Subok sa Puso, Hindi Lang ng Strategy Series | Halal Core Portfolio
Micro Stock Trader | Ethical and Halal-Conscious Investing in the PSE
🕊️ Introduction: Seeking Growth with Discipline and Purpose
In this review, we revisit Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON) based on its Weekly Chart as of July 31, 2025, to assess kung tuloy-tuloy pa ba ang trend o kung medyo kailangan nang magbawas. Ang presyo ay nakasampa na sa ₱10.00 with weekly strength and continued breakout structure. Bilang bahagi ng Halal Core Growth Portfolio, WLCON remains a key position under observation.
📘 Contents
Weekly Chart Snapshot
Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation
Layered Accumulation Plan
Phased Exit Plan
Final Trade Recommendation
Final Reflection
1️⃣ Weekly Chart Snapshot
📅 Date: July 31, 2025
📌 Stock: Wilcon Depot Inc. (WLCON)
🏦 Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
🕰️ Timeframes: Weekly
📍 Closing Price: ₱10.00
📈 High: ₱10.00
📉 Low: ₱9.04
🟡 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): ₱7.50
🔵 50-MA (Mid-Term Trend): ₱11.08
🔴 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): ₱21.82
The latest weekly candle closed strong at ₱10.00 with a bullish body and breakout pattern. Consistent volume and spacing above the 20-MA indicate a maturing rally.
2️⃣ Step-by-Step Strategy Evaluation
Stock Price Review Gamit ang Hybrid 10-Step Strategy
(Score per step: 1–10 | Total: 100)
Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context
WLCON is now in a short-term uptrend phase, forming a wide space above the 20-MA. It is still below the 50- and 200-MAs, but the trajectory is clearly bullish after recovering from a long bear cycle.
➡ Verdict: HOLD (Trend recovery underway, but major resistance still ahead)
Step 2: Price Position & Long-Term Value Zones
Presyo ay lampas na sa 20-MA and nearing the 50-MA. We’re entering a mid-range pullback zone, so bagong entry must be timed carefully.
➡ Verdict: HOLD or WAIT for better setup
Step 3: Power Bars, Price Behavior & Volume Shift
Bullish green candle with higher low and higher high. Volume remains supportive.
➡ Verdict: BUY
Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Fundamentals & Technical Triggers
No new breakout above resistance this week. Best entry remains at ₱8.20–₱8.60 (now in hindsight).
➡ Verdict: HOLD (No new trigger)
Step 5: Stop-Loss Policy Based on Thesis Violation
Raise stop-loss to just below last swing low: ₱8.70, to lock in gain and protect against reversal.
➡ Verdict: HOLD with raised stop
Step 6: Color Change Signals for Trend Validation
Weekly green streak still intact. Walang clear red reversal bar.
➡ Verdict: BUY
Step 7: Profit-Taking via Valuation and Growth Cycles
First resistance target near ₱10.50–₱11.00 (just below 50-MA). Pwede nang mag-trim.
➡ Verdict: PARTIAL SELL near ₱10.50
Step 8: Re-Entry Plans After Market Dips
Re-entry zone: ₱8.80–₱9.10. Use small tactical size if price weakens on lower volume.
➡ Verdict: WATCHLIST FOR PULLBACKS
Step 9: Position Size Planning for Long-Term Portfolios
If already holding a core position, no need to add.
➡ Verdict: MAINTAIN
Step 10: Ethical and Counter-Trend Opportunity Considerations
WLCON is part of our Shariah-screened Halal Growth picks. No counter-trend strategy needed as bullish structure holds.
➡ Verdict: N/A – Trend continuation focus
🧮 Total Score: 85/100
Trend continues but price is no longer at an optimal low-risk entry. We’re now in the phase of managing rewards and watching for continuation setups.
3️⃣ Updated Layered Accumulation Plan (₱100,000 Capital | 1 Board Lot = 100 shares)
✅ Layer 1 (Base Entry Zone – FILLED): ₱9.10 → 3,000 shares = ₱27,300
🔜 Layer 2 (Breakout Confirmation): ₱10.30–₱10.50 → 2,000 shares = ₱21,000
🔜 Layer 3 (Continuation Setup): ₱11.30–₱11.50 → 1,000 shares = ₱11,500
🪙 Total Planned Capital Deployment: ₱59,800
🧾 Remaining Capital (Re-entry, pullbacks, tactical): ₱40,200
4️⃣ 🎯 Phased Exit Plan (Profit-Taking Strategy)
🎯 Target 1: ₱10.50 – Trim 1,000 shares
🎯 Target 2: ₱11.00 – Sell another 1,000 shares
🎯 Target 3: ₱12.50 – Final exit / position review (use trailing stop beyond this zone)
📉 Stop-Loss: ₱8.20 (Swing Low Support)
✅ Final Trade Simulation Decision: BUY (Layer 1 Confirmed)
✅ Reasoning: Strategic entry post-breakout retest, with bullish continuation confirmed by weekly candles and volume.
✅ Risk Management: Hard stop set at ₱8.20 to limit downside.
✅ Profit Strategy: Trim 1,000 shares near ₱10.50, another 1,000 near ₱11.00, and review full exit at ₱12.50.
✅ Next Layer Trigger: Add only on breakout above ₱10.30 with strong volume or pullback to ₱8.80–₱9.00.
🌱 Final Reflection – A Trade Built on Conviction
This simulation wasn’t random—it followed the process. We waited for structure, respected our system, and entered with purpose. Kung tunay na pera man ito, we would’ve acted no differently.Disiplina muna bago kita.
Sa bawat hakbang, tanungin natin:
“Ginagalang ba nito ang plano?”
“Pusong may tiwala ba ang gumalaw?”
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Paalala lang: Ang post na ito ay para sa informational purposes only at hindi dapat ituring na financial advice. Laging siguraduhing gumawa ng sarili mong research bago pumasok sa kahit anong trade o investment.
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