0.65 (below 8-day and 20-day MAs)

    • Conservative: ₱0.62 (below long-term trend invalidation zone)

    Verdict: BUY (Risk is Manageable Across Timeframes)


    Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation
    Color shift has occurred across all charts:

    • Daily and Weekly: Green candles dominate with clean trend alignment.

    • Monthly: First large green candle after three red bars.

    Verdict: BUY (Momentum Shift Confirmed Across All Levels)


    Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

    • Short-Term Traders: ₱0.85–₱0.90

    • Swing Traders: ₱1.00–₱1.10

    • Long-Term Investors: ₱1.29–₱1.40 (200-week and 50-month MAs), up to ₱1.80–₱2.00 (historical resistance)

    Verdict: BUY (Plan for Staggered Profit Targets)


    Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

    • Daily: ₱0.70–₱0.72 pullbacks

    • Weekly: ₱0.65–₱0.68 (EMA support zone)

    • Monthly: ₱0.69 (200-MA retest)

    Verdict: BUY on Pullbacks (Support Re-Entry Zones Valid)


    Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

    • Start with core entry now (50%)

    • Add tactical re-entry on red days or pullbacks

    • Add final layer on monthly close above ₱0.81

    Verdict: BUY (Layered Position Strategy Recommended)


    Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations
    Not applicable. The trade is aligned with a fresh trend reversal, not a counter-trend bounce.

    Verdict: BUY (Trend-Aligned Setup)


    Final Stock Recommendation

    Final Trade Recommendation: BUY

    Recommendation: Buy at ₱0.75–₱0.79 based on combined daily/weekly breakout and monthly bottom confirmation.

    Risk Management: Place stop-loss at ₱0.65–₱0.68 to protect against invalidation of short-term uptrend.

    Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale out at ₱0.90, ₱1.10, ₱1.30–₱1.40, and ₱2.00 for longer-term upside capture.

    Position Size Strategy: Enter a moderate core position now. Add layers on confirmation above ₱0.81 or upon pullbacks to ₱0.70.


    Next Steps

    🔹 Short-term traders → Watch ₱0.85–₱0.90 for resistance. Sell in tranches and tighten stops.

    🔹 Long-term investors → This multi-timeframe reversal is rare. Consider layered accumulation while maintaining discipline.

    🔹 Existing holders → Continue to hold; trail stop below ₱0.70 and prepare for scaling out at ₱1.00+ levels.

    🚨 Final Thought: Daily momentum, weekly structure, and monthly trend reversal are aligning. This is a multi-chart confluence setup—a compelling case for initiating or increasing a long position. 🚨


    🔄 ADDENDUM: Trade Execution and Tactical Adjustments (As of June 5, 2025)

    📅 Trade Implementation Summary

    Following our BUY recommendation at the ₱0.75–₱0.79 range, we executed a core position slightly above this zone based on updated intraday conditions and broader momentum confirmation.

    Executed Trade:

    • Date: June 3, 2025

    • Action: BUY

    • Price: ₱0.80

    • Shares: 6,000

    Tactical Follow-up Orders (Placed June 5, 2025):

    • GTC Order – 1,000 shares at ₱0.65

    • GTC Order – 2,000 shares at ₱0.70


    ✅ Justification for Initial Entry at ₱0.80

    While our initial recommendation highlighted ₱0.75–₱0.79 as the optimal zone, the decision to enter at ₱0.80 was supported by the following technical and strategic factors:

    1. Momentum Alignment Across All Timeframes:
      Our entry followed a rare confluence of daily, weekly, and monthly bullish trend reversals, increasing the urgency to secure a base position.

    2. Risk Still Within Acceptable Threshold:
      The slight premium above our range was offset by strong chart structure, acceptable risk/reward, and real-time market strength.

    3. Strategic Core Position Initiation:
      This 6,000-share entry represents the first layer of a long-term trade, in line with our Hybrid 10-Step Strategy's layered execution framework


    🎯 Why We Chose ABA Over Other Stocks

    Our selection of ABA as a priority trade candidate was grounded in a combination of technical structure, trend alignment, and capital efficiency:

    1. Multi-Timeframe Reversal Setup:
      ABA displayed a synchronized bottoming pattern and breakout across daily, weekly, and monthly charts—a rare alignment signaling high-probability trend reversal.

    2. Low Absolute Price + Strong Relative Momentum:
      ABA offered an opportunity to accumulate a meaningful share count (within a budget of ₱5,000–₱10,000) while riding a momentum surge confirmed by volume—making it ideal for traders with limited capital.

    3. Clean Risk Definition:
      Support levels were technically well-defined, especially at the 8-day, 20-day, and 200-day MAs, allowing for disciplined stop-loss placement.

    4. Liquidity Spike and Retail Interest:
      With volumes reaching 20M+ shares daily, ABA showed renewed market participation, which is critical for validating breakouts and managing exits later on.

    5. Market Rotation Favoring Small-Cap Recovery:
      ABA’s recovery came during a broader rotation into speculative and turnaround plays, positioning it as a front-runner among early movers.

    Verdict: Among the pool of chart candidates under review, ABA stood out as the most compelling stock demonstrating technical validity, strategic timing, affordability, and trade manageability—making it the ideal pick for our tactical entry test under the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy.


    ✅ Rationale for GTC Buy Orders at ₱0.70 and ₱0.65

    On June 4, ABA dropped 5% to close at ₱0.76, prompting us to deploy pullback-based tactical entries as per Step 8 (Re-Entry Zones) and Step 9 (Tactical Position Adjustments) of the strategy:

    • ₱0.70 GTC Order (2,000 shares):
      Targets the prior breakout and psychological support zone, near the 8-day EMA. It is a key area for buy-the-dip setups.

    • ₱0.65 GTC Order (1,000 shares):
      Aligns with the 20-day MA and serves as our deeper pullback zone. It acts as a final defense line for the bullish structure.

    These orders were designed to average down our cost base and tactically reload if the trend remains intact through a healthy consolidation phase.


    🔁 Updated Execution Commentary

    Revised Entry Guidance: 

    While our technical entry zone was ₱0.75–₱0.79, we entered a core position at ₱0.80 based on a momentum breakout trigger on June 3, 2025. 

    We have since placed Good-Til-Cancelled (GTC) tactical buy orders at ₱0.70 (2,000 shares) and ₱0.65 (1,000 shares) to capitalize on short-term pullbacks, consistent with our long-term accumulation strategy.

    This adjustment remains fully aligned with the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 4.0 and reflects disciplined, adaptive trade management.


    Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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