Nilalaman
1️⃣ Introduction
2️⃣ Core Nuances
3️⃣ Closing Note
Introduction
Ang Subok Series ay nagsimula gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy 5.0. Pero habang nagpapatuloy ang trade simulations, lumitaw ang mga dagdag na konsepto at refinements. Ang mga nuances na ito ang nagbibigay ng konteksto at disiplina para hindi maging mechanical o sugal ang galaw, kundi guided by price, volume, at halal-conscious values.
Core Nuances
1️⃣ Price + Volume Principle
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Rule: Price alone is noise; price + volume is confirmation.
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Application: Hindi agad cut sa wick flush, at hindi agad buy sa breakout wick.
2️⃣ Flush Down
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Definition: Temporary breakdown wick below support, kulang sa volume.
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Use: Para hindi magpanic exit sa unang butas ng support.
3️⃣ Flush Zone
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Definition: Buffer area under major support kung saan natural na nagaganap ang flush downs.
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Example: ₱6.70–₱6.80 zone below ₱7.00 sa MONDE.
4️⃣ Flush Up
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Definition: Opposite ng flush down — false breakout wick above resistance, kulang sa volume.
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Use: Para hindi habulin ang maling breakout.
5️⃣ Immediate Cut vs Delayed Cut Rule
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Immediate Cut: Price breaks support + volume ≥ 50% ng 50-MA.
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Delayed Cut: Price breaks support pero weak volume → observe up to 2 weeks.
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Defensive Hold: Walang consecutive red candles, weak volume → hold cautiously.
6️⃣ Hard Stop vs Thesis Stop
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Hard Stop: Tight defensive line (e.g., ₱6.95).
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Thesis Stop: Refined, context-driven level (e.g., ₱6.80, aligned with flush zone).
7️⃣ Strong Volume for Accumulation
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Strong Volume: Daily ≥ 50% ng 50-MA volume.
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Super Strong Volume: Daily ≥ 100% ng 50-MA volume.
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Use: Kapag price nasa support defense o breakout zone.
8️⃣ Retracement Volume Rule
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Rule: Sa weekly chart, volume this week must be higher than previous week para maging valid ang accumulation sa retracement zone.
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Zones:
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Bullish trend pullback = 25–45% retracement.
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Bearish-to-base = 55–75% retracement.
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Shortcut:
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Retracement + Higher Volume = Accumulate.
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Retracement + Lower Volume = Wait.
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9️⃣ Defensive Hold
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Definition: Kapag limited exposure ang hawak (<50% allocation), may allowance to observe flush zones bago mag-cut.
🔟 Ethical & Halal Overlay
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Principle: Disiplina at risk management guided by halal-conscious values.
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Reminder: Ang trading ay hindi sugal; bawat galaw may thesis, may limitasyon, at may layunin.
1️⃣1️⃣ Volume Rules (Subok Series)
🔻 Volume Rules for Exit
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Strong Volume Breakdown = Immediate Cut
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Rule: Exit lahat kung price breaks key support + volume ≥ 50% ng 50-MA volume.
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Example: Kung 50-MA volume = 33M, cutoff ≈ 16M pataas.
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Weak Volume Breakdown = Delayed Cut
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Rule: Kung bumutas below support pero volume < 50% ng 50-MA, hold cautiously, observe 1–2 weeks.
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Two-Week Confirmation
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Rule: Kung may 2 consecutive red weekly candles below support kahit gradual volume pickup, treat as confirmed breakdown → cut.
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🟢 Volume Rules for Accumulation
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Strong Volume Support Defense
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Rule: Buy small if price defends support + weekly volume > last week’s volume.
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Bonus conviction kung ≥50% ng 50-MA.
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Retracement Volume Rule
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Rule: Accumulation valid only if volume this week > previous week.
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If volume weaker, wait — baka fake bounce lang.
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Breakout Volume Rule
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Rule: Add only if breakout above resistance sabay with volume ≥ 50% ng 50-MA.
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If breakout wick pero weak volume → possible flush up, wait muna.
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📌 Key Principle:
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Price = location (where action happens).
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Volume = conviction (how strong the action is).
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Kaya ang Subok Series rule ay Price + Volume, hindi price alone.
Closing Note
Ito ang Trading Playbook ng Subok Series — isang living document. Habang patuloy ang mga trade simulations, dadagdag at huhubugin pa natin ang mga nuances. Palagi itong magiging reference point sa bawat Subok Series post.
👉 Para sa bawat bagong trade review, balikan ang Trading Playbook na ito para sa mas malalim na konteksto ng ating mga termino at rules.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment
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Isang tanong ang pumasok sa isip ko habang nakatingin sa chart—“Anong gagawin ko kung may mag-abot sa akin ng isang milyong piso, cash, at walang hinihinging kapalit?”
Walang kondisyon. Walang tanong. Walang habol.
Isang milyong pisong biglaang dumating.
Hindi galing sa sugal. Hindi hiram.
Malinis. Legal. Bigay.
Rizq—kung tutuusin.
Pero ang tanong ay hindi lang “anong bibilhin ko?”
O “saan ko i-invest?”
Kundi—“Kaya ko bang panindigan ang 10-Step Strategy ko, kung ganito kalaki ang hawak ko?”
Capital Allocation: ₱400,000
Objective: This portfolio seeks long-term growth from fundamentally strong, ethically aligned, and ideally Shariah-compliant businesses.
Hindi lang basta technical setup ang basehan—pinag-isipan din kung saan nanggagaling ang kita, at kung ito ba ay halal ang pinagmulan.
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Ito ang bahagi ng portfolio na tumatanggap ng biyaya habang natutulog ka, pero hindi mula sa haram.
Objective: To capture capital appreciation from undervalued or temporarily beaten-down companies showing signs of recovery—without crossing the ethical line.
Not every good trade is clean, and not every clean trade is good. Kaya dito sinusubok ang balance ng puso at diskarte.
Objective: To execute short- to mid-term tactical trades using ₱10,000 per board lot based on the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy, with real money and real-time conviction—under the mindset of a Board Lot Warrior.
Hindi ito simulation. Hindi ito paper trade. Ito ang totoong laban, gamit ang disiplina at dasal.
Objective: To maintain spiritual discipline and financial humility by leaving room—intentionally—for:
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